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sc15
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October 2nd, 2014 at 1:30:31 AM permalink
Quote: dave12038457

Another post I agree with. I believe unless the state wrests control of A.C. away from the local politicians, it is destined to fail. Local politicians seem to win elections based on how many hand outs they can promise the locals. Remember the CRDA has sunk $35,000 for every man woman and child who calls A.C. home into the city. They built over 1,000 new housing units for residents, much of it is unsafe low income housing. Rather then remove the ghetto they simply moved it. In N.J. few properties are more desirable then shore towns. Yet in A.C. one can easily find a home or condo not far from the beach that is far from expensive. I have seen condos selling for 40k.



That's the other problem with AC.

It's not just the fact the city's a dump, but the ghetto trash people who live there are another issue. And the problem is it's very hard to get rid of trash people

And with all the new unemployment, the situation is going to get worse, not better.
onenickelmiracle
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October 2nd, 2014 at 2:08:18 AM permalink
Atlantic Club, Plaza, Showboat, Taj. How will the new Revel cannibalize their abandoned customers? Atlantis has national advertising, so they'll probably bring in fresh meat to the city more than they'll take. They're going to have a chance I think.
I am a robot.
Boz
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October 2nd, 2014 at 4:14:09 AM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Atlantic Club, Plaza, Showboat, Taj. How will the new Revel cannibalize their abandoned customers? Atlantis has national advertising, so they'll probably bring in fresh meat to the city more than they'll take. They're going to have a chance I think.



Where is this "fresh meat" going to come from? Until more airlines decide to add AC flights, it is still cheaper to go to Vegas than it is to AC from many East Coast markets and I am not sure they are going to get non gamblers to come there like they do at Atlantis. The casino is a very small part of Atlantis and you don't even see much of it in the ads for it. They advertise it as a family destination, which AC is not. Unless they do the things Babs is talking about, I see nothing they can do to improve the current AC experience, nor do I see them doing any better than Revel did without taking current AC customers from other casinos.
Dicenor33
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October 2nd, 2014 at 5:34:44 AM permalink
Parkway constraction never cease, annoying tolls, traffic. Texas roads OK at 80mph, so should GSP. Unions, taxes greedy politicians brought AC to it's knees. With so many options available the city has no chance unless the fundamentals are changed.
bobsims
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October 2nd, 2014 at 6:02:56 AM permalink
The ship has sailed. Put in Meadowlands casinos (plural) and let AC settle down as a south Jersey/Philly area locals destination where people can spend a day or 2 at the shore. Room for 4 casinos, maybe 5. Vegas has like 30 locals casinos with about the same population base as south Jersey/Philly.
GWAE
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October 2nd, 2014 at 6:07:04 AM permalink
Quote: bobsims

The ship has sailed. Put in Meadowlands casinos (plural) and let AC settle down as a south Jersey/Philly area locals destination where people can spend a day or 2 at the shore. Room for 4 casinos, maybe 5. Vegas has like 30 locals casinos with about the same population base as south Jersey/Philly.



I have been saying for years that AC needs more of a Vegas type feel if they want to make it work. Great shows, buffets, and all of the other amenities. AC always said, Hey look at us we have an ocean. I still feel that it can be changed and become a resort town again but no one is going to want to take the risk.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
dave12038457
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October 2nd, 2014 at 6:24:35 AM permalink
Atlantic City lacked long term planning. Casinos were viewed as a magic elixir to fix the ills of a city. Now the casinos are leaving, and the ills remain. Sadly, I think A.C. will neither recover nor become a non-gaming tourist destination.
When one can walk at night from one end of the city to the other and feel at ease, then improvements and other family oriented attractions will succeed.
hook3670
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October 2nd, 2014 at 7:16:10 AM permalink
I have been going to AC from Maryland for over 20 years. At first it was the only game in town. We still enjoy going there once in a while there a few really good restaurants we love to go to and just to get away for a night or two that's not too far away. However, with the Maryland casinos, and BTW the Horseshoe is a really really nice casino ten minutes from us, and even Delaware and Penn casinos, our trips to AC have been cut by about 60-65% and I have the feeling that is the case for a lot of people and if they are like us, no matter what they do they will never get us to go like we used to.
7star4now
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October 2nd, 2014 at 7:48:52 AM permalink
Quote: sc15

That's the other problem with AC.

It's not just the fact the city's a dump, but the ghetto trash people who live there are another issue. And the problem is it's very hard to get rid of trash people

And with all the new unemployment, the situation is going to get worse, not better.



