MichaelBluejay
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October 30th, 2023 at 5:13:00 PM permalink
At the airport some time ago, one pair for $ to £ was listed as 135/118. I figured the penalty was thus 135 ÷ 118 - 1 = 14.4%. And indeed, that's how Investopedia does it, arriving at the same result with a different formula, (high-low) ÷ low.

Then I thought, say I pay $135 for £100, then turn around and sell my £100 for $118. I've lost $17 on my $135, which is 12.6%. And that's how Wise does it, (high-low) ÷ high.

Which of these two methods gives the true markup/penalty? Argue your position passionately.
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Wizard
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October 30th, 2023 at 6:04:52 PM permalink
This is a topic I find interesting.

In this case, I find the markup/penalty/house edge to be 6.508% per transaction.

It should be noted that the buyer would lose 12.6% buying and then selling, but that is two transactions.

The way I look at this is to ask what is the fair exchange rate? I assume the house edge is the same both ways. Let's call x the fair rate of the value of the GBP/USD. That can be found as follows:

135/x = x/118

x^2 = 15930
x = 126.214104

126.214/135 = 118/126.214 = 93.4919%

That is the RTP, to use gambling terminology. The seller gets back 93.49% of the value of his original currency and the banking organization takes the rest (6.51%).

I hope that was passionate enough.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
MichaelBluejay
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October 30th, 2023 at 7:26:25 PM permalink
Thanks, Wiz.

For those who didn't follow, it's a grind. $100 x 93.4919% RTP on the 1st transaction leaves you with 93.4919, then multiply your $93.4919 balance by 93.4919% RTP on the second transaction = $87.41, for a loss of $12.59, or 12.6%

FWIW, the 12.6% figure seems more reasonable (logical) to me than the 14.4%.
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charliepatrick
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October 30th, 2023 at 8:23:07 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

...I assume the house edge is the same both ways...

In the UK one tends to get a better deal buying than when trying to sell them back. For instance at the moment the true rate is about 1.2144 and one place offers 1.1656 and 1.3314 (although I'm sure you can probably get better rates by looking around).
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GBPUSD=X
https://www.johnlewisfinance.com/currency/buy-back-foreign-currency.html
SOOPOO
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October 30th, 2023 at 8:39:59 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

This is a topic I find interesting.

In this case, I find the markup/penalty/house edge to be 6.508% per transaction.

It should be noted that the buyer would lose 12.6% buying and then selling, but that is two transactions.

The way I look at this is to ask what is the fair exchange rate? I assume the house edge is the same both ways. Let's call x the fair rate of the value of the GBP/USD. That can be found as follows:

135/x = x/118

x^2 = 15930
x = 126.214104

126.214/135 = 118/126.214 = 93.4919%

That is the RTP, to use gambling terminology. The seller gets back 93.49% of the value of his original currency and the banking organization takes the rest (6.51%).

I hope that was passionate enough.
link to original post



I agree with the 6%ish. It’s only 12%ish if I convert it back. I never convert my Canadian currency back to American. If I win or don’t lose everything I bring the Canadian back with me. If I accumulate ‘too much’ I spend it instead of using a credit card.
My local Canadian casino has great exchange rates. Th spread is way less than the bank you reference.
I’m not sure I was passionate enough answering though….
DRich
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October 31st, 2023 at 3:15:08 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: Wizard

This is a topic I find interesting.

In this case, I find the markup/penalty/house edge to be 6.508% per transaction.

It should be noted that the buyer would lose 12.6% buying and then selling, but that is two transactions.

The way I look at this is to ask what is the fair exchange rate? I assume the house edge is the same both ways. Let's call x the fair rate of the value of the GBP/USD. That can be found as follows:

135/x = x/118

x^2 = 15930
x = 126.214104

126.214/135 = 118/126.214 = 93.4919%

That is the RTP, to use gambling terminology. The seller gets back 93.49% of the value of his original currency and the banking organization takes the rest (6.51%).

