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djatc
djatc
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onenickelmiracleMission146
October 11th, 2019 at 10:17:41 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

There is some yes, but I look at past winners and contenders who had really good track records and have been slumping in mediocrity. Maybe I should try harder, but the 1 minute making my picks is saving time for other things worth more. I'm not watching games nor coverage, so I'm hurting I think and so be it.



I'm not sure if it's because of the changes in the game to allow more high scoring games, and the mismatch of spread vs actual within teams, but I usually bet unders and dogs and have been getting crushed.

If i bet a favorite it's because the market lines show they should be 11 pt favorites but the lines here would show 9.5 or 9. With teams in tank mode (dolphins, Redskins, etc) favorites might not be favorited enough to make a fair line. I bet cowboys vs dolphins and Patriots vs Redskins earlier in the season and did well.

I still hate betting spreads. Not a big fan of hoping a favorite hangs on by 14 in the 4th quarter, or dogs to get a meaningless td to cover at the end.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 11th, 2019 at 10:33:10 PM permalink
Quote: djatc

I still hate betting spreads. Not a big fan of hoping a favorite hangs on by 14 in the 4th quarter, or dogs to get a meaningless td to cover at the end.

Can't the same be said for betting the Over/Unders? When betting the Over, hoping a team, any team, scores late in the game to put the total over, or when betting Unders, knowing you've already lost by the end of the 3rd Quarter?
djatc
djatc
Joined: Jan 15, 2013
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Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 11th, 2019 at 10:39:14 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Can't the same be said for betting the Over/Unders? When betting the Over, hoping a team, any team, scores late in the game to put the total over, or when betting Unders, knowing you've already lost by the end of the 3rd Quarter?



The big thing is that scores cant be taken back so once you are over, bet wins, as opposed to point spreads where you could be winning or losing until the final play if it's close. I like totals as well especially if I'm driving or not able to sit at a computer to keep track of all teams and how many points they can fade or need.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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Mission146
October 12th, 2019 at 7:02:14 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

Quote: EdCollins

Please note that if you plan on making a pick on the Panthers/Buccaneers game, you will need to get your picks in a tad earlier than the normal Sunday 10:00 am EST deadline.

That game's being played in London and kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 am EST.

As I recall, a pick on that game submitted after the kickoff would result in an automatic loss AND would make you ineligible for the You Suck and Most Average prizes.

How does that interact with the ONM prize for timing of submission? :-/

You have to comply with WOV picks games first and foremost. If you're trying to pick this Carolina game, you'll need to submit 5 minutes before this earlier deadline.
I am a robot.
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
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Mission146
October 12th, 2019 at 8:43:08 PM permalink
Quote: onenickelmiracle

Quote: unJon

Quote: EdCollins

Please note that if you plan on making a pick on the Panthers/Buccaneers game, you will need to get your picks in a tad earlier than the normal Sunday 10:00 am EST deadline.

That game's being played in London and kickoff is scheduled for 9:30 am EST.

As I recall, a pick on that game submitted after the kickoff would result in an automatic loss AND would make you ineligible for the You Suck and Most Average prizes.

How does that interact with the ONM prize for timing of submission? :-/

You have to comply with WOV picks games first and foremost. If you're trying to pick this Carolina game, you'll need to submit 5 minutes before this earlier deadline.

Would also have to include the London game, if using that deadline. Otherwise you're more than 5 minutes to deadline.
I am a robot.
miplet
miplet
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Thanks for this post from:
Mission146
October 13th, 2019 at 12:48:47 AM permalink
I figured out why some lines from 2 weeks ago were not being parsed correctly. Normally after the Total there is a u. On a couple of lines there was a o instead. I'll try and fix this soon, but can't make any guarantees.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
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October 13th, 2019 at 6:37:34 AM permalink
Quote: unJon

How does that interact with the ONM prize for timing of submission? :-/



You just couldn't pick that game.

EDIT: Never mind, just saw ONM's message. I'll look for Picks made within five minutes of that game starting and count them to Sunday qualifiers.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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Thanks for this post from:
miplet
October 13th, 2019 at 6:40:22 AM permalink
Quote: miplet

I figured out why some lines from 2 weeks ago were not being parsed correctly. Normally after the Total there is a u. On a couple of lines there was a o instead. I'll try and fix this soon, but can't make any guarantees.



