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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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August 19th, 2025 at 11:57:54 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

I was reading about an "investor" who deposited $123,000 into a cryptocurrency account, made a series of increasingly crazy bets, and turned it into $43 million in four months. Sadly, his improbable streak ended, and he lost most of it, but did cash out with just under seven million
On one hand, he had an incredible run, converting less than two hundred thousand into multiple millions. On the other hand, he is a cautionary tale, having lost over thirty million dollars on just a few wrong guesses.
I hope he takes the money and puts it to good use.
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I’ve had a few stocks which started to soar. After a quick double selling half so the rest is a ‘free roll’ might not make pure financial sense but it feels good. I keep selling bits of TSM as it climbs.
DRich
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August 19th, 2025 at 12:37:47 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO


I’ve had a few stocks which started to soar. After a quick double selling half so the rest is a ‘free roll’ might not make pure financial sense but it feels good. I keep selling bits of TSM as it climbs.
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I am jealous, my stocks never soar.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
SummerlinDave
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August 19th, 2025 at 1:13:53 PM permalink
I've been following a side-by-side of BLSH and COIN which are both crypto exchanges. COIN is long established where BLSH only IPO'd last week. They've both lost about 25% from their 30-day highs but I'm not inclined to jump into either. BLSH might be a flyer but more in the same way that NASDAQ was a flyer 50 some odd years ago. Certainly for the younger investors, if for anyone. Some company is at least likely to buy it but I don't know of any especially "cool" proprietary tech they have.

If I have to pick one to throw some money at, it's COIN. I think crypto is around as long as money is and there will always be a need for exchanges so long as capitalism is still a thing. But I think the better money is in tech that serves these and other exchanges.
SOOPOO
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August 22nd, 2025 at 7:48:13 PM permalink
I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
100xOdds
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odiousgambit
August 23rd, 2025 at 4:58:53 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post


After losing 6figures lifetime picking individual stocks, I'm sticking to low cost efts and mutual funds.

Imagine how much more $ I would have now if I invested that 6 figures into s+p500 every few years between 10 and 20yrs ago
Last edited by: 100xOdds on Aug 23, 2025
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
billryan
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August 23rd, 2025 at 6:25:04 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post


After losing 6figures lifetime picking individual stocks, I'm sticking to low cost efts and mutual funds.

Imagine how much more $ I would have now if I invested that 6 figures into s+p500 every few years between 10 and 20yrs ago
link to original post



Are you saying that after a lifetime of investing, you are down 100K? Or that poor decisions mean you have 100K less than you think you'd have if you'd invested in an S&P fund? I'm hard-pressed to find reasons to invest in mutual funds these days. ETFs are nimbler and usually cheaper.
As I understand it, all the articles talking about how $10,000 invested in the S&P twenty years ago would be worth $55-$75,000 today assume that you both reinvested the dividends and paid the taxes due out of pocket. Unless your portfolio is all in tax-deferred accounts, that's not how things work in real life.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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August 23rd, 2025 at 6:49:56 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: 100xOdds

Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post


After losing 6figures lifetime picking individual stocks, I'm sticking to low cost efts and mutual funds.

Imagine how much more $ I would have now if I invested that 6 figures into s+p500 every few years between 10 and 20yrs ago
link to original post



Are you saying that after a lifetime of investing, you are down 100K? Or that poor decisions mean you have 100K less than you think you'd have if you'd invested in an S&P fund? I'm hard-pressed to find reasons to invest in mutual funds these days. ETFs are nimbler and usually cheaper.
As I understand it, all the articles talking about how $10,000 invested in the S&P twenty years ago would be worth $55-$75,000 today assume that you both reinvested the dividends and paid the taxes due out of pocket. Unless your portfolio is all in tax-deferred accounts, that's not how things work in real life.
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Agree on being pro ETF and anti mutual fund. The vast majority of my assets are in tax deferred accounts with virtually no transaction fees so I’m free to do whatever I want. As far as the poster being down $100k, he must be EXTREMELY undiversified. Throwing darts at a stock list it’ would be really difficult to be down ANYTHING over last 20 years with even as few as 20 darts.
billryan
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August 23rd, 2025 at 6:58:53 AM permalink
At one point in the early 80s, my portfolio consisted of two stocks- Xerox and Sears. I'd owned them both since childhood and they'd done well for me. It really bothered me to sell half of it off to diversify.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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August 27th, 2025 at 8:39:52 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post



Now +213%.

