Boz
Boz
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December 16th, 2019 at 4:21:01 PM permalink
Baltimore seems to be an overwhelming favorite at certain legal US books. Saints, Pats, Chiefs, 49ers and Seahawks are all +600 to +900 to win it.

Can anyone calculate if there is an advantage to betting all 5 against the Ravens?

Not sure what formula you would use to find if there is any advantage.

Seems you are taking 5 teams against Baltimore at +120 or more.
Boz
Boz
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December 16th, 2019 at 4:26:17 PM permalink
Baltimore is +215 at this point. And you are not getting GB at 12/1 or the Cowboys, Eagles, Bills, Texans, Steelers, Vikings or Colts. Not sure any of them have a legitimate shot but some may feel differently.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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December 16th, 2019 at 4:44:44 PM permalink
Don't know the value of either bet, but 5dimes is currently offering this:

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl +245
Field wins Super Bowl LIV -290

If you want to have the bet on one of those props at these odds, but you don't have a 5d account, I will test it and see what the maximum bet is for this "prop bet" (and put the money on with 5d for you)

Note: some prop bets are as low as "$50 down", or "to win $50" per bet, but because this is the SB the limits "should" be higher.
Boz
Boz
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December 16th, 2019 at 4:55:28 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Don't know the value of either bet, but 5dimes is currently offering this:

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl +245
Field wins Super Bowl LIV -290

If you want to have the bet on one of those props at these odds, but you don't have a 5d account, I will test it and see what the maximum bet is for this "prop bet" (and put the money on with 5d for you)

Note: some prop bets are as low as "$50 down", or "to win $50" per bet, but because this is the SB the limits "should" be higher.



Thanks. Iím feeling one of the 5 listed wins at +120 if Ravens donít. The -290 isnít close to worth it adding in the teams not covered in the +120 bet.

Probably putting too much out there at this point.
ksdjdj
ksdjdj
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December 16th, 2019 at 5:35:04 PM permalink
If you are allowed to use / look at betfair in the US now, then the link below may be helpful***
***Even if you can't bet with them, it is another site you can use to work out the "roughly fair odds/chances" for each team.

https://www.betfair.com.au/exchange/plus/american-football/market/1.154528999

Update (about 537 pm) : FYI, if you are allowed to but have never bet with them before, they charge a 5% commission on your "SB market net winnings" if your bet wins (if your bet loses you don't pay the commission).

Update 2 (about 605 pm): I live in Australia and just saw that the "betfair link" above is ".au", so if you can look at betfair in the US, it may be better to just search for it, since I can't provide a direct link to the US site (if there is one).
Last edited by: ksdjdj on Dec 16, 2019
michael99000
michael99000
Joined: Jul 10, 2010
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December 16th, 2019 at 6:02:02 PM permalink
Quote: ksdjdj

Don't know the value of either bet, but 5dimes is currently offering this:

Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl +245
Field wins Super Bowl LIV -290

If you want to have the bet on one of those props at these odds, but you don't have a 5d account, I will test it and see what the maximum bet is for this "prop bet" (and put the money on with 5d for you)

Note: some prop bets are as low as "$50 down", or "to win $50" per bet, but because this is the SB the limits "should" be higher.



You could bet the ravens moneyline in both playoff games and the super bowl , and keep rolling over the original bet plus the winnings into the next bet. That might end up giving you much better than +245 for the same outcome. All depends on how good the opponents are in the AFC title game and SB
Mission146
Mission146
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December 16th, 2019 at 7:20:13 PM permalink
Quote: Boz

Baltimore seems to be an overwhelming favorite at certain legal US books. Saints, Pats, Chiefs, 49ers and Seahawks are all +600 to +900 to win it.

Can anyone calculate if there is an advantage to betting all 5 against the Ravens?

Not sure what formula you would use to find if there is any advantage.

Seems you are taking 5 teams against Baltimore at +120 or more.



I might try to look into the overall question more deeply, but it occurs to me that at least 2/3 of the NFC teams listed are automatically irrelevant to whether or not Baltimore wins it.
Vultures can't be choosers.

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