... on top of all that, we'll have all those 21 yr old white geniuses who flocked to AC in anticipation of Straub winning, hassling us for book money on the boardwalk
RaleighCraps
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October 2nd, 2014 at 11:35:32 AM permalink
That is the crux of the matter. They can't just reopen another casino, and expect things to turn around. They have to do something BETTER than everyone else in PA, MD, DE, NY, and CT. If it is the same game being offered in other states, people are not going to come to AC. And when the games are better elsewhere, you are really fighting a losing battle.

Have your party pit with nude, or G-string dealers (male and female) (that would be unique).
Offer 8:5 BJ. If that creates too low of a HE, take something away that most people don't understand like surrender.
Offer a kid care service (with a hook to make sure the people are gambling).
Tie your gambling activity to some exclusive activity on the beach, so that others on the beach decide they want to gamble at your house so they can take part too.
Create unique perks at your casino. Give away something other casinos can't, or won't, give away.
And of course my pet peeve, get rid of any service personnel who exhibits any attitude towards customers. My employee motto would be "Be polite, or be gone."

But it will never happen, because the AC attitude is, "It's shearing time. Come play in our AC casinos, you stupid sheep."
Always borrow money from a pessimist; They don't expect to get paid back ! Be yourself and speak your thoughts. Those who matter won't mind, and those that mind, don't matter!
EvenBob
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October 2nd, 2014 at 1:02:49 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs


This goes to the larger question of AC itself. AC's halcyon days were in the 1920's, right? .



I think it was the 40's and 50's and in the
60's it started to decline and in the 70's
the casinos were supposed to bring it back.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
WASHOO2
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October 2nd, 2014 at 3:26:42 PM permalink
Did AC think they could stuff the original 20s forever? Lack of leadersip and no vision.
7star4now
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October 2nd, 2014 at 4:51:29 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Actually, you SHOULD get richer by failing. But not directly from the failure itself. By learning from the mistake.

This goes to the larger question of AC itself. AC's halcyon days were in the 1920's, right? With the boardwalk, amusement park, vendors, grand hotels, etc. Everything since then has been random wallpaper, not a complete renovation.

Time for a complete renovation. Knock it to the ground, most of it, and re-make it. One of the few places Eminent Domain makes Eminent Sense. JMHO.



What doomed the original AC - was "A/C"- (air conditioning).

The same could be said if you look at pics thru the 50's of Coney island - now people don't need the shore simply to escape sweltering summer heat

http://www.nytstore.com/assets/images/extralarge/NSAP1018_EXTR.jpg
dave12038457
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October 3rd, 2014 at 4:56:27 AM permalink
Atlantic City has a rather unique history. Originally it was selected as the closest and easiest to build a R.R. from Philadelphia.
The local government has a long history of corruption and graft. During prohibition there was no shortage of places to get a drink and gamble. The places that offered such "vices" paid a tax to the local political party to ensure a trouble free operation. The guests who wished to drink and party during prohibition were so plentiful and the business of providing vice so lucrative it helped to justify funding Boardwalk Hall.
It was chosen as the site of the first organized crime conference for good reason, the mayor Nucky Johnson was one of them.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantic_City_Conference

Atlantic City had a somewhat seedy underbelly dating back at least to the early 1900's. It was in the years after wwii that the city began to deteriorate.
The end of housing discrimination ironically played no small part in the demise of A.C. in the 1950's. Prior to that time A.C. was home to many middle-class and professional Blacks. They lived together in the same neighborhoods as their poorer peers. With the end of housing discrimination many middle-class and professional Blacks left the city for the suburbs. The Blacks left behind were poorer and less educated. The predominantly Black neighborhoods deteriorated as the stabilizing forces of the middle and professional classes left. Black neighborhoods were then considered unsafe no go zones for many Whites. Many Whites then began leaving the city in the 1950's. The housing stock deteriorated, became less expensive and was more and more managed as rental properties. As a result the city demographics changed to a majority poorer and minority town. It is this legacy that still holds true for the city today with the exception of an influx of Hispanic and Asian residents. The city has lacked a good middle class for half a century.

I have often read the premise about air-conditioning leading to the down fall of Atlantic City. I would think if that was the case, other shore towns would suffer a similar fate. Instead most have grown and prospered exponentially.
Just my .02 for what it's worth.
7star4now
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October 3rd, 2014 at 9:32:18 AM permalink
PAC reports-Judge refuses immediate end to Taj pension payments

"A federal judge on Friday refused a request to immediately end pension payments for unionized Trump Taj Mahal workers. The casino-hotel’s bankrupt parent company told the judge yesterday that the Boardwalk property will close in November if the payments continue."
Boz
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October 3rd, 2014 at 10:04:00 AM permalink
Quote: 7star4now

PAC reports-Judge refuses immediate end to Taj pension payments

"A federal judge on Friday refused a request to immediately end pension payments for unionized Trump Taj Mahal workers. The casino-hotel’s bankrupt parent company told the judge yesterday that the Boardwalk property will close in November if the payments continue."



