Gandler
Gandler
  • Threads: 35
  • Posts: 1795
Joined: Jan 27, 2014
April 30th, 2015 at 11:36:05 PM permalink
In any particular game any particular team, would it be more likely for a team to end with an even or odd score?
Or is it 50/50?
I don't know much about the more advanced rules of American Football as far as scoring so I am not sure if there is a way to determine if an even or odd score is inherently more likley?
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 2001
Joined: Mar 28, 2010
April 30th, 2015 at 11:40:55 PM permalink
Use the search function for this year's superbowl prop bets. I forget which is more likely but it should be on there.
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
  • Threads: 240
  • Posts: 13884
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 1st, 2015 at 2:23:21 AM permalink
Most scoring is TD with PAT or FG, both odd units. As we all know:

Even plus even equals even

Odd plus odd equals even

Even plus odd equals odd


So I say even. But I took 3 tries to much get past algebra1.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 2001
Joined: Mar 28, 2010
May 1st, 2015 at 2:35:02 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

Most scoring is TD with PAT or FG, both odd units. As we all know:

Even plus even equals even

Odd plus odd equals even

Even plus odd equals odd


So I say even. But I took 3 tries to much get past algebra1.



But most games end by a difference of 3 or 7 points. To have an odd difference you need an odd and an even number. An odd and an even number make an odd number.
AZDuffman
AZDuffman
  • Threads: 240
  • Posts: 13884
Joined: Nov 2, 2009
May 1st, 2015 at 4:57:30 AM permalink
Quote: rudeboyoi

But most games end by a difference of 3 or 7 points. To have an odd difference you need an odd and an even number. An odd and an even number make an odd number.



I read it team have an even or odd score. Not game total or differential.
All animals are equal, but some are more equal than others
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 2001
Joined: Mar 28, 2010
May 1st, 2015 at 6:10:53 AM permalink
Quote: AZDuffman

I read it team have an even or odd score. Not game total or differential.



I read it that way too. I was just disputing what you said by working backwards from the game total using the same kind of logic.
surrender88s
surrender88s
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 291
Joined: Jun 23, 2013
May 1st, 2015 at 6:22:28 AM permalink
it is true that you can bet on these, and the odds are not the same for either. I think it actually varies by game. You might see:

Odd -120
Even 100

or

Odd 105
Even -130

I always saw it as a coin-flip type bet where there's no real advantage, just a straight up gamble. It might be interesting to see what would happen if you always bet the underdog.
"Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1." -Warren Buffett on risk/return
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 2001
Joined: Mar 28, 2010
May 1st, 2015 at 6:26:58 AM permalink
https://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/super-bowl/49/

For the superbowl, it says the fair line was -124 for YES on odd.

It seems weird though cause that means one team has to be an ODD total and one team has to be an EVEN total. Can't quite wrap my head around about why that is.
rudeboyoi
rudeboyoi
  • Threads: 27
  • Posts: 2001
Joined: Mar 28, 2010
May 1st, 2015 at 6:32:59 AM permalink
Well I guess it's cause (Odd/even or even/odd) has a greater chance of happening than (odd/odd).
TomG
TomG
  • Threads: 16
  • Posts: 2426
Joined: Sep 26, 2010
May 3rd, 2015 at 3:50:24 PM permalink
For any given team the odds are very close to 50% either way. If you can find a team prop at anything better than +100 it is a good bet.

Margin of victory is more likely to be odd; over 56% of the time the game will be decided by an odd number of points
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
  • Threads: 1491
  • Posts: 26435
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
May 3rd, 2015 at 5:34:36 PM permalink
Each individual team is about equally likely to be odd or even. However, they are negatively correlated. One is likely to be odd and the other even, resulting in an odd total.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
  • Jump to: