Probability of Occurence
March 25th, 2020 at 2:58:06 AM
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Good morning everyone,
can somebody please tell me where I can find the probabilities of all situations of player hand vs dealer hand (16vs10, 9vs2, etc)?
And does somebody know the probability of Uston APC True Counts throughout a 2, 4, 6 deck game?
I do not have Casino Verite etc
Would it be correct for my first two cards to be 10,10 and the dealer's upcard to be a 2 in double deck to assume:
P(T,2,T) = 32/104 * 8/103 * 31/102 = 0,73%
?
However, is there a list of how often those situations occur since thats only for the first hand..
can somebody please tell me where I can find the probabilities of all situations of player hand vs dealer hand (16vs10, 9vs2, etc)?
And does somebody know the probability of Uston APC True Counts throughout a 2, 4, 6 deck game?
I do not have Casino Verite etc
Would it be correct for my first two cards to be 10,10 and the dealer's upcard to be a 2 in double deck to assume:
P(T,2,T) = 32/104 * 8/103 * 31/102 = 0,73%
?
However, is there a list of how often those situations occur since thats only for the first hand..
Last edited by: SimonEggi on Mar 25, 2020
March 25th, 2020 at 6:31:02 AM
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Quote: SimonEggi
I do not have Casino Verite etc
Seems as if you go here
https://www.qfit.com/downloads.htm
it's free... dont know how dated...
March 25th, 2020 at 6:32:20 AM
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Thank you, i will take a look at it. Still the question stays open :)
March 25th, 2020 at 5:48:41 PM
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Quote: SimonEggi<snip>And does somebody know the probability of Uston APC True Counts throughout a 2, 4, 6 deck game?<snip>
SimonEggi,
Here is the TC distribution for a heads-up Uston APC player on a 6D game with 75% pen, as determined by a CVData sim:
TC % of Rds
40 0.00%
39 0.00%
38 0.00%
37 0.00%
36 0.00%
35 0.00%
34 0.00%
33 0.00%
32 0.00%
31 0.00%
30 0.01%
29 0.01%
28 0.01%
27 0.01%
26 0.02%
25 0.03%
24 0.04%
23 0.03%
22 0.06%
21 0.07%
20 0.11%
19 0.10%
18 0.17%
17 0.19%
16 0.30%
15 0.26%
14 0.44%
13 0.49%
12 0.73%
11 0.68%
10 1.08%
9 1.20%
8 1.77%
7 1.73%
6 2.65%
5 2.97%
4 4.31%
3 4.53%
2 6.77%
1 7.72%
0 21.14%
-1 8.01%
-2 7.05%
-3 4.74%
-4 4.52%
-5 3.12%
-6 2.80%
-7 1.83%
-8 1.87%
-9 1.27%
-10 1.14%
-11 0.72%
-12 0.78%
-13 0.52%
-14 0.46%
-15 0.28%
-16 0.32%
-17 0.20%
-18 0.18%
-19 0.10%
-20 0.12%
-21 0.08%
-22 0.07%
-23 0.04%
-24 0.04%
-25 0.03%
-26 0.02%
-27 0.01%
-28 0.01%
-29 0.01%
-30 0.01%
-31 0.00%
-32 0.00%
-33 0.00%
-34 0.00%
-35 0.00%
-36 0.00%
-37 0.00%
-38 0.00%
-39 0.00%
-40 0.00%
As you can see, more than one-fifth of the rounds occur at a TC of 0.
Hope this helps!
Dog Hand
