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beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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November 28th, 2016 at 12:49:58 PM permalink
Fwiw, since I haven't tracked my results separately from Ed's spreadsheet, I have played a confidence pick every week, which is 12, but you only have me listed for 11.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
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November 28th, 2016 at 1:08:44 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Fwiw, since I haven't tracked my results separately from Ed's spreadsheet, I have played a confidence pick every week, which is 12, but you only have me listed for 11.



I will double check. Thanks!
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
JoelDeze
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November 28th, 2016 at 1:20:06 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

Fwiw, since I haven't tracked my results separately from Ed's spreadsheet, I have played a confidence pick every week, which is 12, but you only have me listed for 11.



I had you down for all 11 weeks so I checked and I had missed you on this week's listing. I apologize!

Here's the updated winpct:

NameGamesWonLostPushPctCurrent Win Streak
Wizard971187.5%4
JoelDeze1293075.0%7
Miplet1063166.7%4
Aluisio853062.5%1
TheoHuxtable853062.5%0
SOOPOO1164160.0%5
FourFiveFace1265154.5%0
Rainman1165054.5%0
BeachBumBabs1266050.0%3
SM7771044250.0%1
AyeCarumba844050.0%2
EdCollins422050.0%0
Genwyzgy945044.4%2
Paradigm734042.9%1
GWAE1257041.7%2
WizardofNothing1257041.7%1
Scottimus11046040.0%1
Wudged835037.5%0
JW171147036.4%3
JohnZimbo724133.3%0
PlayYourCardsRight514020.0%0
“It’s a dog eat dog world out there and I’m wearing milkbone underwear .” – Norm Peterson
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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November 28th, 2016 at 8:32:58 PM permalink
Week 12: Unofficial Results

Mission146 (3-1)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Giants -7 (win)
Raiders -3 (push)
Patriots OVER 46.5 (loss)

JohnZimbo (3-2)
Chargers -1.5 (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Rams under 45.5 (loss)
Bengals under 40.5 (win)
Broncos under 39.5 (loss)

Wizard (3-1)
49ers (+7.5) (win)
Saints (-7) (win)
Browns (+7) (loss)
Raiders (-3) (push)
Jets (+7.5) (win)

Paradigm (5-1)
Chargers -1.5 (win)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
Rams +7.5 (loss)
Buccaneers +6.5 (win)
Jets +7.5 (Confidence) (win)

TheoHuxtable (1-5)
Browns +7 CONFIDENCE (loss)
Texans +1.5 (loss)
Eagles UNDER 47.5 (win)
Raiders UNDER 49 (loss)
Rams +7 (loss)

SOOPOO (5-0)
Jaguars +7.5 confidence (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Packers +4 (win)
Panthers +3 (push)
Chiefs +3.5 (win)

JohnnyQ (3-1)
Chargers (-1.5) (win)
Bengals (+4) (loss)
Panthers (+3) (push)
Chiefs (+3.5) (win)
Packers (+4) (win)

JW17 (2-4)
Broncos (-3.5) confidence (loss)
Patriots (-7.5) (loss)
Saints (-7) (win)
Eagles (-4) (loss)
Giants (-7) (win)

BeachBumBabs (5-1)
Saints -7 (win)
Saints over 45.5 (win)
Giants -7 confidence (win)
Giants under 44 (win)
Texans +1.5 (loss)

SM777 (4-0)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Raiders -3 CONFIDENCE (push)
Falcons OVER 50.5 (win)
Saints -7 (win)
Packers +4 (win)

EdCollins (3-2)
Jets +7.5 (win)
Browns +7 (loss)
Cardinals +5 (loss)
Bucs +6 (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)

Zourah (2-3)
Chiefs OVER 39.5 (win)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
Rams +7 (loss)
Seahawks -6 (loss)
Patriots -7.5 (loss)

JoelDeze (5-1)
Saints -7 -confidence (win)
Titans -5 (win)
Bills -7.5 (loss)
Giants -7 (win)
Falcons -5 (win)

Rainman (3-3)
Seahawks -6 confidence (loss)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
Giants -7 (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Cardinals +5 (loss)

Wudged (1-4)
Bears +5 - Confidence (loss)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Rams +7 (loss)
Browns +7 (loss)
Raiders -3 (push)

GWAE (3-2)
Bengals +4 (loss)
Giants -7 confidence (win)
Buccaneers +6 (win)
Raiders -3 (push)
Patriots -7.5 (loss)

Scottimus1 (3-2)
Chargers (-1.5) (win)
Bengals/Ravens Over 40.5 (loss)
Giants (-7) Confidence (win)
Giants/Browns Over 44 (loss)
Panthers (+3) (push)

AyeCarumba (4-2)
Arizona +5 (loss)
Giants -7 (win)
Seahawks UNDER 45 (win)
Raiders OVER 49 - Confidence (win)
Eagles OVER 47.5 (loss)

Terapined (4-0)
Ravens -4 (win)
Bucs +6 (win)
Raiders -3 (push)
Jags +7.5 (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)

Genwyzgy (4-2)
Bills OVER 45 (win)
Bengals OVER 40.5 (loss)
Cardinals +5 (loss)
Giants -7 Confidence (win)
Panthers OVER 49 (win)

FourFiveFace (4-2)
Chargers -1.5 (win)
Titans -5 (win)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
Cardinals +5-Confidence (loss)
Chiefs +3.5 (win)

WizardofNothing (4-1)
Jets +7.5 confidence (win)
Jets under 46.5 (win)
Panthers +3 (push)
Panthers under 49 (loss)
Packers +4 (win)

MidwestAP (4-1)
Texans +1.5 (loss)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
Falcons -5 (win)
49ers +7.5 (win)
Jets +7.5 (win)

10DollarBri (1-4)
Texans +1.5 (loss)
Bears +5 (loss)
Browns +7 (loss)
Broncos -3.5 (loss)
Buccaneers +6 (win)

