7/15 -Cubs ml -118 ... 2% W
Indians ml -105 ... 1% WIN
Angels ml -130 .... 2% LOSS
Cubs -119 ... 2% LOSS
Angels -121... 2% WON
Indians -110 ... 1% LOSS
Indians -1.5 +135 ... 1% LOSS
Giants +121 ... 1% LOSS
Under 6 Giants/Padres ... 1% LOSS
ouch...1-5 down 4% arg..
Tigers ml -115 ... 4% WIN
Pirates ml +115 .. 3% WIN
MAriners +127ml ... 2% LOSS
Ov 7+105 Angels/Athletics .... 2% WIN
Under 9-115 White Sox/Tigers ....1% WIN
Under 7 Rangers/Mariners .... 1% WIN
5-1 +9%
Red Sox ml -133 1% Win
Under 8-115 1% Win
adding
Red Sox rl +115 1% LOSS
buying back the Under play...gained new info
Over 8-105 1% LOSS
2-2 -0.05%
Quote: buzzpaffAnd the purpose of these enlightening pots are related to a forum in what manner ??
They look like Sport bet picks and how much (s)he is betting as a percent of bankroll, later each post is edited on if the bet won or lost.
Quote: mipletThey look like Sport bet picks and how much (s)he is betting as a percent of bankroll, later each post is edited on if the bet won or lost.
And the purpose of these enlightening pots are related to a forum in what manner ??
Quote: buzzpaffAnd the purpose of these enlightening pots are related to a forum in what manner ??
i'm a handicapper, learning to to play blackjack and this site has been of great help. just trying to give something back. main purpose is to take money from vegas no? if its too much clutter i'll stop. sorry
Quote: FleaStiffI get it!! Major League Baseball. Ain't got nuttin' to do with Mandalay Bay.
i'm confused... what do u mean Mandalay Bay?
Quote: buzzpaffAnd the purpose of these enlightening pots are related to a forum in what manner ??
It's a forum about gambling, if you don't want to read his picks then don't read the thread. I often wonder about the purpose of your enlightening posts.
Orioles ml+115 3% LOSS
more to come later, just locking this in now
Rays ml +130 .... 2% LOSS
Indians ml -102 ... 2% gm2 WIN
Giants ml -130 2% WIN
final card BoL
2-2 -1%
no excuses, shoulda known that line for the Rays was too good to be true
Detroit ml -135 2% Win
Detroit rl +145 1% Win
Ov 8.5-115 Atheltics/Tigers 2% Win
more to come ...
Texas ml -130 .... 2% Win
Baltimore ml +108 .... 2% Win
Final Card
5-0 +9.45%
locking this one up before it moves any further...
Giants ml -130 2% LOSS
adding..
Tigers ml -130 2% LOSS
Twins ml -116 2% WIN
Orioles ml +116 2% LOSS
Rangers ml +126 2% LOSS
Final Card
1-4 -7.2%
Padres +152 ... 3% WIN
1-0 +4.56%
Quote: JimMorrisonIt's a forum about gambling, if you don't want to read his picks then don't read the thread. I often wonder about the purpose of your enlightening posts.
Actually have exchanged PM's. Suggested he might want to add something about his selection manner and or results. Only meant to offer constructive criticism. Will take your post as same for me. Thanks
7/22 locking these in early, positive line will move against us.
Giants ml -127 3% LOSS
Cubs ml -141 2% WIN
Under 8.5 Athletics/Yankees 2% LOSS
Rangers rl +110 2% WIN
2-2 -1.81%
Tigers ml +120 3% (will probably be closer to pick'em by morning) LOSS
more to come:
0-1 -3%
Mets/ Fla. Over 8.5 win
Tampa/K.C. Over 9 push
Quote: vaioicei'm a handicapper, learning to to play blackjack and this site has been of great help. just trying to give something back. main purpose is to take money from vegas no? if its too much clutter i'll stop. sorry
It would be helpful to us ignorant ones if you explained what your jargon means. For example, what is ml and rl. What are 2%,3% etc. Could you write out a typical line so I can learn what you are talking about?
rl runs line
% % of total bankroll he is betting
If he writes "Mets -120" 2% he is betting 2% of his bankroll, but is laying 120/100 (6 to 5) odds.
