It happens- impossible odds- paigow
August 1st, 2014 at 3:15:33 AM
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I watched this over the course of 3 days. And took a picture as well- does anyone know the odds http://i.imgur.com/9SMCxsu.jpg
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 1st, 2014 at 4:18:10 AM
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What???????
August 1st, 2014 at 4:23:59 AM
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What're we looking at?
August 1st, 2014 at 4:50:52 AM
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Maybe Mickey is not the only one with a drinking problem.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
August 1st, 2014 at 5:19:11 AM
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No dealer Queen high pai gow for 1478 hands. Are you sure they didn't forget to hit the button?
August 1st, 2014 at 5:35:50 AM
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Quote: strictlyAPI watched this over the course of 3 days. And took a picture as well- does anyone know the odds http://i.imgur.com/9SMCxsu.jpg
1 in 290 billion. No big deal, happens every day.
August 1st, 2014 at 8:13:01 AM
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yes they didnt miss the button
there is a huge deal made with calling upstairs when it hits and the suits come over anyway- kinda stupid on a 50-1 payout but still
still have never seen it that high
there is a huge deal made with calling upstairs when it hits and the suits come over anyway- kinda stupid on a 50-1 payout but still
still have never seen it that high
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 1st, 2014 at 10:08:20 AM
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Shit happens.
I invented a few casino games. Info:
http://www.DaveMillerGaming.com/ —————————————————————————————————————
Superstitions are silly, childish, irrational rituals, born out of fear of the unknown. But how much does it cost to knock on wood? 😁
August 1st, 2014 at 10:41:13 AM
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It's along the lines of ace losing 30 in a tow
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 1st, 2014 at 10:51:49 AM
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It must be a mistake then.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
August 1st, 2014 at 11:28:22 AM
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Someone must either be lying or misremembering this incident.
August 1st, 2014 at 11:55:29 AM
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Quote: aceofspadesSomeone must either be lying or misremembering this incident.
Now you're getting it. No way this happened.
August 1st, 2014 at 11:57:15 AM
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Quote: aceofspadesSomeone must either be lying or misremembering this incident.
Somebody must be lying, math anomalies
never happen in real life.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
August 13th, 2014 at 7:20:28 PM
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it happened
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 13th, 2014 at 7:20:38 PM
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it happened
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 13th, 2014 at 7:34:14 PM
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Did you actually watch all 1478 hands? Were you checking for a Q high pai gow every time?
Dealers make mistakes all the time.
Dealers make mistakes all the time.
August 13th, 2014 at 7:53:08 PM
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No I didn't watch all 1400 but that would mean more then one dealer missed it in all likelihood but the machine does it automatically I think I don't think it's dealer option
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 13th, 2014 at 7:54:04 PM
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There is 0 chance this place fairly dealt 1478 pai gow hands without a queen high for the dealer.
Any number of explanations are much, much, much more likely. Here are some:
1. Software error with the display
2. Dealer error
3. Software or hardware error with the card shuffler
4. This picture was photoshopped
5. Cheating
6. Forgetting to press the reset button after a payout
7. The casino intentionally lying, trying to lure customers who think a q-high is "due."
8. The hand counter is not adding correctly. It might be counting each hand as 10 hands.
9. The display was "hacked."
10. The decks they are playing with are missing queens and the shuffler is missing the fact that they are missing.
Any number of explanations are much, much, much more likely. Here are some:
1. Software error with the display
2. Dealer error
3. Software or hardware error with the card shuffler
4. This picture was photoshopped
5. Cheating
6. Forgetting to press the reset button after a payout
7. The casino intentionally lying, trying to lure customers who think a q-high is "due."
8. The hand counter is not adding correctly. It might be counting each hand as 10 hands.
9. The display was "hacked."
10. The decks they are playing with are missing queens and the shuffler is missing the fact that they are missing.
August 13th, 2014 at 7:54:36 PM
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so do electronics, allll the timeeQuote: AxiomOfChoiceDealers make mistakes all the time.
I ask Roulette Dealers if the spins shown really were what happened when a rare event appears to have happened and every time,
no, I mean, every time they say "NO"
They are quick to add "Many times the spin doubles up."
But it is left there as proof
if you accept everything as truth what you read and see
see see see
this was in the news a few years ago
I have seen so many of these
If I had a dollar for every one I've seen...
Sally
I Heart Vi Hart
August 13th, 2014 at 8:01:08 PM
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Quote: phendricks1 in 290 billion. No big deal, happens every day.
I am getting 1 in 266.6 billion:
(0.982357^1478)^(-1)
August 13th, 2014 at 8:03:31 PM
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The 7 19s in a row is at least on the scale of e-10, so one in 10 billion. I vote mechanical error.
Same for Q-high pai gow. Something simpler to explain it.
Same for Q-high pai gow. Something simpler to explain it.
Wisdom is the quality that keeps you out of situations where you would otherwise need it
August 13th, 2014 at 8:06:31 PM
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Quote: dwheatleyThe 7 19s in a row is at least on the scale of e-10, so one in 10 billion. I vote mechanical error.
Same for Q-high pai gow. Something simpler to explain it.
