justforprotection
justforprotection
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 2
Joined: Jun 26, 2011
June 26th, 2011 at 3:22:11 AM permalink
http://www.wizardofmacau.com/games/threecardpoker.html
On the site it says the house edge of Macau Three Card poker Pair Plus is 3.49%

But when I calculate with the probabilities from the main Three Card Poker site, I got 6.75%. Was that a mistake?

Hand Probability Table 3 Macau
Straight flush 0.22% 40 40
Three of a kind 0.24% 25 25
Straight 3.26% 6 5
Flush 4.96% 4 4
Pair 16.94% 1 1
Nothing 74.39% -1 -1
3.49% 6.75%
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1520
  • Posts: 27118
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
June 26th, 2011 at 4:54:38 AM permalink
Maybe you need more significant digits in the probability.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Switch
Switch
  • Threads: 12
  • Posts: 934
Joined: Apr 29, 2010
June 26th, 2011 at 5:44:40 AM permalink
Looks as though there is a difference in the straight payout - 5/1 compared with 6/1. This gives the missing edge.
justforprotection
justforprotection
  • Threads: 1
  • Posts: 2
Joined: Jun 26, 2011
June 26th, 2011 at 6:41:07 AM permalink
Thanks for your response, Wizard
I tried to calculate again with more significant digits but still ends up with the same result.
Pairplus payment Table3 and the house edge of 3.49% was quoted from your main site). I got the same result with my calculation.
The problem is, Macau Three Card Poker has a slight different payout table than Table3, ie. Straight pays 5to1 as oppose to 6to1 ( 3.26% increase in house edge), but your site says Macau Pairplus has 3.49% house edge.
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1520
  • Posts: 27118
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
June 26th, 2011 at 9:09:35 AM permalink
You're right, I did make an error on my Macau site. Sorry if my first reply was rather terse but 95% of all error reports I get are false. The site has been corrected.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
  • Jump to: