Toronto Blue Jays 3X's
Miami Marlins
Minnesota Twins 3X's
Atlanta Braves
Tampa Bay Rays 3X's
New York Yankees 3X's
San Francisco Giants
Toronto Blue Jays 0
Miami Marlins -100
Minnesota Twins 0
Atlanta Braves 108
Tampa Bay Rays -300
New York Yankees 420
San Francisco Giants -100
Yesterday's results: 28
+130dogs 120
Other dogs -92
Favorites 0
Focus Picks -300
YTD Total 654
+130dogs 2,757
Other dogs -530
Favorites -1,573
Focus Picks -372
Philadelphia Phillies 142 3X's
Oakland Athletics 129 3X's
Washington Nationals -200
Miami Marlins 116
Minnesota Twins 128 3X's
Texas Rangers -105
Tampa Bay Rays EV
Yesterday's Results:
Philadelphia Phillies 426
Oakland Athletics 387
Washington Nationals 100
Miami Marlins 116
Minnesota Twins -300
Texas Rangers 100
Tampa Bay Rays 100
Yesterday's results: 929
+130dogs 426
Other dogs 303
Favorites 200
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 1,583
+130dogs 3,183
Other dogs -227
Favorites -1,373
Focus Picks -372
Minnesota Twins 150 3X's
Milwaukee Brewers 147 3X's
Atlanta Braves 107
Seattle Mariners 106
San Francisco Giants 103
Cincinnati Reds 129
Oakland Athletics -101
Texas Rangers 123
Colorado Rockies 129
Kansas City Royals 119
New York Mets 129
Yesterday's Results:
Minnesota Twins -300
Milwaukee Brewers -300
Atlanta Braves -100
Seattle Mariners -100
San Francisco Giants -100
Cincinnati Reds -100
Oakland Athletics 100
Texas Rangers -100
Colorado Rockies 129
Kansas City Royals 119
New York Mets -100
Yesterday's results: -852
+130dogs -600
Other dogs -352
Favorites 100
Focus Picks 119
YTD Total 731
+130dogs 2,583
Other dogs -579
Favorites -1,273
Focus Picks -253
Philadelphia Phillies -105 3X's
Chicago White Sox 115 3X's
Cleveland Indians 103
Arizona DiamondBacks 128
St. Louis Cardinals -101 3X's
Philadelphia Phillies -315
Chicago White Sox -300
Cleveland Indians 103
Arizona DiamondBacks -100
St. Louis Cardinals 300
Yesterday's results: -312
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -297
Favorites -15
Focus Picks -315
YTD Total 419
+130dogs 2,583
Other dogs -876
Favorites -1,288
Focus Picks -568
LA Angels of Anaheim 105
Houston Astros 120
Cincinnati Reds -102
Oakland Athletics -102
Atlanta Braves 112
Texas Rangers 140 3X's
Milwaukee Brewers 117
Miami Marlins EV
St. Louis Cardinals 110 3X's
Seattle Mariners 105
LA Angels of Anaheim -100
Houston Astros -100
Cincinnati Reds -102
Oakland Athletics -102
Atlanta Braves -100
Texas Rangers 420
Milwaukee Brewers 117
Miami Marlins 100
St. Louis Cardinals 330
Seattle Mariners -100
Yesterday's results: 363
+130dogs 420
Other dogs 147
Favorites -204
Focus Picks 330
YTD Total 782
+130dogs 3,003
Other dogs -729
Favorites -1,492
Focus Picks -238
Washington Nationals 105
Kansas City Royals -164 3X's
Milwaukee Brewers -101
San Francisco Giants -185
Boston Red Sox -105
Miami Marlins 103
Cincinnati Reds -110 3X's
Baltimore Orioles 135 3X's
Pittsburgh Pirates 102
LA Angels of Anaheim -101
New York Mets 105 3X's
Yesterday's Results:
Washington Nationals -100
Kansas City Royals -492
Milwaukee Brewers 100
San Francisco Giants 100
Boston Red Sox 100
Miami Marlins -100
Cincinnati Reds -330
Baltimore Orioles -300
Pittsburgh Pirates -100
LA Angels of Anaheim -101
New York Mets -300
Yesterday's results: -1,523
+130dogs -300
Other dogs -600
Favorites -623
Focus Picks -1,122
YTD Total -741
+130dogs 2,703
Other dogs -1,329
Favorites -2,115
Focus Picks -1,360
Today's Picks:
LA Angels of Anaheim 104
Houston Astros -101
San Diego Padres 163 3X's
Philadelphia Phillies 126
Detroit Tigers 115
Texas Rangers 108
Minnesota Twins -104
Chicago Cubs 125
Miami Marlins 110
Arizona DiamondBacks 106
Seattle Mariners 125
St. Louis Cardinals 140 3X's
Won/Loss
LA Angels of Anaheim -100
Houston Astros -101
San Diego Padres -300
Philadelphia Phillies 126
Detroit Tigers 115
Texas Rangers -100
Minnesota Twins 100
Chicago Cubs 125
Miami Marlins 110
Arizona DiamondBacks -100
Seattle Mariners -100
St. Louis Cardinals 420
Yesterday's results: 195
+130dogs 120
Other dogs 76
Favorites -1
Focus Picks 420
YTD Total -546
+130dogs 2,823 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -1,253
Favorites -2,116
Focus Picks -940
Milwaukee Brewers 148 3X's
Miami Marlins 148 3X's
Philadelphia Phillies 106
Houston Astros 140 3X's
Colorado Rockies 130 3X's
Milwaukee Brewers 444
Miami Marlins -300
Philadelphia Phillies -100
Houston Astros -300
Colorado Rockies 390
Yesterday's results: 134
+130dogs 234
Other dogs -100