I hope that was passionate enough.
link to original post



I agree with the 6%ish. It’s only 12%ish if I convert it back. I never convert my Canadian currency back to American. If I win or don’t lose everything I bring the Canadian back with me. If I accumulate ‘too much’ I spend it instead of using a credit card.
My local Canadian casino has great exchange rates. Th spread is way less than the bank you reference.
I’m not sure I was passionate enough answering though….
link to original post



In the good old days Canadian casinos would pay more than the going rate for currency conversion just to get you in the door.
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charliepatrick
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October 31st, 2023 at 3:27:54 AM permalink
I remember changing some US Dollars back at a London casino - it's a win-win situation, you get a good rate, they hope to win your money.
AxelWolf
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October 31st, 2023 at 6:51:29 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: Wizard

This is a topic I find interesting.

In this case, I find the markup/penalty/house edge to be 6.508% per transaction.

It should be noted that the buyer would lose 12.6% buying and then selling, but that is two transactions.

The way I look at this is to ask what is the fair exchange rate? I assume the house edge is the same both ways. Let's call x the fair rate of the value of the GBP/USD. That can be found as follows:

135/x = x/118

x^2 = 15930
x = 126.214104

126.214/135 = 118/126.214 = 93.4919%

That is the RTP, to use gambling terminology. The seller gets back 93.49% of the value of his original currency and the banking organization takes the rest (6.51%).

I hope that was passionate enough.
link to original post



I agree with the 6%ish. It’s only 12%ish if I convert it back. I never convert my Canadian currency back to American. If I win or don’t lose everything I bring the Canadian back with me. If I accumulate ‘too much’ I spend it instead of using a credit card.
My local Canadian casino has great exchange rates. Th spread is way less than the bank you reference.
I’m not sure I was passionate enough answering though….
link to original post



In the good old days Canadian casinos would pay more than the going rate for currency conversion just to get you in the door.
link to original post

Before My time Nevada casinos did the same. There were guys who did well running Canadian money.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
billryan
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October 31st, 2023 at 6:56:02 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: DRich

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: Wizard

This is a topic I find interesting.

In this case, I find the markup/penalty/house edge to be 6.508% per transaction.

It should be noted that the buyer would lose 12.6% buying and then selling, but that is two transactions.

The way I look at this is to ask what is the fair exchange rate? I assume the house edge is the same both ways. Let's call x the fair rate of the value of the GBP/USD. That can be found as follows:

135/x = x/118

x^2 = 15930
x = 126.214104

126.214/135 = 118/126.214 = 93.4919%

That is the RTP, to use gambling terminology. The seller gets back 93.49% of the value of his original currency and the banking organization takes the rest (6.51%).

I hope that was passionate enough.
link to original post



I agree with the 6%ish. It’s only 12%ish if I convert it back. I never convert my Canadian currency back to American. If I win or don’t lose everything I bring the Canadian back with me. If I accumulate ‘too much’ I spend it instead of using a credit card.
My local Canadian casino has great exchange rates. Th spread is way less than the bank you reference.
I’m not sure I was passionate enough answering though….
link to original post



In the good old days Canadian casinos would pay more than the going rate for currency conversion just to get you in the door.
link to original post

Before My time Nevada casinos did the same. There were guys who did well running Canadian money.
link to original post



Until a few years ago, the gas station/travel plaza in Needles exchanged Canadian money at extremely favorable terms. It was a determining factor in visiting Laughlin . It was also the home of Snoopy's long lost brother Spike.
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Wizard
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October 31st, 2023 at 6:58:19 AM permalink
I always thought it would be nice for casinos to change your money back at the same rate as the initial transaction for proven players.

When I was in Paris last year I had about 50,000 in Hong Kong dollars I wanted to convert to Euros, which would have been worth several thousand Euros. Shopping around definitely paid off. I found a shop where the juice was only about 2%.

Also be wary of transaction fees.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
TigerWu
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October 31st, 2023 at 8:14:00 AM permalink
I get my money from the local bank before I even leave for vacation. That's the guaranteed cheapest exchange rate, I think.
Joeman
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October 31st, 2023 at 8:53:19 AM permalink
Back in the day, I would cash a USD traveler's check at the foreign bank and get a very competitive exchange rate. These days, I just use my CC that has no foreign transaction fees. I can't remember the last time I had to exchange currency. Probably on a 2012 trip to Canada.

