allinriverking
allinriverking
  • Threads: 29
  • Posts: 333
Joined: Feb 3, 2010
July 3rd, 2014 at 10:53:44 PM permalink
Below are some pay tables for some bets I'm working on. Would be interested in some feedback on if pay tables look comfortable enough for players, and if Casinos would be comfortable with such pay tables... Thanks...


Da Bet
HandPaysProbabilityReturn
Da Plays10.3148148150.314814815
Ends Total 520.0476190480.095238095
Ends Total 1050.0238095240.119047619
Ends Total 15200.0026455030.052910053
Loser-10.611111111-0.611111111
Total1-0.029100529


Poker Bet
HandPaysProbabilityReturn
Two Pair20.0555555560.111111111
Trips30.1111111110.333333333
Straight40.0211640210.084656085
Perfect Straight200.0105820110.211640212
Loser-10.801587302-0.801587302
Total1-0.060846561


Point Bet
HandPaysProbabilityReturn
No Pair70.1069958850.748971193
Pair140.0035273370.049382716
Pair Aces350.0002939450.010288066
Pair Jokers1400.0002939450.041152263
Loser-10.888888889-0.888888889
Total1-0.039094650
UCivan
UCivan
  • Threads: 84
  • Posts: 843
Joined: Sep 3, 2011
July 4th, 2014 at 2:36:48 AM permalink
Forget about "Point Bet". If a player bets $35, no one can count $35 x 35, nor $35 x 14..
Paradigm
Paradigm
  • Threads: 42
  • Posts: 2226
Joined: Feb 24, 2011
July 4th, 2014 at 8:52:04 AM permalink
I think the Poker Bet & the Point Bet have to much RTP tied up in rare events. Poker Bet has .42 tied up in an event that happens once every 95 rolls and Point Bet has .10+ tied up in combined events that occur once every 243 rolls, not as bad as Poker bet.

Neither will provide a great player experience in my opinion, but there are successful bets out there with worse top heavy pay tables. Compare both of those to Da Bet which only has .05 tied up in rare events.....much better experience. I would add that the 7 14 35 140 payouts are also pretty undesirable.
allinriverking
allinriverking
  • Threads: 29
  • Posts: 333
Joined: Feb 3, 2010
July 4th, 2014 at 11:44:10 AM permalink
The da bet is the main bet. The point bet wins 7 to 1, with a chance to win a bonus multiplier of 2 times, 5 times or 20 times.
allinriverking
allinriverking
  • Threads: 29
  • Posts: 333
Joined: Feb 3, 2010
July 4th, 2014 at 10:40:47 PM permalink
Quote: Paradigm

I think the Poker Bet & the Point Bet have to much RTP tied up in rare events. Poker Bet has .42 tied up in an event that happens once every 95 rolls and Point Bet has .10+ tied up in combined events that occur once every 243 rolls, not as bad as Poker bet.

Neither will provide a great player experience in my opinion, but there are successful bets out there with worse top heavy pay tables. Compare both of those to Da Bet which only has .05 tied up in rare events.....much better experience. I would add that the 7 14 35 140 payouts are also pretty undesirable.



I edited Poker Bet pay table. Also the Point bet has a 1 in 9 chance of winning, which about 75% of payout is the 7 to 1 payout, the rarer events pay less than 25% of the payouts amounts.
Paradigm
Paradigm
  • Threads: 42
  • Posts: 2226
Joined: Feb 24, 2011
July 5th, 2014 at 8:42:23 AM permalink
Let me state it differently: On the Point bet, 99.59% of hands, you are either going to win 7-1 or lose one unit and you are playing a game with a HE of 13.9%!

The player is going lose 8 hands and then win one hand and get paid 7-1........rinse and repeat for 26 cycles before finally hitting one of the other rare pay events during the 27th cycle. Does that sound fun from a player experience standpoint?
allinriverking
allinriverking
  • Threads: 29
  • Posts: 333
Joined: Feb 3, 2010
July 5th, 2014 at 10:49:23 AM permalink
Quote: Paradigm

Let me state it differently: On the Point bet, 99.59% of hands, you are either going to win 7-1 or lose one unit and you are playing a game with a HE of 13.9%!

