Baccarat Probability
May 28th, 2023 at 7:18:15 AM
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Let me rephrase my question to make it more clear.
If all four cards are out in a hand of Baccarat, and one of the Players cards is exposed, and it is an 8, what are the chances of the Players winning the hand at that point?
If all four cards are out in a hand of Baccarat, and one of the Players cards is exposed, and it is an 8, what are the chances of the Players winning the hand at that point?
May 28th, 2023 at 8:43:00 AM
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With an 8-deck shoe, I get:
Win: 54.2526 % (1,568,797,136,488 / 2,891,653,311,897)
Lose: 36.3089 % (1,049,927,251,360 / 2,891,653,311,897)
Tie: 9.4385 % (272,928,924,049 / 2,891,653,311,897)
Win: 54.2526 % (1,568,797,136,488 / 2,891,653,311,897)
Lose: 36.3089 % (1,049,927,251,360 / 2,891,653,311,897)
Tie: 9.4385 % (272,928,924,049 / 2,891,653,311,897)
May 28th, 2023 at 9:55:10 AM
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Thank you so much! That’s exactly what I was looking for!
May 28th, 2023 at 9:57:29 AM
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8-deck shoe, I get:
PLAYER 1st card is "8", so left 415 cards in the shoe, total combinations = 415 * 414 * 413 * 412 * 411 = 12,015,380,469,960
Win: 0.538370 (6,468,722,501,248 / 12,015,380,469,960)
Lose: 0.365435 (4,390,841,129,344 / 12,015,380,469,960)
Tie: 0.096195 (1,155,816,839,368 / 12,015,380,469,960)
PLAYER 1st card is "8", so left 415 cards in the shoe, total combinations = 415 * 414 * 413 * 412 * 411 = 12,015,380,469,960
Win: 0.538370 (6,468,722,501,248 / 12,015,380,469,960)
Lose: 0.365435 (4,390,841,129,344 / 12,015,380,469,960)
Tie: 0.096195 (1,155,816,839,368 / 12,015,380,469,960)
