Sports betting chatter
Yesavage over K’s
Blue Jays win
Clement hit
Kirk hit
Bichette hit.
Nice boosted parlay yesterday
My favorite one was Nuggets win/Jokic triple double. It was only +150. But Jokic has zero non triple doubles this year and Nuggets were huge favorites. The worry is always Nuggets are so far ahead Jokic sits 4th quarter
Jokic has started with 4 triple doubles. Only Oscar Robertson has ever done that. But no one has ever started with 5. You don’t think if Jokic is an assist short towards the end of his next game they don’t do everything they can to get him that 10th assist?
My other good bet was Randle over points. Whenever Edwards isn’t playing that’s a good bet. He had 22 at halftime!
Quote: billryanOne big difference is that Oscar had no idea if he was a rebound or assist short of a triple-double. I'm sure he had dozens or more games when he sat out extensive time and ended up one short.
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True. Apparently I missed that Westbrook also started a season with 4 triple doubles. So far this year the tally (not including last night if there were any)
Jokiic. 4
Rest of NBA. 1
And still someone will come up with a reason to deny him the MVP.
My correlated parlays for last night all lost. The one that hurt was Sabres win/ over 6.5 / Dahlin point. Dahlin scored Sabres first goal. Sabres lost 4-3 in OT….
Quote: billryanI suspect Wilt had a double double in the vast majority of his games, and doubt he is alone.
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It’s the 10 assists added to the easy points/rebounds double double that makes a triple double special for a center. Guards like Nash/Kidd/Young easily get a bunch of points/assists double doubles and rarely get the rebound component.
Quote: SOOPOOQuote: billryanI suspect Wilt had a double double in the vast majority of his games, and doubt he is alone.
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It’s the 10 assists added to the easy points/rebounds double double that makes a triple double special for a center. Guards like Nash/Kidd/Young easily get a bunch of points/assists double doubles and rarely get the rebound component.
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A triple-double is genuinely a rare achievement, and the quad-double should be celebrated widely; however, a star center or power forward should routinely achieve ten points and ten rebounds.
A star point guard should get ten points and ten assists if he is earning his paycheck.
A double double is akin to a quality start in baseball.
12:00 game
Houston - 13 over WVU
don't like giving up this many points but WVU has gotten crushed several times
Houston is ranked 22 nationally
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bounce back time looks like scottfox jr had something to say about that. Wvu 45-35 fox had 3 touchdownsQuote: lilredrooster.
12:00 game
Houston - 13 over WVU
don't like giving up this many points but WVU has gotten crushed several times
Houston is ranked 22 nationally
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The last time the NFL had both teams have more penalties than first downs was fifty years ago. The only other time this has happened was in 1976, when two winless expansion teams (Seattle and Tampa Bay) met for the first time.
#7 in the country BYU is getting 10.5 against #8 Texas Tech. The Red Raiders defensive pass rush is incredible but I can't pass up 10.5 points for a team I expect to throw a lot of quick short passes. I also have to root for BYU because their quarterback wears number 47.
Quote: DRichAnyone interested in the BYU/Texas Tech game?
#7 in the country BYU is getting 10.5 against #8 Texas Tech. The Red Raiders defensive pass rush is incredible but I can't pass up 10.5 points for a team I expect to throw a lot of quick short passes. I also have to root for BYU because their quarterback wears number 47.
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Some betting analyst gave this…. Top 10 teams that are over 10 point underdogs to lower ranked teams tend to be crushed, losing on average by 20 + points. Making Texas Tech his bet of the century. Until next week at least.
Florida Atlantic - 3.5 over Tulsa
Tulsa is last, 0-5 in its' Conference - FAU is 2-3 in the same Conference
FAU is 2-1 at home, Tulsa is 1-3 away
last year Tulsa was favored at home and FAU won by 47
FAU was a 3.5 fave over Florida A&M at home in September and beat them by 42
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Quote: SOOPOOQuote: DRichAnyone interested in the BYU/Texas Tech game?
#7 in the country BYU is getting 10.5 against #8 Texas Tech. The Red Raiders defensive pass rush is incredible but I can't pass up 10.5 points for a team I expect to throw a lot of quick short passes. I also have to root for BYU because their quarterback wears number 47.
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Some betting analyst gave this…. Top 10 teams that are over 10 point underdogs to lower ranked teams tend to be crushed, losing on average by 20 + points. Making Texas Tech his bet of the century. Until next week at least.
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Everybody seems to be on his side. The line moved from 10.5 to 13.5 (a huge move). I guess I have to bet more at 13.5.
Quote: DRichQuote: SOOPOOQuote: DRichAnyone interested in the BYU/Texas Tech game?