RDW4POTUS (2-2)
Texans +1.5 (loss)
Cardinals +5 (loss)
Panthers +3 (push)
Packers +4 (win)
Chiefs +3.5 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (3-2)
Chiefs UNDER 39.5 (loss)
Falcons over 50.5 (win)
Bears +5 (loss)
Bucs +6 (win)
Jets +7.5 (win)

OdiousGambit (2-2)
Texans +1.5 (loss)
Bears +5 (loss)
Raiders -3 (push)
Jets +7.5 (win)
Saints -7 (win)

Miplet (4-1)
Bengals +4 (loss)
49ers +7.5-confidence (win)
Saints -7 (win)
Raiders -3 (push)
Packers +4 (win)

JML24 (1-4)
Texans +1.5 (loss)
Bears +5 (loss)
Jaguars +7.5 (win)
Bengals +4 (loss)
Cardinals +5 (loss)

Aluisio (0-5)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)
forfeit (loss)



Name Wins Losses %
Wizard 43 20 68.25%
10DollarBri 34 21 61.82%
Mission146 34 21 61.82%
SOOPOO 38 25 60.32%
JoelDeze 41 29 58.57%
Scottimus1 38 29 56.72%
JML24 31 24 56.36%
Wudged 34 27 55.74%
FourFiveFace 37 31 54.41%
Terapined 28 24 53.85%
OdiousGambit 30 26 53.57%
RDW4POTUS 29 26 52.73%
SM777 31 28 52.54%
JohnnyQ 29 27 51.79%
Miplet 31 29 51.67%
Rainman 34 32 51.52%
BeachBumBabs 36 35 50.70%
GenWyzgy 34 34 50.00%
AyeCarumba 32 33 49.23%
GWAE 34 36 48.57%
MidwestAP 26 29 47.27%
TheoHuxtable 29 33 46.77%
EdCollins 28 32 46.67%
Paradigm 30 35 46.15%
JW17 32 39 45.07%
Aluisio 27 34 44.26%
WizardofNothing 29 40 42.03%
PlayYourCardsRight 27 38 41.54%
Zourah 24 35 40.68%
JohnZimbo 24 41 36.92%
Totals 954 913 51.10%



Record of Skipped Weeks:
(players listed alphabetically)


100DollarBri: Week 8
Aluisio: Week 1 and Week 12
JML24: Week 7
MidwestAP: Week 6
Miplet: Week 3
Rainman: Week 7
RDW4POTUS: Week 10
SM777: Week 8
Terapined: Week 2
TheoHuxtable: Week 2
Wudged: Week 7
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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November 29th, 2016 at 12:34:13 PM permalink
Just to be clear...

If a competitor has default picks in place AND still has a Skip week available, are the default picks always counted first (i.e., unless the competitor specified they were using the skip week prior to the first kick-off, their default picks are active)?
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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Thanked by
Mission146
November 29th, 2016 at 1:46:55 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Just to be clear...

If a competitor has default picks in place AND still has a Skip week available, are the default picks always counted first (i.e., unless the competitor specified they were using the skip week prior to the first kick-off, their default picks are active)?



Fwiw, since I'm not mission, I think you have it correctly. Default picks are always on unless someone turns them off, either to skip, or to use a detailed list for that week. Since the point of default picks is to avoid a skip, it has to be that way; it's not up to mission to decide which is the better move each week.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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November 29th, 2016 at 6:05:58 PM permalink
BBB is correct, but it's also to a person's specifications, to a certain extent. For instance, I know there is at least one player (though I forget who) who has default Picks and has not used them yet, but has instructed that the Skip Week be used first. If they don't specify anything one way or another, then I would just use the Default Picks.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Zourah
Zourah
Zourah
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November 29th, 2016 at 7:57:01 PM permalink
I thought I was going to be really close to getting back into last place before the Kansas City game went over. Since the Chiefs came back to win, I'm still very happy with the outcome.
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 1st, 2016 at 4:21:48 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 13 Lines are as follows:

Broncos (-3.5) @ Jaguars (+3.5) O/U 40
Chiefs (+4.5) @ Falcons (-4.5) O/U 49
Texans (+6.5) @ Packers (-6.5) O/U 45.5
Eagles (+1.5) @ Bengals (-1.5) O/U 42
Lions (+6) @ Saints (-6) O/U 53.5
49ers (PK) @ Bears (PK) O/U 43.5
Rams (+13) @ Patriots (-13) O/U 44
Dolphins (+3.5) @ Ravens (-3.5) O/U 40.5
Bills (+3) @ Raiders (-3) O/U 49
Buccaneers (+3.5) @ Chargers (-3.5) O/U 47.5
Redskins (+2.5) @ Cardinals (-2.5) O/U 49.5
Giants (+6) @ Steelers (-6) O/U 48.5
Panthers (+7) @ Seahawks (-7) O/U 44.5
Colts (-2) @ Jets (+2) O/U 49
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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December 4th, 2016 at 8:34:23 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 13 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/26768-2016-wov-nfl-picks-game-official-thread/5/#post566587
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 4th, 2016 at 8:50:15 AM permalink
Check for default picks from Miplet. If not, this will be his second skipped week.
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 4th, 2016 at 8:52:54 AM permalink
A lot of love for the Raiders and for the Dolphins Ravens game to go over.

Enjoy the games.
miplet
miplet
miplet
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Joined: Dec 1, 2009
December 4th, 2016 at 12:23:04 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Check for default picks from Miplet. If not, this will be his second skipped week.



Bills (+3)
Buccaneers (+3.5)
Redskins (+2.5)
Giants (+6)
Jets (+2)

It's the last 5 dogs listed excluding the the Seahawks game if they are the favorite.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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December 4th, 2016 at 12:28:20 PM permalink
Love how many people took a side in the bears 49ers. Hope it s a good game.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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December 4th, 2016 at 4:14:18 PM permalink
Quote: miplet

Bills (+3)
Buccaneers (+3.5)
Redskins (+2.5)
Giants (+6)
Jets (+2)

It's the last 5 dogs listed excluding the the Seahawks game if they are the favorite.



