Poll

No votes (0%)
4 votes (50%)
2 votes (25%)
1 vote (12.5%)
1 vote (12.5%)
No votes (0%)

8 members have voted

98Clubs
98Clubs
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January 24th, 2013 at 1:57:10 AM permalink
Given the Optimum Strategy for Ultimate Texas Hold'em (UTH), what are your chances of winning the round heads-up?
Some people need to reimagine their thinking.
THESWEENEY
THESWEENEY
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January 24th, 2013 at 5:05:56 AM permalink
....48.91% to win the battle, though one might say 49.74% to win the war.
miplet
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January 24th, 2013 at 9:12:13 AM permalink
Quote: 98Clubs

Given the Optimum Strategy for Ultimate Texas Hold'em (UTH), what are your chances of winning the round heads-up?


I voted, then did the math. See spoiler for answer.
I voted < 45%. I Thought you would fold more winning hands, but I guess not. The real answer is 12952855061940/27813810024000 or about 46.57 %.
You fold a winning hand just 1.4 % and a tie hand just 0.85%
Usual disclaimer about typos and/or brainos.
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98Clubs
98Clubs
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January 25th, 2013 at 11:52:22 PM permalink
First: thanks for miplet's help here. At the time of OP 5AM EST, I made several mistakes that added up to a correct answer C but using the wrong figure from D. The correct answer upon several rechecks hapens to be 46.31%, In doing the math I made an entry error an got 46.34% which is answer C.

Answer D is the percentage you will not lose, that also includes ties. Subtracting ties yields answer C.

Answer A is 50% minus the house edge, and B subtracts 1/2 of the House edge... both presuming Optimal Strategy.

The "Optimal Strategy" is based upon the Wizard's UTH page at the WoO site. Interesting here is that the "Lose" percentage is 50.47%, and the Win percentage is 46.31%, having a difference of 4.16%, yet the House Edge is 2.185%.

Carry On.
Some people need to reimagine their thinking.
tringlomane
tringlomane
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January 26th, 2013 at 12:02:28 AM permalink
Quote: 98Clubs



The "Optimal Strategy" is based upon the Wizard's UTH page at the WoO site. Interesting here is that the "Lose" percentage is 50.47%, and the Win percentage is 46.31%, having a difference of 4.16%, yet the House Edge is 2.185%.

Carry On.



Considering you have the option to bet multiple units on good hands before the river, and you are forced to play a crappy "blind" bet that pushes for the many trips or worse hands you beat the dealer with, I would call it more "coincidental".
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