2020 presidential election bet

Quote: billryan

In your opinion, has that change done anything to improve the forum? Is this forum better off since you made the change?

Yes.

Quote: billryan

In your opinion, has that change done anything to improve the forum? Is this forum better off since you made the change?

I don'tknow if it is any better but it sure isn't getting worse like it was with the political stuff.

Quote: DRich

I don'tknow if it is any better but it sure isn't getting worse like it was with the political stuff.

I’m not trying to be hyper-critical of WOV by saying this, but I think most would agree that the forum isn’t nearly as good as it was 2014-2018.

A lot of really great posters left either in mass exodus, or slowly not visiting as much over time.

I have been posting in various tech/hobby/game forums since 2000 or so. Every forum I have ever loved seems to have 3-5 golden years before it goes on the decline for one reason or another.

Quote: gamerfreak

I’m not trying to be hyper-critical of WOV by saying this, but I think most would agree that the forum isn’t nearly as good as it was 2014-2018.

A lot of really great posters left either in mass exodus, or slowly not visiting as much over time.

I have been posting in various tech/hobby/game forums since 2000 or so. Every forum I have ever loved seems to have a 3-5 golden years before it goes on the decline for one reason or another.

I ran cardcounter.com which had a forum for about 3 years. I was inundated with anti-semitism, people hacking the code, trolling, stalking, and everything else before I threw in the towel.

The ideal forum owner has both experience as an army sergeant and experience as a kindergarten teacher. I give Mike great admiration for surviving the pain for this long while keeping the site on track with its original mission.

Quote: teliot

I give Mike great admiration for surviving the pain for this long while keeping the site on track with its original mission.

Thank you Eliot!

Anymore taker?

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

I dont have access to betfair or william hill. Fell bad to miss the opportunity. But I suggest you to jump on it.

Since Mike/you bring it up. Any taker for no Biden inauguration on 24 Jan. 2021. I still have US$80 available.

Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

It might be suboptimal to bet on something as uncertain as this when you can bet against Trump's cabinet members staying in office on the 21st. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6944/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-State-on-Feb-15 This is a 99.99% sure thing to bet on No at 92 cents to win 7.2 cents after fees or almost 13 to 1. There is a $850 cap on each contract, but there are so many contracts available.

Taking withdrawal fees into account, you need to recycle your profits into another bet to improve the profit after fees. After Feb 15th, this market probably won't be at 92 cents: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6981/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-EPA-Administrator-on-Mar-1

I am amazed how often I can bet on arbitrage or sure things. I plan on keeping my winning on the site after these markets close.

Quote: Mental

Quote: Wizard

BetFair is taking action on Trump to leave before the end of his term. The betting odds suggest a 9.8% chance.

As a reminder, political opinions are not allowed at WoV. Discussion of betting on politics is.

It might be suboptimal to bet on something as uncertain as this when you can bet against Trump's cabinet members staying in office on the 21st. https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6944/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-Secretary-of-State-on-Feb-15 This is a 99.99% sure thing to bet on No at 92 cents to win 7.2 cents after fees or almost 13 to 1. There is a $850 cap on each contract, but there are so many contracts available.

Taking withdrawal fees into account, you need to recycle your profits into another bet to improve the profit after fees. After Feb 15th, this market probably won't be at 92 cents: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/6981/Who-will-be-the-Senate-confirmed-EPA-Administrator-on-Mar-1

I am amazed how often I can bet on arbitrage or sure things. I plan on keeping my winning on the site after these markets close.

Is it legal for US citizens to make these bets? I do like your analysis on the EV available.