2011 NBA Playoffs
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerNot that I'm offering advice or anything, but I put 1 large on the Blazers over the Mavs last night. Seems like the surest bet so far ...
Uh....they play basketball, not soccer. Might want to retrieve your bet if possible.
Quote: dmUh....they play basketball, not soccer. Might want to retrieve your bet if possible.
Wow ... did I put NBA instead of MLS in the thread title by mistake? :P
Quote: AltutI like it. Portland is surprising in that it is a match-up nightmare for Dallas and even the Lakers, even though they are a relatively obscure team. Was your bet for the 1st game or the series?
But what were you thinking with a post that actually has something to do with betting here?
I didn't bet game-by-game since it's a little more squirrelly, but I would guess Dallas will win the first game. Portland is a terrible road team, but I do see them taking at least 1 in Dallas, but I wouldn't guess the first. And I don't see Dallas winning in Portland at all.
FWIW, I'm a big Mavs fan and live in Dallas. And, I'm 9-0 on my last 9 sports bets.
I've made most of my successful NFL bets betting on NFC North teams, and will happily bet against the Lions if the line is stupid. Obviously, betting against the Lions has been easier in the last few seasons, which has meant last year there was some great lines when betting with them.
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerI didn't bet game-by-game since it's a little more squirrelly, but I would guess Dallas will win the first game. Portland is a terrible road team, but I do see them taking at least 1 in Dallas, but I wouldn't guess the first. And I don't see Dallas winning in Portland at all.
FWIW, I'm a big Mavs fan and live in Dallas. And, I'm 9-0 on my last 9 sports bets.
Hey, I'm from Temple. If the Mavs leave Brewer off the roster they deserve to lose. Otherwise, I don't think they will play dead this year.
Quote: thecesspitit can be easier to do in some ways. You know the team, you know it's strengths and weaknesses, and if it's another team you've seen a lot of, it can be easier to see a good bet that the general public may not.
I've made most of my successful NFL bets betting on NFC North teams, and will happily bet against the Lions if the line is stupid. Obviously, betting against the Lions has been easier in the last few seasons, which has meant last year there was some great lines when betting with them.
Yeah, that's pretty much exactly right ... it's probably the main reason I'm 9-0, and 15-1 (stupid French!). All bets were on games where I was pretty certain (whatever that means when it comes to sports betting) I would win, and they all involved teams I know very well ... Cowboys, Mavs, World Cup games, USA national soccer team, Stanford, and TCU. 15-1 isn't perfect, but it's still +14, which ain't bad.
It's not a lot of betting, and because I'm so sure of the result, it's not a lot of drama. It's always more fun when my team is on the right side of it, but hey, who around here wasn't rooting for Wade Phillips to get fired? May as well make some money if the team is going nowhere.
That's what happens when you brag, I guess ... sigh.
Quote: dmEven if they had, Dallas is one of the best road teams in the NBA.
I'd have to research Dallas's road record, but I do know that POR was 31-10 before tonite. And they won tonite.
I still think I'll lose my bet, but there's no doubt POR is a terrific home team, and it is still *possible* - however improbable - that they will win the series.
FWWI, I feel like a traitor to the home team, but it is a large ...
Quote: EricayneSo how do you feel about your Mavs vs. the Thunder starting tonight?
Well, as a fan, I'm happy. As a bettor, I obviously do not have the feel for this team that I thought, so I'm not putting anything on or against them. FWIW, I didn't put anything on them v. the Lakers even though I was VERY tempted to throw that good money after bad.
Even though I am Laker fan, I'm stoked to be watching some amazing basketball in these playoffs. Can't wait to see the finals....
Quote: EricayneDude.....your Mavs are filthy good right now!! That's now 5 straight playoff road wins....amazing!! They are now 9-1 ATS the last 10 games!! Soccer: I totally understand why you didn't wager on your Mavs based on past playoff history. But you've got to admit now this is a completely different team. Their next game at home is chalked at -6.5...just thought I'd throw that out to you. The Thunder will not recover from last night's loss.
Even though I am Laker fan, I'm stoked to be watching some amazing basketball in these playoffs. Can't wait to see the finals....
How can I not admit that? I'm ecstatic as a fan, last night was the single best, most memorable, and important pro basketball game for the franchise, even the 2006 Game 7 v. Spurs!
But here's the thing ...
I was on this forum last night when there was about 5 minutes left in the game last night. I was *THIS* close to betting any amount of money that the Mavs would lose that game, as well as shooting my mouth off with a little Mavs sports-hate. Good thing I didn't.
For whatever reason ... well, maybe a well-known reason ... there's still a reticence around here. I don't pretend to know what Red Sox and Cubs fans feel, but my guess is, our corporate feelings about the Mavs at least bark up that same tree.
Be that as it may ... I don't bet on sports often, but when I do, I bet with a Dos Equis in my hand (couldnt' resist)! When I do, I'm pretty confident because I get this "feel" for teams. If I don't have that "feel," I won't bet. I'm 14-2 in my last 16 bets (including the following bet) dating back to about when I joined this forum.
Well, I put a large on the Blazers over the Mavs, and after Game 4, I thought I was a winner. But I obviously don't have the correct "feel" for this Mavs team. That has been shown at the Lakers series, and again last night. So, I'm thinking I'll root for them but I won't bet on/against them. Even though my "feeling" is that the Thunder are cooked. Games in this series have been decided by 9, 6, 6, and 5, and I just don't believe it will be another G4 v. Lakers.
But I may be too close to them. If you're feeling it, go for it! I'll cheer for you to win the bet!