Checked another fave. TKO, which started as WWE for me, is now a SIX bagger. Embarrassing to say I’m making bank on pro wrestling and now MMA!
GenoDRPh
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August 27th, 2025 at 9:28:28 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post



Now +213%.

Checked another fave. TKO, which started as WWE for me, is now a SIX bagger. Embarrassing to say I’m making bank on pro wrestling and now MMA!
link to original post



Nothing embarrassing about it. Vince is out of the business. The WWE has long since cleared it's orbit of competitors. Same as the UFC. Make that bank!
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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August 27th, 2025 at 11:50:50 AM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post



Now +213%.

Checked another fave. TKO, which started as WWE for me, is now a SIX bagger. Embarrassing to say I’m making bank on pro wrestling and now MMA!
link to original post



Nothing embarrassing about it. Vince is out of the business. The WWE has long since cleared it's orbit of competitors. Same as the UFC. Make that bank!
link to original post



I think AEW is a relatively strong competitor. They seem to be on TV a lot, and certainly have some recognizable’big names’ poached from WWE. I never thought of Vince as being bad for the business. He himself was a perfect ‘heel’ to root against.

Any particular pharmaceutical stocks you recommend? I’ll add it/them to the WoV portfolio!
GenoDRPh
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August 28th, 2025 at 2:36:29 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post



Now +213%.

Checked another fave. TKO, which started as WWE for me, is now a SIX bagger. Embarrassing to say I’m making bank on pro wrestling and now MMA!
link to original post



Nothing embarrassing about it. Vince is out of the business. The WWE has long since cleared it's orbit of competitors. Same as the UFC. Make that bank!
link to original post



I think AEW is a relatively strong competitor. They seem to be on TV a lot, and certainly have some recognizable’big names’ poached from WWE. I never thought of Vince as being bad for the business. He himself was a perfect ‘heel’ to root against.

Any particular pharmaceutical stocks you recommend? I’ll add it/them to the WoV portfolio!
link to original post



AEW's revenues last year were $168 million. WWE's were almost $1.4 billion. While AEW is a fun promotion, is on TV, and has bumped up talent pay,Ii don't think WWE is terribly worried. As an on screen talent, Vince made a good personality and a fun heel. His personal baggage became too much for TKO to keep him on or give him any say in running the promotion.

As for stock picks, I don't do individual stocks. That being said, I would recommend to buy or hold a bunch fo the big name established companies, like Merck, Novo Nordisk, Gilead and Amgen. If I were to speculate, I'd buy stocks in companies that make drugs that treat chronic disease, like diabetes, hypertension, HIV, heart failure, etc I;d also look at generic drug companies that make injectable and biosimilars.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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August 28th, 2025 at 5:46:07 PM permalink
Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: GenoDRPh

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: SOOPOO

I do have a (very small) stake in COIN.

PORTFOLIO at new ATH. +212%. Virtually everything was up today.

My favorite stock, BAP, now at 255. I’ve had it for decades at a cost basis of 6. Over a 40 bagger. Decent dividend too.
link to original post



Now +213%.

Checked another fave. TKO, which started as WWE for me, is now a SIX bagger. Embarrassing to say I’m making bank on pro wrestling and now MMA!
link to original post



Nothing embarrassing about it. Vince is out of the business. The WWE has long since cleared it's orbit of competitors. Same as the UFC. Make that bank!
link to original post



I think AEW is a relatively strong competitor. They seem to be on TV a lot, and certainly have some recognizable’big names’ poached from WWE. I never thought of Vince as being bad for the business. He himself was a perfect ‘heel’ to root against.

Any particular pharmaceutical stocks you recommend? I’ll add it/them to the WoV portfolio!
link to original post



AEW's revenues last year were $168 million. WWE's were almost $1.4 billion. While AEW is a fun promotion, is on TV, and has bumped up talent pay,Ii don't think WWE is terribly worried. As an on screen talent, Vince made a good personality and a fun heel. His personal baggage became too much for TKO to keep him on or give him any say in running the promotion.

As for stock picks, I don't do individual stocks. That being said, I would recommend to buy or hold a bunch fo the big name established companies, like Merck, Novo Nordisk, Gilead and Amgen. If I were to speculate, I'd buy stocks in companies that make drugs that treat chronic disease, like diabetes, hypertension, HIV, heart failure, etc I;d also look at generic drug companies that make injectable and biosimilars.
link to original post



Thanks. Already have Gilead and Merck.