BTW, I agree with Wiz's assessment of the "house edge" for exchange rates.
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smoothgrh
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October 31st, 2023 at 10:38:20 AM permalink
I once had some leftover Canadian cash that I exchanged at a Reno casino for a quite favorable rate — in my 20s, it was another reason why casinos seemed so filled with perks!

Every decade or so, I ask my bank to do a currency exchange, and they say they can't do it, or they have some kind of delay that makes it not worth the effort. :(
AxelWolf
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October 31st, 2023 at 11:07:11 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I always thought it would be nice for casinos to change your money back at the same rate as the initial transaction for proven players.

When I was in Paris last year I had about 50,000 in Hong Kong dollars I wanted to convert to Euros, which would have been worth several thousand Euros. Shopping around definitely paid off. I found a shop where the juice was only about 2%.

Also be wary of transaction fees.
link to original post

If I recall correctly, soon after the Downtown Grand opened they had some +EV situations with exchanging Canadian money, perhaps other currencies as well.

PokerAlwaysOnGrinder might have some knowledge of this. I know someone was taking advantage of it.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
ThatDonGuy
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October 31st, 2023 at 3:48:56 PM permalink
Quote: charliepatrick

Quote: Wizard

...I assume the house edge is the same both ways...

In the UK one tends to get a better deal buying than when trying to sell them back. For instance at the moment the true rate is about 1.2144 and one place offers 1.1656 and 1.3314 (although I'm sure you can probably get better rates by looking around).


Usually, you are better off exchanging in the desired currency's country. This is relatively simple supply and demand; you have, say, dollars, which a USA bank has a lot of but a UK bank does not (and probably wants more, so it can handle people who want to exchange dollars for pounds before leaving), and want pounds, which the UK bank has a lot of but the USA bank does not.
Wizard
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November 1st, 2023 at 4:18:49 AM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

Usually, you are better off exchanging in the desired currency's country. This is relatively simple supply and demand; you have, say, dollars, which a USA bank has a lot of but a UK bank does not (and probably wants more, so it can handle people who want to exchange dollars for pounds before leaving), and want pounds, which the UK bank has a lot of but the USA bank does not.
link to original post



There is a puzzle in economics along this line, as follows.

Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly. There are bars on both sides of the border, which each accept both currencies. Both have a need to trade some of the opposite countries currency to their own. In that effort, the US bar offers a free beer if you exchange 100 USD to 100 CD. The bar on the Canadian side does the opposite, free beer for exchanging 100 CD to 100 USD. ThatDonGuy walks back and forth over the border, exchanging the 100 back and forth, enjoying free beer. The question is who is actually the one paying for the beer?

Back to the OP, a formula for the expected return at a currency exchange service is sqrt(lower number/higher number). In the original question this would be sqrt(118/135) = 93.4919%.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Hunterhill
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November 1st, 2023 at 5:18:52 AM permalink
Deleted
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TigerWu
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November 1st, 2023 at 6:19:07 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard


There is a puzzle in economics along this line, as follows.

Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly. There are bars on both sides of the border, which each accept both currencies. Both have a need to trade some of the opposite countries currency to their own. In that effort, the US bar offers a free beer if you exchange 100 USD to 100 CD. The bar on the Canadian side does the opposite, free beer for exchanging 100 CD to 100 USD. ThatDonGuy walks back and forth over the border, exchanging the 100 back and forth, enjoying free beer. The question is who is actually the one paying for the beer?

link to original post



The bars are paying for the beers. If the currencies trade evenly, ThatDonGuy is not spending money, he's just handing a bill back and forth and collecting free beers.
unJon
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November 1st, 2023 at 6:42:25 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

Quote: Wizard


There is a puzzle in economics along this line, as follows.

Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly. There are bars on both sides of the border, which each accept both currencies. Both have a need to trade some of the opposite countries currency to their own. In that effort, the US bar offers a free beer if you exchange 100 USD to 100 CD. The bar on the Canadian side does the opposite, free beer for exchanging 100 CD to 100 USD. ThatDonGuy walks back and forth over the border, exchanging the 100 back and forth, enjoying free beer. The question is who is actually the one paying for the beer?

link to original post



The bars are paying for the beers. If the currencies trade evenly, ThatDonGuy is not spending money, he's just handing a bill back and forth and collecting free beers.

link to original post



Welll:

If the transaction fee to exchange money is more than the cost of a beer, then the bars are saving money, and ThatDonGuy is paying for it with his transportation time back and forth across the border.


