lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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February 21st, 2022 at 1:09:01 PM permalink
____________


I was thinking about the HA on the Bank at bacc which authorities including the Wiz quote at 1.06% and it confused me a little bit

I used two different online calculators to get the R.O.I. and got 2 different answers as shown in the image - one of them calculates it a different way

this is the answer from the first calculator which gave the traditional answer - 1.06% - R.O.I. I believe is the same thing as the HA

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and this is the answer from the 2nd calculator which figures it in a different way and gets the R.O.I. as -2.5% - this is how I was thinking about it - actually your return amount would be slightly greater because the win % is 50.68% not 50% as I used - so the HA would be slightly less but that cannot account for the difference

actually I did a 2nd calculation to account for the 50.68% and got the return amount as $196.29 and that gives the HA or R.O.I. as a slightly lower -1.855%





why do these 2 calculators give different answers_____________?_________________thanks


the links are the 2 different online calculators that I used:


https://www.omnicalculator.com/finance/roi


https://www.gamingtoday.com/tools/roi/



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teliot
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February 21st, 2022 at 1:24:37 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

... .

1.06% is right. Ties matter in the computation. You can look at my code here:

https://researchers.one/doc/61a90587ec1251c54f18ea35
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lilredrooster
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February 21st, 2022 at 1:28:39 PM permalink
bad post deleted


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lilredrooster
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February 21st, 2022 at 1:34:15 PM permalink
Quote: teliot

Quote: lilredrooster

... .

1.06% is right. Ties matter in the computation. You can look at my code here:

https://researchers.one/doc/61a90587ec1251c54f18ea35
link to original post




thanks for your answer

you say ties matter

but if you look at the first calculator it didn't consider ties - it uses the win % as 50.68% which does not consider ties

so how could it get the same answer as you who are considering ties____________?

hunh_____________???????______________I don't get it____________I couldn't open your file on my PC -

and I still don't know why the 2nd calculator got a completely different answer


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teliot
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February 21st, 2022 at 2:27:18 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

it uses the win % as 50.68% which does not consider ties

Honestly, I don't care enough to answer you. Hopefully someone else will care more.
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ThatDonGuy
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February 21st, 2022 at 3:12:06 PM permalink
You are actually making mistakes with both of the calculators.

In the first one, you are entering the odds as -105. This is your 210 against the casino's 200, as opposed to your 200 against the casino's 190, which is -105.26316.

In the second one, you are entering 195 as the "returned amount." It should be 390 x 0.5068, or 197.652.

Both of these now return an ROI of -1.17%.
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
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February 21st, 2022 at 3:38:39 PM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

You are actually making mistakes with both of the calculators.

In the first one, you are entering the odds as -105. This is your 210 against the casino's 200, as opposed to your 200 against the casino's 190, which is -105.26316.

In the second one, you are entering 195 as the "returned amount." It should be 390 x 0.5068, or 197.652.

Both of these now return an ROI of -1.17%.
link to original post




"Both of these now return an ROI of - 1.17%"

which is still quite a bit different than the traditionally quoted - 1.06 % also quoted by the Wizard (see link) also shown by the first calculator (although it actually shows - 1.05% it think just due to rounding)

-1.06 was also quoted by teliot in one of the above posts


https://wizardofodds.com/gambling/house-edge/


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ThatDonGuy
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February 21st, 2022 at 4:09:27 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

"Both of these now return an ROI of - 1.17%"

which is still quite a bit different than the traditionally quoted - 1.06 % also quoted by the Wizard (see link) also shown by the first calculator (although it actually shows - 1.05% it think just due to rounding)

-1.06 was also quoted by teliot in one of the above posts

https://wizardofodds.com/gambling/house-edge/


It's -1.06% if you take ties into account.
The expected return, if ties are included, is 0.458597 x 390 (for a bank win) + 0.095156 x 200 (for a tie) = 197.88403.
The ROI is (197.88403 - 200) / 200 = -1.06%.

If you use this return value in the Omni calculator, you get a ROI of -1.06%.

You can't use the Gaming Today calculator to calculate this as it cannot take into acccount the possibility that the bet will be a tie - and if you ignore ties (i.e. all ties must be rebet, repeatedly if necessary, until you win or lose), the ROI is -1.17%.
lilredrooster
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February 21st, 2022 at 4:21:57 PM permalink
Quote: ThatDonGuy

Quote: lilredrooster

"Both of these now return an ROI of - 1.17%"

which is still quite a bit different than the traditionally quoted - 1.06 % also quoted by the Wizard (see link) also shown by the first calculator (although it actually shows - 1.05% it think just due to rounding)

-1.06 was also quoted by teliot in one of the above posts

https://wizardofodds.com/gambling/house-edge/


It's -1.06% if you take ties into account.
The expected return, if ties are included, is 0.458597 x 390 (for a bank win) + 0.095156 x 200 (for a tie) = 197.88403.
The ROI is (197.88403 - 200) / 200 = -1.06%.

If you use this return value in the Omni calculator, you get a ROI of -1.06%.

You can't use the Gaming Today calculator to calculate this as it cannot take into acccount the possibility that the bet will be a tie - and if you ignore ties (i.e. all ties must be rebet, repeatedly if necessary, until you win or lose), the ROI is -1.17%.
link to original post




okay, great answer - thanks

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