New ATH today. +213%. I like posting on the up days. Not so much during the downturns.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 4th, 2025 at 8:33:12 AM permalink
On our sister site a few days ago someone was yapping about a politically based collapse due to a certain policy.

Stay the course, closing in on new ATH today. Outperformed yesterday due to GOOG. Up 10%. Silly. That a company that big can have its market value that volatile.

My favorite stock. (Not in WoV portfolio; owned it since before…). BAP. Bought it for silly reason. Nickname of my sister. At the time I was buying stocks in $10k increments. But only bought 600 at $6. Around $265 today. The annual dividend alone is now $11. I like an $11 dividend on a stock I paid $6 for. Too bad I was chicken and didn’t buy my usual $10k….
DRich
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September 4th, 2025 at 10:04:07 AM permalink
A lot of my stocks are down today but my ATT is up about $2200 so I am about even for the day.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
billryan
billryan
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September 4th, 2025 at 10:46:18 AM permalink
I finally sold the last of my gold yesterday. Four gold eagles I paid about $800-900 for sold for $3400 each, the $20 Liberty I bought for $90 in 1973 brought in $3100 and a 1/10th ounce coin I purchased in 2019 for $90 went for $315. Surprisingly, I was unable to obtain my prices for most of the silver I offered. I sold a tube of mercury dimes for $100, but couldn't get that for the junk coins.
Since I left Vegas, I've had the coins sitting in a safe deposit box, which was costing almost a hundred dollars a year. The lease is up September 10th, so it's like getting another $100 for the coins. For now, I've put the money in a four-month CD while I try to find some value in this overpriced market.
In 2013, I bought a gold chain at my local police auction. I liked the way it looked and was the sole bidder at the opening $120. I was offered $900 for it yesterday, but I reluctantly passed.
Next up is selling some artwork.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
billryan
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September 4th, 2025 at 10:48:26 AM permalink
I finally sold the last of my gold yesterday. Four gold eagles I paid about $800-900 for sold for $3400 each, the $20 Liberty I bought for $90 in 1973 brought in $3100 and a 1/10th ounce coin I purchased in 2019 for $90 went for $315. Surprisingly, I was unable to obtain my prices for most of the silver I offered. I sold a tube of mercury dimes for $100, but couldn't get that for the junk coins.
Since I left Vegas, I've had the coins sitting in a safe deposit box, which was costing almost a hundred dollars a year. The lease is up September 10th, so it's like getting another $100 for the coins. For now, I've put the money in a four-month CD while I try to find some value in this overpriced market.
In 2013, I bought a gold chain at my local police auction. I liked the way it looked and was the sole bidder at the opening $120. I was offered $900 for it yesterday, but I reluctantly passed.
Next up is selling some artwork. I keep waiting for Peter Max to die, but at this point he may outlive his fans.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 4th, 2025 at 12:14:43 PM permalink
I have a coin collection from childhood. Guess it’s worth $25k? Same for baseball card collection. Maybe a little less? I probably should sell them off so my kids won’t have to…..

Just checked. New ATH. +214%.
billryan
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September 4th, 2025 at 3:33:44 PM permalink
I think it's a good time to be dumping standard silver and gold coins. The market is cyclical, so whatever you sell now, you should be able to buy back at huge discounts if you wait. It might go up some more, but inevitably it will dip
I have very few coins from my childhood. None are valuable, but they are all precious. I enjoyed shopping around and getting a good price. My Executor wouldn't, so I might as well spin my treasures into cash
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 6th, 2025 at 7:04:21 AM permalink
Now +215%. I think was +216% mid day but slight pullback. Just checked. Best stock by % has been META . Which of course was FB when I bought it. Apple close behind.

I’ve been asked how much Nvidia I own. My answer has recently been, ‘sadly, none, except in MFs ETFs. I am now stunned to find out HOW MUCH Nvidia I own! A bunch of my ETFs have around 8-9% in Nvidia. My one MF is around 12% in Nvidia. So probably 2-3 % of my net worth is in Nvidia!
100xOdds
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September 6th, 2025 at 12:00:52 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Now +215%. I think was +216% mid day but slight pullback. Just checked. Best stock by % has been META . Which of course was FB when I bought it. Apple close behind.

I’ve been asked how much Nvidia I own. My answer has recently been, ‘sadly, none, except in MFs ETFs. I am now stunned to find out HOW MUCH Nvidia I own! A bunch of my ETFs have around 8-9% in Nvidia. My one MF is around 12% in Nvidia. So probably 2-3 % of my net worth is in Nvidia!
link to original post


But when did they add nvidia?
It's a common trick of MF mgrs to pile on a stock AFTER it's on a hot streak to fool people into thinking he does good picks
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
billryan
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September 6th, 2025 at 12:41:44 PM permalink
I'm seeing that with Crypto. Two years ago, my portfolio had zero, but funds I like have been dabbling and one is going to go up to 5% by year's end. If I didn't want any at $30,000, I certainly don't want any at $125,000 or whatever it is going for.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
DRich
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September 6th, 2025 at 2:15:10 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I'm seeing that with Crypto. Two years ago, my portfolio had zero, but funds I like have been dabbling and one is going to go up to 5% by year's end. If I didn't want any at $30,000, I certainly don't want any at $125,000 or whatever it is going for.



I think t that is a naive way to think about it. Much could have changed in two years to make it a good investment now. The only time I even considered crypto was when Bitcoin was up to $2400, I was too smart to get involved as clearly I was already too late to the party. How much more could it possibly go up before it crashes?
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
billryan
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September 6th, 2025 at 3:31:06 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

I'm seeing that with Crypto. Two years ago, my portfolio had zero, but funds I like have been dabbling and one is going to go up to 5% by year's end. If I didn't want any at $30,000, I certainly don't want any at $125,000 or whatever it is going for.



I think t that is a naive way to think about it. Much could have changed in two years to make it a good investment now. The only time I even considered crypto was when Bitcoin was up to $2400, I was too smart to get involved as clearly I was already too late to the party. How much more could it possibly go up before it crashes?
link to original post




1) I'm more concerned with portfolio protection than expanding it these days. If I invest in something risky, I want a monthly return on it.
2) I've learned its better not to invest in products I don't like or understand.
Everyone has different financial needs and goals. I don't need or want to get involved with crypto. That isn't advice I'd give a young investor looking for growth but I'm looking for income. That a fund I like is putting 5% of my money into something I don't like has me looking elsewhere. What percent would you tolerate?
I've been wrong about it in the past and may continue to be wrong about it in the future; I don't want my money in it.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
DRich
DRich
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September 6th, 2025 at 4:16:28 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: billryan

I'm seeing that with Crypto. Two years ago, my portfolio had zero, but funds I like have been dabbling and one is going to go up to 5% by year's end. If I didn't want any at $30,000, I certainly don't want any at $125,000 or whatever it is going for.



I think t that is a naive way to think about it. Much could have changed in two years to make it a good investment now. The only time I even considered crypto was when Bitcoin was up to $2400, I was too smart to get involved as clearly I was already too late to the party. How much more could it possibly go up before it crashes?
link to original post




1) I'm more concerned with portfolio protection than expanding it these days. If I invest in something risky, I want a monthly return on it.
2) I've learned its better not to invest in products I don't like or understand.
Everyone has different financial needs and goals. I don't need or want to get involved with crypto. That isn't advice I'd give a young investor looking for growth but I'm looking for income. That a fund I like is putting 5% of my money into something I don't like has me looking elsewhere. What percent would you tolerate?
I've been wrong about it in the past and may continue to be wrong about it in the future; I don't want my money in it.
link to original post



I agree with your investing method. I just disagreed that because something was a bad investment before means that it is still a bad investment.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2025 at 3:19:26 PM permalink
So now at an ATH for day close. I was surprised when I opened Schwab so. 5 portfolios, only one ‘green’ today, my WoV portfolio! Why? I own some Nebius. Some sort of tech company. Up FIFTY percent today. That splains it. I in no recollection when I bought it. Or why I bought it.

As far as comment about managers buying Nvidia after its meteoric rise, the ETFs own it based on market cap. Only TWCUX has ‘discretion’ amongst my holdings, and I think a large part of its market beating rise is tied to them owning Nvidia. 12% of TWCUX is in Nvidia.
SOOPOO
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September 11th, 2025 at 1:19:46 PM permalink
New ATH. Up 218% and likely 219% after TWCUX gets revalued around 5pm. WBD (Warner Bros) was BIG winner today. The usual tech stocks also charged higher. Tariffs/schmariffs. TSLA also jumped today. Market didn’t want Musk being embarrassed as only being second richest guy on the planet. He’s tops again. SOOPOO along for the ride. C
100xOdds
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September 13th, 2025 at 1:24:58 PM permalink
Sp500's pe ratio is high.
It's Cape ratio is in the stratosphere.

