I'm the loser of the year
Had my nephew's 4th bday party today - of course he did not even acknowledge my existence (as usual)
Had predicted American Pharaoh for months and was going to hit the OTB on my way home from the party, which was in NJ - of course, the Belt Parkway totally backed up and I missed post-time by 5 minutes (of course American Pharaoh wins)
I then bet Pacquioa who, of course, loses
No matter what I do, I lose - I miss winning on American Pharaoh only to lose on Pacquioa - it's as if the universe conspires against me so that I only place losing bets
FML I am such a loser
I am such a f88888g loser
Quote: aceofspadesNo matter what I do, I cannot win...
Had my nephew's 4th bday party today - of course he did not even acknowledge my existence (as usual)
Had predicted American Pharaoh for months and was going to hit the OTB on my way home from the party, which was in NJ - of course, the Belt Parkway totally backed up and I missed post-time by 5 minutes (of course American Pharaoh wins)
I then bet Pacquioa who, of course, loses
No matter what I do, I lose - I miss winning on American Pharaoh only to lose on Pacquioa - it's as if the universe conspires against me so that I only place losing bets
FML I am such a loser
I am such a f88888g loser
Quit drunk posting Mickey :)
Quote: 100xOddsQuit drunk posting Mickey :)
Totally sober
You're looking at a guy that didn't box the Easy Goer/Sunday Silence exacta - instead betting it the wrong way each race
Quote: aceofspadesTotally sober
Then start drinking!!! Maybe that's what you need, AoS. :)
Breaking it down though... your nephew...4 years old.....of course he doesn't care about you. He cares about toys and breast milk (ok maybe not), but whatever 4 year olds care about....of which I have no idea. Get over it.
You didn't bet American P. Why wait until the last minute. That's not an AP move.....sort of like speed count (had to get my SC reference in) :)
You bet Manny....sucker. I don't like Mayweather. 5 times charged with assault and domestic abuse. That is not a very classy guy. I hate that he is 'celebrated'. I would have loved to see him get his ass kicked. But...in sports, I throw out all that personal stuff. You gotta separate. And when you do, Mayweather was going to win this fight hands down. So I bet it (not big). I would have almost considered losing my bet a win....that's how much I dislike Mayweather. So maybe it was a no lose situation for me.
Oh and you get another shot at picking right come September. :)
Cheer up Ace...Bob still worships ya. :)
You just have to keep riding the horse. Heard horses mounted with Speed Count saddles buck hard. Eventually leading to a dirty fall off the horse.
You should maybe consider the Hi-Lo saddle. When you start feeling you can do no wrong and get to high on the horse that saddle will adjust you lower and set you back to reality.
till he was 11 or 12. I have a niece who
has never spoken to me. Kids these days
have no manners, many of them are pricks,
in fact. Don't let it bother you.
I asked my girlfriend who she wanted to win the fight? She said Manny pacquiáo. I said "why?" She said, "Because FM beats women."Quote: kewlj
You bet Manny....sucker. I don't like Mayweather. 5 times charged with assault and domestic abuse. That is not a very classy guy. I hate that he is 'celebrated'. I would )
I said, "you mean like this? :-)
Quote: MaxPenWas playing in the Orleans today. Couldn't help myself and took the Pac-Man for +170. My ticket went in the trash. You are not alone. Also had 6 consecutive max bet losses in Blackjack. 2@ TC+9 double deck. Today was a rough day added to a rough week. Games will definitely keep you humble.
You just have to keep riding the horse. Heard horses mounted with Speed Count saddles buck hard. Eventually leading to a dirty fall off the horse.
You should maybe consider the Hi-Lo saddle. When you start feeling you can do no wrong and get to high on the horse that saddle will adjust you lower and set you back to reality.
Funny stuff, MaxPen. I appreciate your humor concerning speed count and hi-lo. :) I think AoS will too. He seems to have a good sense of humor.
I do want to comment on your +9 TC situation. I don't know you history or experience level, so forgive me if it seems I am talking down to you. I am not talking just to you, but hoping others might benefit as well.
A TC +9 is great. It's fairly rare. It's what we play through all those crappy counts to get to. BUT...the players only at a small advantage even at that count. What...maybe 4%, depending on exact rules. And, while I am not going to look it up, I believe the players will still lose more hands than he wins even at such positive count. The advantage comes from increased chance of a blackjack, at 3-2 payoff, and secondary, higher win rate of double downs. But it is still a relatively small advantage, meaning lots of losing hands...even @ TC +9.
