Opinion on a Pai Gow hand
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October 22nd, 2013 at 7:26:52 PM
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Have the week off from work, so did the day trip Monday to Mohegan Sun. Played tiles when I was there. Was dealt this hand which got me to thinking. Alot. Gee Joon, Teen, H10. Know what the thinking is how to play, also what the Wizard's calculator says. Just thinking, next 2 pairs down, you split to make 6/8, so my thinking is why not this one. Anyway, just wanted to know some opinions of those that know better than I do. By the way, Dealer/Banker flipped over 4/5, which has me thinking about this even more.
October 22nd, 2013 at 8:53:13 PM
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Here's my holistic approach:
The 6 is a little better than average for the low hand, and the high 8 is a little worse than average for the high. So this setting should have an EV around zero, with a lot of variation. Could win, lose or tie.
The Gee Joon will never lose, and the high 2 will occasionally win. The EV should be slightly positive, with little variance.
I'd take the sure thing with the higher EV.
The 6 is a little better than average for the low hand, and the high 8 is a little worse than average for the high. So this setting should have an EV around zero, with a lot of variation. Could win, lose or tie.
The Gee Joon will never lose, and the high 2 will occasionally win. The EV should be slightly positive, with little variance.
I'd take the sure thing with the higher EV.
October 23rd, 2013 at 6:09:03 PM
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Assuming you meant GeJ GeJ 6-6 5-5 then playing the pair can never lose and will win whenever the dealer makes a Low Hand of a 2 or lower (except if the dealer has exactly 6-6 and any 10). Playing Hi8 and 6 has a better chance of winning but I think a larger chance of losing as well.
Note when splitting 6-6 6-6 the two totals created are Hi8 Hi6 as the second tile used is lower, whereas when splitting GeJ the totals rely on the other tile, so you get a lower 6 which is very important. Note the effect below of having a Hi10 vs a Lo10.
From an old spreadsheet I have (I'm not sure if I have correct House Way yet) the numbers are (Win:16192 Tie:65708 Lose:0) to (W:30608 T:32528 L:18764); it's worse for 6-6 GeJ and 6-4 GeJ because the 6 is lower W:28240 T:32512 L:21148.
Note when splitting 6-6 6-6 the two totals created are Hi8 Hi6 as the second tile used is lower, whereas when splitting GeJ the totals rely on the other tile, so you get a lower 6 which is very important. Note the effect below of having a Hi10 vs a Lo10.
From an old spreadsheet I have (I'm not sure if I have correct House Way yet) the numbers are (Win:16192 Tie:65708 Lose:0) to (W:30608 T:32528 L:18764); it's worse for 6-6 GeJ and 6-4 GeJ because the 6 is lower W:28240 T:32512 L:21148.