Hence the puzzle.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
charliepatrick
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November 1st, 2023 at 7:05:07 AM permalink
Let's assume the beer cost the bar $1, then it's cheaper for the bar to give a free beer than change the money at the bank. So they don't have to pay (say) $2 to change it over.
The person gets a free beer (or two per back and forth trip). Now they have to decide whether it's worth the effort and time just for a free beer. The loser is the bank who no longer gets $2.

fwiw anyone can get free coffee at IKEA Monday-Friday. Is it worth the effort, yes if it's a sunny day as I can take a free bus trip into town, read the paper and do the puzzles. I might even see one of the big ships in dock. What do they get, sometimes I even buy things there.
Wizard
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November 1st, 2023 at 7:30:37 AM permalink
Quote: unJon


If the transaction fee to exchange money is more than the cost of a beer, then the bars are saving money, and ThatDonGuy is paying for it with his transportation time back and forth across the border.

link to original post



It's not that Charlie is wrong, but I prefer the wording of this reply. ThatDonGuy is doing economic work by moving currency where to where it has more value. For that, he is paid the beer. So TDG is the one paying for the beer by his labor.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
TigerWu
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November 1st, 2023 at 7:40:54 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

Welll:

If the transaction fee to exchange money is more than the cost of a beer, then the bars are saving money, and ThatDonGuy is paying for it with his transportation time back and forth across the border.


Hence the puzzle.
link to original post



The way I am reading the puzzle it implies there is no transaction fee for the bars.
Wizard
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November 1st, 2023 at 7:44:28 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

The way I am reading the puzzle it implies there is no transaction fee for the bars.
link to original post



Fee for doing what?
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
TigerWu
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November 1st, 2023 at 8:21:35 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: TigerWu

The way I am reading the puzzle it implies there is no transaction fee for the bars.
link to original post



Fee for doing what?
link to original post



Exchanging currency.
billryan
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November 1st, 2023 at 8:46:33 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: ThatDonGuy

Usually, you are better off exchanging in the desired currency's country. This is relatively simple supply and demand; you have, say, dollars, which a USA bank has a lot of but a UK bank does not (and probably wants more, so it can handle people who want to exchange dollars for pounds before leaving), and want pounds, which the UK bank has a lot of but the USA bank does not.
link to original post



There is a puzzle in economics along this line, as follows.

Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly. There are bars on both sides of the border, which each accept both currencies. Both have a need to trade some of the opposite countries currency to their own. In that effort, the US bar offers a free beer if you exchange 100 USD to 100 CD. The bar on the Canadian side does the opposite, free beer for exchanging 100 CD to 100 USD. ThatDonGuy walks back and forth over the border, exchanging the 100 back and forth, enjoying free beer. The question is who is actually the one paying for the beer?

Back to the OP, a formula for the expected return at a currency exchange service is sqrt(lower number/higher number). In the original question this would be sqrt(118/135) = 93.4919%.
link to original post




The US taxpayer. In the end, we pay for everything.
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Wizard
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November 1st, 2023 at 11:42:02 AM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

The way I am reading the puzzle it implies there is no transaction fee for the bars.
link to original post



Why would you interpret that?
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
TigerWu
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November 1st, 2023 at 1:51:14 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: TigerWu

The way I am reading the puzzle it implies there is no transaction fee for the bars.
link to original post



Why would you interpret that?
link to original post



"Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly."

Implies there are no penalties or fees involved for the purposes of this theoretical puzzle.
100xOdds
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November 1st, 2023 at 4:10:54 PM permalink
Quote: MichaelBluejay

At the airport some time ago, one pair for $ to £ was listed as 135/118. I figured the penalty was thus 135 ÷ 118 - 1 = 14.4%. And indeed, that's how Investopedia does it, arriving at the same result with a different formula, (high-low) ÷ low.