I think many player (and again, not saying you specifically) over bet their BR in thinking it is some sort of (almost) sure thing. There are no sure things in blackjack. LOL. I think it was famed professional Kevin Blackwood, who said something along the effects that he never bet more than 2% of his bankroll on any wager, no matter how high the count (maybe it was 1%, but I think 2). That goes to show how small the advantage is, even in a really good (rare) count. You are still going to lose an awful lot of those hands, even at TC +9.
Have you ever thought about leaning and using a better count just ONE entire trip? I'm sure some skilled BJ player would go with you a few times and help count. You could follow their count and play accordingly. Go to a place that you don't mind terribly getting backed off.Quote: aceofspadesNo matter what I do, I cannot win...
Had my nephew's 4th bday party today - of course he did not even acknowledge my existence (as usual)
Had predicted American Pharaoh for months and was going to hit the OTB on my way home from the party, which was in NJ - of course, the Belt Parkway totally backed up and I missed post-time by 5 minutes (of course American Pharaoh wins)
I then bet Pacquioa who, of course, loses
No matter what I do, I lose - I miss winning on American Pharaoh only to lose on Pacquioa - it's as if the universe conspires against me so that I only place losing bets
FML I am such a loser
I am such a f88888g loser
If you don't like it fine you can go back to you're way.
Entertainment Entershmament its more entertaining when you are winning. At least if you loose, knowing you had/havre the best of it, you can be confident knowing eventually it will work out.
I'm assuming you're now a lifetime losing BJ player?
I think my EV at TC +9 is around +4.5% in the game I was playing. EV +9% is the unicorn in blackjack. That is why I generally focus on side bets, more EV with less variance in my opinion.
You weren't in base camp at Mt. Everest.
You also weren't a tourist in Tibet, in this their high season.
You weren't trapped in Baltimore during the riots.
You weren't even Mike Smith, the great jockey, in a dismal KD showing.
Yeah, the list can go on, but I know you get my point. Nieces and nephews are often a personal disappointment. Hardly any of us bet the KD "correctly"; most lost money. But, OMG, your blessings are so numerous. You're welcome to grump here from time to time, but geez, man. The world is your oyster.
Polly.
I want to hear from the sharps, how good were the prices on the fight? I didnt place a bet (i dont know enough about boxing even though i boxed for exercise a few years back) but felt pac was a great bet.
Quote: kewljFunny stuff, MaxPen. I appreciate your humor concerning speed count and hi-lo. :) I think AoS will too. He seems to have a good sense of humor.
I do want to comment on your +9 TC situation. I don't know you history or experience level, so forgive me if it seems I am talking down to you. I am not talking just to you, but hoping others might benefit as well.
A TC +9 is great. It's fairly rare. It's what we play through all those crappy counts to get to. BUT...the players only at a small advantage even at that count. What...maybe 4%, depending on exact rules. And, while I am not going to look it up, I believe the players will still lose more hands than he wins even at such positive count. The advantage comes from increased chance of a blackjack, at 3-2 payoff, and secondary, higher win rate of double downs. But it is still a relatively small advantage, meaning lots of losing hands...even @ TC +9.
I think many player (and again, not saying you specifically) over bet their BR in thinking it is some sort of (almost) sure thing. There are no sure things in blackjack. LOL. I think it was famed professional Kevin Blackwood, who said something along the effects that he never bet more than 2% of his bankroll on any wager, no matter how high the count (maybe it was 1%, but I think 2). That goes to show how small the advantage is, even in a really good (rare) count. You are still going to lose an awful lot of those hands, even at TC +9.
Still a good reminder for those of us with less experience.
Quote: MoscaStill a good reminder for those of us with less experience.
I recently lost six max bets at a TC of +14. No doubles, fortunately, but two insurance bets were also lost. I didn't get any of the expected pushes at that count either. Oh well, I just blamed the dealer. :-)
Quote: beachbumbabsOk, Ace, here's some ways you were lucky this week.
You weren't in base camp at Mt. Everest.
You also weren't a tourist in Tibet, in this their high season.
You weren't trapped in Baltimore during the riots.
You weren't even Mike Smith, the great jockey, in a dismal KD showing.
Yeah, the list can go on, but I know you get my point. Nieces and nephews are often a personal disappointment. Hardly any of us bet the KD "correctly"; most lost money. But, OMG, your blessings are so numerous. You're welcome to grump here from time to time, but geez, man. The world is your oyster.
Polly.
