April 12th, 2015 at 5:26:17 PM
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Hello to Forum ! : )
.
Mr Michael , Forum! my name is Jaroslav , I apologize for my English, and I apologize if my address is incorrect format .
I'm a fan streak bet! :)
- Question: return a single game - Session 5 spins
Imagine that we play only once five spins. If you bet on 1 Six-line (6/37) 5 consecutive rate: 1/2/3/4/5, it turns out:
. probability of losing 15 bets = 41%
. probability of winning rate of 25 = 59%
( if Bank loses = 1) >>> (41% * - 1) * (59% * 1.5) = 17.4% ... If you play 5 times as it is written, the return on risk = + 17.4%
Where is the mistake? : )
.
.
Mr Michael , Forum! my name is Jaroslav , I apologize for my English, and I apologize if my address is incorrect format .
I'm a fan streak bet! :)
- Question: return a single game - Session 5 spins
Imagine that we play only once five spins. If you bet on 1 Six-line (6/37) 5 consecutive rate: 1/2/3/4/5, it turns out:
. probability of losing 15 bets = 41%
. probability of winning rate of 25 = 59%
( if Bank loses = 1) >>> (41% * - 1) * (59% * 1.5) = 17.4% ... If you play 5 times as it is written, the return on risk = + 17.4%
Where is the mistake? : )
.
April 12th, 2015 at 6:07:32 PM
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If you lose all 5 bets, you lose a total of 15.
If you win your first bet, you win 5.
If you lose your first bet and win your second, you win (2 x 5) - 1 = 9.
If you lose your first two bets and win your third, you win (3 x 5) - (1 + 2) = 12.
If you lose your first three bets and win your fourth, you win (4 x 5) - (1 + 2 + 3) = 14.
If you lose your first four bets and win your fifth, you win (5 x 5) - (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) = 15.
I don't see where "59% * 1.5" comes from in your calculation; the amount you can win is never more than the amount you could lose.
There's your mistake.
If you win your first bet, you win 5.
If you lose your first bet and win your second, you win (2 x 5) - 1 = 9.
If you lose your first two bets and win your third, you win (3 x 5) - (1 + 2) = 12.
If you lose your first three bets and win your fourth, you win (4 x 5) - (1 + 2 + 3) = 14.
If you lose your first four bets and win your fifth, you win (5 x 5) - (1 + 2 + 3 + 4) = 15.
I don't see where "59% * 1.5" comes from in your calculation; the amount you can win is never more than the amount you could lose.
There's your mistake.