I just find it funny that people see a display like this and the first thing that they think is that it really happened. That should be pretty much the last explanation on your list.
August 13th, 2014 at 8:16:44 PM
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The roulette happens all the time when games are closed - it's pretty common- I'm not swearing for anything except that the photo was real- I watched the meter go up over the course of couple days but there may be some other explanation it also is 100 percent true that it could have been that once in 266 billion-
Just like I hit two royals within 6 hands like ten years ago
Just like I hit two royals within 6 hands like ten years ago
The bet will not be paid- not now not ever
August 13th, 2014 at 8:37:03 PM
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Quote: strictlyAPThe roulette happens all the time when games are closed - it's pretty common- I'm not swearing for anything except that the photo was real- I watched the meter go up over the course of couple days but there may be some other explanation it also is 100 percent true that it could have been that once in 266 billion-
Just like I hit two royals within 6 hands like ten years ago
LOL... "just like".
Those two events are so many orders of magnitude apart it's not even funny. Once you hit a royal (and, with the amount of VP you play, you will hit a lot of royals) hitting another once within 6 hands will happen once every 7000 times or so.
You think that 7000 is "just like" 266 billion? Do you understand how large that number is?
While it's true that it's "possible" that it happened, just about any other explanation that you can think of (including that this conversation is all a massive hallucination on your part) are much, much, much more likely.
August 13th, 2014 at 8:40:45 PM
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I never noticed that.Quote: strictlyAPThe roulette happens all the time when games are closed - it's pretty common-
I have seen it happen when the ball has been spun
and every Dealer has told me the same.
I do not really pay any attention to closed Roulette tables unless it is being opened.
The wait time for an independent event like a RoyalQuote: strictlyAPJust like I hit two royals within 6 hands like ten years ago
is just a geometric distribution where the highest probability after one event waiting for the event again (success) = 1
in other words
the roll of a 7 with 2d6
The 7 just rolled
what roll has the highest probability of being the very next 7.
The answer is the next roll
Same exactly with a Royal at VP. could see this is true after playing trillions^trillions*trillions of hands at VP
well, let a (super) computer do it for you if you do not have the time
the wait time
what Tommy?
"the waiting is the hardest part"
Sally
I Heart Vi Hart
August 13th, 2014 at 9:05:25 PM
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buts you only considered 1478 handsQuote: sodawaterI am getting 1 in 266.6 billion:
(0.982357^1478)^(-1)
I am 100% certain that that casino has dealt at last 3000 hands and the chance of that run is WAY easier
over 3000 hands dealt
1 in 9,572,890,046.24
this is close to Grandma Pat's monster 154 Craps hand!
Go Granny Go!!!
see
how I dids it in Excel Excel
remember
e^-A = 1/e^A
buts if that casino has dealt 10,000 hands the chance of at least 1 such streak =
1 in 1,761,637,070.65
a slam dunk!
see
Sally
I Heart Vi Hart
August 13th, 2014 at 9:08:08 PM
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Quote: mustangsally1 in 1,761,637,070.65
a slam dunk!
Indeed, that is exactly the probability that I will ever be able to slam dunk a basketball.
August 13th, 2014 at 9:12:33 PM
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Quote: AxiomOfChoiceIndeed, that is exactly the probability that I will ever be able to slam dunk a basketball.
So your saying ya got a shot? :)
August 13th, 2014 at 9:14:54 PM
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Quote: AxiomOfChoiceIndeed, that is exactly the probability that I will ever be able to slam dunk a basketball.
Just get one of those goals that adjust from 7 to 10 feet. I bet you can do it on 7 feet. It's fun as shit.
August 13th, 2014 at 9:34:50 PM
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or a chanceQuote: rainmanSo your saying ya got a shot? :)
Guys, when the girl looks into your eyes
she could be yours
1 out of a million happens every day (earth time too)
I Heart Vi Hart
August 15th, 2014 at 6:18:00 AM
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Last weekend I played pai gow and won 1 out of 26 hands. Over 3 separate sessions. I played 10 hands, lost 6 and pushed 4. Figured that was pathetic and got up. Came back later and sat down again. Played 8 hands. Won 1, lost 5, pushed 2.... Left again. Came back that night and bought in for a 3rd time. Decided to mix it up and play two spots at a time. Dealer beats both of my spots the first 4 hands. I had enough. Never seen such a shitty run of cards ever.
August 15th, 2014 at 6:31:27 AM
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Pai Gow Poker, like all games, can be streaky. I haven't won at craps in I don't know how long (eons!), but hit a 6-card Royal out of 7 at High Card Flush one hour into the game at the M.
But for a queen high not to happen for the dealer in over 1,400 hands, uh, I don't think so. Taught Dealer training on EZ Pai Gow, with a "Now, remember to reset the counter, guys...." [Dealer: "wuw?...Oh, yeah, okay..."]
But for a queen high not to happen for the dealer in over 1,400 hands, uh, I don't think so. Taught Dealer training on EZ Pai Gow, with a "Now, remember to reset the counter, guys...." [Dealer: "wuw?...Oh, yeah, okay..."]
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