Quote: EricayneDude.....your Mavs are filthy good right now!! That's now 5 straight playoff road wins....amazing!! They are now 9-1 ATS the last 10 games!! Soccer: I totally understand why you didn't wager on your Mavs based on past playoff history. But you've got to admit now this is a completely different team. Their next game at home is chalked at -6.5...just thought I'd throw that out to you. The Thunder will not recover from last night's loss.
Even though I am Laker fan, I'm stoked to be watching some amazing basketball in these playoffs. Can't wait to see the finals....
Well, Mavs by 4. Can't wait for the Finals!
Just gotta say ... I'm a VERY big fan of Durant and OCK now. I think they have a really bright future, and will definitely be back. And, KD's work on the national basketball team just makes me a bigger fan!
'Nuf said.
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerJust gotta say ... I'm a VERY big fan of Durant and OCK now. I think they have a really bright future, and will definitely be back. And, KD's work on the national basketball team just makes me a bigger fan!
I think that Kevin Durrant needs another year or two to become a more demanding player. He seems almost like too nice of a guy down the stretch and you need to have a slight chip on the shoulder and demand the basketball in the last few minutes. It almost seems like he is just going with the flow.
I also like the future that Oklahoma has.
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerWell, Mavs by 4.....
This is why no one on this forum should ever take my sports betting advice ever.....EVER....E.V.E.R!!!!
It didn't work very well in NFL football, it sure didn't work out last night.....
1) Dallas or Miami
2) How many games
3) Total score of last game, without going over, as a tie breaker.
Quote: SOOPOORooting for Mavs...... but Heat in 5 199pts.
Wrong. Mavs in 6.
Betting: no action from me!
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerWrong. Mavs in 6.
Total points?
edit: Sorry SooPoo, I mis remembered your post. I'll cheer for them for you.
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerI think ... I'm *actually* starting to believe in the Mavs!
do they have to be the cardiac kids all the time? Coming back from 15 points down 4th quarter seems to be their deal!
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerI think ... I'm *actually* starting to believe in the Mavs!
Believe!!! The Heatles didn't think Dirk could go left because of his messed up finger.
So what does Dirk do?? Drive for a left handed layup to tie the game...and again....to win the game.
Down 12 @ Portland....
Down 16 @ LA.....
Down 15 @ OKC.....
and now down 15 @ Miami.....
Road tested.....
Believe!!!
Quote: dmWow! How could the Mavs win game 4 with NO ONE playing anywhere near their best, except Chandler, maybe? The Heat even had a sixth man on their side calling fouls for Wade.
It's crazy. I'm starting to believe in them too. It's like Secretariat, always coming from way behind.
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerWrong. Mavs in 6.
Woo hoo! How 'bout them Mavs?!? I didn't bet on it, and this prediction wasn't a "feeling" as much as it was, hey, we're not winning a game 7, so if we win, it will be in 6.
Anyway, not that anybody cares, but jee-ZUS, are LeBron and Wade really that dense and ego-arrogant? How can two guys have so little self-awareness? They're both unloveable Michael Scott's. What dee-bags.
If only my beloved Pacers could pull off such a stunt...sigh....
Quote: ItsCalledSoccerWoo hoo! How 'bout them Mavs?!? I didn't bet on it, and this prediction wasn't a "feeling" as much as it was, hey, we're not winning a game 7, so if we win, it will be in 6.
Anyway, not that anybody cares, but jee-ZUS, are LeBron and Wade really that dense and ego-arrogant? How can two guys have so little self-awareness? They're both unloveable Michael Scott's. What dee-bags.
What did they do?
Quote: avargovthe little mavericks
High five to an apparent fellow P1!
Nice to see the Mavs win. The last game I had gone to before this season was Game 2 of the 2006 finals. I'm glad that that game is no longer the pinnacle of Mav's history.
Bill Simmons said he had gone large on the Mavs in 6 at +420. Not bad. I'm not a sports bettor but I like his writing and I think he broke off espn.com so he could talk up the gambling side a bit more. Are the sports bettors here usually respectful of his opinions or is he just another blowhard writer?
Quote: progrockerHigh five to an apparent fellow P1!
<fart> The kids like that!
As a long time sports gambler, my opinions of Simmons are as follows:
1. He's pretty up front about which sports he knows well and which not as well.
2. For the sports he knows well (ex. NBA), he makes a lot of solid plays. He's also good at recognizing underdog teams that are improving as the season goes on, which keeps him ahead of the curve.
3. However, for sports he doesn't know very well (ex. college basketball), it's usually better to take anything he says with a grain of salt (or many).
4. Probably his biggest weakness (and the most common weakness of the public in sports betting) is that he overreacts to individual games. When an otherwise good team lays an egg, he wants to place that in some kind of overarching context (a common issue with sports writers) when sometimes there is no overarching context. Great teams play badly sometimes...it happens. Put it this way: if he did power rankings like most handicappers do, they'd shuffle A LOT week to week.
5. And obviously, all that goes DOUBLE for any team from Boston. To the Sports Guy, all Boston teams are either unstoppable juggernauts or fatally flawed and there's no middle ground. It's better not to put much stock in his Boston opinions.
I find him to be entertaining, and his podcasts with Cousin Sal where they guess NFL lines are not to be missed.
Quote: ItsCalledSoccer<fart> The kids like that!
C'Mon ICS...you know the little ticket is better than 103.3. I can't even listen to ESPN anymore. They take sports WAAAAAYYYYYY too seriously. I think 1310 is a nice balance of good sports talk and manbro entertainment.
That being said....haven't been a p1 since 2005 when I started this driving gig.