Confirmed and correct.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
December 5th, 2016 at 8:10:48 PM permalink
Week 13 Unofficial Results

Mission146 (1-4)
49ers PK (loss)
Giants +6 (loss)
Eagles +1.5 (loss)
Texans +6.5 (loss)
Raiders -3 (win)

TheoHuxtable (3-3)
Raiders -3 (win)
Texans +6.5 Confidence (loss)
Bengals -1.5 (win)
Jets+2 (loss)
Packers UNDER (win)

BeachBumBabs (5-1)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Eagles +1.5 (loss)
Bears PK (win)
Raiders -3 -confidence (win)
Cardinals -2.5 (win)

Wudged (1-4)
Giants +6 (loss)
Rams +13 (loss)
Bears PK (win)
Eagles +1.5 (loss)
Falcons -4.5 (loss)

JohnnyQ (1-4)
Eagles (+1.5) (loss)
49ers (PK) (loss)
Bills (+3) (loss)
Cardinals (-2.5) (win)
Jets (+2) (loss)

RDW4POTUS (1-4)
eagles +1.5 (loss)
jets +2 (loss)
cardinals -2.5 (win)
dolphins +3.5 (loss)
49ers -0 (loss)

WizardofNothing (2-4)
Eagles +1.5 Confidence (loss)
Eagles over 42 (win)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Broncos over 40 (loss)
Redskins +2.5 (loss)

Zourah (4-1)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Packers -6.5 (win)
Bears PK (win)
Dolphins UNDER 40.5 (loss)
Steelers -6 (win)

FourFiveFace (4-2)
Chiefs +4.5 (win)
Packers -6.5 (win)
Lions +6 Confidence (win)
Rams +13 (loss)
Dolphins +3.5 (loss)

JohnZimbo (3-3)
Patriots -13 (win)
Steelers -6 (win)
Texans +6.5 Confidence (loss)
Chargers -3.5 (loss)
Raiders -3 (win)

Terapined (3-2)
49ers pk (loss)
Rams +13 (loss)
Ravens -3.5 (win)
Buccaneers +3.5 (win)
Cards -2.5 (win)

EdCollins (3-2)
Chiefs +4.5 (win)
Lions +6 (win)
Redskins +2.5 (loss)
Giants +6 (loss)
Raiders -3 (win)

GenWyzgy (3-2)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)
Packers -6.5 (win)
Lions +6 (win)
Rams +13 (loss)
Bears PK (win)

Paradigm (5-1)
Chiefs +4.5 (win)
Raiders -3 (Confidence) (win)
Seahawks -7 (win)
Dolphins +3.5 (loss)
Bengals -1.5 (win)

SM777 (3-3)
Saints -6 (loss)
Bengals UNDER 42 (loss)
Dolphins OVER 40.5 CONFIDENCE (win)
Panthers UNDER 44.5 (loss)
Seahawks -7 (win)

AyeCarumba (3-3)
Redskins +2.5 -Confidence (loss)
Raiders -3 (win)
Packers -6.5 (win)
Panthers +7 (loss)
Colts -2 (win)

JML24 (1-5)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Texans +6.5 -Confidence (loss)
49ers PK (loss)
Dolphins +3.5 (loss)
Jets +2 (loss)

Rainman (2-4)
Eagles +1.5 confidence (loss)
Dolphins +3.5 (loss)
Buccaneers +3.5 (win)
Seahawks -7 (win)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)

GWAE (4-2)
Bears PK (win)
Rams +13 (loss)
Dolphins +3.5 (loss)
Raiders -3 (win)
Steelers -6 conf (win)

10DollarBri (3-2)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Texans +6.5 (loss)
Bears PK (win)
Dolphins +3.5 (loss)
Buccaneers +3.5 (win)

Wizard (1-4)
Jaguars (+3.5) (loss)
Falcons (-4.5) (loss)
49ers (PK) (loss)
Seahawks (-7) (win)
Jets (+2) (loss)

SOOPOO (3-3)
Raiders -3 Confidence (win)
Giants +6 (loss)
Lions +6 (win)
Panthers +7 (loss)
Rams +13 (loss)

JoelDeze (1-5)
Saints -6 - confidence (loss)
Redskins +2.5 (loss)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Falcons -4.5 (loss)
Chargers -3.5 (loss)

PlayYourCardsRight (1-5)
Texans over 45.5 (loss)
Lions over 53.5 (loss)
49ers PK (loss)
Bills +3 CONFIDENCE (loss)
Colts -2 (win)

Aluisio (3-3)
Giants +6 (loss)
Broncos -3.5 (win)
Bears (win)
Jets +2 (confidence) (loss)
Cardinals -2.5 (win)

OdiousGambit (4-1)
Bears (PK) (win)
Jets +2 (loss)
Buccaneers +3.5 (win)
Patriots -13 (win)
Steelers -6 (win)

Scottimus1 (5-1)
Packers (-6.5) (win)
Bengals (-1.5) (win)
49ers/Bears Over 43.5 (loss)
Dolphins/Ravens Over 40.5 Confidence (win)
Raiders (-3) (win)

MidwestAP (1-4)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)
Rams +13 (loss)
Cardinals Under 49 (loss)
Steelers Under 48.5 (win)
Jets +2 (loss)

Miplet (1-4)
Bills (+3) (loss)
Buccaneers (+3.5) (win)
Redskins (+2.5) (loss)
Giants (+6) (loss)
Jets (+2) (loss)