Then I thought, say I pay $135 for £100, then turn around and sell my £100 for $118. I've lost $17 on my $135, which is 12.6%. And that's how Wise does it, (high-low) ÷ high.

Which of these two methods gives the true markup/penalty? Argue your position passionately.
link to original post

I would rather Withdraw using a debit card.

I opened a bank acct specifically for withdraws. It uses the official conversion rate (i think) and reimburses me for withdraw fees.
I also opened it for security incase the card gets compromised.

The problem is that they only give .4% interest on the acct.
When my main bank was giving me 1%, i still come out ahead.
Now my main bank gives me like 5% and they're still at .4%. :(

That's a couple hundred $ per year difference. No way i'm withdrawing enough to get reimbursed 3 figures in atm fees.
Now to find another bank that pays more competitive rates and reimburses fees
Last edited by: 100xOdds on Nov 1, 2023
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Wizard
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November 1st, 2023 at 5:07:37 PM permalink
Quote: TigerWu

"Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly."

Implies there are no penalties or fees involved for the purposes of this theoretical puzzle.
link to original post



It has happened before that the USD and Canadian dollar traded "roughly evenly." However, there were still fees involved if you wanted to do a conversion.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
MichaelBluejay
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November 1st, 2023 at 5:47:46 PM permalink
This might be the most successful thread I ever started. If not for the number of posts, then from the diversity of the posters.
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100xOdds
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November 1st, 2023 at 10:13:43 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

It has happened before that the USD and Canadian dollar traded "roughly evenly." However, there were still fees involved if you wanted to do a conversion.
link to original post

pre-9/11, my parents took me on a family trip to Niagara falls.
The gift shop place we wondered into said that they'll take US dollars at the same price as Canadian dollars period looking back they got ripped off
:(
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
ChumpChange
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November 1st, 2023 at 10:50:44 PM permalink
Canadian Dollar is trading at 138 CAN/100 USD currently. If it was trading at parity or above parity at the debt default standoff in mid-2011, then the Canadian dollar has lost near 40% since then. Try making that up on your next gambling trip.
TigerWu
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November 2nd, 2023 at 7:36:44 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Quote: TigerWu

"Suppose the US dollar (USD) and Canadian dollar (CD) trade roughly evenly."

Implies there are no penalties or fees involved for the purposes of this theoretical puzzle.
link to original post



It has happened before that the USD and Canadian dollar traded "roughly evenly." However, there were still fees involved if you wanted to do a conversion.
link to original post



But there's no way to know that as far as this specific puzzle is concerned. There's no way to know if the fees are more or less than the cost of the beer. There's no way to know the economics involved in how the bars are getting and distributing their beer versus their financial transactions. There's no way to know if the guy getting the beer is spending more money on gas to get to the bar to cancel out the cost of the beer.

If you take the puzzle completely at face value (because otherwise there are way too many unexplained variables), the bar is the one paying by handing out free beers.
ChumpChange
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November 2nd, 2023 at 1:16:31 PM permalink
I'm going by a distant memory from like 2008, but I walked into a Canadian casino and tried getting change for a US $20 bill. The cage would give $1.23 CAN/ $1 USD ($24.60 CAN), the change machine that gives out quarters would give out $1.27 CAN/ $1 USD ($25.40), and a bank would give out like $1.20 CAN/ $1 USD ($24.00) while the actual exchange rate was around $1.30 CAN/ $1 USD ($26.00). So the spread over a $20 US bill would be about $2 Canadian ($24 to $26).

If you want to sell your Canadian money back for American money, I'm not sure this particular Canadian casino would allow that but if they did it would cost an extra 1 to 2 cents on the exchange rate. I think they said go over to the American side and get USD there.
Torghatten
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November 2nd, 2023 at 1:37:38 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I always thought it would be nice for casinos to change your money back at the same rate as the initial transaction for proven players.

When I was in Paris last year I had about 50,000 in Hong Kong dollars I wanted to convert to Euros, which would have been worth several thousand Euros. Shopping around definitely paid off. I found a shop where the juice was only about 2%.

Also be wary of transaction fees.
link to original post



Some years ago i got close to the official rate when i changed my HKD to USD at Grand Lisboa. (Less than 0,5% fee)
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