McDevitt and his cronies think this is a bluff. It's not. Tough situation to be in for the workers, but they need to start looking now because it is closing.
bobsims
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October 4th, 2014 at 11:56:12 AM permalink
Quote: 7star4now

PAC reports-Judge refuses immediate end to Taj pension payments

"A federal judge on Friday refused a request to immediately end pension payments for unionized Trump Taj Mahal workers. The casino-hotel’s bankrupt parent company told the judge yesterday that the Boardwalk property will close in November if the payments continue."



I'm starting to think it's not a bluff. November is the best month to close, fold their hands, dangle the carrot of reopening and waiting for the union, bondholders and city to cave.
onenickelmiracle
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October 4th, 2014 at 12:56:58 PM permalink
Quote: bobsims

I'm starting to think it's not a bluff. November is the best month to close, fold their hands, dangle the carrot of reopening and waiting for the union, bondholders and city to cave.

Icahn really hasn't agreed to anything though. Even if everyone agrees down the line, he can still say no or change terms breaking the deal. I would like to think his best interests would be served keeping Taj open, but I'm not sure it's true.
I am a robot.
7star4now
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October 4th, 2014 at 8:22:23 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Icahn really hasn't agreed to anything though. Even if everyone agrees down the line, he can still say no or change terms breaking the deal. I would like to think his best interests would be served keeping Taj open, but I'm not sure it's true.



I think Icahn has no intention of saving TAJ.

IMO, He is using this death march to hold over the head of Trop employees
vendman1
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October 6th, 2014 at 11:33:33 AM permalink
Quote: 7star4now

I think Icahn has no intention of saving TAJ.

IMO, He is using this death march to hold over the head of Trop employees



You may be right...but I don't understand something. If you don't intend to operate the casino and let it go bankrupt...concessions from the employees are meaningless. So why bother playing hardball with the union if you are planning to let it go bankrupt. Doesn't make sense. I think he's trying to leverage his position to one of 100% control.
JackStraw8004
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October 6th, 2014 at 3:10:28 PM permalink
Remember when Senator Lesniak was promising sports betting in NJ. Now the court hearing has been postponed till 10/31.
dave12038457
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October 9th, 2014 at 7:16:38 PM permalink
One of the first problems they had was with the chairs in the public areas. Most A.C. boardwalk casinos learned early on that public seating outside of the bus terminal was a big no no. Before you know it you have homeless camped out in your 2.3 billion dollar casino fishing for coins in the fountain, panhandling, taking baths in the restrooms etc.
7star4now
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October 12th, 2014 at 10:53:07 AM permalink
Blatstein to buy Pier Shops in Atlantic City for $2.5M

It was built under the theory that high-end casinos have a captive audience of shoppers who will use the same gambling impulse to splurge on a Gucci bag. At the time, it was appraised at $187.5 million.

Torchlight Loan Services, put the property up for sale this past June, hoping to get enough to help pay down some of the debt. In all, about $150 million of debt is weighing down the property. It has about $50 million in equity, according to sources.
By trading for what is believed to be about $2.5 million, none of the debt will get paid off but the property will be in the hands of a developer with a solid track record.

“What we’re going to do is going to be incredible,” he said. “It’s going to take the whole Atlantic City experience to another level. I think it’s going to rock.”
Blatstein declined to divulge details on what he intended to do with the property other than to say it would be a retail and entertainment destination."

http://www.bizjournals.com/philadelphia/blog/real-estate/2014/10/blatstein-to-buy-pier-shops-in-atlantic-city.html
Boz
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October 12th, 2014 at 12:32:38 PM permalink
Quote: 7star4now

Blatstein to buy Pier Shops in Atlantic City for $2.5M

It was built under the theory that high-end casinos have a captive audience of shoppers who will use the same gambling impulse to splurge on a Gucci bag. At the time, it was appraised at $187.5 million.

Torchlight Loan Services, put the property up for sale this past June, hoping to get enough to help pay down some of the debt. In all, about $150 million of debt is weighing down the property. It has about $50 million in equity, according to sources.
By trading for what is believed to be about $2.5 million, none of the debt will get paid off but the property will be in the hands of a developer with a solid track record.