If he writes Mets -1 1/2 +115 3% he is betting 3% of his bankroll, giving 1 1/2 runs, but getting 115/100 odds. So if he bets 100 dollars and the Mets win by 2 or more he gets $115. If the Mets lose or win by one he loses $100.
By the way, in hockey the same thing is called a "puckline".
Quote: gamblerDo you do other sports? Like football and basketball? Those would be of more interest to me, when their seasons roll around. Or should I say, IF their seasons roll around.
I'd also be interested in NFL picks and College FB too!
Padres ml +210 2% (value play) WINNER
"Lee has been at his best at Citizens Bank Park, posting a 0.44 ERA in his last five starts there and going 6-0 with a 0.95 ERA in seven home starts since losing to Atlanta on May 6." - EPSN.com - LOL
i go through the same process for every game i cap, so here's a little take on what happens before the wager is decided.
Cliff Lee in 2011 following a start where he gave up a HR:
SU: 2-6 (-2.1 rpg) average line: -162 / +148 on / against: -$692 / +$632 ROI: -56.4% / +79.0%
RL: 2-6 (-3.2 rpg) average line: +105 / -115 on / against: -$470 / +$431 ROI: -51.4% / +42.0%
O/U: 2-6-0 (-1.3 rpg) average total: 7.2 over / under: -$500 / +$385 ROI: -48.1% / +41.0%
Harang on the road:
SU: 5-1 (2.7 rpg) average line: +138 / -152 on / against: +$580 / -$615 ROI: +93.9% / -73.2%
RL: 5-1 (3.7 rpg) average line: -143 / +130 on / against: +$400 / -$400 ROI: +42.6% / -60.6%
O/U: 3-3-0 (1.2 rpg) average total: 7.6 over / under: -$40 / -$25 ROI: -5.1% / -3.3%
Harang during DAY games:
SU: 6-1 (1.9 rpg) average line: +118 / -132 on / against: +$650 / -$680 ROI: +80.5% / -75.1%
RL: 6-1 (2.1 rpg) average line: -103 / -110 on / against: +$626 / -$654 ROI: +68.1% / -68.9%
O/U: 3-3-1 (0.1 rpg) average total: 7.2 over / under: -$50 / -$40 ROI: -5.6% / -4.6%
Padres on the road when total =7
SU: 7-4 (1.5 rpg) average line: +149 / -165 on / against: +$588 / -$658 ROI: +53.5% / -37.6%
RL: 10-1 (3.0 rpg) average line: -159 / +146 on / against: +$886 / -$895 ROI: +49.3% / -81.4%
O/U: 5-5-1 (0.0 rpg) average total: 7.0 over / under: -$60 / -$15 ROI: -4.4% / -1.2%
I believe the Padres have a better than 50% chance at winning this game, given the odds of +210, tremendous value IMO.
1-0 +4.2%
will be looking to add on the -2.5 when line becomes available. Davies is just horrible at night, and the way the Red Sox have been hammering the ball, i don't think its out of line to lay 2.5 runs and try to get a better price.
0-1 -4.2%
Mets / Cincinnati Under - 9 WIN
Could some help vaioice come up with some type of easy to read table or chart that he could fill in and post?
Rangers -1.5 +105 2% WIN
1-0 +2.1%
MON 25th 2-1: +2.1%
Pirates +170 3% LOSS, heartbreaker in the 19th
Braves are sloppy at the moment, vs Bucs team that's making use of every opportunity their opp. is giving them.
Hanson
adding:
Giants ml +104 3% Loss (wager was actually canceled because Timmy didn't start)
Red Sox -1.5 +105 2% Win
Red Sox -2.5 +168 1% Win
Angels ml -135 3% Win
Over 9+110 Baltimore/Toronto 2% Win
Full card. BoL
4-2 +2.88%
Colorado/Dodgers Under - 6 Win
Tigers FF +105 5% LOSS
Tigers -1.5 +160 1% LOSS
Yankees -1.5 +135 3% LOSS
Ov 8.5 Mariners/Yanks 2% WIN
1-3 -7%
must be outta my mind, i coulda sworn i replied with about 6 "small" plays after the horrendous morning. ohh well
Pirates ml +140 3% WIN +4.2
DBacks -103 2% LOSS -2.06
Tigers ml -131 3% LOSS -3.93
Tigers -1.5 +155 1% LOSS -1
Jays -1.5 +130 2% WIN +2.6
Rays ml +105 3% WIN +3.15
Astros FF +170 1% WIN +1.7
adding:
Cinci ml -130 3% J. Hirschbeck is behind HP... LOSS -3.9
Thursday Results 4-4 +0.76%
very fortunate after the horrendous start.
