Madmax508
Madmax508
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January 13th, 2015 at 9:45:54 PM permalink
I need to break even..

Would it be bette to play bacarat or roulette

B1 R1 and green 1 unit always losing 1 until green hits for 17-1 at 18th pull increase to 2units on green until 8th pull more then go to three, 5th pull go up 4, 4th pull, go up 5. 3 pulls so it 37 pulls green should have it or i might be in sh8t and also in for less then hundred right?


If i do bacarat
Bank 1 player 1 tie 1, for 8 hands, then 2 units on tie for 4 hands, 3 units on 2 hands ? So 14 hands to hit a tie or be in for $30?

So which one will see me hit my tie or green first? So i can break even??

Sorry thanks.
ThatDonGuy
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January 13th, 2015 at 10:12:47 PM permalink
There's only one machine in the casino where you're guaranteed to break even. I think it's called "bill breaker".

Be warned; I have seen Coinstar machines in casinos, and they have a hold of something like 9%. Actually, whenever I go to Vegas, I usually take some rolls of coins to cash them in at the cage; I have yet to have anybody charge any sort of fee for this.

Seriously, what do you mean by, "I need to break even"? Should I assume that you are behind? If so, by how much?
Madmax508
Madmax508
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January 13th, 2015 at 10:23:17 PM permalink
The system is fuaranteed to work if you break even...

Martingale is flawed that you run out of money...

I want to play either roullete or bacarat but bet the most possible, lose the least amount possible..

If i bet roulette every number i'll be out 2 units everytime.. But no way of getting them back...

If i bet just red or dealer i'll have to keep chasing...

I want to bet black and red and dealer and banker and win lose nothing bet 2 get 2 lose 2...

But the house created "the edge" so now i have to bet tie or greens(0 00) to "beat" the house, but i dont want to beat the house, i just want to break even..

So if i did martingale on the zeros or on the tie what would/should have the best result in hitting and allowing me to go back to even?
OnceDear
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January 14th, 2015 at 12:30:46 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

The system is fuaranteed to work if you break even...



Is this system dependent on comps 'just for playing' More play: More comps?

I think you'll find that the house edge will always be more than enough to cost you more than the comps that you can get.
Psalm 25:16 Turn to me and be gracious to me, for I am lonely and afflicted. Proverbs 18:2 A fool finds no satisfaction in trying to understand, for he would rather express his own opinion.
Dieter
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January 14th, 2015 at 2:52:25 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

So if i did martingale on the zeros or on the tie what would/should have the best result in hitting and allowing me to go back to even?



Neither. Either way will lose money, every round.

If you're betting player and banker at the same time, you are losing the banker commissions... every (other) round. (If it's a no commission baccarat, you still lose, but it's not every round, and it's by 1 unit at a time, instead of 5% of a unit at a time.)

If you're betting the ties in baccarat, expect the tie bets to lose 90% of the time.

If you're playing a red/black/green hedge on roulette, expect to lose about 5% of the total in play, every round.

If you're down, and you're trying to come back to even, the wisest play is to stop right now. Stopping makes your expectation closest to even, at least.

If you insist on playing, your goal should be to place a bet that will win. A convoluted betting strategy with cancellation bets will just expose more money to the house edge.

I have no suggestion on how to predict winners in advance. That wouldn't be gambling.
May the cards fall in your favor.
rdw4potus
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January 14th, 2015 at 5:18:14 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

The system is guaranteed to work if you break even...



You should probably double check this, because it doesn't make any sense at all...
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
odiousgambit
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:05:31 AM permalink
you should be glad people are taking you seriously. We get a lot of new members coming on "putting us on" like they believe something like this might work.

If you are for real, and someone has convinced you a betting system can work, your first step into the world of reality is to know that other players and dealers are absolutely the worst possible source of information on how to gamble... absolutely the worst. And about the only way you would be hearing this nonsense, other than having no sense of what to believe browsing the internet.

If you prove not to be somebody putting us on, this conversation might continue.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Dieter
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:09:21 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

know that other players and dealers are absolutely the worst possible source of information on how to gamble



... except for some of the people here. We might have your back.
May the cards fall in your favor.
Madmax508
Madmax508
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:14:19 AM permalink
Quote: OnceDear

Is this system dependent on comps 'just for playing' More play: More comps?

I think you'll find that the house edge will always be more than enough to cost you more than the comps that you can get.



Thanks everyone for helping..

Exactly ! video roulette or baccarat, $100 play through gets you $5**!