Name Wins Losses %
Wizard 44 24 64.71%
10DollarBri 37 23 61.67%
SOOPOO 41 28 59.42%
Scottimus1 43 30 58.90%
Mission146 35 25 58.33%
OdiousGambit 34 27 55.74%
FourFiveFace 41 33 55.41%
JoelDeze 42 34 55.26%
Terapined 31 26 54.39%
BeachBumBabs 41 36 53.25%
Wudged 35 31 53.03%
JML24 32 29 52.46%
SM777 34 31 52.31%
GenWyzgy 37 36 50.68%
GWAE 38 38 50.00%
Rainman 36 36 50.00%
RDW4POTUS 30 30 50.00%
AyeCarumba 35 36 49.30%
Paradigm 35 36 49.30%
Miplet 32 33 49.23%
JohnnyQ 30 31 49.18%
EdCollins 31 34 47.69%
TheoHuxtable 32 36 47.06%
JW17 32 39 45.07%
MidwestAP 27 33 45.00%
Aluisio 30 37 44.78%
Zourah 28 36 43.75%
WizardofNothing 31 44 41.33%
PlayYourCardsRight 28 43 39.44%
JohnZimbo 27 44 38.03%
Totals 1,029 999 50.74%


Record of Skipped Weeks:
(players listed alphabetically)

100DollarBri: Week 8
Aluisio: Week 1 and Week 12
JML24: Week 7
JW17: Week 13
MidwestAP: Week 6
Miplet: Week 3
Rainman: Week 7
RDW4POTUS: Week 10
SM777: Week 8
Terapined: Week 2
TheoHuxtable: Week 2
Wudged: Week 7
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
beachbumbabs
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December 5th, 2016 at 9:34:17 PM permalink
It was not a week for underdogs. Chiefs, Lions, and Buccs the only ones who paid as dogs. IMO as a non stats tracking person, that's a very high percentage.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 5th, 2016 at 9:42:51 PM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

It was not a week for underdogs. Chiefs, Lions, and Buccs the only ones who paid as dogs. IMO as a non stats tracking person, that's a very high percentage.


A couple of weeks ago, in Week 11, these were my five picks:

Eagles +6.5
Packers +3
Ravens +7 (confidence)
Cardinals +2.5
Jags +6.5

All underdogs.

How did I do that week?

I was 0-6.
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
JohnnyQ
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December 6th, 2016 at 7:01:05 PM permalink
8 Players vying for the 0.500 consolation prize at even or within 1 game of 0.500, could be interesting down the stretch.
There's emptiness behind their eyes There's dust in all their hearts They just want to steal us all and take us all apart
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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December 6th, 2016 at 9:13:27 PM permalink
Quote: JohnnyQ

8 Players vying for the 0.500 consolation prize at even or within 1 game of 0.500, could be interesting down the stretch.



While I'd like to say it is due to my skillfull picking, the reality is that I can't string winning weeks together and have been bobbing around .500 for a couple of cycles now. The wheels would really have to fall off the Wizard's bus, and I need to close with perfect weeks if I am to catch him. Unfortunately, the odds of that happening are equal to the Brown's chances of winning five games this season.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
GWAE
GWAE
GWAE
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December 7th, 2016 at 6:13:21 AM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

While I'd like to say it is due to my skillfull picking, the reality is that I can't string winning weeks together and have been bobbing around .500 for a couple of cycles now. The wheels would really have to fall off the Wizard's bus, and I need to close with perfect weeks if I am to catch him. Unfortunately, the odds of that happening are equal to the Brown's chances of winning >>ONE<< game this season.



let me fix that for you
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
GWAE
GWAE
GWAE
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December 7th, 2016 at 6:13:49 AM permalink
WHAT WHAT!!!!!

Look at me at 50%.. BAM
Expect the worst and you will never be disappointed. I AM NOT PART OF GWAE RADIO SHOW
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 9th, 2016 at 11:50:24 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 14 Lines are as follows:

Broncos (+1) @ Titans (-1) O/U 43.5
Chargers (+1.5) @ Panthers (-1.5) O/U 49
Texans (+6.5) @ Colts (-6.5) O/U 46.5
Bengals (-5.5) @ Browns (+5.5) O/U 42.5
Steelers (-3) @ Bills (+3) O/U 46.5
Cardinals (-2) @ Dolphins (+2) O/U 43.5
Bears (+7.5) @ Lions (-7.5) O/U 43.5
Vikings (-3.5) @ Jaguars (+3.5) O/U 39.5
Saints (+2.5) @ Buccaneers (-2.5) O/U 51.5
Redskins (-2) @ Eagles (+2) O/U 46.5
Jets (+2.5) @ 49ers (-2.5) O/U 43.5
Seahawks (-3) @ Packers (+3) O/U 45.5
Falcons (-6.5) @ Rams (+6.5) O/U 45
Cowboys (-3.5) @ Giants (+3.5) O/U 47
Ravens (+7) @ Patriots (-7) O/U 45.5
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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December 11th, 2016 at 7:16:18 AM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 14 Picks have been posted:

https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/26768-2016-wov-nfl-picks-game-official-thread/5/#post567660

I should also like to point out that Wizard is in fact using his SKIP week this week as opposed to default picks. In a PM to me early this week, he stated that he would use a Skip week in the event that he did not submit his Picks this week, and I received no picks.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 11th, 2016 at 8:23:03 AM permalink
(1) Note that there is a problem with Scottimus1's picks.

He has Bengals 42.5.

Is that OVER or UNDER?

Mission, If that's not a typo at your end (probably not because I think you just cut and paste from your inbox), given his current record (43-30) this is an automatic loss, correct?


(2) Also, double check for default picks from MidwestAP. I see none listed and this will be his second skipped week.
miplet
miplet
miplet
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December 11th, 2016 at 9:29:37 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins


(2) Also, double check for default picks from MidwestAP. I see none listed and this will be his second skipped week.


