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SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 13th, 2019 at 5:04:17 PM permalink
I think I went 5-1, putting me alone in 1st place.

I think my picks are at least two standard deviations from expected.
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 13th, 2019 at 7:15:52 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888

Just wanting to brag:

I went 5-0 with 1 tie last week .

This week I have gone 5-0 with the Steelers picked in the evening game.

This week I picked Texans +4.5 (vs Chiefs) (confidence), Jets+7 (vs Cowboys) and Cardinals +2.5 and all of these under-dogs won out-right. Also picked the win-less Bengals+11 and they did cover.

Hoo-hah!!! Life is good.



well thank you and soopoo for making our picks free roll going well so far this season. And no thanks to me for absolutely sucking.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
EdCollins
EdCollins
Joined: Oct 21, 2011
  • Threads: 19
  • Posts: 1428
Thanks for this post from:
unJonmipletprozemadjatcgordonm888Mission146
October 14th, 2019 at 8:32:32 PM permalink
Week 6 Results

Mission146 (2-4)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Steelers +7 (win)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Eagles +3 (loss)
Cowboys -7 Confidence (loss)

unJon (3-3)
Saints +1 Confidence (win)
Buccaneers +2.5 (loss)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Cowboys -7 (loss)
Redskins -3.5 (loss)

Joeman (4-2)
Seahawks -1.5 Confidence (win)
Cowboys -7 (loss)
Packers -4 (loss)
Steelers +7 (win)
49ers UNDER 50.5 (win)

SOOPOO (5-1)
Saints +1 Confidence (win)
Texans +4.5 (win)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Cowboys -7 (loss)
Bengals +11 (win)

GenWyzgy (3-1)
Eagles +3 (loss)
Chiefs OVER 55 Confidence (push)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Browns OVER 46 (win)
Falcons OVER 51.5 (win)

GWAE (3-3)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Saints +1 (win)
Falcons -2.5 (loss)
Cowboys -7 Confidence (loss)
Steelers +7 (win)

IndyJeffrey (2-4)
Bengals +11 (win)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Chiefs -4.5 Confidence (loss)
Eagles +3 (loss)
Packers -4 (loss)

Onenickelmiracle (2-4)
Saints (+1) (win)
Saints OVER 43.5 Confidence (loss)
49ers (+3) (win)
Falcons (-2.5) (loss)
Cowboys (-7) (loss)

mwalz9 (1-5)
CHIEFS - 4.5 Confidence (loss)
SEAHAWKS -1.5 (win)
REDSKINS -3.5 (loss)
TITANS +2 (loss)
CHARGERS -7 (loss)

JohnnyQ (3-3)
Buccaneers (+2.5) (loss)
Seahawks (-1.5) Confidence (win)
Broncos (-2) (win)
Chargers (-7) (loss)
Packers (-4) (loss)

Paradigm (5-1)
Lions +4 Confidence (win)
49ers +3 (win)
Texans +4.5 (win)
Browns +1.5 (loss)
Steelers +7 (win)

MidwestAP (1-3)
Buccaneers +2.5 (loss)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)
Texans UNDER 55 Confidence (push)
Falcons UNDER 51.5 (loss)
Packers -4 (loss)

Michael99000 (4-1)
Panthers OVER 47.5 (win)
Bengals UNDER 48 (win)
Seahawks UNDER 46 (loss)
Texans OVER 55 (push)
Saints UNDER 43.5 Confidence (win)

EdCollins (3-3)
Chargers -7 (loss)
Seahawks -1.5 Confidence (win)
Ravens -11 (loss)
49ers +3 (win)
Cowboys -7 (loss)

FourFiveFace (5-1)
Bengals +11 Confidence (win)
Jaguars -1 (loss)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Jets +7 (win)
Steelers +7 (win)

Odiousgambit (3-3)
Jaguars (-1) (loss)
49ers (+3) Confidence (win)
Panthers (-2.5) (win)
Chiefs (-4.5) (loss)
Chargers (-7) (loss)

JohnZimbo (2-2)
Jets +7 (win)
Jets OVER 44.5 (win)
Chargers -7 (loss)
Buccaneers +2.5 (loss)
Texans OVER 55 Confidence (push)

scolist (5-1)
Panthers -2.5 (win)
Seahawks -1.5 Confidence (win)
49ers +3 (win)
Saints +1 (win)
Packers -4 (loss)