“What we’re going to do is going to be incredible,” he said. “It’s going to take the whole Atlantic City experience to another level. I think it’s going to rock.”
Blatstein declined to divulge details on what he intended to do with the property other than to say it would be a retail and entertainment destination."

http://www.bizjournals.com/philadelphia/blog/real-estate/2014/10/blatstein-to-buy-pier-shops-in-atlantic-city.html



This could be good for the town. Anything is better than 3/4 of the place empty and a water show that has been broke for 6 months.
Dicenor33
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October 12th, 2014 at 12:44:09 PM permalink
This is the most ugliest structure in a whole AC. I wish they knocked it down.
EvenBob
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October 12th, 2014 at 8:44:32 PM permalink
Quote: 7star4now



“What we’re going to do is going to be incredible,” he said. “It’s going to take the whole Atlantic City experience to another level. I think it’s going to rock.”



C'mon, that's funny. No it's not going rock, it's
going to lay there like a dog turd. Nobody is
going to AC anymore, why would they.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
JackStraw8004
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October 13th, 2014 at 9:51:46 AM permalink
The Pier Shops was a dumb idea. When it was Ocean One they had a huge food court and lower priced shops. This fit in with the crowd that came to AC. Putting a bunch of high end shops was stupid. It works in Las Vegas not in AC with it's working class clientele. The only store at the Pier Shops that does well is the Apple Store. Apple is going to make money anywhere they locate.
pacomartin
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October 14th, 2014 at 12:18:41 AM permalink
Quote: Artemis


Oh sh*t! NJ DGE has already knocked off Showboat Casino from the above monthly financial report. Revel will be next... then Taj! What a shame!



Well the September release should be out tomorrow. What do you think? Will 8 casinos rake in the same amount as 12 casinos the year before?
Boz
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October 14th, 2014 at 3:17:43 AM permalink
Quote: pacomartin


Well the September release should be out tomorrow. What do you think? Will 8 casinos rake in the same amount as 12 casinos the year before?



My thoughts are most if not all (perhaps Ballys) will be up but not enough to make up for the loss of 4. Therefore AC will be down slightly overall versus LY but the remaining casinos will still spin it as a positive sign.
vendman1
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October 14th, 2014 at 5:41:51 AM permalink
Quote: Boz

My thoughts are most if not all (perhaps Ballys) will be up but not enough to make up for the loss of 4. Therefore AC will be down slightly overall versus LY but the remaining casinos will still spin it as a positive sign.



Well, if you are one of the remaining 8 casinos it is a positive sign. 30 million a month is better than 25 million a month. Granted the underlying economics of the region haven't changed. But there is no question that the remaining AC casinos are better off.
pacomartin
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October 14th, 2014 at 11:57:41 AM permalink
Quote: vendman1

Well, if you are one of the remaining 8 casinos it is a positive sign. 30 million a month is better than 25 million a month. Granted the underlying economics of the region haven't changed. But there is no question that the remaining AC casinos are better off.



I don't think that outcome is obvious. People may just stay away in droves. The press release has never been later than the 14th of the month.

Here are my predictions. I think the whole Boardwalk will go down except Tropicana. I still think the total for the city will be down from last year.

Casino Sep 2013 Sep 2014
Borgata $51,757,951 up
Harrah's $29,529,835 up
Caesars $23,832,289 down
Trump Taj Mahal $22,688,693 down
Tropicana $20,253,292 up
Bally's AC $20,077,557 down
Showboat $16,147,925 $0
Revel $14,881,769 $0
Atlantic Club $12,334,066 $0
Resorts $11,586,732 down
Golden Nugget $10,730,551 up
Trump Plaza $6,408,878 $0
Total Ceasars Inc $89,587,606 down
Total 8 casinos $190,456,900 up
Total AC $240,229,538 down
vendman1
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October 14th, 2014 at 12:56:18 PM permalink
So Paco you think the Sept 2014 numbers in total will be less than the Sept 2013 numbers...in aggregate I mean?... I'm sure that's true. There are after all 4 less casinos than the previous year. So I'm sure the total AC handle will be less. But my point is the remaining 8 casinos stand a better chance to be viable business's going forward. Those numbers make take a few months to flesh out. But in the long run AC will be better off with 8 casinos (or 7 or 9)...than with 12 casinos. As to the specifics of which casinos are up or down...I would expect them all to be up, IN THE NEXT YEAR OR SO. But maybe not right away.