If MidwestAP doesn't have any picks in, he can still get in them for the purposes of our side bet. Just make sure to post before kickoff of any games you pick.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 11th, 2016 at 10:37:50 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

(1) Note that there is a problem with Scottimus1's picks.

He has Bengals 42.5.

Is that OVER or UNDER?

Mission, If that's not a typo at your end (probably not because I think you just cut and paste from your inbox), given his current record (43-30) this is an automatic loss, correct?


(2) Also, double check for default picks from MidwestAP. I see none listed and this will be his second skipped week.



Scottimus1 is OVER, his pick had both nicknames and I wanted to delete one of them, but also accidentally deleted the word, 'Over.'

A cursory examination yields no default strategy for MidwestAP, but if he says he has one, I'll look again.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 12th, 2016 at 8:56:36 PM permalink
Week 14 Unofficial Results

Mission146 (2-3)
Bills +3 (loss)
Bears +7.5 (win)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)
Rams +6.5 (loss)
Browns UNDER 42.5 (win)

TheoHuxtable (3-2)
Steelers -3 (win)
Broncos+1 Confidence (loss)
Bengals -5.5 (win)
Jets UNDER (win)
Patriots -7 (push)

SM777 (4-1)
Giants +3.5 (win)
Bills +3 (loss)
Buccaneers -2.5 (win)
Packers +3 (win)
Falcons -6.5 (win)

JW17 (1-4)
Broncos (+1) (loss)
Browns (+5.5) confidence (loss)
Cardinals (-2) (loss)
Packers (+3) (win)
Ravens (+7) (push)

Paradigm (5-1)
Bills +3 (loss)
Panthers -1.5 (win)
Jets +2.5 (win)
Packers +3 (win)
Falcons -6.5 (Confidence) (win)

BeachBumBabs (3-3)
Vikings -3.5 (win)
Vikings over 39.5 (win)
Bills +3.5 -confidence (loss)
Redskins -2 (win)
Saints +2.5 (loss)

EdCollins (5-1)
Bucs -2.5 (confidence) (win)
Titans -1 (win)
Giants +3.5 (win)
Falcons -6.5 (win)
Lions -7.5 (loss)

GWAE (4-2)
Bills +3 confidence (loss)
Bears +7.5 (win)
Buccaneers -2.5 (win)
Redskins -2 (win)
Packers +3 (win)

Zourah (4-1)
Bears +7.5 (win)
Packers +3 CONFIDENCE (win)
Jets UNDER 43.5 (win)
Cowboys -3.5 (loss)
Patriots -7 (push)

JoelDeze (3-3)
Detroit -7.5 - confidence (loss)
Cincinnati -5.5 (win)
Minnesota -3.5 (win)
Atlanta -6.5 (win)
Seattle -3 (loss)

Aluisio (4-2)
Bengals -5.5 (confidence) (win)
Broncos +1 (loss)
Cowboys -3.5 (loss)
Packers +3 (win)
Buccaneers -2.5 (win)

OdiousGambit (2-3)
Titans -1 (win)
Saints +2.5 (loss)
Rams +6.5 (loss)
Giants +3.5 (win)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)

FourFiveFace (1-3)
Texans +6.5 (win)
Browns +5.5 (loss)
Bills +3 (loss)
Rams +6.5 (loss)
Ravens +7-Confidence (push)

JohnZimbo (2-3)
Patriots -7 (push)
Cardinals -2 confidence (loss)
Titans -1 (win)
Saints under 51.5 (win)
Chargers +1.5 (loss)

WizardofNothing (2-4)
Bills +3 confidence (loss)
Bills over 46.5 (win)
Cardinals -2 (loss)
Cardinals Under 43.5 (loss)
Redskins -2 (win)

Soopoo (3-2)
Steelers-3 confidence (win)
Vikings-3.5 (win)
Saints+2.5 (loss)
Browns+5.5 (loss)
Patriots-7 (push)

Wudged (2-4)
Redskins -2 (win)
Cowboys -3.5 - Confidence (loss)
Packers +3 (win)
Browns +5.5 (loss)
Saints +2.5 (loss)

Genwyzgy (2-3)
Broncos +1 (loss)
Bengals OVER 42.5 (loss)
Dolphins UNDER 43.5 (loss)
Lions UNDER 43.5 (win)
Buccaneers -2.5 (win)

JohnnyQ (2-3)
Broncos (+1) (loss)
Chargers (+1.5) (loss)
Cardinals (-2) (loss)
Redskins (-2) (win)
Jets (+2.5) (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (1-4)
Chargers +1.5 (loss)
Browns +5.5 (loss)
New Orleans +2.5 (loss)
NY Giants +3.5 (win)
Vikings UNDER (loss)

Terapined (3-1)
Dolphins +2 (win)
Bucs -2.5 (win)
Eagles +2 (loss)
Ravens +7 (push)
Bears +7.5 (win)

RDW4POTUS (2-3)
Panthers -1.5 (win)
Eagles +2 (loss)
Cowboys -3.5 (loss)
Saints +2.5 (loss)
Bengals -5.5 (win)

10Dollarbri (2-3)
Broncos +1 (loss)
Texans +6.5 (win)
Bills +3 (loss)
Packers +3 (win)
Cowboys -3.5 (loss)

Ayecarumba (4-2)
Steelers UNDER 46.5 (loss)
Eagles OVER 46.5 (win)
Browns UNDER 42.5 (win)
Packers UNDER 45.5 (loss)
Falcons -6.5 CONFIDENCE (win)

Rainman (2-3)
Cowboys -3.5 confidence (loss)
Seahawks -3 (loss)
Dolphins +2 (win)
Jets +2.5 (win)
Patriots -7 (push)

Miplet (0-5)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)
Saints +2.5 (loss)
49ers -2.5 (loss)
Rams +6.5-confidence (loss)
Ravens +7 (push)