Wizard (5-1)
Texans (+4.5) (win)
Vikings (-3) (win)
Rams (-3) (loss)
Steelers (+7) Confidence (win)
Jets (+7) (win)

miplet (3-3)
Texans +4.5 (win)
Jaguars -1 Confidence (loss)
Vikings -3 (win)
Titans +2 (loss)
Steelers +7 (win)

DJATC (4-2)
Texans +4.5 (win)
Jaguars -1 Confidence (loss)
Vikings -3 (win)
Steelers +7 (win)
Lions UNDER 47 (win)

Gordonm888 (6-0)
Bengals +11 (win)
Texans +4.5 Confidence (win)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Jets +7 (win)
Steelers +7 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (2-4)
Browns +1.5 (loss)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Vikings -3 (win)
49ers +3 (win)
Packers -4 Confidence (loss)

kuma (3-3)
Jaguars -1 Confidence (loss)
Vikings -3 (win)
Redskins OVER 41 (loss)
Steelers +7 (win)
Packers UNDER 47 (win)

Sparty10k (1-5)
Falcons -2.5 (loss)
Saints OVER 43.5 (loss)
Jets +7 (win)
Titans +2ĖConfidence (loss)
Packers -4 (loss)

JW17 (4-2)
Broncos -2 Confidence (win)
Cardinals +2.5 (win)
Chiefs -4.5 (loss)
Packers -4 (loss)
Dolphins +3.5 (win)

RisingDough (5-1)
Bengals +11 (win)
Browns +1.5 (loss)
Vikings -3 (win)
Steelers +7 (win)
Packers UNDER 47 Confidence (win)

prozema (1-5)
Browns +1.5 (loss)
Jaguars -1 Confidence (loss)
Redskins -3.5 (loss)
Redskins OVER 41 (loss)
Lions UNDER 47 (win)

Ayecarumba (3-2)
Chiefs -4.5 Confidence (loss)
Texans OVER 55 (push)
49ers +3 (win)
Saints +1 (win)
Jaguars UNDER 43.5 (win)

Rdw4potus (3-3)
Packers -4 (loss)
Rams -3 Confidence (loss)
Vikings -3 (win)
Saints +1 (win)
Seahawks -1.5 (win)

Bruce1 (3-2)
Titans OVER 40.5 (loss)
Steelers OVER 41.5 (loss)
Cowboys OVER 44.5 (win)
Eagles OVER 44 (win)
Falcons OVER 51.5 (win)

Romes (0-5)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)



Week 6 Current Standings

Name Wins Losses %
SOOPOO 27
9
75.00%
Gordonm888 25
10
71.43%
EdCollins 25
11
69.44%
miplet 19
9
67.86%
Michael99000 23
11
67.65%
FourFiveFace 23
13
63.89%
unJon 23
13
63.89%
Joeman 22
14
61.11%
scolist 21
14
60.00%
JohnnyQ 20
14
58.82%
DJATC 17
12
58.62%
Bruce1 15
11
57.69%
GenWyzgy 19
14
57.58%
IndyJeffrey 20
16
55.56%
JW17 20
16
55.56%
Paradigm 20
16
55.56%
Mission146 18
15
54.55%
Kuma 19
16
54.29%
prozema 19
16
54.29%
RisingDough 19
16
54.29%
BeachBumBabs 16
14
53.33%
PlayYourCardsRight 16
14
53.33%
MidwestAP 17
15
53.13%
Wizard 18
17
51.43%
Sparty10k 17
19
47.22%
Mwalz9 16
18
47.06%
Onenickelmiracle 14
16
46.67%
rdw4potus 12
15
44.44%
Ayecarumba 15
19
44.12%
GWAE 15
21
41.67%
JohnZimbo 14
20
41.18%
Odiousgambit 13
19
40.63%
Romes 10
18
35.71%
Totals 607
491
55.28%



Record of Skip Weeks

BeachBumBabs: Week #6
Bruce1: Week #1
DJATC: Week #3
miplet: Week #1
Onenickelmiracle: Week #1
PlayYourCardsRight: Week #5
rdw4potus: Week #5
Romes: Week #4, #5, #6



