NFL Week 4 predictions
September 30th, 2010 at 10:52:23 AM
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Pretty busy week here at Cesspit Towers so I'll just launch things with :
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/ - all bets on that page are valid, except the opening line.
Here's last weeks results:
TheCesspit :
Cleveland +11, 1 Units -110 (Leroys) - WIN + 0.91
Cle/Bal, Under 37, 1 Units -110 (Leroys) - LOSS - 1.00
Detroit +11.5, 2 Units -110 (Wynn) - LOSS - 2.00
GB -3, 2 Units +105 (Leroys) - LOSS -2.00
Record 4-6, Average bet - 1.5 Units, Total 94.57
rdw4potus :
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units, Total 95.00
EnvyBonus :
Carolina +3.5 (MGM) 6 units - LOSS -6.0
Buffalo +14.5 (Hilton) 3 units - WIN +2.72
BUF/NE under 42.5 (Hilton) 3 units - LOSS -3.0
Record 2-4, Average bet - 3.5 Units, Total 90.44
Ericayne :
Pittsburg (-2.5) for 1 unit (LVHilton) - WIN +0.91
Detroit (+11) for 1 unit ("") - LOSS -1.00
GreenBay (-3) for 1 unit ("") - LOSS -1.00
Record 5-7, Average bet - 1 Unit - Total 97.56
Ruascott :
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units - Total 95.00
Ayecarumba :
Atlanta +4.5 5 units (Leroy's) - WIN +4.55
Pittsburg -2.0 6 units (Leroy's) - WIN +5.45
GreenBay -3 +105 20 units(Leroy's) - LOSS - 20 Units
Record 3-4, Average bet - 9.5 Units, Total 82.25
TheWizard :
Ten +3 -110 - WIN +0.91
NEP -14 -110 - LOSS -1.00
Min -11 -110 - WIN +0.91
Den +5.5 -110 - LOSS -1.00
Mia -1 -120 - LOSS -1.00
Record 3-6, Average bet - 1.00 Units, Total 96.74
Overall
http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/ - all bets on that page are valid, except the opening line.
Here's last weeks results:
TheCesspit :
Cleveland +11, 1 Units -110 (Leroys) - WIN + 0.91
Cle/Bal, Under 37, 1 Units -110 (Leroys) - LOSS - 1.00
Detroit +11.5, 2 Units -110 (Wynn) - LOSS - 2.00
GB -3, 2 Units +105 (Leroys) - LOSS -2.00
Record 4-6, Average bet - 1.5 Units, Total 94.57
rdw4potus :
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units, Total 95.00
EnvyBonus :
Carolina +3.5 (MGM) 6 units - LOSS -6.0
Buffalo +14.5 (Hilton) 3 units - WIN +2.72
BUF/NE under 42.5 (Hilton) 3 units - LOSS -3.0
Record 2-4, Average bet - 3.5 Units, Total 90.44
Ericayne :
Pittsburg (-2.5) for 1 unit (LVHilton) - WIN +0.91
Detroit (+11) for 1 unit ("") - LOSS -1.00
GreenBay (-3) for 1 unit ("") - LOSS -1.00
Record 5-7, Average bet - 1 Unit - Total 97.56
Ruascott :
Record 0-2, Average bet - 2.5 Units - Total 95.00
Ayecarumba :
Atlanta +4.5 5 units (Leroy's) - WIN +4.55
Pittsburg -2.0 6 units (Leroy's) - WIN +5.45
GreenBay -3 +105 20 units(Leroy's) - LOSS - 20 Units
Record 3-4, Average bet - 9.5 Units, Total 82.25
TheWizard :
Ten +3 -110 - WIN +0.91
NEP -14 -110 - LOSS -1.00
Min -11 -110 - WIN +0.91
Den +5.5 -110 - LOSS -1.00
Mia -1 -120 - LOSS -1.00
Record 3-6, Average bet - 1.00 Units, Total 96.74
Overall
Total W/L Average
Ayecarumba 82.25 3-4 9.50
EnvyBonus 90.44 2-4 3.50
TheCesspit 94.57 4-6 1.50
Ruascott 95.00 0-2 2.50
rdw4Potus 95.00 0-2 2.50
The Wizard 96.74 3-9 1.00
Ericayne 97.56 5-7 1.00
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
September 30th, 2010 at 4:53:44 PM
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I haven't had a chance to look over the board yet, I'm still smarting from the Packer's Monday Night "Foolball" performance... ugh.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
October 1st, 2010 at 9:59:10 AM
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I found that I was in very close agreement with almost all of the lines this week. The only game I'd bet if I was in LV this weekend is San Diego -8 to crush Arizona by at least two TDs.