Scottimus1 (4-2)
Bengals (-5.5) Confidence (win)
Bengals Over 42.5 (loss)
Cardinals (-2) (loss)
Falcons Over 45 (win)
Giants (+3.5) (win)

JML24 (4-2)
Titans -1-Confidence (win)
Panthers -1.5 (win)
Jaguars +3.5 (loss)
Buccaneers -2.5 (win)
Seahawks -3 (loss)



Name Wins Losses %
Wizard 44 24 64.71%
10DollarBri 39 26 60.00%
Scottimus1 47 32 59.49%
SOOPOO 44 30 59.46%
Mission146 37 28 56.92%
Terapined 34 27 55.74%
JoelDeze 45 37 54.88%
OdiousGambit 36 30 54.55%
SM777 38 32 54.29%
FourFiveFace 42 36 53.85%
JML24 36 31 53.73%
BeachBumBabs 44 39 53.01%
Paradigm 40 37 51.95%
Wudged 37 35 51.39%
GWAE 42 40 51.22%
EdCollins 36 35 50.70%
AyeCarumba 39 38 50.65%
GenWyzgy 39 39 50.00%
Rainman 38 39 49.35%
RDW4POTUS 32 33 49.23%
JohnnyQ 32 34 48.48%
TheoHuxtable 35 38 47.95%
Aluisio 34 39 46.58%
Zourah 32 37 46.38%
Miplet 32 38 45.71%
MidwestAP 27 33 45.00%
JW17 33 43 43.42%
WizardofNothing 33 48 40.74%
JohnZimbo 29 47 38.16%
PlayYourCardsRight 29 47 38.16%
Totals 1,105 1,072 50.76%



Record of Skipped Weeks:
(players listed alphabetically)

100DollarBri: Week 8
Aluisio: Week 1 and Week 12
JML24: Week 7
JW17: Week 13
MidwestAP: Week 6 and Week 14
Miplet: Week 3
Rainman: Week 7
RDW4POTUS: Week 10
SM777: Week 8
Terapined: Week 2
TheoHuxtable: Week 2
Wizard: Week 14
Wudged: Week 7
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 12th, 2016 at 9:21:06 PM permalink
With just three weeks to go, It's now gonna be hard to catch the Wizard.

It appears as if either WizardofNothing, JohnZimbo, or PlayYourCardsRight will win the bottom prize, with the latter two having an edge over WizardofNothing.

It's still WIDE OPEN for the middle prize, with almost half the field still in serious contention. This prize will almost surely be split by more than one person, and quite possibly more than two people.

Record of perfect 6-0 weeks:
GenWyzgy: Week 7
RDW4POTUS: Week 5
Wudged: Week 9

Record of perfect 5-0 weeks:
10DollarBri: Week 2, Week 10
GenWyzgy: Week 9
SOOPOO: Week 12
Terapined: Week 1
Zourah: Week 11

Note that SOOPOO has not had a losing week since Week 5.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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Joined: Aug 8, 2010
December 13th, 2016 at 5:19:14 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

With just three weeks to go, It's now gonna be hard to catch the Wizard.

Note that SOOPOO has not had a losing week since Week 5.



I would have guessed I'd roll 18 yo's in a row would be more likely. The Wiz's lead is not insurmountable. I'm coming for him.....
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
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Joined: Nov 17, 2009
December 13th, 2016 at 11:45:20 AM permalink
I've got side action with Miplet and need to stay ahead of him, am in a solid position to win or split the "Average" award, but have a puncher's chance of catching the leaders with three near perfect weeks and a dump truck full of luck.

What to do???
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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Joined: Sep 29, 2010
December 13th, 2016 at 3:52:16 PM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

It appears as if either WizardofNothing, JohnZimbo, or PlayYourCardsRight will win the bottom prize, with the latter two having an edge over WizardofNothing.



I have been trying to suck but PlayYourCardsRight has been sucking way more than me recently.
PlayYourCardsRight
PlayYourCardsRight
PlayYourCardsRight
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December 14th, 2016 at 2:52:57 AM permalink
A trend I hope continues....
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
Wizard
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December 14th, 2016 at 6:10:23 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

The Wiz's lead is not insurmountable. I'm coming for him.....



After a week in Costa Rica, I'm tanned, rested, and ready to fight to hold my lead.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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December 16th, 2016 at 12:20:59 PM permalink
Greetings!

The Week 15 Lines are as follows:

Buccaneers (+7) @ Cowboys (-7) O/U 46.5
Lions (+4) @ Giants (-4) O/U 41
Eagles (+6) @ Ravens (-6) O/U 40.5
Packers (-5.5) @ Bears (+5.5) O/U 39
Colts (+5) @ Vikings (-5) O/U 45.5
Browns (+10) @ Bills (-10) O/U 41.5
Titans (+5.5) @ Chiefs (-5.5) O/U 42
Jaguars (+5.5) @ Texans (-5.5) O/U 39.5
Saints (+3) @ Cardinals (-3) O/U 50.5
49ers (+13.5) @ Falcons (-13.5) O/U 50.5
Patriots (-3) @ Broncos (+3) O/U 44
Raiders (-3) @ Chargers (+3) O/U 49.5
Steelers (-3) @ Bengals (+3) O/U 44.5
Panthers (+6.5) @ Redskins (-6.5) O/U 51
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
Johnzimbo
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Joined: Sep 29, 2010
December 16th, 2016 at 3:22:18 PM permalink
Next week the games are Saturday not Sunday, just a heads up.
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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Joined: Oct 21, 2011
December 16th, 2016 at 3:45:57 PM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

Next week the games are Saturday not Sunday, just a heads up.


Thank you. I was going to mention this when I posted the results and standings this Monday evening, but it can't hurt to mention it early.

Next week (Week 16) there is 1 game Thursday evening, 12 games on Saturday (Christmas Eve), 2 games on Sunday (Christmas Day), and 1 game Monday evening.
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 17th, 2016 at 9:52:48 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Thank you. I was going to mention this when I posted the results and standings this Monday evening, but it can't hurt to mention it early.