The Taj being the exception...obviously the smell of death is lurking there. Additionally the re-opening of Revel/Whatever they call it...will have some effect on the business...as yet unknown since they have revealed no plans yet.
Boz
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October 14th, 2014 at 1:08:26 PM permalink
Doesn't look like numbers are coming out today so I am going to take a Mulligan and still say 7 of 8 will be up (Changing to Taj being down and Ballys up). I still think it is a same bet the overall AC number will be down vs 2013.
pacomartin
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October 14th, 2014 at 2:06:17 PM permalink
Quote: vendman1

But in the long run AC will be better off with 8 casinos (or 7 or 9)...than with 12 casinos. As to the specifics of which casinos are up or down...I would expect them all to be up, IN THE NEXT YEAR OR SO. But maybe not right away.

The Taj being the exception...obviously the smell of death is lurking there. Additionally the re-opening of Revel/Whatever they call it...will have some effect on the business...as yet unknown since they have revealed no plans yet.



With service business you can usually predict some ratio. If you have 12 KFC chicken places and you close the 4 poorest performing ones, usually very little business goes to the remaining 8 since most people switch their brand of fast food. But when you had 12 casinos in downtown Las Vegas and Binion's went bankrupt the other casino owners get upset. They think that people will get depressed, and not come to downtown Las Vegas and gamble, and everyone will lose. In other words they compete with one another for customers, but they don't want the competition to go out of business.

When the Revel opened originally, it's revenue was so low that there was no sign that anyone had customers stolen. I am sure that Resorts will be happy as anyone to see Revel reopen. It means more people will come to that end of the boardwalk. Many will come to see the Revel, but gamble at Resorts where the stakes are lower.

This is the first time ever they didn't do the press release by the 14th. Presumably they are legally obligated to release data by the 15th of the month.
vendman1
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October 14th, 2014 at 7:14:04 PM permalink
Quote: pacomartin

With service business you can usually predict some ratio. If you have 12 KFC chicken places and you close the 4 poorest performing ones, usually very little business goes to the remaining 8 since most people switch their brand of fast food. But when you had 12 casinos in downtown Las Vegas and Binion's went bankrupt the other casino owners get upset. They think that people will get depressed, and not come to downtown Las Vegas and gamble, and everyone will lose. In other words they compete with one another for customers, but they don't want the competition to go out of business.

When the Revel opened originally, it's revenue was so low that there was no sign that anyone had customers stolen. I am sure that Resorts will be happy as anyone to see Revel reopen. It means more people will come to that end of the boardwalk. Many will come to see the Revel, but gamble at Resorts where the stakes are lower.

This is the first time ever they didn't do the press release by the 14th. Presumably they are legally obligated to release data by the 15th of the month.



Well this would certainly make a good business school debate. I don't think casinos are exactly comparable to KFC franchises, but your point may very well be right. I would bet though that my overall point is still right. AC isn't just going to blow away in the wind. They just need to adjust the casino capacity to fit the market. I said in another post...they are down to about 50% of the peak for gaming in AC. From just under 6B to just under 3B. That 3B is not enough to support 12 casinos. It probably will be enough to support 7 or 8 casinos. To your point about Resorts...sure some critical mass is needed at the north end of the boardwalk. I'm sure Resorts is rooting for the Taj to stay open and for the Revel to successfully rebrand/reopen, as you are right it will help their business. There are certainly ancillary benefits from having some casinos grouped together.

What would probably doom AC is if we get down to only 3 or 4 operating casinos. At that point there might not be enough critical mass to maintain it as a gaming area.
dave12038457
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October 14th, 2014 at 9:48:06 PM permalink
Of course everything is pure speculation at this time but...
I think both Caesar's and Bally's will see an uptick in business.
With the closing of Showboat, people invested in the Total Rewards program will want to keep their comps. Since the already like a boardwalk casino, it stands to reason many will migrate to Bally's and Caesar's and perhaps to a lesser extent Harrah's.
Trump players is anyone guess. But the Taj Mahal does generate considerable casino revenue. I am certain many offers will be made to those who were loyal to those casinos.
pacomartin
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October 15th, 2014 at 11:09:07 AM permalink
Quote: dave12038457

Of course everything is pure speculation at this time but...
I think both Caesar's and Bally's will see an uptick in business.



I predicted wrong on Ceasars. It went up. Resorts dropped by an almost imperceptible amount.

