Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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Joined: Jul 3, 2015
August 7th, 2016 at 4:28:17 AM permalink
Does anyone know what the odds on 7-5 bonus poker of running with the results below


275 dollars coin in - return 200

350!coin in - return 225


275 coin in 195 return


350 coin in. Return 210

These were actual results playing 99 percent accurate strategy
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
abacabb
abacabb
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Joined: Aug 30, 2014
August 7th, 2016 at 6:55:45 AM permalink
What denomination? If it's $1 and single line then...

275 CI return 200 is ~18.2%
350 CI return 225 is ~4.8%
275 CI return 195 is ~15.4%
350 CI return 210 is ~2.4%

If you take those all as one big group then 1250 CI with a return of 850 is ~0.12%.

This assumes perfect strategy, though. 99% accurate isn't that great. If the 1% of the time you're making errors that cost a few cents, I suppose that's OK, but if the 1% you miss includes something like missing a hold of a high pair or a three of a kind, there are some big issues.
Wizardofnothing
Wizardofnothing
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Joined: Jul 3, 2015
August 7th, 2016 at 9:38:56 AM permalink
Thank you for the info- much appreciated
No longer hiring, don’t ask because I won’t hire you either
abacabb
abacabb
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August 7th, 2016 at 2:34:16 PM permalink
No problem, and I was in a rush this morning when I wrote it, but to clarify: those numbers represent the percentage likelihood that you will end up with that result or worse, so x% of the time you will end up with that result or a lower one. The methodology for figuring this out was doing 500k trials on a program I wrote.
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