El Chapo
January 8th, 2016 at 12:44:49 PM
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Ooo got 'emmmmmmmm. What's the spread on if he escapes again?
January 8th, 2016 at 1:33:44 PM
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Quote: Pinit2winitOoo got 'emmmmmmmm. What's the spread on if he escapes again?
High likelihood, he has too much inside help to stay behind bars.
January 8th, 2016 at 3:51:11 PM
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Can I wager that he escapes 18 times in a row?
January 8th, 2016 at 3:54:11 PM
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Quote: Pinit2winitOoo got 'emmmmmmmm. What's the spread on if he escapes again?
Yes! I can't wait to watch the news.
Here are my odds of an escape within the next year:
Yes: +400
No -600
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
January 8th, 2016 at 3:58:23 PM
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I would lay 60k on the no-
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
January 8th, 2016 at 4:17:23 PM
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Quote: WizardofnothingI would lay 60k on the no-
$5 limit. So, you may lay $30 to win $5.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
January 8th, 2016 at 4:25:04 PM
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If that is an offer - and it takes effect one year from today then agreed.... Will speak to you again January 8th 2017
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
January 8th, 2016 at 4:41:49 PM
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Quote: WizardofnothingIf that is an offer - and it takes effect one year from today then agreed.... Will speak to you again January 8th 2017
You're on! Please do remind me of this in a year.
BTW, I had such a bet about capturing or killing Sadam Hussein, and had about a year too, and won the bet by a matter of about a week.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
January 8th, 2016 at 5:25:57 PM
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What happens to the wager if he dies in custody? Is that considered a win for the "No Escape"?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
January 8th, 2016 at 5:30:36 PM
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Quote: AyecarumbaWhat happens to the wager if he dies in custody? Is that considered a win for the "No Escape"?
Yes.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
January 8th, 2016 at 5:33:26 PM
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Just going off the story and him being caught in his home state i would say he has exhausted most of his ties and was headed where he felt most safe. I do think he stays locked up this time or gets killed.
January 8th, 2016 at 5:33:34 PM
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Quote: WizardBTW, I had such a bet about capturing or killing Sadam Hussein, and had about a year too, and won the bet by a matter of about a week.
I had a letter published in Car and Driver about that guy, back when we first went after him.
My letter was a play on the hackneyed expression "please cancel my subscription;" I wrote, posing as Saddam Hussein: "Please subscribe to my cancellation."
"What, me worry?"
January 8th, 2016 at 10:58:55 PM
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They might want to equip El Escapo with a couple of these.
There's no secret. Just know what you're talking about before you open your mouth.
January 9th, 2016 at 11:51:12 AM
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What would you put the odds at of breaking out once he gets to the United states
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
January 9th, 2016 at 11:59:18 AM
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Quote: WizardofnothingWhat would you put the odds at of breaking out once he gets to the United states
1 in 1,000.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
January 9th, 2016 at 12:02:40 PM
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I know for odds purposes 1-100000 would be to high but I would say it's even higher then 1-1000 once he gets to Florence it simply won't happen
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
January 9th, 2016 at 2:21:59 PM
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I don't know about the difficulty of making his cell unescapable, but I'm certain for an easy 5k, I could make his cell completely alarm /motion/noise/camera secure, with triple quadruple redundancy. They may not stop him from getting out, but there's no way he'd get more than a few steps away unnoticed.
There's no secret. Just know what you're talking about before you open your mouth.
May 20th, 2016 at 12:25:35 PM
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Wizard - I'll offer a 2.50 buy out on this based on the fact that he is coming to the us any day nowp
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