Casino Sep 2013 Sep 2014 Change
Golden Nugget $10,730,551 $16,272,358 51.65%
Borgata $51,757,951 $58,471,400 12.97%
Harrah's $29,529,835 $31,278,198 5.92%
Caesars $23,832,289 $26,112,416 9.57%
Caesars Interactive $2,663,968
Bally's AC $20,077,557 $19,625,079 -2.25%
Tropicana $20,253,292 $23,446,805 15.77%
Resorts $11,586,732 $11,581,961 -0.04%
Trump Taj Mahal $22,688,693 $17,503,951 -22.85%
Trump Plaza $6,408,878 $767,870 -88.02%
Showboat $16,147,925 $0 -100.00%
Revel $14,881,769 $0 -100.00%
Atlantic Club $12,334,066 $0 -100.00%
Total AC $240,229,538 $207,724,006 -13.53%
Total 8 casinos $190,456,900 $206,956,136 +8.66%
Total Boardwalk $148,211,201 $101,702,050 -31.38%
Total Back 3 casinos $92,018,337 $106,021,956 +15.22%
Total Ceasars Inc. $89,587,606 $79,679,661 -11.06%


Ceasars Inc seems to have captured about half the revenue it lost from Showboat, so presumably their operations will be more favorable.

It looks like Resorts will probably hold on until the Revel reopens.

The "Back 3 casino" on the back bay & marina are looking healthier than ever.
GWAE
GWAE
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October 15th, 2014 at 5:11:58 PM permalink
Quote: pacomartin



The "Back 3 casino" on the back bay & marina are looking healthier than ever.



Why do they do so well? When I go to AC, I go there for the boardwalk/beach plus some gaming. I would never think about staying away from the beach. If I wanted to do that then I would stay in PA with the better games.
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vendman1
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October 15th, 2014 at 5:18:24 PM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Why do they do so well? When I go to AC, I go there for the boardwalk/beach plus some gaming. I would never think about staying away from the beach. If I wanted to do that then I would stay in PA with the better games.



I often wondered this too. I mostly go to AC for the beach. While I've stayed at all 3 marina properties I prefer the boardwalk ones. I think this is the answer.

Borgota--It's the best casino in town. Run the best. Nicest in general. Tons of Poker action.

GN - So much better than the Trump Marina was. Their numbers have consistently gone up since they took over they are obviously doing something right.

Harrahs - With their indoor "the Pool" thing they have captured the low roller 20 something party crowd. It's actually doing the best of the 3 CET properties in town. Plus in the winter this is a fun place to go there is really enough to do that you'd wouldn't need to leave the facility if you didn't want to. This place hosts a lot of Bachelor parties and such.
dave12038457
dave12038457
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October 15th, 2014 at 5:52:57 PM permalink
People have often speculated on the obvious disparity between boardwalk vs marina casinos.
One thing is certain, a marina casino has never closed while 6 boardwalk casinos have fallen to the wayside.
Many frankly don't like the characters one sees in boardwalk casinos and on the boardwalk itself. They make some feel uneasy. The other is all the boardwalk casinos border blighted areas with a crime problem. Walk 3 blocks from Bally's in the wrong direction and you will find yourself at Stanley Holmes Village.
Stanley Holmes has been a major crime epicenter in A.C. for at least 30 years.
When tourists are stabbed to death, carjacked and murdered it happens for the most part at boardwalk casinos or nearby. The marina district is somewhat isolated from the neighborhoods. Yes marina properties do have problems. Just not on the magnitude of boardwalk casinos.
Some have gone so far as to speculate that Revel if managed differently and located in the marina district could have been a success.
GWAE
GWAE
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October 15th, 2014 at 7:01:30 PM permalink
Quote: dave12038457

People have often speculated on the obvious disparity between boardwalk vs marina casinos.
One thing is certain, a marina casino has never closed while 6 boardwalk casinos have fallen to the wayside.
Many frankly don't like the characters one sees in boardwalk casinos and on the boardwalk itself. They make some feel uneasy. The other is all the boardwalk casinos border blighted areas with a crime problem. Walk 3 blocks from Bally's in the wrong direction and you will find yourself at Stanley Holmes Village.
Stanley Holmes has been a major crime epicenter in A.C. for at least 30 years.
When tourists are stabbed to death, carjacked and murdered it happens for the most part at boardwalk casinos or nearby. The marina district is somewhat isolated from the neighborhoods. Yes marina properties do have problems. Just not on the magnitude of boardwalk casinos.
Some have gone so far as to speculate that Revel if managed differently and located in the marina district could have been a success.



while a lot of that is true I would bet 90% of travelers, especially first timers, have no idea of the crime problems in the nearby areas.
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rdw4potus
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October 15th, 2014 at 7:11:44 PM permalink
Quote: dave12038457

Walk 3 blocks from Bally's in the wrong direction and you will find yourself at Stanley Holmes Village.



