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100xOdds
100xOdds
Joined: Feb 5, 2012
  • Threads: 509
  • Posts: 2981
April 22nd, 2020 at 11:54:48 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

Bought in for $500, playing $10 ante/$10 blind with no Trips.
Lost that. Bought in for $400 more.
Lost all $900 in 2 1/2 hrs following the wiz's basic strategy with just 1 other player at the table. :(

Variance of this game is about 24, similar to deuces wild vp.

i decided to calculate how badly i was running.

35 hands/hr, 2.5 hrs = 88hands
variance 24.4
st dev 4.939635614

OriginalSD: sd * bet = 4.94*$20 = 98.8
sd(88 hands): sqrt(88)*98.8= $927

my $900 loss playing 2.5hrs at $10 ante/$10 blind is just 1 sd off of norm?!?
At least i feel better that i wasnt running that badly
Craps is paradise (Pair of dice). Lets hear it for the SpeedCount Mathletes :)
Vegasrider
Vegasrider
Joined: Dec 23, 2017
  • Threads: 54
  • Posts: 519
April 23rd, 2020 at 1:52:43 PM permalink
Quote: 100xOdds

i decided to calculate how badly i was running.

35 hands/hr, 2.5 hrs = 88hands
variance 24.4
st dev 4.939635614

OriginalSD: sd * bet = 4.94*$20 = 98.8
sd(88 hands): sqrt(88)*98.8= $927

my $900 loss playing 2.5hrs at $10 ante/$10 blind is just 1 sd off of norm?!?
At least i feel better that i wasnt running that badly



I feel your pain. Been there, done that. Buy in for a nickel and rebuy for another 4 or 5.. Rebuys are just part of the game, just like playing live poker, you sometimes can't win off your initial buy in even if its well above the minimum buy in. Back in the days I use to play 30-60 Hold'em at the Bellagio, my normal buy in was 2k or two racks. But sometimes I needed to reload. Even Roy Cook had to reload at times, LOL.

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