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RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
  • Threads: 62
  • Posts: 8497
November 12th, 2018 at 10:32:04 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

you have a short memory - okay so I guess you're saying you weren't serious that time - maybe some will accept that

Quote: RS

I took triple G at -38.


Damn you got a good memory. And damn good at searching this forum, too.

Nah for the most part I’m not super serious. Certain people who bet on Ggg think saying “it’s a lock” jinxes the bet or some dumbs***. But I still think it was a good bet. But no I didn’t go super ham on it.


Although I did write something in the cooperation game thread about having a guaranteed winner / lock on a play. And was/am serious about that. Unfortunately it’s kinda dried up and I’m salty about it. >:(
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ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
  • Threads: 56
  • Posts: 1443
November 12th, 2018 at 11:33:02 AM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

on the moneyline (c.g. technology) -190
$100 gets you back $153 profiting $53
don't want to give up the points (4)
betting early before line moves against me which I think probable - already moved .5


betting big (for me)
this is a great bet IMHO
glta



So much for that great +EV bet. No wonder you left my thread by saying you give up trying to make whatever point you were trying to make. Reminds me of the pit bosses at Palms and the Gaming Commission when they know theyre wrong or dont have an answer, they just run off without a comment. What a coincidence.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
SM777
SM777
Joined: Apr 8, 2016
  • Threads: 6
  • Posts: 705
Thanks for this post from:
JohnnyQ
November 12th, 2018 at 12:08:22 PM permalink
Quote: gordonm888


Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16


Excuse us if we are not impressed. You created a thread solely based on your certainty that the Falcons would beat the Browns today. And you were wrong. Not wrong by 1 point or 3 points, you were wrong by a mile. Maybe next time you should realize that your opinion doesn't justify creating a thread and making a laughingstock of yourself.




Seems a bit harsh. Posted a play he liked, certainly isn't trying to reel anyone in as a tout, and clearly stated in another past later in the thread it wasn't a lock.

Not everyone posts after the game like mustangsally and claims wins. Poster should be commended for stepping out on a limb and giving a pick before the game goes. That seems to be rare around here.

Being wrong by 1 point or 20 points is the same thing when betting a money line in sports. Who cares? Neither cashes.
Rigondeaux
Rigondeaux
Joined: Aug 18, 2014
  • Threads: 24
  • Posts: 2129
November 12th, 2018 at 1:09:32 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Quote: gordonm888


Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16


Excuse us if we are not impressed. You created a thread solely based on your certainty that the Falcons would beat the Browns today. And you were wrong. Not wrong by 1 point or 3 points, you were wrong by a mile. Maybe next time you should realize that your opinion doesn't justify creating a thread and making a laughingstock of yourself.




Seems a bit harsh. Posted a play he liked, certainly isn't trying to reel anyone in as a tout, and clearly stated in another past later in the thread it wasn't a lock.

Not everyone posts after the game like mustangsally and claims wins. Poster should be commended for stepping out on a limb and giving a pick before the game goes. That seems to be rare around here.

Being wrong by 1 point or 20 points is the same thing when betting a money line in sports. Who cares? Neither cashes.



Agree. To me this is essentially just small talk. People talk about sports bets off the top of their heads all the time. It can be fun.

Different from either touting, or trying to convince people that -ev bets are +ev
billryan
billryan
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
  • Threads: 153
  • Posts: 7617
November 12th, 2018 at 1:17:39 PM permalink
I personally wouldn't have started a thread on it, but I don't think its a big deal. Its not like he posted lottery numbers or anything.
ZenKinG
ZenKinG
Joined: May 3, 2016
  • Threads: 56
  • Posts: 1443
November 12th, 2018 at 1:18:50 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Quote: gordonm888


Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16


Excuse us if we are not impressed. You created a thread solely based on your certainty that the Falcons would beat the Browns today. And you were wrong. Not wrong by 1 point or 3 points, you were wrong by a mile. Maybe next time you should realize that your opinion doesn't justify creating a thread and making a laughingstock of yourself.




Seems a bit harsh. Posted a play he liked, certainly isn't trying to reel anyone in as a tout, and clearly stated in another past later in the thread it wasn't a lock.

Not everyone posts after the game like mustangsally and claims wins. Poster should be commended for stepping out on a limb and giving a pick before the game goes. That seems to be rare around here.

Being wrong by 1 point or 20 points is the same thing when betting a money line in sports. Who cares? Neither cashes.