October 1st, 2010 at 10:04:57 AM
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deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
October 1st, 2010 at 11:31:02 AM
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Fake Wade: I think we can beat 'Bye' this week, Jerry!
Solo venimos, solo nos vamos. Y aqui nos juntamos, juntos que estamos.
October 1st, 2010 at 11:46:24 AM
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Jets -5.5, -105, 21u (Sportsbook.com)
Indy -9, +115, 5u (Leroy's)
Hou -3.5, -110, 5u (Stations)
New England -1, -105, 1.05u (Sportsbook.com)
Indy -9, +115, 5u (Leroy's)
Hou -3.5, -110, 5u (Stations)
New England -1, -105, 1.05u (Sportsbook.com)
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
October 1st, 2010 at 11:56:25 AM
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As always the Hilton.....
Pitt v. Balt: over (34.5)
Indi v. Jags: over (46)
NE v. Miami: over (47)
CHI v. NYG: Chicago (+3.5)
Pitt v. Balt: over (34.5)
Indi v. Jags: over (46)
NE v. Miami: over (47)
CHI v. NYG: Chicago (+3.5)
October 1st, 2010 at 9:46:47 PM
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Okay, have has a chance to take a look. I'm swearing off the points totals again... while I probably hit around 50% long term on the line, on points, I'm around 10%. It's impressive how often I get it wrong.
The first one is based on the ability of the Phins defence to contain the Pats. I think they can, and the Phins will make the AFC East really interesting this year.
Miami +1 -110 (WynnLV) 2 Units
I also think Da Bears are proving plenty of stickability this year, while the Giants are the same horrible undependable, under achievers they were last year. Elly will get lit up at least once, cough the ball up.
Chicago +4 -110 (WynnLV) 2 Units
I was considering the +1 with the Rams, but I'm not sure which Seattle team is actually playing this year, and Jackson might be feeling the effort of lifting the entire team on his shoulders. The Lions at +14.5 is also almost tempting, but the secondary is ripe for a plucking, and Rogers is a better QB than Favre these days at that, so unless S.Hill finds a way to play the Megatron into the game, 2 TDs is not enough of cushion.
So instead, I'm liking the Falcons and really not liking the Niners, who have a dumb coach running an chaotic team. I'd have this at around a 8-10 point game, so will take :
Atlanta -6.5 -110 (Station) 2 Units.
Cheers all, happy times!
The first one is based on the ability of the Phins defence to contain the Pats. I think they can, and the Phins will make the AFC East really interesting this year.
Miami +1 -110 (WynnLV) 2 Units
I also think Da Bears are proving plenty of stickability this year, while the Giants are the same horrible undependable, under achievers they were last year. Elly will get lit up at least once, cough the ball up.
Chicago +4 -110 (WynnLV) 2 Units
I was considering the +1 with the Rams, but I'm not sure which Seattle team is actually playing this year, and Jackson might be feeling the effort of lifting the entire team on his shoulders. The Lions at +14.5 is also almost tempting, but the secondary is ripe for a plucking, and Rogers is a better QB than Favre these days at that, so unless S.Hill finds a way to play the Megatron into the game, 2 TDs is not enough of cushion.
So instead, I'm liking the Falcons and really not liking the Niners, who have a dumb coach running an chaotic team. I'd have this at around a 8-10 point game, so will take :
Atlanta -6.5 -110 (Station) 2 Units.
Cheers all, happy times!
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
October 2nd, 2010 at 6:53:03 AM
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Jacksonville +7 (Hilton) for 3 units
Buffalo +6 (Hilton) for 9 units
Buffalo +6 (Hilton) for 9 units
October 2nd, 2010 at 7:55:33 AM
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I only bet on one a week for entertainment and this one's a sure thing: Atlanta at -7. Got a dime on it. SF's dazed & confused, & the Falcons just went into NO and beat the best.
October 3rd, 2010 at 10:22:58 PM
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Quote: JerryLoganI only bet on one a week for entertainment and this one's a sure thing: Atlanta at -7. Got a dime on it. SF's dazed & confused, & the Falcons just went into NO and beat the best.
No such thing as a sure thing in football...
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
