Three card Poker Strategy
¿ ... ?
Here's the thing,
I've tried this 19 times playing about an average of 2 and a half hours each time. I've lost it all three times and the other 16 times I've been up varying amounts from $110 to $1000. I'm wondering if this is a good thing to do or if some how I'm just beating the odds temporarily and getting lucky? Or found a good place to play with how the table is worked with shuffling, dealer, etc.
Anyone?
The odds are good that you will lose all $470 playing that way if you try this strategy for a few hours at a 3CP table.
Quote: DrReymanBy folding the band hands, but if the dealer doesn't at least have a queen then you'd get paid your ante.
Sure. And you're risking 2 chips to win 1 in this case. What are the odds that the dealer will have at least a queen? If they're better than the 1:2 payout on your bet, you're in trouble...
Quote: DrReymanAre the odds progressive? As in, what are the odds that I will not only LOSE 4 hands in a row, but also that the dealer will qualify all 4 times in a row. Make it 5 times in a row to include the $100 life line bet at the end. Does each hand have exactly the same chance regardless of the previous hands or not?
If the deck is reshuffled after each hand, then the odds are the same for each hand. The past hands do not influence the future hands in any way.
Quote: DrReymanAre the odds progressive? As in, what are the odds that I will not only LOSE 4 hands in a row, but also that the dealer will qualify all 4 times in a row. Make it 5 times in a row to include the $100 life line bet at the end. Does each hand have exactly the same chance regardless of the previous hands or not?
Each hand has exactly the same odds.
I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.
edit: I just quickly played according to your strategy. Starting with $1000, and $25/bet, it took 39 hands to lose $500. The highest my bankroll got was $1050 (I won the first hand). I won 13 hands and lost 26. Once during the 39 hands I lost 6 in a row.
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,050
Least Money: $500
Pair Plus Win %: 12.8% (I didn't play PP, but the game calculates it anyhow)
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 66.7%
Win %: 33.3%
Quote: rdw4potusIf the deck is reshuffled after each hand, then the odds are the same for each hand. The past hands do not influence the future hands in any way.
Thank you.
Quote: MoscaEach hand has exactly the same odds.
I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.
Thank you
Quote: MoscaEach hand has exactly the same odds.
I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.
edit: I just quickly played according to your strategy. Starting with $1000, and $25/bet, it took 39 hands to lose $500. The highest my bankroll got was $1050 (I won the first hand). I won 13 hands and lost 26. Once during the 39 hands I lost 6 in a row.
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,050
Least Money: $500
Pair Plus Win %: 12.8% (I didn't play PP, but the game calculates it anyhow)
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 66.7%
Win %: 33.3%
You said you started with $25 ante. What was the minimum and maximum bet for the table?
Quote: DrReymanQuote: MoscaEach hand has exactly the same odds.
I don't have enough fingers and toes to count the number of times I've sat down and lost more than 5 hands in a row to start. I've lost 10 in a row more times than I can remember. Go to Bodog and fire up their 3 card simulator, or 3 Card Poker Online. It's just the way the game is. And from my perspective, without the bonus bet it's boring. It doesn't move fast enough to justify the higher edge over blackjack. It's the chance to win 40x that makes the blood pump.
edit: I just quickly played according to your strategy. Starting with $1000, and $25/bet, it took 39 hands to lose $500. The highest my bankroll got was $1050 (I won the first hand). I won 13 hands and lost 26. Once during the 39 hands I lost 6 in a row.
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,050
Least Money: $500
Pair Plus Win %: 12.8% (I didn't play PP, but the game calculates it anyhow)
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 66.7%
Win %: 33.3%
You said you started with $25 ante. What was the minimum and maximum bet for the table?
Have to start with $5 bet is what I said for the strategy. I just used your simulator link and here were my results for 39 hands.
Your Stats
Hands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,210
Least Money: $935
Pair Plus Win %: 35.9%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 43.6%
Win %: 56.4%
ending with the $1,210
I'm going to keep going and see what happens
Most Money: $1,250
Least Money: $725
Pair Plus Win %: 17.9%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 51.3%
Win %: 48.7%
Ended with $925
Quote: rdw4potusHands Played: 39
Most Money: $1,250
Least Money: $725
Pair Plus Win %: 17.9%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 51.3%
Win %: 48.7%
Ended with $925
Your Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 101
Most Money: $1,630
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.7%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.5%
Win %: 49.5%
ended with $1,630
maybe I'm just lucky this year
Hands Played: 203
Most Money: $1,975
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.1%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 51.2%
Win %: 48.8%
ended with $1,975
Can anyone tell me of a place that has video 3 card poker like this one? lol
Quote: DrReymanYour Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 101
Most Money: $1,630
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.7%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.5%
Win %: 49.5%
ended with $1,630
maybe I'm just lucky this year
In terms of hand strength, I think Mosca and I were somewhat unlikely. The player "should" win the pair plus about 25% of the time. You've been close to that, and we were well below it. Here's a link to the Wizard's page about 3 card poker: https://wizardofodds.com/threecardpoker Playing this way and raising all the time should result in a house advantage of 7.65%, which is about double the optimal house edge in 3 card poker.
Quote: rdw4potusQuote: DrReymanYour Stats [ reset ]
Hands Played: 101
Most Money: $1,630
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 26.7%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.5%
Win %: 49.5%
ended with $1,630
maybe I'm just lucky this year
In terms of hand strength, I think Mosca and I were somewhat unlikely. The player "should" win the pair plus about 25% of the time. You've been close to that, and we were well below it. Here's a link to the Wizard's page about 3 card poker: https://wizardofodds.com/threecardpoker Playing this way and raising all the time should result in a house advantage of 7.65%, which is about double the optimal house edge in 3 card poker.
Hands Played: 252
Most Money: $2,540
Least Money: $790
Pair Plus Win %: 25.4%
Fold %: 0.0%
Lose %: 50.0%
Win %: 50.0%
ended with the $2540
What happens if you do more of a real life scenario? Play for an hour or play for 30 minutes, resolve the last progression, and then quit?
And I notice that I was mistaken on one important thing, and that I didn't play the Doc's betting system. I was only demonstrating that playing every hand without folding quickly leads to ruin; I wanted to see how often 5 losses in a row occurred. It happened once in 39 hands, 6 in a row. And as you noted, I got rotten hands.
But that's my point. I distinctly recall twice sitting down and losing 10 hands in a row to start and end a 3 Card session. I've also hit more straight flushes than I can remember, including once getting one on my first hand, twice hitting them with $5 up for the dealer, and twice hitting them after announcing "last hand". I once got 3 of a kind on back to back hands. It's just that kind of game. I don't really think that it lends itself to that kind of betting strategy, all of its appeal is in its volatility. But that's just my opinion, of course.