Player Ranking Summary thru Week 6

Player Week 1 Week 2 Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6
Ayecarumba
12 (3-3)
22 (3-3)
23 (3-3)
27 (2-4)
30 (1-4)
29 (3-2)
BeachBumBabs
7 (4-2)
27 (1-5)
16 (5-1)
22 (2-4)
21 (4-2)
21
Bruce1
-
13 (3-2)
6 (4-1)
13 (2-4)
14 (3-2)
12 (3-2)
DJATC
21 (2-4)
6 (6-0)
7
14 (2-4)
16 (3-2)
11 (4-2)
EdCollins
1 (5-1)
2 (5-1)
2 (4-2)
2 (3-3)
1 (5-1)
3 (3-3)
FourFiveFace
21 (2-4)
22 (4-2)
10 (5-1)
9 (4-2)
9 (3-3)
6 (5-1)
GenWyzgy
12 (3-3)
14 (4-2)
20 (2-3)
20 (3-3)
17 (4-2)
13 (3-1)
Gordonm888
12 (3-3)
14 (4-2)
7 (5-1)
10 (2-4)
5 (5-0)
2 (6-0)
GWAE
28 (1-5)
32 (2-4)
33 (3-3)
32 (3-3)
31 (3-3)
30 (3-3)
IndyJeffrey
21 (2-4)
14 (5-1)
10 (4-2)
10 (3-3)
9 (4-2)
14 (2-4)
Joeman
12 (3-3)
6 (5-1)
16 (2-4)
17 (3-3)
9 (5-1)
8 (4-2)
JohnnyQ
1 (5-1)
14 (2-4)
15 (2-2)
7 (5-1)
8 (3-3)
10 (3-3)
JohnZimbo
21 (2-4)
6 (6-0)
28 (0-6)
32 (1-5)
31 (3-3)
31 (2-2)
JW17
7 (4-2)
6 (4-2)
16 (2-4)
27 (1-5)
21 (5-1)
14 (4-2)
Kuma
12 (3-3)
27 (2-4)
23 (4-2)
17 (4-2)
17 (3-2)
18 (3-3)
Michael99000
21 (2-4)
14 (5-1)
14 (3-2)
6 (5-1)
5 (4-2)
5 (4-1)
MidwestAP
7 (4-2)
6 (4-2)
4 (4-0)
7 (2-4)
14 (2-4)
23 (1-3)
miplet
-
1 (6-0)
1 (5-1)
3 (1-4)
3 (4-1)
4 (3-3)
Mission146
28 (1-5)
22 (5-1)
20 (3-2)
16 (3-2)
12 (4-1)
17 (2-4)
Mwalz9
1 (5-1)
3 (4-2)
10 (2-4)
17 (2-4)
20 (2-2)
26 (1-5)
Odiousgambit
28 (1-5)
31 (2-3)
32 (3-2)
31 (2-3)
33 (2-3)
32 (3-3)
Onenickelmiracle
-
33 (1-5)
23 (5-1)
22 (3-3)
24 (3-3)
27 (2-4)
Paradigm
21 (2-4)
22 (4-2)
28 (2-4)
22 (4-2)
24 (3-3)
14 (5-1)
PlayYourCardsRight
12 (3-3)
6 (5-1)
10 (3-3)
10 (3-3)
13
21 (2-4)
prozema
7 (4-2)
3 (5-1)
5 (4-2)
4 (3-3)
7 (2-3)
18 (1-5)
rdw4potus
12 (3-3)
20 (3-2)
31 (1-4)
30 (2-3)
29
28 (3-3)
RisingDough
12 (3-3)
30 (1-5)
28 (4-2)
27 (3-3)
26 (3-2)
18 (5-1)
Romes
1 (5-1)
6 (3-3)
16 (2-4)
14
28 (0-5)
33 (0-5)
scolist
6 (4-1)
20 (2-4)
20 (3-3)
20 (3-3)
17 (4-2)
9 (5-1)
SOOPOO
1 (5-1)
3 (4-2)
2 (5-1)
1 (4-2)
1 (4-2)
1 (5-1)
Sparty10k
21 (2-4)
27 (3-3)
23 (4-2)
22 (3-3)
21 (4-2)
25 (1-5)
unJon
12 (3-3)
14 (4-2)
7 (5-1)
4 (4-2)
4 (4-2)
6 (3-3)
Wizard
7 (4-2)
22 (2-4)
23 (3-3)
26 (2-3)
27 (2-4)
24 (5-1)
djatc
djatc
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
  • Threads: 83
  • Posts: 4477
Thanks for this post from:
onenickelmiracleMission146
October 14th, 2019 at 10:22:04 PM permalink
That lions/packers game was such a weird way to cover the under. I guess instead of running it in they played it extremely conservative.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
  • Threads: 93
  • Posts: 9854
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146onenickelmiracle
October 15th, 2019 at 2:36:10 AM permalink
I have 4 straight weeks of 3-3. I think that's impressive
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
Joeman
Joeman
Joined: Feb 21, 2014
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 2022
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 15th, 2019 at 4:37:59 AM permalink
Quote: djatc