Next week (Week 16) there is 1 game Thursday evening, 12 games on Saturday (Christmas Eve), 2 games on Sunday (Christmas Day), and 1 game Monday evening.



Very good, thank you!

The Lines will be posted on Wednesday and picks will be due Saturday by 10:00a.m.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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December 17th, 2016 at 10:06:41 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Very good, thank you!

The Lines will be posted on Wednesday and picks will be due Saturday by 10:00a.m.



Might I suggest you send a pm to each participant on Tuesday or Wednesday next week to remind them of the early deadline?
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 17th, 2016 at 10:14:01 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Might I suggest you send a pm to each participant on Tuesday or Wednesday next week to remind them of the early deadline?



Yes, I believe I will send the Reminder PM's almost immediately after posting the Lines.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
miplet
miplet
miplet
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Joined: Dec 1, 2009
December 17th, 2016 at 6:27:39 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

Yes, I believe I will send the Reminder PM's almost immediately after posting the Lines.

I gotta remember to update the programs to allow Saturday games.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 18th, 2016 at 8:14:36 AM permalink
Quote: miplet

I gotta remember to update the programs to allow Saturday games.



No worries, I can type out the lines manually for one week, won't kill me!

There are the playoff games, but that's only four lines per week for the first two weeks, no big deal at all.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 18th, 2016 at 8:42:20 AM permalink
Check for default picks from TheoHuxtable. (If not, second skipped week.)
Mission146
Mission146
Mission146
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Joined: May 15, 2012
December 18th, 2016 at 10:13:55 AM permalink
Quote: EdCollins

Check for default picks from TheoHuxtable. (If not, second skipped week.)



He does, in fact:

TheoHuxtable:

Buccaneers OVER 46.5
Lions OVER 41
Eagles OVER 40.5
Packers OVER 39
Colts OVER 45.5

I also add these to the Official Thread really quick.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
EdCollins
EdCollins
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December 19th, 2016 at 8:58:52 PM permalink
Week 15 Unofficial Results

Mission146 (4-1)
Bears +5.5 (win)
49ers +13.5 (loss)
Buccaneers +7 (win)
Eagles +6 (win)
Patriots -3 (win)

OdiousGambit (2-2)
Bears +5.5 (win)
Broncos +3 (loss)
Chargers +3 (push)
Bengals +3 (loss)
Jaguars +5.5 (win)

SOOPOO (2-4)
Browns +10 confidence (loss)
49ers +13.5 (loss)
Patriots -3 (win)
Buccaneers +7 (win)
Lions +4 (loss)

JohnnyQ (2-2)
Giants (-4) (win)
Saints (+3) (win)
Broncos (+3) (loss)
Chargers (+3) (push)
Bengals (+3) (loss)

FourFiveFace (5-1)
Buccaneers +7-Confidence (win)
Lions +4 (loss)
Eagles +6 (win)
Colts +5 (win)
Titans +5.5 (win)

JW17 (1-5)
Buccaneers (+7) (win)
Broncos (+3) confidence (loss)
Cardinals (-3) (loss)
Chiefs (-5.5) (loss)
Browns (+10) (loss)

Paradigm (2-3)
Vikings -5 Confidence (loss)
Bills -10 (win)
Buccaneers +7 (win)
Lions +4 (loss)
Raiders -3 (push)

Wudged (1-5)
Packers -5.5 (loss)
Saints +3 (win)
Broncos +3 (loss)
Redskins -6.5 (loss)
Redskins Over 51 - Confidence (loss)

SM777 (3-3)
Patriots -3 CONFIDENCE (win)
Giants -4 (win)
Chiefs -5.5 (loss)
Packers -5.5 (loss)
Vikings -5 (loss)

WizardofNothing (4-2)
Bears +5.5 confidence (win)
Bears under 39 (loss)
Cowboys -7 (loss)
Cowboys under 46.5 (win)
Chiefs under 42 (win)

GWAE (4-2)
Giants -4 (win)
Ravens -6 (loss)
Bears +5.5 (win)
Chiefs -5.5 (loss)
Steelers -3 confidence (win)

Zourah (0-6)
Chiefs -5.5 (loss)
Cardinals -3 (loss)
Giants OVER 41 (loss)
Bills UNDER 41.5 (loss)
Texans -5.5 CONFIDENCE (loss)

EdCollins (1-4)
Cowboys -7 (loss)
Giants -4 (win)
Broncos +3 (loss)
Chiefs -5.5 (loss)
Cowboys/Bucs over (loss)

Terapined (3-3)
Bucs +7 confidence (win)
Ravens -6 (loss)
Panthers +6.5 (win)
Browns +10 (loss)
49ers +13.5 (loss)

Scottimus1 (5-0)
Giants (-4) (win)
Colts/Vikings Under 45.5 (win)
Patriots (-3) Confidence (win)
Chargers (+3) (push)
Panthers (+6.5) (win)

AyeCarumba (3-1)
Ravens OVER 40.5 (win)
Packers -5.5 (loss)
Vikings UNDER 45.5 (win)
Bills -10 (win)
Raiders -3 CONFIDENCE (push)

10Dollarbri (2-3)
Cowboys -7 (loss)
Lions +4 (loss)
Bears +5.5 (win)
Saints +3 (win)
Broncos +3 (loss)

Wizard (4-0)
Saints (+3) (win)
Patriots (-3) (win)
Chargers (+3) (push)
Steelers (-3) (win)
Packers vs. Bears over 39 (win)

JohnZimbo (3-2)
Bears +5.5 (win)
Giants -4 (win)
49ers +13.5 (loss)
Browns +10 (loss)
Bills over 41.5 (win)