I mean if you had the balls and bank roll, on th enclosed auto wheel, bet $1000 on every number and pray green doesnt hit, you break even. Bet 36000 "win" 36000(breaking even) and just made $1800 cashback.

This method you are trying to avoid the 2 numbers.. But instead of this pray and dodge method.

Could you play martingale trying to chase and hit to break even. Either the tie or roullete greens?

**some casinos have even better play through and player levels which will make this even better.

PS. I mention this because someone made a youtube video on "minimizing on slot play," where by getting the player card your loses go down a fraction of a point.
Romes
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:24:03 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

I need to break even..

Would it be bette to play bacarat or roulette

B1 R1 and green 1 unit always losing 1 until green hits for 17-1 at 18th pull increase to 2units on green until 8th pull more then go to three, 5th pull go up 4, 4th pull, go up 5. 3 pulls so it 37 pulls green should have it or i might be in sh8t and also in for less then hundred right?


If i do bacarat
Bank 1 player 1 tie 1, for 8 hands, then 2 units on tie for 4 hands, 3 units on 2 hands ? So 14 hands to hit a tie or be in for $30?

So which one will see me hit my tie or green first? So i can break even??

Sorry thanks.


Why bet red/black/green when red/black will just come out to be a push. Your only real bet here is the green. Why not just bet the zero split 1 unit then? So you're betting the green split, to me it is entirely worthless to add 2 more bets that are red/black. Actually you're just losing more money by adding those 2 because when green hits you get your 17-1, but you then lose 2 units to red/black. You NEVER make money from red/black.

Same thing with your baccarat idea... Why not just bet the tie every turn and skip the player/banker bets? It's even worse in baccarat because of the house commission.

Not being rude, just honest, these both seem like horrible strategies.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
Romes
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:27:52 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

Thanks everyone for helping..

Exactly ! video roulette or baccarat, $100 play through gets you $5..

I mean if you had the balls and bank roll, on th enclosed auto wheel, bet $1000 on every number and pray green doesnt hit, you break even. Bet 36000 "win" 36000(breaking even) and just made $1800 cashback.

This method you are trying to avoid the 2 numbers.. But instead of this pray and dodge method.

Could you play martingale trying to chase and hit to break even. Either the tie or roullete greens?


So even with this idea let's do some math...

36/38 = EVEN + 1800 cash back.... EV = +1705.26
2/38 = lose 36000.... EV = -1894.74

Total EV, per roll of the ball = -189.48

You're underestimating how much those greens are going to kill you in the long run, even with the 1800 cash back.
Playing it correctly means you've already won.
AxelWolf
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:28:03 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

Exactly ! video roulette or baccarat, $100 play through gets you $5..

Continuous or one time ?

If its unlimited that would be 5% in comps, thats fairly strong and unlikely.(but possible)

If we are talking about a 1 time new members thing or something. It's not worth worrying about, just flat bet baccarat.

unlimited cash back 5%? you're probably mistaken.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
Madmax508
Madmax508
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:31:16 AM permalink
Quote: Romes

Why bet red/black/green when red/black will just come out to be a push. Your only real bet here is the green. Why not just bet the zero split 1 unit then? So you're betting the green split, to me it is entirely worthless to add 2 more bets that are red/black. Actually you're just losing more money by adding those 2 because when green hits you get your 17-1, but you then lose 2 units to red/black. You NEVER make money from red/black.

Same thing with your baccarat idea... Why not just bet the tie every turn and skip the player/banker bets? It's even worse in baccarat because of the house commission.

Not being rude, just honest, these both seem like horrible strategies.



Thanks for reply, the "point" of red black is to increase your play through...

You want to break even.. But play the most dollars, have least loses. Even if you lost $1 for every 100$ played your cashback will still be +4
odiousgambit
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:32:53 AM permalink
is this some thing an online casino is offering?
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Dieter
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:42:21 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

Exactly ! video roulette or baccarat, $100 play through gets you $5**!



Do they offer video poker? Does it qualify?

"Video roulette"... is this a FOBT?
May the cards fall in your favor.
AxelWolf
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:42:37 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

is this some thing an online casino is offering?

Doubtful I have never heard off 5% cash back.

If there's truly a %5 cash back situation obviously Roulette or Baccarat is dumb. Unless this is NY or something that doesn't have class 3 machines or better options.

Sounds like hes under funded and not to knowledgeable.

I would pay him cash assuming they actually had class 3 with other options. Even a horrible IGT BJ machine would do.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
rdw4potus
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:46:11 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508



Exactly ! video roulette or baccarat, $100 play through gets you $5**!



