teaser discrepancy - 2
June 7th, 2015 at 12:32:46 PM
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Will write a summary this time, since I will just be repeating most of the information from the link below
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/22280-teaser-discrepancy/#post462848
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Bet Summary
Sportsbook: 5dimes
Bet type: Two Team Teaser
Stated Teaser: "... ties win - NFL sides 5 pts - other football 5½ pts - basketball 4½ pts"
Teaser Odds (for two games): +101 ($2.01)
Teased Odds (per game): about -239 (~ $1.4177...)
Game A (Team A): GS Warriors @ +4 (1st 48 Min), for tonights game
Game B (Team B): Any team you like, that you think has an edge (or that is at least neutral), for example I have chosen Buffalo Bills @ +7, in their game against the Colts, (their first game of the regular season)
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Other Info (see below):
Reason(s), this is a good teaser (for Game A):
(i) The game is for the "1st 48 minutes", so it can still win if the game ends in a 'Regulation Tie'^^^ (this negates the 'crossing zero disadvantage' of all other teasers)
(ii) More importantly, you are getting the equivalent of GS @ $1.41..., plus you are getting an extra 4.5 pts (4 pts, ties win) start on top of that!!!
'Regulation Tie'^^^: this is what happened in the first game!!
Theoretical Player Advantage: This is greater than 13%*** for the Game A part of the teaser, (too far away from the game to tell if Game B is a good bet or not, but had to choose something)
13%***: again, see reasoning in the previous thread - "teaser discrepancy", to do with Game/Team A: being the equivalent of greater than an 8.5 pt teaser (even though the STATED teaser is "...4½ pts" for basketball),
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https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/gambling/sports/22280-teaser-discrepancy/#post462848
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Bet Summary
Sportsbook: 5dimes
Bet type: Two Team Teaser
Stated Teaser: "... ties win - NFL sides 5 pts - other football 5½ pts - basketball 4½ pts"
Teaser Odds (for two games): +101 ($2.01)
Teased Odds (per game): about -239 (~ $1.4177...)
Game A (Team A): GS Warriors @ +4 (1st 48 Min), for tonights game
Game B (Team B): Any team you like, that you think has an edge (or that is at least neutral), for example I have chosen Buffalo Bills @ +7, in their game against the Colts, (their first game of the regular season)
----------------------------
Other Info (see below):
Reason(s), this is a good teaser (for Game A):
(i) The game is for the "1st 48 minutes", so it can still win if the game ends in a 'Regulation Tie'^^^ (this negates the 'crossing zero disadvantage' of all other teasers)
(ii) More importantly, you are getting the equivalent of GS @ $1.41..., plus you are getting an extra 4.5 pts (4 pts, ties win) start on top of that!!!
'Regulation Tie'^^^: this is what happened in the first game!!
Theoretical Player Advantage: This is greater than 13%*** for the Game A part of the teaser, (too far away from the game to tell if Game B is a good bet or not, but had to choose something)
13%***: again, see reasoning in the previous thread - "teaser discrepancy", to do with Game/Team A: being the equivalent of greater than an 8.5 pt teaser (even though the STATED teaser is "...4½ pts" for basketball),
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June 7th, 2015 at 12:42:05 PM
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Forgot to mention that the current line for GS is: about - 7.5 atm
June 7th, 2015 at 12:53:25 PM
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Posting this kind of stuff just increases the chance that Tony is going to steal your money.
June 7th, 2015 at 12:58:23 PM
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hasn't happened yet, but thanks, I won't post publicly for the next game it is available for,
June 7th, 2015 at 2:07:13 PM
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Tony is the Gestapo when it comes to decisions I personally had him confiscate 3500 after being paid successfully for years