Pretty sure it's actually closer to Borgata than to Bally's.
"So as the clock ticked and the day passed, opportunity met preparation, and luck happened." - Maurice Clarett
pacomartin
pacomartin
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October 15th, 2014 at 9:24:22 PM permalink
Quote: dave12038457

Some have gone so far as to speculate that Revel if managed differently and located in the marina district could have been a success.



One thing is that Harrah's in the marina was careful to develop table games when revenue started falling. Money was invested to make it more upscale. The first Philadelphia racinos opened in January 2007 so 2006 was the top earning year in AC.

I went to 2012 because there were fewer ownership changes.

Property 2006 2012 Drop status
Sands |Revel $147,976 $122,316 closed
Trump Plaza $300,894 $102,506 -66% closed
AC Hilton $330,083 $127,175 -61% closed
Bally's $677,290 $296,028 -56%
Resorts $282,896 $130,833 -54%
Trump Marina $257,166 $130,451 -49%
Showboat $429,514 $225,410 -48% closed
Tropicana $459,150 $249,994 -46%
Trump Taj Mahal $529,233 $295,492 -44% ?
Caesars $555,243 $358,565 -35%
Harrah's $508,980 $399,240 -22%
Borgata $739,289 $612,691 -17%
Industry $5,217,714 $3,050,701 -42%
mrfrancks
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October 16th, 2014 at 11:27:00 AM permalink
I I had some time to kill on an airplane today and took a close look at the September numbers for AC. I ignored the online numbers and focused on the brick and mortar casino business. I think the numbers are really frightful for AC overall. Here are some highlights/lowlights:

The overall brick and mortar business was down 17.1% compared to September 2014 - YIKES!

Based on its performance through the first 8 months of 2014, Showboat, had it stayed open, should have generated about $13.3 million in casino win. Of course it was closed and generated nothing. It appears that the other Caesars casinos "picked-up: about $7.5 million based on an analysis of their YTD performance through August. So, it seems that Caesars was able to steer a little more than 50% of the Showboat business to its other AC properties. I think this in in-line with analyst expectations. However, it should be noted that Caesars' overall performance in AC in September was 14% lower than September 2013 so they are still hemorrhaging business in AC at an alarming rate.

For the five non-Caesars casinos still operating in AC in September, their combined performance was actually worse than in the first 8 months of the year. January through August, these 5 casinos had an average casino win improvement of 4.7%, in September, this improvement was only 3.0% suggesting that none of the business from the closing of Trump Plaza and Revel was transferred to other casinos. Of course, within this group, there are winners and losers. In September, Borgata and Golden Nugget were clear winners, Tropicana and Resorts really had mixed results and Taj is on life support. In general, the closer the casinos are physically to the "closed" North End casinos, the worse they performed.

I really don't see much evidence that the closing of properties in AC is stabilizing the market. It seems to me that the benefit from a reduction in inventory is more than being offset by the perception that AC is a place that is on the decline and not worth going to. It's really starting to look like a death spiral. I really doubt that additional closures will stabilize the market.

The only truly healthy operation appears to be Borgata, which is approaching a 30% market share.
FatGeezus
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October 17th, 2014 at 10:41:58 AM permalink
Quote: GWAE

Why do they do so well? When I go to AC, I go there for the boardwalk/beach plus some gaming. I would never think about staying away from the beach. If I wanted to do that then I would stay in PA with the better games.



You are forgetting about the day trippers. They don't care about the beach or staying overnight.

When I go to AC, I go to gamble. It's usually a 6 - 7 hour trip. If you live north of AC, it's much easier to get off the GSP at exit 40 and to visit the Marina district than the boardwalk. You avoid the Expressway toll and the traffic.

I don't need a boardwalk and there are some nicer beaches in Monmouth and Ocean counties.
1BB
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October 17th, 2014 at 12:59:28 PM permalink
Quote: FatGeezus

Quote: GWAE

Why do they do so well? When I go to AC, I go there for the boardwalk/beach plus some gaming. I would never think about staying away from the beach. If I wanted to do that then I would stay in PA with the better games.



You are forgetting about the day trippers. They don't care about the beach or staying overnight.

When I go to AC, I go to gamble. It's usually a 6 - 7 hour trip. If you live north of AC, it's much easier to get off the GSP at exit 40 and to visit the Marina district than the boardwalk. You avoid the Expressway toll and the traffic.

I don't need a boardwalk and there are some nicer beaches in Monmouth and Ocean counties.