PlayYourCardsRight (2-3)
Philadelphia +6 (win)
Cleveland +10 (loss)
Jacksonville +5.5 (win)
Denver +3 (loss)
Cincinnati +3 (loss)

JoelDeze (3-3)
Patriots (-3) confidence (win)
Cardinals (-3) (loss)
Texans (-5.5) (loss)
Packers (-5.5) (loss)
Steelers (-3) (win)

GenWyzgy (1-4)
Lions +4 (loss)
Ravens -6 (loss)
Titans +5.5 (win)
Falcons UNDER 50.5 (loss)
Bengals +3 (loss)

MidwestAP (0-4)
Browns +10 (loss)
49ers +13.5 (loss)
Broncos +3 (loss)
Chargers +3 (push)
Bengals +3 (loss)

Aluisio (4-2)
Steelers -3 (confidence) (win)
Vikings -5 (loss)
Patriots -3 (win)
49ers +13.5 (loss)
Eagles +6 (win)

Rainman (2-4)
Cowboys -7 confidence (loss)
Giants -4 (win)
Packers -5.5 (loss)
Eagles +6 (win)
Chiefs -5.5 (loss)

JML24 (3-1)
Lions +4 (loss)
Eagles +6 (win)
Bears +5.5 (win)
Jaguars +5.5 (win)
Chargers +3 (push)

Miplet (4-1)
Eagles +6 (win)
Bears +5.5 (win)
Chiefs -5.5 (loss)
Jaguars +5.5 confidence (win)
Chargers +3 (push)

BeachBumBabs (3-3)
Vikings -5 confidence (loss)
Bills -10 (win)
Falcons -13.5 (win)
Patriots -3 (win)
Packers -5.5 (loss)

RDW4POTUS (1-3)
Lions +4 (loss)
Vikings -5 (loss)
Raiders -3 (push)
Patriots -3 (win)
49ers +13.5 (loss)

TheoHuxtable (2-3)
Buccaneers OVER 46.5 (loss)
Lions OVER 41 (loss)
Eagles OVER 40.5 (win)
Packers OVER 39 (win)
Colts OVER 45.5 (loss)



Name Wins Losses %
Wizard 48 24 66.67%
Scottimus1 52 32 61.90%
10DollarBri 41 29 58.57%
Mission146 41 29 58.57%
SOOPOO 46 34 57.50%
FourFiveFace 47 37 55.95%
Terapined 37 30 55.22%
JML24 39 32 54.93%
JoelDeze 48 40 54.55%
OdiousGambit 38 32 54.29%
SM777 41 35 53.95%
BeachBumBabs 47 42 52.81%
GWAE 46 42 52.27%
AyeCarumba 42 39 51.85%
Paradigm 42 40 51.22%
Wudged 38 40 48.72%
EdCollins 37 39 48.68%
JohnnyQ 34 36 48.57%
GenWyzgy 40 43 48.19%
Rainman 40 43 48.19%
Aluisio 38 41 48.10%
Miplet 36 39 48.00%
RDW4POTUS 33 36 47.83%
TheoHuxtable 37 41 47.44%
Zourah 32 43 42.67%
WizardofNothing 37 50 42.53%
MidwestAP 27 37 42.19%
JW17 34 48 41.46%
JohnZimbo 32 49 39.51%
PlayYourCardsRight 31 50 38.27%
Totals 1,181 1,152 50.62%


Record of Skipped Weeks:
(players listed alphabetically)

100DollarBri: Week 8
Aluisio: Week 1 and Week 12
JML24: Week 7
JW17: Week 13
MidwestAP: Week 6 and Week 14
Miplet: Week 3
Rainman: Week 7
RDW4POTUS: Week 10
SM777: Week 8
Terapined: Week 2
TheoHuxtable: Week 2
Wizard: Week 14
Wudged: Week 7
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
  • Threads: 236
  • Posts: 6763
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
December 19th, 2016 at 9:31:25 PM permalink
I am pretty confident the Wizard will not be caught. Time to "hit the one in the middle, Rock"
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
  • Threads: 123
  • Posts: 11520
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
December 20th, 2016 at 2:05:14 PM permalink
I can still go 0-12 for a 50% record. I am trying to defend my Mr. Average crown.
JW17
JW17
JW17
  • Threads: 8
  • Posts: 344
Joined: Dec 30, 2011
December 20th, 2016 at 8:38:40 PM permalink
I'm right in line for the YOU SUCK award

Not that I should be proud..........
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
lilredrooster
  • Threads: 240
  • Posts: 7094
Joined: May 8, 2015
December 21st, 2016 at 4:09:38 AM permalink
This is a quote from a New York Times article from today re the effect of the increased attempt at 2 point conversions on the line:


as result, bookmakers are ever more careful when they move the betting line, said Johnny Avello, executive director of the Race and Sports Book at the Wynn Las Vegas. The most common margins of victory are 3 and 7, but with teams going for 2 more often, he said, those so-called key numbers are evolving.

A different set of numbers validates Tomlin’s willingness to upend standard procedure. The expected value — calculated by multiplying the chance of success by the reward — reveals that the average extra point is worth 0.94 points (94 percent times 1) over the past 2 seasons while the average 2 point try: 47.8% is worth 0.96 points.

Given those nearly equivalent figures, Burke said a league-average team should be indifferent to its choice. But, he added, a team that considers itself above league average — like the Steelers, with a 55 percent success rate over the last two season — would be slightly better served going for 2 most of the game and then kicking extra points only when score and time dictates
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
miplet
miplet
miplet
  • Threads: 5
  • Posts: 2146
Joined: Dec 1, 2009
December 21st, 2016 at 4:36:21 AM permalink
Quote: Mission146

No worries, I can type out the lines manually for one week, won't kill me!

There are the playoff games, but that's only four lines per week for the first two weeks, no big deal at all.

I just had to change 1 line. It was easy. You'll just have to delete Thursday's game.
“Man Babes” #AxelFabulous
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