Hell, it wasn't my fault? That's awesome! Thanks, Miplet! I'll make sure to keep an eye out, I did double check everything this week.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
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Thanks for this post from:
prozema
October 13th, 2019 at 7:48:42 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 6 Picks are as follows:

Mission146:
Seahawks -1.5
Steelers +7
Chiefs -4.5
Eagles +3
Cowboys -7-CONFIDENCE

unJon:
Saints +1-confidence
Buccaneers +2.5
Seahawks -1.5
Cowboys -7
Redskins -3.5

Joeman:
Seahawks -1.5 -Confidence
Cowboys -7
Packers -4
Steelers +7
49ers UNDER 50.5

SOOPOO:
Saints +1 confidence
Texans +4.5
Seahawks -1.5
Cowboys -7
Bengals +11

GenWyzgy:
Eagles +3
Chiefs OVER 55 Confidence
Seahawks -1.5
Browns OVER 46
Falcons OVER 51.5

GWAE:
Seahawks -1.5
Saints +1
Falcons -2.5
Cowboys -7 confidence
Steelers +7

IndyJeffrey:
Bengals +11
Seahawks -1.5
Chiefs -4.5-Confidence
Eagles +3
Packers -4

Onenickelmiracle:
Saints (+1)
Saints O 43.5-confidence
49ers (+3)
Falcons (-2.5)
Cowboys (-7)

mwalz9:
CHIEFS - 4.5 -CONFIDENCE
SEAHAWKS -1.5
REDSKINS -3.5
TITANS +2
CHARGERS -7

JohnnyQ:
Buccaneers (+2.5)
Seahawks (-1.5) CONFIDENCE
Broncos (-2)
Chargers (-7)
Packers (-4)

Paradigm:
Lions +4-Confidence
49ers +3
Texans +4.5
Browns +1.5
Steelers +7

MidwestAP:
Buccaneers +2.5
Seahawks -1.5
Texans UNDER 55 - Confidence
Falcons UNDER 51.5
Packers -4

Michael99000:
Panthers OVER 47.5
Bengals UNDER 48
Seahawks UNDER 46
Texans OVER 55
Saints UNDER 43.5 Confidence

EdCollins:
Chargers -7
Seahawks -1.5 Confidence
Ravens -11
49ers +3
Cowboys -7

FourFiveFace:
Bengals +11-Confidence
Jaguars -1
Cardinals +2.5
Jets +7
Steelers +7

Odiousgambit:
Jaguars (-1)
49ers (+3)-confidence
Panthers (-2.5)
Chiefs (-4.5)
Chargers (-7)

JohnZimbo:
Jets +7
Jets over 44.5
Chargers -7
Buccaneers +2.5
Texans over 55 confidence

scolist:
Panthers -2.5
Seahawks -1.5 Confidence
49ers +3
Saints +1
Packers -4

Wizard:
Texans (+4.5)
Vikings (-3)
Rams (-3)
Steelers (+7) confidence
Jets (+7)

miplet:
Texans +4.5
Jaguars -1-confidence
Vikings -3
Titans +2
Steelers +7

DJATC:
Texans +4.5
Jaguars -1 -CONFIDENCE
Vikings -3
Steelers +7
Lions UNDER 47

Gordonm888:
Bengals +11
Texans +4.5 - Confidence
Cardinals +2.5
Jets +7
Steelers +7

PlayYourCardsRight:
Browns +1.5
Chiefs -4.5
Vikings -3
49ers +3
Packers -4 CONFIDENCE

kuma:
Jaguars -1 -- confidence
Vikings -3
Redskins over 41
Steelers +7
Packers under 47

Sparty10k:
Falcons -2.5
Saints over 43.5
Jets +7
Titans +2–confidence
Packers -4

JW17:
Broncos -2 confidence
Cardinals +2.5
Chiefs -4.5
Packers -4
Dolphins +3.5

RisingDough:
Bengals+11
Browns+1.5
Vikings-3
Steelers+7
Packers UNDER 47 *CONFIDENCE

prozema:
Browns +1.5
Jaguars -1 Confidence
Redskins -3.5
Redskins OVER 41
Lions UNDER 47

Ayecarumba:
Chiefs -4.5 Confidence
Texans Over 55
49ers +3
Saints +1
Jaguars Under 43.5

Rdw4potus:
Packers -4
Rams -3 confidence
Vikings -3
Saints +1
Seahawks -1.5

Bruce1:
Titans OVER 40.5
Steelers OVER 41.5
Cowboys OVER 44.5
Eagles OVER 44
Falcons OVER 51.5

PERFECTION BONUS WINNERS:

WEEK 2: DJATC ($6.67), Miplet ($6.67) JohnZimbo ($6.67)

WEEK 6 PERFECTION BONUS: $40

OneNickelMiracle-Prozema-Mission Trophy

Qualifying Sunday Picks: 1
Qualifying Early Picks: 8
Last edited by: Mission146 on Oct 13, 2019
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
  • Threads: 133
  • Posts: 15308
October 13th, 2019 at 7:49:52 AM permalink
Okay, here's what remains to be done:

1.) See who is missing.
2.) Check for regular Picks for anyone missing.
3.) Check for default picks for anyone missing.

And, I'll get started on that right now.

1.) Romes, Beachbumbabs, Bruce1
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219

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