Time to fess up AoS. You really were in Nepal, survived and paid extra for one of the first commercial flights out, thru Amsterdam, and straight into Baltimore Int'l. Pls tell me it ain't true ;-)
Quote: TwoFeathersATLTime to fess up AoS. You really were in Nepal, survived and paid extra for one of the first commercial flights out, thru Amsterdam, and straight into Baltimore Int'l. Pls tell me it ain't true ;-)
And you made it home safe again! But luggage is still missing. And you had just replaced your cologne....
Quote: TwoFeathersATLAnd you made it home safe again! But luggage is still missing. And you had just replaced your cologne....
The world really isn't out to get you, it's just after your money ;-)
Quote: bacfavorite2 of the ez'est wagers of the year, the Fav and the Bro @ Vegas. No second thinking needed at all. :)
Ok, I'm looking for volunteers to welcome BF to the forum, any takers? I'm guessing NOT. 2F
Quote: TwoFeathersATLOk, I'm looking for volunteers to welcome BF to the forum, any takers? I'm guessing NOT. 2F
I'll make a wager on NOT, just a small one. And I'll pay if I lose.....
Quote: TwoFeathersATLI'll make a wager on NOT, just a small one. And I'll pay if I lose.....
Wager, just a green. I'll send it to the winner at a valid mailing address, and it's a bet. Wagers must be paid, it's a Karma thing....
Quote: bacfavorite2 of the ez'est wagers of the year, the Fav and the Bro @ Vegas. No second thinking needed at all. :)
hi Bac69.
welcome back and goodbye again
Quote: 100xOddshi Bac69.
welcome back and goodbye again
Damn, I lost again. Pls send your mailing address (PM might be best) and I'll send you a greeny. You got a preferred brand?
Quote: teddysI'll go out on a limb here and say that you sound really depressed, Doug. All kidding aside, it might be time to step back and take a look at what gambling is offering you. Anyone who beats themselves up that much over losing isn't getting much out of the game. Time for some self-reflection. I've been there.
Are you guys kidding?
In my opinion, not a single one of you has put something decent on the line alone "out there" (in the middle of nowhere). What I've seen so far is a heap of mediocrity. Including, of course, the losing.
Only after you've been really up, and then really down, are you really free to figure it all out to discover/establish your real place in the universe. Mediocrity seeps in slowly as we allow the gambling of life to further insulate us from its real possibilities/responsibilities. Paper money to tokens is too simplistic a reckoning. More of what, "If you don't like the forum, then don't let the door hit you on the way out," has to do with fostering a bunch of company yes-men.
Deal with death from the moment of birth to properly get over it, ie, to really get on with life (at the same time). Be careful of that which you come to discard or ignore out of hand. Find/follow your own path.
Add on: Hey, hey, closing in on 333 = 2(153) + 3*3*3 --> 153 = (333 - 3*3*3)/2. Looking for some more 333's. A whole page of 666's at http://www.cadaeic.net/666.htm . But where the heck are the 333's? I like 666 = 1^3 + 2^3 + 3^3 + 4^3 + 5^3 + 6^3 + 5^3 + 4^3 + 3^3 + 2^3 + 1^3. (Just noticed, the "carrot sign" on the key board is number 6.)
"Abusing" numbers is fun, hey, hey! Lighten up.
Quote: TwoFeathersATL... that was the real Kerkebet.
Yes, thank you. I hope you had as much fun trying to digest that as I did composing it.
Quote: KerkebetYes, thank you. I hope you had as much fun trying to digest that as I did composing it.
I'm still working on it, I'm stubborn, I'm not a quitter,... And I pay my wagers when I lose....
And I didn't see the pic in your response, not until I went to 'quote' your response, which is what everyone is now reading. So, can anyone else see the pic in your response, or in my response to your response, or was the pic ever there to begin with? Sometimes I am delusional, sometimes I think I'm important in the world....
Maybe next year is for you Ace! Still got most of this year left too...play smart, play hard, play to win... 2F
Quote: AxelWolfHave you ever thought about leaning and using a better count just ONE entire trip? I'm sure some skilled BJ player would go with you a few times and help count. You could follow their count and play accordingly. Go to a place that you don't mind terribly getting backed off.
If you don't like it fine you can go back to you're way.
Entertainment Entershmament its more entertaining when you are winning. At least if you loose, knowing you had/havre the best of it, you can be confident knowing eventually it will work out.
I'm assuming you're now a lifetime losing BJ player?
Actually I'm about even money-wise (I am not counting all the rooms, food, concerts, shows, etc.)
Quote: MaxPenWas playing in the Orleans today. Couldn't help myself and took the Pac-Man for +170. My ticket went in the trash. You are not alone. Also had 6 consecutive max bet losses in Blackjack. 2@ TC+9 double deck. Today was a rough day added to a rough week. Games will definitely keep you humble.
You just have to keep riding the horse. Heard horses mounted with Speed Count saddles buck hard. Eventually leading to a dirty fall off the horse.
You should maybe consider the Hi-Lo saddle. When you start feeling you can do no wrong and get to high on the horse that saddle will adjust you lower and set you back to reality.
I know I know - one day I will
Quote: EvenBobI have a nephew that didn't speak to me
till he was 11 or 12. I have a niece who
has never spoken to me. Kids these days
have no manners, many of them are pricks,
in fact. Don't let it bother you.
But he will say hello and hug other people he sees maybe once a year
Quote: aceofspadesActually I'm about even money-wise (I am not counting all the rooms, food, concerts, shows, etc.)
you're even money-wise using SC?
how much should you be up theoretically?
Quote: beachbumbabsOk, Ace, here's some ways you were lucky this week.
You weren't in base camp at Mt. Everest.
You also weren't a tourist in Tibet, in this their high season.
You weren't trapped in Baltimore during the riots.
You weren't even Mike Smith, the great jockey, in a dismal KD showing.
Yeah, the list can go on, but I know you get my point. Nieces and nephews are often a personal disappointment. Hardly any of us bet the KD "correctly"; most lost money. But, OMG, your blessings are so numerous. You're welcome to grump here from time to time, but geez, man. The world is your oyster.
Polly.
Thanks Pollyanna! And yes, our lives are all relative. Of course, when compared to the worst of the worst, not betting the KD and betting Pacman are nothing at all, but, on a gambling forum, it is of note.
Quote: TwoFeathersATLAnd you made it home safe again! But luggage is still missing. And you had just replaced your cologne....
LOLOLOLOL
Quote: aceofspadesActually I'm about even money-wise
No offense, Ace, but this is a line that all losing gamblers say. lol. I remember when I was a kid, my grandfather was horse racing guy...went to the track several times a week. When you asked him how he did over the long run, he would always say "he was about even". Lol.
I hope in your case, you are "about even" or hopefully even a little in the black. Since your trips appear to be mostly about enjoyment, being even, would indeed be +EV. :)
Quote: kewljNo offense, Ace, but this is a line that all losing gamblers say. lol. I remember when I was a kid, my grandfather was horse racing guy...went to the track several times a week. When you asked him how he did over the long run, he would always say "he was about even". Lol.
I hope in your case, you are "about even" or hopefully even a little in the black. Since your trips appear to be mostly about enjoyment, being even, would indeed be +EV. :)
The ledger says about even +/-1k
Quote: aceofspadesP.S. -- this is not a rant about blackjack - merely about my family, the KD and the fight
Ace, life is too short. Why not dwell on the positive. We could be dead tomorrow. Live each day as its last. Focus on what makes you happy in life 😀
Quote: aceofspadesP.S. -- this is not a rant about blackjack - merely about my family, the KD and the fight
ask your nephew why he doesn't say hi to you yet he does to others he also rarely sees?
Kids, like people can be bought.
At least your dog loves you.
Quote: aceofspadesBut he will say hello and hug other people he sees maybe once a year
I bet there are others he ignores, though.
You really can't let what kids do bother
you, they're rude and thoughtless most of
the time, nothing you can do about it. You
never had kids, you have no idea what
monsters they really are just under the
surface.
Quote: EvenBobI bet there are others he ignores, though.
You really can't let what kids do bother
you, they're rude and thoughtless most of
the time, nothing you can do about it. You
never had kids, you have no idea what
monsters they really are just under the
surface.
I just don't get it - I am his only uncle. He loves my dog, but not me.
Quote: aceofspadesI just don't get it - I am his only uncle. He loves my dog, but not me.
He's probably afraid of you, that's usually
the reason. He'll get over it eventually,
in time he'll warm up to you.
Quote: EvenBobHe's probably afraid of you, that's usually
the reason. He'll get over it eventually,
in time he'll warm up to you.
LOL Why would he be afraid - I've done nothing to him
Quote: aceofspadesI just don't get it - I am his only uncle. He loves my dog, but not me.
It's not hard to understand. 1st, he's just a kid. 2nd, people are everywhere all the time, dogs are just here and there, or now and then, and will give you their undivided attention. Simple math (ish)..
Quote: aceofspadesLOL Why would he be afraid - I've done nothing to him
Kids don't think that way. They're afraid
for lots of other reasons. Some don't like
beards, or people who talk too loud, or
are big physically. They don't reason things
out, they just act on impulse. If he still
ignores you in 5 years, that would be odd.