This is beginning to look like the dot com bubble of 2000.
Time to start selling stocks.

But with interest rates looking to fall later this month, shifting to Bonds isn't appealing.

Where to shift stocks to when interest rates are falling?
1yr T-bills?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
billryan
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September 13th, 2025 at 2:00:08 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Sp500's pe ratio is high.
It's Cape ratio is in the stratosphere.

This is beginning to look like the dot com bubble of 2000.
Time to start selling stocks.

But with interest rates looking to fall later this month, shifting to Bonds isn't appealing.

Where to shift stocks to when interest rates are falling?
1yr T-bills?
link to original post



What is your timeline? If you are going to retire in the next two or three years, it might make sense to do a large sell-off, but the most likely scenario is any downturn will be a bump in the road and not a crash that will be talked about a hundred years from now.
CD rates are as high right now as they'll be for the near run. A Multi-year Guaranteed Annuity is an option that pays slightly more than most CDs.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 14th, 2025 at 5:48:38 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Sp500's pe ratio is high.
It's Cape ratio is in the stratosphere.

This is beginning to look like the dot com bubble of 2000.
Time to start selling stocks.

But with interest rates looking to fall later this month, shifting to Bonds isn't appealing.

Where to shift stocks to when interest rates are falling?
1yr T-bills?
link to original post



If you are ‘sure’ interest rates will be falling then you want to buy bonds NOW.

My WoV portfolio was the only one of my 5 to go up on Friday. Why? TESLA. Soared around $50 the last week. Took its PE from a stupid 200 ish to a more stupid 230 ish. I think I’ll sell some and buy BillyRyan’s next recommendation!
100xOdds
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September 14th, 2025 at 6:06:41 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: 100xOdds

Sp500's pe ratio is high.
It's Cape ratio is in the stratosphere.

This is beginning to look like the dot com bubble of 2000.
Time to start selling stocks.

But with interest rates looking to fall later this month, shifting to Bonds isn't appealing.

Where to shift stocks to when interest rates are falling?
1yr T-bills?
link to original post


If you are ‘sure’ interest rates will be falling then you want to buy bonds NOW.

link to original post


Wouldn't the expected interest rate cut this week be baked into the bond price already?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 14th, 2025 at 6:17:35 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Quote: SOOPOO

Quote: 100xOdds

Sp500's pe ratio is high.
It's Cape ratio is in the stratosphere.

This is beginning to look like the dot com bubble of 2000.
Time to start selling stocks.

But with interest rates looking to fall later this month, shifting to Bonds isn't appealing.

Where to shift stocks to when interest rates are falling?
1yr T-bills?
link to original post


If you are ‘sure’ interest rates will be falling then you want to buy bonds NOW.

link to original post


Wouldn't the expected interest rate cut this week be baked into the bond price already?
link to original post



Probably to some degree. I find the current 4.2% I’m getting a reasonable enough return short term for my ‘scared of the stock market’ money.
100xOdds
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September 14th, 2025 at 11:01:53 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Sp500's pe ratio is high.
It's Cape ratio is in the stratosphere.

This is beginning to look like the dot com bubble of 2000.
Time to start selling stocks.

But with interest rates looking to fall later this month, shifting to Bonds isn't appealing.

Where to shift stocks to when interest rates are falling?
1yr T-bills?
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Of course there's always the Bogleheads mantra of stay the course
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
billryan
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September 14th, 2025 at 11:34:56 AM permalink
I'm not familiar with the term 'Boglehead,' but staying the course has been a generally effective strategy in the modern stock market era.
A roller coaster is exciting, but deciding to get off mid-ride can hurt.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 15th, 2025 at 7:58:18 AM permalink
Quote: billryan


A roller coaster is exciting, but deciding to get off mid-ride can hurt.
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I like that thought.

I sold some Tesla at 420 this morning. Looking for a BillyRyan suggestion.

New ATH of +219% as we speak.
billryan
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September 15th, 2025 at 8:52:04 AM permalink
The only new thing I've been buying is SGOV, and that's just a place to bank my dividends, and isn't something I'd recommend to anyone not in my circumstances. I don't see any low fruit and am not inclined to do much research on new stocks these days.

