troopscott
troopscott
Joined: Apr 3, 2017
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 394
Thanks for this post from:
onenickelmiracle
May 3rd, 2017 at 10:58:18 AM permalink
These are my early picks for the day though I will nail them down probably Thursday night but from my early look at the card these are what I first walked away with. Kentucky Oaks, Derby, Preakness and depending on first two Belmont as well as Breeder Cup days there is a large amount of dead money in the pool so I usually make my bets a little bigger to account for the better returns. Have not looked at the M/L yet just the past performances but Usually I have a little chalk, a little mid priced and a couple longer horses in my top picks. Anyway thought I would share my early picks. I will update Thursday night if anything changes after I put a lot more time in it.

Race 1
5-6-4-7

Race 2
4-7-3-2

Race 3
5-3-7-2

Race#4
8-7-4-3

Race#5
8-3-4-1

Race#6
9-8-2-1

Race#7
8-12-3-9

Race#8
1-14-10-7-2

Race#9
13-12-15-9

Race#10
1A-8-1-11

Race#11
10-4-13-2-7

Race#12
7-4-1-10
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
  • Threads: 186
  • Posts: 7101
May 3rd, 2017 at 7:39:50 PM permalink
Quote: troopscott

These are my early picks for the day though I will nail them down probably Thursday night but from my early look at the card these are what I first walked away with. Kentucky Oaks, Derby, Preakness and depending on first two Belmont as well as Breeder Cup days there is a large amount of dead money in the pool so I usually make my bets a little bigger to account for the better returns. Have not looked at the M/L yet just the past performances but Usually I have a little chalk, a little mid priced and a couple longer horses in my top picks. Anyway thought I would share my early picks. I will update Thursday night if anything changes after I put a lot more time in it.

Race 1
5-6-4-7

Race 2
4-7-3-2

Race 3
5-3-7-2

Race#4
8-7-4-3

Race#5
8-3-4-1

Race#6
9-8-2-1

Race#7
8-12-3-9

Race#8
1-14-10-7-2

Race#9
13-12-15-9

Race#10
1A-8-1-11

Race#11
10-4-13-2-7

Race#12
7-4-1-10

Good luck with it. Maybe if things otherwise go well, I'll try betting some trifecta box. Seems Churchill has $1 minimums, so it's expensive at $24 a race for four horses, assuming all lose. I've never bet on Kentucky Oaks before but have heard about it vaguely. What is your thought process in these races picking these horses?
#FreeNATHAN #Paytheslaves
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
  • Threads: 186
  • Posts: 7101
May 5th, 2017 at 10:25:59 AM permalink
I didn't play, but have seen one trifecta with your picks hitting, race 1 $.50 trifecta $88.65. Thought at first there were two in the first five, but only one. $88.65 would pay for a few $12 bets if they were played, unsure how I had thought the tris were $1 minimums.
#FreeNATHAN #Paytheslaves
onenickelmiracle
onenickelmiracle
Joined: Jan 26, 2012
  • Threads: 186
  • Posts: 7101
May 5th, 2017 at 10:46:24 AM permalink
Noticed if people were just playing numbers boxed, the Syracuse area code(315)was a $408.65 winner in race 2(5/1/3) Columbus(614) $246.95(1-4-6) in race 6. I never play like this, but always find it interesting in hindsight how much blind luck pays at times.
#FreeNATHAN #Paytheslaves
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
Joined: Sep 29, 2010
  • Threads: 4
  • Posts: 746
May 5th, 2017 at 3:11:08 PM permalink
I have doubles 4 and 14 in the Oaks to 6 and 9 in the derby
troopscott
troopscott
Joined: Apr 3, 2017
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 394
May 5th, 2017 at 3:24:59 PM permalink
Quote: troopscott

These are my early picks for the day though I will nail them down probably Thursday night but from my early look at the card these are what I first walked away with. Kentucky Oaks, Derby, Preakness and depending on first two Belmont as well as Breeder Cup days there is a large amount of dead money in the pool so I usually make my bets a little bigger to account for the better returns. Have not looked at the M/L yet just the past performances but Usually I have a little chalk, a little mid priced and a couple longer horses in my top picks. Anyway thought I would share my early picks. I will update Thursday night if anything changes after I put a lot more time in it.

Race 1
5-6-4-7

Race 2
4-7-3-2

Race 3
5-3-7-2

Race#4
8-7-4-3

Race#5
8-3-4-1

Race#6
9-8-2-1

Race#7
8-12-3-9

Race#8
1-14-10-7-2

Race#9
13-12-15-9

Race#10
1A-8-1-11

Race#11
10-4-13-2-7

Race#12
7-4-1-10



Sorry I had a water pipe bust and did not get to handicap yesterday or today to busy cleaning up water. A lot of scratches and the muddy track changed a lot of things including turf races.

Race 1 hit the tribox for $88
race 3 exacta box 12.80
race 5 1st choice winner paid 16
race *8 top choice winner paid 8.80, exacta box win $37
Race 9 mostly scratches
Race 10 top winner 4.00
will update the last couple races when it is over. Hard to say how my picks would have been if I had been able to handicap them to include weather etc last night

Will be handicapping the derby tonight. Bankroll for tomorrow is 2k. Hopefully I don't have to use it :)
speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
  • Threads: 41
  • Posts: 1107
May 5th, 2017 at 3:26:25 PM permalink
4 and 10 killed each other
bazooooka
bazooooka
Joined: Nov 21, 2016
  • Threads: 3
  • Posts: 185
May 9th, 2017 at 6:36:00 PM permalink
Troop you should start a horse picks thread and update often. Plenty here like to look in on those who document. You seem to have a knack.



Quote: troopscott

These are my early picks for the day though I will nail them down probably Thursday night but from my early look at the card these are what I first walked away with. Kentucky Oaks, Derby, Preakness and depending on first two Belmont as well as Breeder Cup days there is a large amount of dead money in the pool so I usually make my bets a little bigger to account for the better returns. Have not looked at the M/L yet just the past performances but Usually I have a little chalk, a little mid priced and a couple longer horses in my top picks. Anyway thought I would share my early picks. I will update Thursday night if anything changes after I put a lot more time in it.

Race 1
5-6-4-7

Race 2
4-7-3-2

Race 3
5-3-7-2

Race#4
8-7-4-3

Race#5
8-3-4-1

Race#6
9-8-2-1

Race#7
8-12-3-9

Race#8
1-14-10-7-2

Race#9
13-12-15-9

Race#10
1A-8-1-11

Race#11
10-4-13-2-7

Race#12
7-4-1-10


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