monet0412
monet0412
Joined: Feb 18, 2016
  • Threads: 9
  • Posts: 556
September 4th, 2017 at 4:33:59 AM permalink
Quote: TomG

I have a hard time believing the 550-1. An after-the-fact google search brings up vegasinsider.com showing that, but doesn't say which book was offering it. Even if those are the implied odds based on the point spread (props to the Wizard for being the best source: https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/appendix/11/ (everyone else stops at +20)), no Las Vegas book would ever expose themselves to that sort of liability. Can't think of any reputable online books would either. We can check the 35+ point spreads in the upcoming weeks and see if anyone really does have moneylines on those games



It wasn't long ago I seen some soccer team was a 5000 to 1 shot and I thought some European Casinos booked that action. I could be mixed up though and completely wrong.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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September 4th, 2017 at 5:49:43 AM permalink
Quote: monet0412

It wasn't long ago I seen some soccer team was a 5000 to 1 shot and I thought some European Casinos booked that action. I could be mixed up though and completely wrong.



It was for a season long championship. Leicester City was the surprise team that won.
Rigondeaux
Rigondeaux
Joined: Aug 18, 2014
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September 4th, 2017 at 10:32:15 AM permalink
I'm think Tom is right but I could be wrong. A UNLV game is a small enough event that you'd create some risk of funny business if you took significant action at 500-1.

I read an interview with some guy at 5dimes and even they have low limits on things like high school football and small MMA events for this reason.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
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September 4th, 2017 at 2:25:18 PM permalink
I doubt the odds were ~500:1. That implies about 0.2% chance to win. Take out the juice and it's probably 0.05-0.1% chance to win.


I'd probably take those odds, even if it was some sh** college team vs the patriots.
"should of played 'Go Fish' today ya peasant" -typoontrav
sabre
sabre
Joined: Aug 16, 2010
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September 4th, 2017 at 7:02:58 PM permalink
Quote: RS

I doubt the odds were ~500:1. That implies about 0.2% chance to win. Take out the juice and it's probably 0.05-0.1% chance to win.


I'd probably take those odds, even if it was some sh** college team vs the patriots.



No you wouldn't.
RS
RS
Joined: Feb 11, 2014
  • Threads: 49
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September 4th, 2017 at 8:42:26 PM permalink
Quote: sabre

No you wouldn't.


?
"should of played 'Go Fish' today ya peasant" -typoontrav

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