I always take that exit to the White Horse Pike then straight to the Marina or down North Carolina to the Boardwalk.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
pacomartin
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October 17th, 2014 at 11:29:45 PM permalink
Quote: mrfrancks

The only truly healthy operation appears to be Borgata, which is approaching a 30% market share.



Tropicana is in good shape. Ceasars shows great ability to be able to reduce costs and stay ahead of the decline in business. By closing Showboat, I think that they made sure they could keep doing that. Unfortunately the company has to do a lot more than just make an operational income. They are saddled with killer debt, and they have to be growing out of that, not just failing to rehire people.
7star4now
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October 20th, 2014 at 1:19:30 PM permalink
CZR bankruptcy now expected by January, & potential impact on Ballys & Ceasars AC

"Caesars said in an Aug. 11 filing that it didn’t expect to have sufficient cash flow from operations to be able to repay its indebtedness and would have to restructure its debt...Caesars’ $4.5 billion of 10 percent, second-lien notes due December 2018 have $225 million in interest payments Dec. 15, a cash outlay other creditors don’t want leaving the company. When a company misses an interest payment, it has a 30-day grace period before it’s in default, which means the company may seek a Chapter 11 filing by Jan. 15."

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-10-16/caesars-amends-pact-paving-way-for-january-bankruptcy.html?cmpid=yhoo

"So far by shuffling assets, Caesars has Harrah’s Resort out of the reach of creditors. Unfortunately, its two Boardwalk casinos, Caesars Atlantic City and Bally’s Atlantic City are included in the over burgeoning debt the company is facing...Alex Bumazhny, a Fitch Ratings casino analysts believes there’s a good chance creditors will take ownership of the Boardwalk properties, and that bankruptcy is highly likely at this point. Chad Beynon, a senior analyst at Macquarie Securities Group agreed with Bumazhny’s assessment but also shared thoughts saying,“Just because you file for bankruptcy doesn’t mean you need to shut the business down. That’s just kind of a public way of telling your debt holders that you don’t have enough money to pay them back right now and (say) let’s try to reorganize some things here.”

http://www.casinoscamreport.com/2014/10/18/caesars-entertainment-fortify-reduce-chapter-11/
vendman1
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October 20th, 2014 at 2:29:12 PM permalink
Wasn't everyone in the industry expecting a CZR bankruptcy for the past several years? They've been robbing Peter to pay Paul for a while now. The financial musical chairs were bound to catch up to them eventually. A while ago they moved some properties into a holding company with the purposes of saddling that "new" company with all the debt. Which I think most observers assume they will eventually default on. That move is still being fought by some of their bondholders I believe. Caesars AC and Ballys are part of that. So I think this may stay in limbo for a while now. Still it's bad. Not to derail an AC based thread but does anyone know how many of the 9 or so properties CET owns in Vegas are lumped in the new CET Holdings or whatever it's called?
7star4now
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October 20th, 2014 at 2:52:38 PM permalink
Quote: vendman1

Wasn't everyone in the industry expecting a CZR bankruptcy for the past several years? They've been robbing Peter to pay Paul for a while now. The financial musical chairs were bound to catch up to them eventually. A while ago they moved some properties into a holding company with the purposes of saddling that "new" company with all the debt. Which I think most observers assume they will eventually default on. That move is still being fought by some of their bondholders I believe. Caesars AC and Ballys are part of that. So I think this may stay in limbo for a while now. Still it's bad. Not to derail an AC based thread but does anyone know how many of the 9 or so properties CET owns in Vegas are lumped in the new CET Holdings or whatever it's called?




"After recent maneuvering, Caesars consists of three companies: Caesars Entertainment Operating Company, Caesars Entertainment Resort Properties, and Caesars Growth Partners, which is part-owned by Caesars Acquisition Company (NASDAQ: CACQ ) . We have to take some of the operating results piece by piece.

During the past year, Caesars has been pushing assets down to subsidiaries like Caesars Entertainment Resort Properties and Caesars Growth Partners. The former now owns the Harrah's Atlantic City, Harrah's Las Vegas, Paris, Flamingo, Rio, Octavius Tower at Caesars Palace, and Project Linq real estate assets in Las Vegas. Caesars Growth Partners owns Planet Hollywood, Caesars' online gaming assets, and recently announced the acquisition of Bally's Las Vegas, The Cromwell, The Quad, and Harrah's New Orleans for $2.2 billion.

The shift of assets leaves much of the debt with Caesars Operating Company, which would leave value with those companies if Caesars Operating Company files for bankruptcy. At least that's what management thinks, but it would likely be a huge fight for assets if bankruptcy does ensue."
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/other-casinos/15899-atlantic-city-open-forum/110/
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