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I found this youtube video that claims, "CRAPS 80% PLAYER ADVANTAGE OVER THE HOUSE" found below.
I have been trying is out on my own (not in a casino), and have won every time but i dont have enough hours in the day to proove it wrong. Is this CRAPS 80% PLAYER ADVANTAGE OVER THE HOUSE legit?
Thank you in advance.
Mark
Is there a reason you think this is convincing?
Quote: AxelWolfSPAM hidden within a cry for help.
or is it a cry for help hidden within SPAM?
I saw a player martingaling the field from $5 up to $2000. He was doing fine for hours. Then all of a sudden, a wave of 5s 6s 7s and 8s came out. After 11 consecutive non-field rolls, he was tapped out. The next 5 or 6 rolls were still non field rolls. I think I ended up counting 16 non-fields in a row. He was rather surprised, but to my amazement said, "Well if was fun while I lasted, have a good night everyone."
So, while most of the time you end up ahead, you will end up losing. If there was a way to simply bet a certain and win, everyone would be doing it.
You walk up to a double zero roulette table and put $1 on 35 different numbers. You have a 35/38=92% chance at winning a net of $1. Does this make it a good bet... the fact that you can come away with a profit 90% of the time? No, it doesn't, because if it hits one of the three numbers you didn't bet on then you lose 35x what you would have won. This is an easy to understand example of how the martingale works. Lots of small wins in exchange for a few losses that will break you.
Essentially, just as RS laid out.
Quote: nutflushCan anyone here prove it wrong?
you seem in my book to be just asking a straight forward question...does it work? i went ahead and applied the principles the video suggest, and found some success with it several times. my first time out i gained $130 in 10 minutes, and other times less, but when i achieved success it was never less then $80, however i did lose during one session a lot...i encountered a bad set of roles, with it roll of 5-6-7-8, over and over for about 10 to 12 rolls.
however nothing of coarse is heavy in your favor, the video states the odds are 80% in your favor, if that was true 20% of the time it is still possible to lose your money.
i hope my trying it and letting you know helps you.
IP check on aisle 3, please.
This is the recursive strategy that always works. Well, it works at least until you have no more money.
I did a few sims of this system with real dice a couple years ago and once encountered 15 consecutive field bet losses.
I've played craps no more than 20 times in the casino and I've already seen shooters roll over a dozen field losers in a row.
I wonder how much the kid in the video was able to win in real life before getting destroyed by a single bad run at the tables.
You're led to a football field with the promise that there is a game set up which you have 99% of winning a million bucks.
You see ten rows of ten briefcases numbered 1 to 100.
You're told that 99 of the briefcases contain a million dollars and if you open one of them the cash is yours to keep...
But one of the cases contains a poisonous gas which will kill you instantly.
The game's always available and you can come back and play any time... (A new game assumes the case is replaced and reset randomly with 99 x $1M and 1 x gas again)
So would you play and open a case? (Try and imagine the genuine million dollar payout!)
Many would and get away with it, but spend the money and come back for another hit... It's pretty hard to give up with the 99% chance of winning...
But generally the game ends sooner or later with one result:
A dead man.
Not a bad analogy. However, I would say 1mil is probably too much. 1mil is life changing money for the average (median) American (to say nothing of its effects on the average human). Death is worse, but not quite worse enough in my opinion.Quote: 13sThoughts regarding similarities to the following scenario?
You're led to a football field with the promise that there is a game set up which you have 99% of winning a million bucks.
You see ten rows of ten briefcases numbered 1 to 100.
You're told that 99 of the briefcases contain a million dollars and if you open one of them the cash is yours to keep...
But one of the cases contains a poisonous gas which will kill you instantly.
The game's always available and you can come back and play any time... (A new game assumes the case is replaced and reset randomly with 99 x $1M and 1 x gas again)
So would you play and open a case? (Try and imagine the genuine million dollar payout!)
Many would and get away with it, but spend the money and come back for another hit... It's pretty hard to give up with the 99% chance of winning...
But generally the game ends sooner or later with one result:
A dead man.