#7 in the country BYU is getting 10.5 against #8 Texas Tech. The Red Raiders defensive pass rush is incredible but I can't pass up 10.5 points for a team I expect to throw a lot of quick short passes. I also have to root for BYU because their quarterback wears number 47.
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Some betting analyst gave this…. Top 10 teams that are over 10 point underdogs to lower ranked teams tend to be crushed, losing on average by 20 + points. Making Texas Tech his bet of the century. Until next week at least.
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Everybody seems to be on his side. The line moved from 10.5 to 13.5 (a huge move). I guess I have to bet more at 13.5.
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I hope you didn’t. Game not over but BYU was a paper lion.
Last night was a great example of the difficulty in betting player props. Jokic was on pace for another easy triple double but he was so good they didn’t need him for his usual minutes. Sat for the end of the 4th quarter and ended with 9 assists and 9 rebounds. Closer game he makes his usual triple double.
Quote: SOOPOO
I hope you didn’t. Game not over but BYU was a paper lion.
Unfortunately, I did.
Lions - 8 over Commanders
Commanders have been a disaster in just about every way - they're even getting booed at home
they've lost their last 3 games by 24, 21 and 22
even the lowly Cowboys crushed them
the Lions have a winning record and crushed the Bucs who are tied for the best record in the NFC
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Quote: lilredrooster.
Lions - 8 over Commanders
Commanders have been a disaster in just about every way - they're even getting booed at home
they've lost their last 3 games by 24, 21 and 22
even the lowly Cowboys crushed them
the Lions have a winning record and crushed the Bucs who are tied for the best record in the NFC
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Bam! Great pick.
I’m still alive in my $1,000,000 survivor pool. I had Seahawks today. Started with around 150,000. Down to around 7,000. I have Steelers over Bengals next week.
I can’t cash out, but they list my present value at around $160. (The prize money is actually over $1.1 million, but they still call it ‘the $1,000,000 survivor pool).
I’m thinking this event may be the straw that breaks the camels back with regards to certain prop bets.
Quote: SOOPOOIt’s been in the making for a while, but Luis Ortiz and Emmanuel Clase were just indicted for fixing certain prop bets. You can bet on the MPH of a specific pitch. Clase allegedly told cohorts that his first pitch would be a fastball (bet over) or a curveball (bet under). Clase’s next contract likely would have exceeded $100 million.
I’m thinking this event may be the straw that breaks the camels back with regards to certain prop bets.
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I agree. I'd like to see individual pitch bets banned. As well as things like a player getting caught stealing or making an error. All that stuff should be one-sided lines where the one side is the player executing something good for his team.
The way I think of it, anything I could go out there and do I won't bet on. And I could definitely throw a baseball and miss home plate, get caught stealing by about 30 feet, or fall on my ass trying to make a play.
Yeah, I don't understand why anybody who is going to make tens of millions Plus dollars would ever think about doing something idiotic like that.Quote: SOOPOOIt’s been in the making for a while, but Luis Ortiz and Emmanuel Clase were just indicted for fixing certain prop bets. You can bet on the MPH of a specific pitch. Clase allegedly told cohorts that his first pitch would be a fastball (bet over) or a curveball (bet under). Clase’s next contract likely would have exceeded $100 million.
I’m thinking this event may be the straw that breaks the camels back with regards to certain prop bets.
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Quote: AxelWolfYeah, I don't understand why anybody who is going to make tens of millions Plus dollars would ever think about doing something idiotic like that.Quote: SOOPOOIt’s been in the making for a while, but Luis Ortiz and Emmanuel Clase were just indicted for fixing certain prop bets. You can bet on the MPH of a specific pitch. Clase allegedly told cohorts that his first pitch would be a fastball (bet over) or a curveball (bet under). Clase’s next contract likely would have exceeded $100 million.
I’m thinking this event may be the straw that breaks the camels back with regards to certain prop bets.
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These guys are in their 20s. They still think showing off for their friends and relatives is important.
It's been shown that the excessive risk-taking of young males is not due to underestimating the risk as much as overestimating the reward. I remember when "so everyone will think I'm awesome!" was a good enough reason to do something stupid that was a risk to me.
Quote: SOOPOOIt’s been in the making for a while, but Luis Ortiz and Emmanuel Clase were just indicted for fixing certain prop bets. You can bet on the MPH of a specific pitch. Clase allegedly told cohorts that his first pitch would be a fastball (bet over) or a curveball (bet under). Clase’s next contract likely would have exceeded $100 million.
I’m thinking this event may be the straw that breaks the camels back with regards to certain prop bets.