Tigers ml -131
Penny @ Home during DAY games
SU: 6-1 (2.1 rpg) average line: -120 / +110 on / against: +$510 / -$540 ROI: +59.9% / -73.0%
Penny @ Home following team loss
SU: 3-1 (-0.2 rpg) average line: +102 / -112 on / against: +$255 / -$285 ROI: +60.0% / -58.8%
Pineiro on the road with line<+150
SU: 2-5 (-1.9 rpg) average line: +115 / -125 on / against: -$291 / +$270 ROI: -40.9% / +31.0%
Pineiro on the road following team win
SU: 1-3 (1.2 rpg) average line: +122 / -132 on / against: -$156 / +$140 ROI: -38.4% / +26.5%
Rays ml +105
Rays on the road revenging 3 consecutive losses vs opp.
SU: 4-1 (2.0 rpg) average line: -114 / +104 on / against: +$300 / -$310 ROI: +49.5% / -58.9%
RL: 4-1 (1.7 rpg) average line: -135 / +120 on / against: +$352 / -$373 ROI: +50.3% / -61.8%
O/U: 1-3-1 (-1.2 rpg) average total: 7.6 over / under: -$250 / +$200 ROI: -36.0% / +32.0%
Rays on the road when total=7.5
SU: 15-12 (0.6 rpg) average line: -109 / -101 on / against: +$229 / -$354 ROI: +7.1% / -11.4%
RL: 19-8 (0.8 rpg) average line: -144 / +131 on / against: +$942 / -$1,052 ROI: +23.2% / -34.9%
O/U: 9-18-0 (-0.1 rpg) average total: 7.5 over / under: -$1,030 / +$770 ROI: -34.4% / +24.3%
DBacks ml -103
Padres @ Home when total=6.5
SU: 9-18 (-0.9 rpg) average line: -106 / -105 on / against: -$1,037 / +$925 ROI: -33.9% / +30.3%
RL: 8-19 (-0.9 rpg) average line: +114 / -128 on / against: -$1,361 / +$1,210 ROI: -39.0% / +30.5%
Padres @ Home after 2 or more consecutive Overs
SU: 3-6 (-0.7 rpg) average line: -114 / +104 on / against: -$391 / +$336 ROI: -37.3% / +35.8%
RL: 2-7 (-1.2 rpg) average line: +143 / -159 on / against: -$571 / +$528 ROI: -52.1% / +35.1%
DBacks as a road fav of -100 to -150
SU: 9-2 (1.9 rpg) average line: -115 / +105 on / against: +$675 / -$700 ROI: +52.7% / -62.8%
RL: 7-4 (0.7 rpg) average line: +115 / -129 on / against: +$577 / -$652 ROI: +47.1% / -39.0%
O/U: 4-7-0 (0.4 rpg) average total: 7.4 over / under: -$350 / +$230 ROI: -27.8% / +16.7%
Minnesota / Texas Over - 9.5 LOSS
Giants ml +103 3% LOSS
Padres ml -120 3% LOSS
Red Sox ml +100 3% LOSS
Indians ml -130 2% LOSS
Marlins ml +150 1% LOSS
ouch... Ofer today, gonna take it slow on sat.
Angels/Detroit Over - 9.5 WIN
Boston/Chicago Over - 8 WIN
Minnesota/Oakland Over - 8 WIN
Red Sox ml +106 ... WIN
Yankees -1.5 +105 WIN
Rays -1.5 +145 WIN
Brewers -1 -132 Push
Reds -1 -111 WIN
Cardinals -1 -103 LOSS
Dodgers -1 +129 LOSS
Atheltics -1 -101 WIN
Under 8.5 Rangers/Jays -115 LOSS
5-3-1 +2.38