That lions/packers game was such a weird way to cover the under. I guess instead of running it in they played it extremely conservative.

It was the right play. By kneeling down on the 2 instead of scoring a TD, the Williams virtually guaranteed the Packers a win. If he scores there, Detroit gets the ball back with 1:00+ to drive down and score a winning TD. A long shot, sure, but much more likely than Crosby missing a 20 yd field goal.

That play affected both the line bet and the over/under. If Williams scores a TD there, the Over covers for sure, and barring a miracle TD drive by the Lions, the Packers cover as well.

ETA: Those two phantom Hands to the Face calls determined the outcome of this game, but my Packers -4 pick was a loser either way.
"Dealer has 'rock'... Pay 'paper!'"
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
  • Threads: 113
  • Posts: 8461
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146beachbumbabsJoeman
October 15th, 2019 at 5:47:49 AM permalink
Quote: Joeman

It was the right play. By kneeling down on the 2 instead of scoring a TD, the Williams virtually guaranteed the Packers a win. If he scores there, Detroit gets the ball back with 1:00+ to drive down and score a winning TD. A long shot, sure, but much more likely than Crosby missing a 20 yd field goal.

That play affected both the line bet and the over/under. If Williams scores a TD there, the Over covers for sure, and barring a miracle TD drive by the Lions, the Packers cover as well.

ETA: Those two phantom Hands to the Face calls determined the outcome of this game, but my Packers -4 pick was a loser either way.



There were an awful lot of bad calls in that game. I thought on both of those calls it wasnt as clearcut as Booger made it seem. The first one he did ride up and at least glance the facemask towards the end of the block. The second one it looks like he at least touched his neck which is apparently included in 'the face'. I agree that they were both bad calls, but not even in the top ten for the NFL week.

I felt the 'rules expert' they used was both extremely annoying, wrong a few times, and just not fun to listen to.

Williams made the obvious correct play. It is only an extremely selfish player that scores. The Lions (poorly coached) should have carried him in. Standing there watching shows lack of smarts. If you wrap him up with 4 big guys and carry him forward the whistle does not blow as FORWARD progress has not been stopped. If I was Detroit coach Williams is carried into the end zone.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
  • Threads: 113
  • Posts: 8461
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 15th, 2019 at 5:49:48 AM permalink
By the way, congrats Wiz, oh most MEDIOCRE!
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
Joined: Sep 29, 2010
  • Threads: 4
  • Posts: 989
Thanks for this post from:
gordonm888Mission146
October 15th, 2019 at 6:16:23 AM permalink
Nice job Gordon going 6-0
gordonm888
Administrator
gordonm888
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
  • Threads: 50
  • Posts: 3455
Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 15th, 2019 at 2:28:56 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

Nice job Gordon going 6-0



Thx. I assume I won the $40 prize, but saw nothing posted about that.

I think that the Gambler's Fallacy is not necessarily wrong when it comes to Sports Betting - for example, I feel that after going 11-0 in the past two weeks that I really am more likely to have a losing week. Why? Maybe I get over-confident and put less work into trying to find opportunities with this week's posted lines. There is a human element involved.
So many better men, a few of them friends, are dead. And a thousand thousand slimy things live on, and so do I.

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