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What does he need $100 million for? It is said he got paid thousands for tipping the pitches. It is alleged that the ones caught betting it made less than $500k.
college game today
Akron - 6.5 over Kent State
Akron is 3-2 at home, Kent St. is 0-5 away
Akron last week crushed UMass by 34 at home and they beat Duquesne by 44 at home
2 weeks ago Akron beat Buffalo by 8 when they were away and 10 point underdogs
Kent St. got crushed by not so great Toledo when away by 35
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Quote: lilredrooster.
college game today
Akron - 6.5 over Kent State
Akron is 3-2 at home, Kent St. is 0-5 away
Akron last week crushed UMass by 34 at home and they beat Duquesne by 44 at home
2 weeks ago Akron beat Buffalo by 8 when they were away and 10 point underdogs
Kent St. got crushed by not so great Toledo when away by 35
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Not sure where or when you got your line, but I just tried to get it. I had to lay -145 to get -6.5. But I did! Lilred is on fire!
Quote: SOOPOO
Not sure where or when you got your line, but I just tried to get it. I had to lay -145 to get -6.5. But I did! Lilred is on fire!
sorry you lost your bet
the fire has cooled down
things often don't happen as they look like they should - I'm sure you already know that
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Quote: SOOPOOSOOPOO parlay. Knicks/Thunder.
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Had the Knicks scored 25 more points they would have been right in it.
I’m sure it’s -EV, but sucker SOOPOO is betting on Wisconsin over in points tomorrow. I did my due diligence, and their offense SUCKS, and planned on a bet on under 13 or so. But the number was 6.5! ONE TD and extra point and I win. (They have been shut out twice, and are playing #2 Indiana.).
I’m also doing a parlay on Wisconsin over 6.5/Indiana over 37.5.
Looking for 38-7?
I have Steelers in suicide pool. Not confident.
UNLV - 6 over Utah State
UNLV has had some impressive wins
USU has a weird record - 5-0 at home, and 0-4 away
they've been crushed every single time they've played away - by 19, 22, 20 and 22
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Quote: SOOPOO
Had the Knicks scored 25 more points they would have been right in it.
I’m sure it’s -EV, but sucker SOOPOO is betting on Wisconsin over in points tomorrow. I did my due diligence, and their offense SUCKS, and planned on a bet on under 13 or so. But the number was 6.5! ONE TD and extra point and I win. (They have been shut out twice, and are playing #2 Indiana.).
I’m also doing a parlay on Wisconsin over 6.5/Indiana over 37.5.
Looking for 38-7?
I have Steelers in suicide pool. Not confident.
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I believe Wisconsin is starting a new QB today which I don't consider a negative as the last one wasn't putting up any points. I would consider over 6.5 a solid bet as even a single turnover could help produce a touchdown.
Same concept for over on prop bets for the starters.
I am doing very well this year in one of their contests: the ESPN NFL Picks - Confidence. Each week a contestant picks the winner of each NFL game and rank orders their picks from one to 16 points (or 15 or 14 -depending upon how many games there are that week).
So, right at this moment I am in 69th place (out of more than 1 Million), in the 99.9 percentile. I have 898 points while going 104-44 with my picks.
you were almost right on it. Indiana won 31-7Quote: SOOPOOQuote: SOOPOOSOOPOO parlay. Knicks/Thunder.
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Had the Knicks scored 25 more points they would have been right in it.
I’m sure it’s -EV, but sucker SOOPOO is betting on Wisconsin over in points tomorrow. I did my due diligence, and their offense SUCKS, and planned on a bet on under 13 or so. But the number was 6.5! ONE TD and extra point and I win. (They have been shut out twice, and are playing #2 Indiana.).
I’m also doing a parlay on Wisconsin over 6.5/Indiana over 37.5.
Looking for 38-7?
I have Steelers in suicide pool. Not confident.
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Mahomes under 261.5 passing yards - 114
the Broncos lead the league in sacks and have an excellent defense - have held opponents to 206 passing yards per game
Broncos have so far 46 sacks - 14 sacks ahead of 2nd place team
I'm hoping they will get to Mahomes, rattle his cage
lost my last pick - 2-2 on last 4 - hoping to get ahead with this one
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Quote: lilredrooster.
Mahomes under 261.5 passing yards - 114
the Broncos lead the league in sacks and have an excellent defense - have held opponents to 206 passing yards per game
Broncos have so far 46 sacks - 14 sacks ahead of 2nd place team
I'm hoping they will get to Mahomes, rattle his cage
lost my last pick - 2-2 on last 4 - hoping to get ahead with this one
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Usually I can’t find a line as good as you post. Today I got much better. I got Mahomes at under 266.5. SOOPOO hit all 3 UFC parlays, but all faves. They ended up around +200 each. Made up for my 0 for NBA/NCAAF/NHL.
I forgot to bet my Jokic TD/ Nuggets win. Oh well.
