100xOdds
100xOdds
Joined: Feb 5, 2012
  • Threads: 421
  • Posts: 2191
June 11th, 2017 at 3:33:39 PM permalink
I had a lucky vp machine once.
6 months of playing it a few hundred dollars coin-in every week, and I never lost $ (but included freeplay). then they downgraded it and I never went back to it.
(yeah, i know.. it was probably a combination of dumb luck, short sessions and freeplay that kept me afloat.)

anyway, found another lucky vp machine.
played it twice (at same denom), and got 3 w2-g's out of it in short sessions.

going to test to see if it's just that denom by going back and playing at a higher denom because it's a Rewards multiplier day.
I don't want to sit there for 16hrs to reach 5000 tier credits to maximize the multiplier.
bringing a bankroll of $10k.

yeah, I know. if it's printing $$$ for me at that denom, then why risk it?
maybe I should just stick to the tried and true?

I know.. i'll do a combination.
if I lose half my bankroll at the higher denom, then I know its not lucky and will switch back to the lucky denom.
yeah, that sounds like a good plan.


Note: This post is in jest. Gambler's fallacy and all...
but I am going to play the higher denom to shorten the time needed on the machine to maximize my Multiplier.
and if I lose 1/2 my bankroll then go down to the lower denom not because it's lucky but because I'll feel better playing it.
Last edited by: 100xOdds on Jun 11, 2017
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
  • Threads: 132
  • Posts: 4980
June 11th, 2017 at 3:46:06 PM permalink
I see you too love living dangerously.

Yeah baby.
Looks like sh!t just got imaginary!
100xOdds
100xOdds
Joined: Feb 5, 2012
  • Threads: 421
  • Posts: 2191
June 12th, 2017 at 1:21:05 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

I see you too love living dangerously.


why do you say that?

ev is around -$400 +/- $9k.
with $10k, I have a ~70% chance of not going broke

should I bring 1.5x sd, which is 9k x 1.5 = $13.5k = 87% chance of not going broke?
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
trustthemath
trustthemath
Joined: Jun 8, 2017
  • Threads: 0
  • Posts: 5
Thanks for this post from:
onenickelmiracle
June 12th, 2017 at 1:52:54 PM permalink
I believe he is quoting a line from Austin Powers :)
100xOdds
100xOdds
Joined: Feb 5, 2012
  • Threads: 421
  • Posts: 2191
June 15th, 2017 at 6:29:21 PM permalink
well so much for my lucky machine.
no w2-g this trip.
altho my loses was almost exactly the theo.
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)

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