moses
moses
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April 5th, 2022 at 6:59:06 PM permalink
The Colorado Rockies were 102-59 in 2021 if you bet on them at home and against them on the road

August 16th, 2021 at 8:56:46 AMpermalink
Rockies are 83-35. Betting on at home and against on the road. 25-13 since last update at 58-22.

94-41 through Septemer 4th. 11-6 since August 16.

But was 8-18 the remainder of the season when they were out if the race.

Thoughts? Comments?
moses
moses
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April 22nd, 2022 at 10:47:42 AM permalink
Teams getting out of the gate.

Mets 10-4
Dodgers 9-3
Rockies 8-4


Teams stumbling out of the gate.

Reds 2-11
Rangers 3-9
Orioles 4-9

Hidden gems?

Pirates 9-4. If you bet on them at home and against them on the road.
moses
moses
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April 22nd, 2022 at 10:56:13 AM permalink
If I bet to win $1000 per game 102-59. That's $43k. Dang that's KJ type $$$$.😃
unJon
unJon
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April 22nd, 2022 at 2:04:28 PM permalink
Quote: moses

The Colorado Rockies were 102-59 in 2021 if you bet on them at home and against them on the road

August 16th, 2021 at 8:56:46 AMpermalink
Rockies are 83-35. Betting on at home and against on the road. 25-13 since last update at 58-22.

94-41 through Septemer 4th. 11-6 since August 16.

But was 8-18 the remainder of the season when they were out if the race.

Thoughts? Comments?
link to original post



I find it difficult to draw a conclusion about the above stats since we don’t have the odds. If they were favored at home and dogs on the road, it will impact whether and how profitable these bets are.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
moses
moses
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April 22nd, 2022 at 2:40:35 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: moses

The Colorado Rockies were 102-59 in 2021 if you bet on them at home and against them on the road

August 16th, 2021 at 8:56:46 AMpermalink
Rockies are 83-35. Betting on at home and against on the road. 25-13 since last update at 58-22.

94-41 through Septemer 4th. 11-6 since August 16.

But was 8-18 the remainder of the season when they were out if the race.

Thoughts? Comments?
link to original post



I find it difficult to draw a conclusion about the above stats since we don’t have the odds. If they were favored at home and dogs on the road, it will impact whether and how profitable these bets are.
link to original post



I found the information at www.covers.com. under past results and click back to 2021.

I'm curious myself, so I will review soon.
Last edited by: moses on Apr 22, 2022
moses
moses
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April 23rd, 2022 at 2:04:56 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: moses

The Colorado Rockies were 102-59 in 2021 if you bet on them at home and against them on the road

August 16th, 2021 at 8:56:46 AMpermalink
Rockies are 83-35. Betting on at home and against on the road. 25-13 since last update at 58-22.

94-41 through Septemer 4th. 11-6 since August 16.

But was 8-18 the remainder of the season when they were out if the race.

Thoughts? Comments?
link to original post



The Rockies were 48-33 at home. If you bet $1000 on them as dogs and bet to win $1000 as favorites, your profit would be $19,710 in homes games.

They were 26-54 on the road. I have to look up each team they beat as a dog to get the favorites line. Unless you know of a way to estimate.
moses
moses
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April 23rd, 2022 at 2:14:47 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: moses

The Colorado Rockies were 102-59 in 2021 if you bet on them at home and against them on the road

August 16th, 2021 at 8:56:46 AMpermalink
Rockies are 83-35. Betting on at home and against on the road. 25-13 since last update at 58-22.

94-41 through Septemer 4th. 11-6 since August 16.

But was 8-18 the remainder of the season when they were out if the race.

Thoughts? Comments?
link to original post



I find it difficult to draw a conclusion about the above stats since we don’t have the odds. If they were favored at home and dogs on the road, it will impact whether and how profitable these bets are.
link to original post



The Rockies were 48-33 at home. If you bet $1000 on them as dogs and bet to win $1000 as favorites, your profit would be $19,710 in homes games.

They were 26-54 on the road. I have to look up each team they beat as a dog to get the favorites line. Unless you know of a way to estimate.
unJon
unJon
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April 23rd, 2022 at 2:16:11 PM permalink
I don’t know. Impressive return on the home games. Looks like they were more dog than favored.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
moses
moses
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April 23rd, 2022 at 2:46:40 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

I don’t know. Impressive return on the home games. Looks like they were more dog than favored.
link to original post



They were a dog in 40 games. Between -110 and 110 in 17 games. A favorite in 25 games.

Betting against them on the road would have rendered another $8,900. Not as much as I thought.
unJon
unJon
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April 23rd, 2022 at 4:54:36 PM permalink
Quote: moses

Quote: unJon

I don’t know. Impressive return on the home games. Looks like they were more dog than favored.
link to original post



They were a dog in 40 games. Between -110 and 110 in 17 games. A favorite in 25 games.

Betting against them on the road would have rendered another $8,900. Not as much as I thought.
link to original post



That makes sense to me. Assume for the most part that you were laying favs betting against them on the road.
The race is not always to the swift, nor the battle to the strong; but that is the way to bet.
moses
moses
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April 23rd, 2022 at 7:42:05 PM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: moses

Quote: unJon

I don’t know. Impressive return on the home games. Looks like they were more dog than favored.
link to original post



They were a dog in 40 games. Between -110 and 110 in 17 games. A favorite in 25 games.

Betting against them on the road would have rendered another $8,900. Not as much as I thought.
link to original post



That makes sense to me. Assume for the most part that you were laying favs betting against them on the road.
link to original post



A friend posed the question. But when do you start?

I think the time to stop would be when they are eliminated from playoffs. I start betting at the 1/4 pole. 40 games played and 20 on road and 20 at home. But I'm trying to widen my scope.
moses
moses
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May 3rd, 2022 at 12:19:39 PM permalink
At the 1/8 pole.

Teams above. 600
Yankees 17-6
Mets 16-8
Dodgers 14-7
Padres 15-8
Brewers 15-8
Giants 14-8
Blue Jay's- Angels 15-9
Twins 14-9

Teams below .400

Reds 3-19
Royals - Tigers 7-14
Nationals 8-16
Red Sox 9-14
Orioles 8-15
Rangers 8-14

Betting on Teams at home and against them on the road

Mariners 16-7
Phillies 15-8
Rockies 14-8
White Sox 14-8
moses
moses
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May 4th, 2022 at 8:04:23 AM permalink
Like in horse racing, teams tend to take form by the 1/4 point of the season. It's rare teams above .600 suddenly go bad. The problem is the money line gets so bloomin high by August it's impossible to find value.

So I'm looking at run lines on the upper echelon teams. Maybe go 50% run and 50% money lines.

Samething with these home away teams.

If they do reverse course there is a stop point. Covid made it very difficult to handicap.

I'm still a little foggy on my financial strategy which will be almost daily. I normally just went with my high value picks which total about 30 per season.
Last edited by: moses on May 4, 2022
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