Aren't you over-thinking things? I mean, if video bacc really pays back 5%, you don't actually need to break even. The house edge is barely 1%. Just cover all 3 bets and win a net of 4% without having to worry about bankroll or a martingale or luck on a roulette wheel.

Is this a one-day thing? or is it very highly limited? Are you sure you have the rules right? There are ways to make money in a casino, but what you're describing is too easy to be right.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
Madmax508
Madmax508
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:48:20 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Continuous or one time ?

If its unlimited that would be 5% in comps, thats fairly strong and unlikely.(but possible)

If we are talking about a 1 time new members thing or something. It's not worth worrying about, just flat bet baccarat.

unlimited cash back 5%? you're probably mistaken.




Mistaken.

Sh8t.. Sorry yeah 0.5% cashback .. $5 on $1000 play through...

Less appetizing...

But theoretically could you chase to break even in any video table top to play indefinitely to have comps/cashback cover you?

Or bad proposition?
AxelWolf
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January 14th, 2015 at 6:57:03 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

Mistaken.

Sh8t.. Sorry yeah 0.5% cashback .. $5 on $1000 play through...

Less appetizing...

But theoretically could you chase to break even in any video table top to play indefinitely to have comps/cashback cover you?

Or bad proposition?

If they had 9/6 job or something better (doubtful) What class of machines? This obviously isn't Vegas or AC.

Even 1/2 percent cash back is rare.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
terapined
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January 14th, 2015 at 7:48:11 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

I need to break even..

.



Craps dark side. Very very slight casino edge.
Its just a forum. Nothing here to get obsessed about.
ThatDonGuy
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January 14th, 2015 at 8:11:37 AM permalink
If "break even" is based only on how much you win/lose on your bets and a fixed percentage cashback, then the system you use is irrelevant. The only thing that matters is the game, and which bet you play.

If it is limited to baccarat and roulette, go with baccarat, especially if bets that end up being pushes (on ties) qualify for the cashback.

Here is what you are expected to lose on each bet, after the cashback is taken into account:
Betting on the banker in baccarat: you will lose 1.116 for every 200 bet
Betting on the player in baccarat: you will lose 1.47 for every 200 bet
Pretty much any bet in roulette: you will lose 9.526 for every 200 bet
Dieter
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January 14th, 2015 at 9:48:38 AM permalink
Quote: Madmax508

Sorry yeah 0.5% cashback .. $5 on $1000 play through...



I only get 0.2%, plus mailers.

Don't play it for the cashback. Don't even think about playing it for the cashback. In order to play it for cashback profitably you need to find a 99.8%+ machine. Roulette is not it. Baccarat is not it. Video blackjack is almost surely not it. A very few video poker machines might be it. Also remember that in order to make the modest wage of $20/hour, you'll need to run $4000/hour in coin-in, while maintaining 100% RTP. (To at least break even, you'd need to be holding at least 99.8% RTP - any less and you're losing money.) $4000/hour coin in is a 25c 3 line video poker machine, one hand every 3 seconds (... which is actually $4500/hr).

If you can run it on a double, triple, 5x, or 10x points day, then it becomes attractive.

If you want to play an (almost) breakeven game to bump up your tier credits, that's worth thinking about.

It's almost as if the casinos have thought about people trying to do what you propose, and have intentionally made it somewhat difficult.
May the cards fall in your favor.
Madmax508
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January 14th, 2015 at 10:21:26 AM permalink
Quote: Dieter

I only get 0.2%, plus mailers.

Don't play it for the cashback. Don't even think about playing it for the cashback. In order to play it for cashback profitably you need to find a 99.8%+ machine. Roulette is not it. Baccarat is not it. Video blackjack is almost surely not it. A very few video poker machines might be it. Also remember that in order to make the modest wage of $20/hour, you'll need to run $4000/hour in coin-in, while maintaining 100% RTP. (To at least break even, you'd need to be holding at least 99.8% RTP - any less and you're losing money.) $4000/hour coin in is a 25c 3 line video poker machine, one hand every 3 seconds (... which is actually $4500/hr).

If you can run it on a double, triple, 5x, or 10x points day, then it becomes attractive.

If you want to play an (almost) breakeven game to bump up your tier credits, that's worth thinking about.

It's almost as if the casinos have thought about people trying to do what you propose, and have intentionally made it somewhat difficult.



Excellent reply

/thread closed

Thanks everyone
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