You must have missed my many calls ive made on this forum where I 'stepped out on a limb', whether it was sports picks, bitcoin, stocks/market, I literally havent been wrong about one call, but im the guy who doesnt know anything. Im the conspiracy theorist. Im the guy who will end up under a bridge. Yeah keep it coming everyone. Tired of proving everyone wrong in my life, friends, family, forum posters, doesnt matter.
Any private business open to the PUBLIC (ie. droned out casinos) cannot have a criminal trespass enforced against an individual without GOOD CAUSE (Disruptive or Disorderly conduct). You will never go to prison for being thrown out of a casino for legal advantage play and then returning because it's simply unconstitutional 'as applied' to the individual. 'As applied' constitutional issues must FIRST be raised in DISTRICT COURT (trial court) to have it thrown out. You CANNOT raise it on APPEAL This is the best kept secret in the world of casinos not just in Vegas but everywhere in the country. Thank me later.
troopscott
troopscott
Joined: Apr 3, 2017
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 394
November 12th, 2018 at 1:30:19 PM permalink
Quote: TomG

Don't think there was ever -190 in Las Vegas. The take back was between +190 and +220 everywhere all week, so definitely a good bet. Can't always be results oriented.



Everything involving money is results orientated
gordonm888
gordonm888
Joined: Feb 18, 2015
  • Threads: 31
  • Posts: 1838
November 12th, 2018 at 3:30:25 PM permalink
Quote: SM777

Quote: gordonm888


Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16


Excuse us if we are not impressed. You created a thread solely based on your certainty that the Falcons would beat the Browns today. And you were wrong. Not wrong by 1 point or 3 points, you were wrong by a mile. Maybe next time you should realize that your opinion doesn't justify creating a thread and making a laughingstock of yourself.




Seems a bit harsh. Posted a play he liked, certainly isn't trying to reel anyone in as a tout, and clearly stated in another past later in the thread it wasn't a lock.

Not everyone posts after the game like mustangsally and claims wins. Poster should be commended for stepping out on a limb and giving a pick before the game goes. That seems to be rare around here.

Being wrong by 1 point or 20 points is the same thing when betting a money line in sports. Who cares? Neither cashes.



It didn't merit its own thread. He could have made it a post on any of many existing threads.

And, if you miss something by 20 points, its more likely that you missed something important in your analysis of the game than if you missed by 1 point.

I make many bad picks in the NFL picks game -but I don't beat my breast and make strong claims about my certainty before I do it.
Sometimes, people are just a bottomless mystery. And, after all, this is just a sh*tty little forum in the sun-less backwaters of the online world.
GWAE
GWAE
Joined: Sep 20, 2013
  • Threads: 90
  • Posts: 9062
November 12th, 2018 at 4:42:47 PM permalink
Quote: ZenKinG

Quote: SM777

Quote: gordonm888


Cleveland 28 Atlanta 16


Excuse us if we are not impressed. You created a thread solely based on your certainty that the Falcons would beat the Browns today. And you were wrong. Not wrong by 1 point or 3 points, you were wrong by a mile. Maybe next time you should realize that your opinion doesn't justify creating a thread and making a laughingstock of yourself.




Seems a bit harsh. Posted a play he liked, certainly isn't trying to reel anyone in as a tout, and clearly stated in another past later in the thread it wasn't a lock.

Not everyone posts after the game like mustangsally and claims wins. Poster should be commended for stepping out on a limb and giving a pick before the game goes. That seems to be rare around here.

Being wrong by 1 point or 20 points is the same thing when betting a money line in sports. Who cares? Neither cashes.



You must have missed my many calls ive made on this forum where I 'stepped out on a limb', whether it was sports picks, bitcoin, stocks/market, I literally havent been wrong about one call, but im the guy who doesnt know anything. Im the conspiracy theorist. Im the guy who will end up under a bridge. Yeah keep it coming everyone. Tired of proving everyone wrong in my life, friends, family, forum posters, doesnt matter.



wow you just can't help yourself.
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
  • Threads: 62
  • Posts: 8497
November 12th, 2018 at 4:51:35 PM permalink
Speaking of “uncashed bets”, during the superb owl where the patriots came back to beat the falcons, I asked people at the party if they’d give me 22-to-1 on the patriots. This was in the third quarter right around when their chance to win was the lowest. I don’t remember how I came up with 22-to-1, other than maybe that was the “fair line” or slightly higher than the fair line for inplay betting.

I said I’d take up to $500 in action vs the other person’s $11,000. Someone said they’d accept the bet, but only for $1k vs $22k. At that amount I was too much of a b**** to accept, although partly because I would feel bad for taking $22k on a bet from a friend in the crazy off chance that the Patriots actually would win....but also cuz I didn’t wanna bet $1k. :(
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