ShadowMaster
ShadowMaster
  • Threads: 1
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Joined: May 2, 2026
May 2nd, 2026 at 9:28:01 PM permalink
Would you provide the Median number of rolls before a 7-out in craps?
Mean of 8.5 is skewed by the very long roll counts and median better represents where 1/2 of the shooters get to before the 7-out.
Also, as a request, what would the various percentile rank rolls be... 80%tile, 90%tile?
Thank you for your help.


The ShadowMaster
"What evil lurks in the hearts of men... the Shadow knows!"
harris
harris 
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Joined: Jun 30, 2025
May 3rd, 2026 at 12:43:04 AM permalink
I am trying to follow my personal rule of no math after 3 am but I can conduct simulations in the morning for various percentiles
harris
harris 
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Joined: Jun 30, 2025
May 3rd, 2026 at 12:53:33 AM permalink
I failed to follow that rule

About half the time you get more than 4 rolls and the other half less than 4.

About 20% of the time you get 10 or more rolls

A little under 10% of the time you get 14 or more rolls

A little over 1% of the time you get 26 or more rolls

0.1% for 39 or more

0.01% for 52 or more
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