The player is going lose 8 hands and then win one hand and get paid 7-1........rinse and repeat for 26 cycles before finally hitting one of the other rare pay events during the 27th cycle. Does that sound fun from a player experience standpoint?



HE is 3.9% not 13.9%. I think of it like betting on 4 numbers on roulette, with a lower HE and chance to win 3 different higher payouts so it sounds great to me as a player.
Paradigm
Paradigm
  • Threads: 42
  • Posts: 2226
Joined: Feb 24, 2011
July 5th, 2014 at 11:20:47 AM permalink
You missed my point with the "99.59% of hands" qualifier..........get it out on the floor and report back on the player reaction.
charliepatrick
charliepatrick
  • Threads: 39
  • Posts: 2946
Joined: Jun 17, 2011
July 5th, 2014 at 6:07:33 PM permalink
I'm following this thread as it's interesting to hear people's ideas.

I know 21+3 is very popular in the UK, it pays 9/1 and that's it. There's another associated bet (Top 3) which only pays 90/1 and upwards, and some people like that as well. However Pair+ at 3CP proves popular paying 1/1, 4/1, 6/1 and the long-shots.

So I was wondering if one was designing a simple side-bet that could pay either 5/1 or 25/1 (or 33/1 "long-shot" etc. if it makes it easier) how much of the return should one try to have for the 5/1 part.

Or should one have a bet that includes a fairly common payout of 1/1 or 2/1 to keep the player interested (I always assume 1/2 or stand-off are not really acceptable except for simple even money chances or fruit machines) as well as a "long-shot" chance.
allinriverking
allinriverking
  • Threads: 29
  • Posts: 333
Joined: Feb 3, 2010
July 5th, 2014 at 6:48:15 PM permalink
Quote: charliepatrick

I'm following this thread as it's interesting to hear people's ideas.

I know 21+3 is very popular in the UK, it pays 9/1 and that's it. There's another associated bet (Top 3) which only pays 90/1 and upwards, and some people like that as well. However Pair+ at 3CP proves popular paying 1/1, 4/1, 6/1 and the long-shots.

So I was wondering if one was designing a simple side-bet that could pay either 5/1 or 25/1 (or 33/1 "long-shot" etc. if it makes it easier) how much of the return should one try to have for the 5/1 part.

Or should one have a bet that includes a fairly common payout of 1/1 or 2/1 to keep the player interested (I always assume 1/2 or stand-off are not really acceptable except for simple even money chances or fruit machines) as well as a "long-shot" chance.



I feel that 40% of the total payout should be paid on the two most frequent occurrences, if that makes sense.
allinriverking
allinriverking
  • Threads: 29
  • Posts: 333
Joined: Feb 3, 2010
July 5th, 2014 at 10:37:03 PM permalink
Da Bet
HandPaysProbabilityReturn
Da Plays10.3148148150.314814815
Ends Total 520.0476190480.095238095
Ends Total 1030.0238095240.071428571
Ends Total 15200.0026455030.052910053
Loser-10.611111111-0.611111111
Total1-0.076719577


Poker Bet
HandPaysProbabilityReturn
Two Pair20.0555555560.111111111
Trips30.1111111110.333333333
Straight40.0211640210.084656085
Perfect Straight200.0105820110.211640212
Loser-10.801587302-0.801587302
Total1-0.060846561


Point Bet
HandPaysProbabilityReturn
No Pair70.1069958850.748971193
Pair140.0035273370.049382716
Pair Aces280.0002939450.008230453
Pair Jokers2800.0002939450.082304527
Loser-10.888888889-0.888888889
Total10.000000000



Here is updated table, the Point Bet must not exceed amount bet on Da Bet...
  • Jump to: