Quote: JoemanGo get 'em, Ace! Positive monkey variance!
Thank you kind sir - I am watching CNN (the only channel they have showing in the airport - I wonder if that is contractual?) and eating a Powerbar
Most expensive item in the shop - you know what, let's set the trip win goal based on this
Goal = +9150
As you are in route to Vegas for yet another adventure, I have some thoughts:
Enthusiasm is a good thing, but being realistic is important too. Because in blackjack the negative swings can be really bad, almost cruel.
As you might know, I’ve been playing a mock game of blackjack at home for the last 4 years and three months. This has amounted to about 850 hours of play. This game I’m playing is SD, H17, DOA, DAS, RSA. My count is Hi-Opt I with an ace side count. Playing $25 to $200 a hand, opening for $100. I never more than double my bet or reduce it by more than half. Once I reach 50% pen I play the rest of the hands at $25 each and use basic strategy. That way I can check to see if I’m counting accurately.
So I started this mock game in Jan., 2011. I was playing about an hour a day (I’ve cut back in the last year to about half-an-hour a day). I Won $ $1,500 in the beginning and then went on a 60-day losing streak that eventually ended with me being $9,500 down. After about two more months I was back to even. Then, for the next couple months I switched from being in the red to being in the black thirteen times. From this point on, after about 6 months of play, I’ve maintained being in the black. But then a few month later I had a $20,000 loss. I had been up about $34,000 just before this point, but lost $20,000 before I was able to win it back and climb above the $34,000 mark.
It was in August in 2013 that I reached my all-time-high of $86,200. As of today I’m at $67,100. That’s a loss of about $19,000. Now, of course, I didn’t lose the $19,000 straight away. I had gone down to $74,000 then back up to $84,000 then down to $72,000 then back up to $83,000 then back down to $67,100. (Obviously you don’t go on a losing streak that is continuous. For that to happen you would have to lose every hand. And that hasn’t even happened to you, Ace:)
What I’m pointing out is, is that losses (granted mock losses) of about $20,000 have happened to me at the $25 to $200 a hand level. In my 87 trips to Vegas as a card counter I’ve never had a losing streak of greater than $9,500. But it took 16 trips until I made up for that loss and won back the $9,500. That $9,500 would be a $23,000 loss at your level of play with a $500 max bet. And playing over 850 hours the two approximately $20,000 losses I suffered in my mock game would EACH translate to a $ 50,000 loss at your level of play.
I know that you have taken it hard when you’ve had losses of about $14,000 (if I recall the figure correctly). Just bear in mind that, really, you have been lucky to have not had greater losses.
You’re on a roll right now and you’re optimistic. That’s a good thing. But in baseball, a really great batter may think the next pitch is going to be low and outside, but he also knows it might be in his ear.
Quote: aceofspadesI would not say I am on a roll right be as I am down for 2015
I was referring to your last two wins in a row. Don't they total about 8K?
Quote: GreasyjohnI was referring to your last two wins in a row. Don't they total about 8K?
About 7200 but remember I am down 5k from January Vegas (with a 5k FSP to go) and had lost 14k
So I am down about 11500 right now (plus 5k FSP to go)
Quote: aceofspadesThank you kind sir - I am watching CNN (the only channel they have showing in the airport - I wonder if that is contractual?) and eating a Powerbar
It must be contractual, because it's in a lot of airports and I can't imagine that more than 25% of visitors actually want to watch it. Every time I get sucked into watching CNN at an airport, I can feel myself getting dumber. It's really loud at Washington-Natl.
For those of us living vicariously, can you preview the hotels/plans?
Quote: aceofspadesWandering around the duty free shop - came across this:
Most expensive item in the shop - you know what, let's set the trip win goal based on this
Goal = +9150
Do you drink it or wear it, or both?
Quote: GreasyjohnDo you drink it or wear it, or both?
That expensive I would presume if you actually drank all of it you'd then end up wearing some of it. =)
Love the idea for the trip win goal ace! I hope you come out swinging and SMASH them up this trip!!! Requesting as many pics as possible, of course, lol.
Go get-em Ace!
Quote: TwoFeathersATLThere's the AoS trip report! I was looking for it last weekend, must have been ahead of myself. Apparently others were watching for it too.. If you reach the $9150 goal, you probably should pass on the Remy Louis XIII at the airport on the way home. You can get it cheaper online ;-) i just looked and 2K to 3K seems to be the going price.
Go get-em Ace!
Of course the one you buy online might be a fake, and the one you buy at the duty free shop might be a fake too.... Best to stick with moderately priced liquor. Johnny Walker works.
Quote: aceofspadesWandering around the duty free shop - came across this:
Most expensive item in the shop - you know what, let's set the trip win goal based on this
Goal = +9150
That is ridiculous. On our cruise last week they had it for $3300 and a bottle of Johnny for $3700
Quote: TwoFeathersATLOf course the one you buy online might be a fake, and the one you buy at the duty free shop might be a fake too.... Best to stick with moderately priced liquor. Johnny Walker works.
On the cruise I was drinking Johnny Blue label. How can I go back to well liquor, sigh!!
Quote: aceofspadesSo I just got to the airport and the flight is delayed by one hour
It's a SIGN, Ace! Get back home as fast
as possible.
Quote: GWAEQuote: aceofspadesWandering around the duty free shop - came across this:
Most expensive item in the shop - you know what, let's set the trip win goal based on this
Goal = +9150
That is ridiculous. On our cruise last week they had it for $3300 and a bottle of Johnny for $3700
I'm guessing that people that would pay $9,150 for it don't care if they could get it for $3,300. And they can impress people with the fact that they don't care. When you're worth $100,000,000 $9,150 is a tip.
My bag was first on the conveyer
In limo heading downtown!
Will take and post pics once I'm checked in
Quote: harvson3It must be contractual, because it's in a lot of airports and I can't imagine that more than 25% of visitors actually want to watch it. Every time I get sucked into watching CNN at an airport, I can feel myself getting dumber. It's really loud at Washington-Natl.
For those of us living vicariously, can you preview the hotels/plans?
Golden Nugget for 3 nights followed by 3 nights at Aria
MonkeyFest on the 24th
Quote: aceofspadesLanded
My bag was first on the conveyer
In limo heading downtown!
Will take and post pics once I'm checked in
Glad you arrived safely and from the sounds of it mostly on time =). Best of luck Ace!
Quote: GreasyjohnI'm guessing that people that would pay $9,150 for it don't care if they could get it for $3,300. And they can impress people with the fact that
they don't care. When you're worth $100,000,000 $9,150 is a tip.
I bet it's hard to accumulate $100,000,000 when you are willing to throw away $10,000 on 1 bottle of liquor that you could get for $3,000.
Host sent me a fruit and nut basket and plenty of FIJI water
Quote: djatcCan you do a TR of the Chicken Ranch?
Not my scene - I'll leave that up to you
Quote: aceofspadesGolden Nugget for 3 nights followed by 3 nights at Aria
MonkeyFest on the 24th
How do you get away with it at aria. I thought surveillance was top notch there.
Quote: aceofspadesObligatory free snacks by the elevator photo (let the over/under on bacteria betting begin)
Host sent me a fruit and nut basket and plenty of FIJI water
Is your host a man or woman? That basket looks a bit suggestive.
Also who is watching your dog while you are off jet setting in Vegas?
Quote: AvincowHow do you get away with it at aria. I thought surveillance was top notch there.
I have lost so much at Aria I do not think they fear me
Quote: PerditionQuote: aceofspadesObligatory free snacks by the elevator photo (let the over/under on bacteria betting begin)
Host sent me a fruit and nut basket and plenty of FIJI water
Is your host a man or woman? That basket looks a bit suggestive.
Also who is watching your dog while you are off jet setting in Vegas?
I have a male host and I was waiting for someone to notice that banana lol
The big guy is being taken care of by my mom and dad with the help of my 4 year old nephew at times :)
Quote: aceofspadesGolden Nugget for 3 nights followed by 3 nights at Aria
MonkeyFest on the 24th
Will the Monkeyfest go on with or without
B79? Did you bring a spare monkey?
Quote: aceofspadesQuote: PerditionQuote: aceofspadesObligatory free snacks by the elevator photo (let the over/under on bacteria betting begin)
Host sent me a fruit and nut basket and plenty of FIJI water
Is your host a man or woman? That basket looks a bit suggestive.
Also who is watching your dog while you are off jet setting in Vegas?
I have a male host and I was waiting for someone to notice that banana lol
The big guy is being taken care of by my mom and dad with the help of my 4 year old nephew at times :)
That banana looks about two day older than it should be.
Quote: EvenBobWill the Monkeyfest go on with or without
B79? Did you bring a spare monkey?
I believe we are still calling it MonkeyFest whether or not Bacc79 shows up
Quote: aceofspadesI believe we are still calling it MonkeyFest whether or not Bacc79 shows up
Nothing from him? Isn't he supposed to be
in Vegas already, or is that tomorrow.
Quote: EvenBobNothing from him? Isn't he supposed to be
in Vegas already, or is that tomorrow.
I believe tomorrow and nope haven't heard word one
Quote: GreasyjohnThat banana looks about two day older than it should be.
Actually, bananas with brown spots are better for you
Quote: aceofspadesI believe tomorrow and nope haven't heard word one
Not even in the capacity of his attorney?
That's what he calls you. I guess that
would be private, you can't talk about
it.
Quote: EvenBobNot even in the capacity of his attorney?
That's what he calls you. I guess that
would be private, you can't talk about
it.
I am not his attorney so please do not proliferate that falsehood.
Quote: aceofspadesI am not his attorney so please do not turn a proliferate that falsehood.
I see some hurt feelings coming. So
harsh, Ace, so harsh..
Quote: EvenBobQuote: aceofspadesI am not his attorney so please do not turn a proliferate that falsehood.
I see some hurt feelings coming. So
harsh, Ace, so harsh..
Firstly--I must be harsh is order to quash any idea that anyone, especially B79, would believe it to be true and
Secondly, B79 hates attorneys
Quote: aceofspadesB79 hates attorneys
He was just saying that, because I accused
him of having a man crush on you. He
loves attorneys.
Ace, do you use cash when you play or do you have a LoC? What's your usual buy-in / marker?
Quote: RSHey EB, quit dragging down the thread with your BS. No one cares.
Should I send my posts to you first
so you can approve them? Thanks.
Quote: RSHey EB, quit dragging down the thread with your BS. No one cares.
Ace, do you use cash when you play or do you have a LoC? What's your usual buy-in / marker?
I do not use LoC - I send front money and keep it on account so I do not have to carry cash
Usually buy in about 1500 then take it from there and see where the session leads me
Quote: aceofspadesSo I went to the cage to collect my $90 in free chips and the lady stated they do not have $5 denomination fake chips so they rounded up to $100 (4x25)
So may I be the first to report:
TRIP + 10 !
Quote: JohnnyQSo may I be the first to report:
TRIP + 10 !
EXCELLENT - I didn't think of it that way
Got into the elevator and a middle-aged guy therein was all smiles - he asked how I was doing - I said I had not yet played
He replied that he was up 8k
I said "great" and he then said the key word was "was"
I said "uhoh"
He replied he was now "only up 1500" but he was ok with it because he ran into a lucky streak and really didn't "deserve to be up 8k"
I wished him good luck and vice-versa
Why don't people believe they deserve to be up?