I believe the roller coaster quote is attributed to Ric Elderman, but it may also be from Dave Ramsey. It's not an original thought of mine.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 15th, 2025 at 3:14:30 PM permalink
Made it to +220% after TWCUX price included. Not buying SGOV as this is a fully tax deferred roll over IRA.

Maybe someone will mention an interesting stock play….
100xOdds
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September 17th, 2025 at 7:32:12 AM permalink
Just discovered that Schwab checking lowered interest rates from .45% to .05%. Grrrr...

I use that acct for fee-free atm withdrawals when I do the walk of shame at the casino. (Rare)

Just moved the $ to sgov at around 4%.
Now I have a 3 month t-bill ladder and Sgov.

Brokerage has margin so I can xfer $ back to checking when the market is closed to get $.
Sell Sgov to cover the margin and will execute when the market opens
Last edited by: 100xOdds on Sep 17, 2025
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
billryan
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September 18th, 2025 at 5:57:53 AM permalink
The head of the FBI mentioned he bought Krispy Kreme because he thought it was a good investment and prices popped over ten percent in fifteen minutes. It ended the session up one percent for the day, so those who bought into the Patel bump are almost certainly underwater a few hours later.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 18th, 2025 at 12:43:13 PM permalink
Just hit +221%. Today big winner is Palantir. It’s now a SEVEN Bagger from when I bought it I think a little over a year ago!
billryan
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September 19th, 2025 at 3:15:37 PM permalink
I made my first real trade in a while, selling 85% of my QYLD and buying an equal amount of QQQI. Now that I've determined how much income I need each month, I can trade some excess income for growrh.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 19th, 2025 at 6:28:23 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I made my first real trade in a while, selling 85% of my QYLD and buying an equal amount of QQQI. Now that I've determined how much income I need each month, I can trade some excess income for growrh.
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Sounds like a good plan. I did buy QYLD, RYLD, and whatever the letters are for the SP500 YLD a bit ago. The price is down a bunch, but not sure if it’s ‘up’ if you include the big dividends. I really don’t do the calculations on my tax deferred accounts.

Just hit up 222% today. TWCUX continues to outpace the S and P 500 and Nasdaq as well.
billryan
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September 22nd, 2025 at 9:53:26 AM permalink
An analyst I follow has just published a paper showing that the average bull run raises the market by nearly 250%, while the current run is not even at 225%, meaning that, by historic measures, the current boom still has a way to go.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
100xOdds
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September 22nd, 2025 at 11:56:07 AM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Just discovered that Schwab checking lowered interest rates from .45% to .05%. Grrrr...

I use that acct for fee-free atm withdrawals when I do the walk of shame at the casino. (Rare)

Just moved the $ to sgov at around 4%.
Now I have a 3 month t-bill ladder and Sgov.

Brokerage has margin so I can xfer $ back to checking when the market is closed to get $.
Sell Sgov to cover the margin and will execute when the market opens
link to original post


Read that 1/2 of schwab's profits come from floating customer's $. :o

Thinking of breaking my 3month tbill ladder and moving the $ to sgov.
F schwab and floating 1week of my $ at every tbill maturity (3months).
That's a total of 1 month per yr paying me .05%
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
billryan
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September 22nd, 2025 at 1:24:17 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Quote: 100xOdds

Just discovered that Schwab checking lowered interest rates from .45% to .05%. Grrrr...

I use that acct for fee-free atm withdrawals when I do the walk of shame at the casino. (Rare)

Just moved the $ to sgov at around 4%.
Now I have a 3 month t-bill ladder and Sgov.

Brokerage has margin so I can xfer $ back to checking when the market is closed to get $.
Sell Sgov to cover the margin and will execute when the market opens
link to original post


Read that 1/2 of schwab's profits come from floating customer's $. :o

Thinking of breaking my 3month tbill ladder and moving the $ to sgov.
F schwab and floating 1week of my $ at every tbill maturity (3months).
That's a total of 1 month per yr paying me .05%
link to original post



Out of curiousity, have you run the actual numbers and seen the fruits of that labor?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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September 22nd, 2025 at 4:36:15 PM permalink
New ATH. +223%. TWCUX up big again today. AAPL and TSLA. Keep going up…. I’ll keep posting!
100xOdds
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September 22nd, 2025 at 7:15:54 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: 100xOdds

Quote: 100xOdds

Just discovered that Schwab checking lowered interest rates from .45% to .05%. Grrrr...

I use that acct for fee-free atm withdrawals when I do the walk of shame at the casino. (Rare)

Just moved the $ to sgov at around 4%.
Now I have a 3 month t-bill ladder and Sgov.

Brokerage has margin so I can xfer $ back to checking when the market is closed to get $.
Sell Sgov to cover the margin and will execute when the market opens
link to original post


Read that 1/2 of schwab's profits come from floating customer's $. :o

Thinking of breaking my 3month tbill ladder and moving the $ to sgov.
F schwab and floating 1week of my $ at every tbill maturity (3months).
That's a total of 1 month per yr paying me .05%
link to original post



Out of curiousity, have you run the actual numbers and seen the fruits of that labor?
link to original post


What #s?
3month tbill ladder vs sgov (and it's small expense ratio)?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
SOOPOO
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October 1st, 2025 at 2:04:36 PM permalink
Yawn. New ATH. Still at +223%. But closer to 224 than before.

Fascinated by AIPI. Bought some a bit ago. And more a few days ago. It’s paying a 38% dividend?!? I am wondering if its plan is to ‘deteriorate’ its stock price as 38% can’t be sustainable? For me, it’s in a non taxable account, so no issues. But if in a taxable account you’d be getting instant taxable income (which is taxed at highest rate) and accumulating capital losses (which offset capital gains which are taxed at a lower rate).
I don’t get it.
billryan
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October 1st, 2025 at 5:10:05 PM permalink
I'll explain my thinking, but my situation is different from yours and others', and none of this is being offered as advice.

I purchased 1,000 shares of stock in three separate transactions. The last two were purchased at high prices, and the stock has declined roughly ten percent since I bought most of it at its all-time high. It's currently selling for $42 and some cents, and I'm down $4932. However, I've recieved over $16,000 in monthly payouts. The worst month yielded $1.09 per share, and the best was around $1.50.
My only sources of income are my Social Security and dividends/monthy ROIs., so I'm in a lower tax bracket. As I'm not a registered charity, none of my work with the homeless is deductible- in case anyone is wondering.

Is it sustainable? Who knows. I figure I'll stick with it for at least another 10K in loss if it keeps returning $16K a year. At this rate, I'll recoup my investment in two years. The money I put into it came from a bridge loan fund run by a friend who always paid on time but gave me the impression things weren't all rosy.. It paid 15-18% but he'd give a one-sheet quarterly report that was a joke.
If you are a high-income individual, this might not be the best investment for you. I suggest discussing taxes with your accountant if that is a concern.

I just bought some cryptocurrency, and one of my purchases was 100 shares of AIPI's brother fund, CEPI.
Last edited by: billryan on Oct 1, 2025
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
SOOPOO
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October 1st, 2025 at 6:41:28 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

I'll explain my thinking, but my situation is different from yours and others', and none of this is being offered as advice.

I purchased 1,000 shares of stock in three separate transactions. The last two were purchased at high prices, and the stock has declined roughly ten percent since I bought most of it at its all-time high. It's currently selling for $42 and some cents, and I'm down $4932. However, I've recieved over $16,000 in monthly payouts. The worst month yielded $1.09 per share, and the best was around $1.50.
My only sources of income are my Social Security and dividends/monthy ROIs., so I'm in a lower tax bracket. As I'm not a registered charity, none of my work with the homeless is deductible- in case anyone is wondering.

Is it sustainable? Who knows. I figure I'll stick with it for at least another 10K in loss if it keeps returning $16K a year. At this rate, I'll recoup my investment in two years. The money I put into it came from a bridge loan fund run by a friend who always paid on time but gave me the impression things weren't all rosy.. It paid 15-18% but he'd give a one-sheet quarterly report that was a joke.
If you are a high-income individual, this might not be the best investment for you. I suggest discussing taxes with your accountant if that is a concern.

I just bought some cryptocurrency, and one of my purchases was 100 shares of AIPI's brother fund, CEPI.
link to original post



Thanks for your perspective. I have no tax consequences as it’s in a tax sheltered account. I will start accumulating more AIPI ( and also CEPI) as long as my MMF pays less than 4%. That’s my psychological breaking point. It’s at 3.97% on last check. I’m the most diversified guy you know! I’ll be happy if it does well but will lose no sleep if it doesn’t!
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