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total -412
+130dogs 3,057 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -1,353
Favorites -2,116
Focus Picks -940
Milwaukee Brewers 185 3X's
Miami Marlins 134 3X's
Chicago Cubs 109
Philadelphia Phillies 130 3X's
San Francisco Giants 110
Atlanta Braves 117
Colorado Rockies 114
Milwaukee Brewers 555
Miami Marlins -300
Chicago Cubs -100
Philadelphia Phillies -300
San Francisco Giants 110
Atlanta Braves 117
Colorado Rockies 114
Yesterday's results: 196
+130dogs -45
Other dogs 241
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total -216
+130dogs 3,012 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -1,112
Favorites -2,116
Focus Picks -940
Philadelphia Phillies 130 3X's
Washington Nationals 110
Colorado Rockies 106
Detroit Tigers -102
San Francisco Giants 145 3X's
Atlanta Braves 103
Seattle Mariners 145 3X's
LA Angels of Anaheim -102
Houston Astros 112
Colorado Rockies -100
Detroit Tigers -102
San Francisco Giants 435
Atlanta Braves 103
Seattle Mariners 435
LA Angels of Anaheim -102
Houston Astros -100
Yesterday's results: 379
+130dogs 570
Other dogs 13
Favorites -204
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total 163
+130dogs 3,582 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -1,099
Favorites -2,320
Focus Picks -940
San Diego Padres 103
Seattle Mariners EV
Texas Rangers 150 3X's
Boston Red Sox -104
New York Mets 105 3X's
Cincinnati Reds 134 3X's
San Diego Padres 103
Seattle Mariners -100
Texas Rangers -300
Boston Red Sox -104
New York Mets 315
Cincinnati Reds -300
Yesterday's results: -386
+130dogs -600
Other dogs 318
Favorites -104
Focus Picks 315
YTD Total -223
+130dogs +2,982 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -781
Favorites -2,424
Focus Picks -625
Cleveland Indians 130 3X's
Baltimore Orioles 112
Atlanta Braves 110
Colorado Rockies 116 3X's
Toronto Blue Jays EV
Chicago White Sox 115
Washington Nationals -102
Kansas City Royals 105
Oakland Athletics 105
Arizona DiamondBacks 165 3X's
Quote: steeldcoToday's Picks:
Cleveland Indians 130 3X's
Arizona DiamondBacks 165 3X's
Right now only about 38 minutes after you posted this covers.com shows the very highest line on Cleveland being +110
They show the very highest line on Arizona as being + 141.
Quote: lilredroosterRight now only about 38 minutes after you posted this covers.com shows the very highest line on Cleveland being +110
They show the very highest line on Arizona as being + 141.
Thank you. I checked back into SBG Global, which is where I get the data from and they also show lower numbers. Now I'm not sure if the lines moved since early this morning or whether I screwed up when I transferred the data. Maybe I screwed up since I had to transfer twice because they initially did not have a line on the White Sox/Tampa Bay game. So I am going to choose to re-update the files and re-post the picks.
Thanks again.
Today's Picks:
M/L
Philadelphia Phillies 168 3X's
Detroit Tigers -117
New York Yankees -116
Atlanta Braves -104
Colorado Rockies 128
Toronto Blue Jays -103
Minnesota Twins 118
Milwaukee Brewers -102
Houston Astros 121
Kansas City Royals 110
Oakland Athletics EV
Arizona DiamondBacks 137 3X's
Quote: steeldcoThank you. I checked back into SBG Global, which is where I get the data from and they also show lower numbers. Now I'm not sure if the lines moved since early this morning or whether I screwed up when I transferred the data. Maybe I screwed up since I had to transfer twice because they initially did not have a line on the White Sox/Tampa Bay game. So I am going to choose to re-update the files and re-post the picks.
Thanks again.
Ya never know, steeldco; maybe you moved the line. :)
Quote: beachbumbabsYa never know, steeldco; maybe you moved the line. :)
beachbumbabs, I have always moved lines.....unfortunately they have always been in my dreams. Some day however.......LOL.
Won/Loss
Philadelphia Phillies -300
Detroit Tigers 100
New York Yankees -116
Atlanta Braves -104
Colorado Rockies -100
Toronto Blue Jays 100
Minnesota Twins -100
Milwaukee Brewers 100
Houston Astros 121
Kansas City Royals -100
Oakland Athletics -100
Arizona DiamondBacks 411
Yesterday's results: -88
+130dogs 111
Other dogs -279
Favorites 80
Focus Picks 411
YTD Total -223
+130dogs 2,982 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -781
Favorites -2,424
Focus Picks -625
Corrected results:
Philadelphia Phillies -300
Detroit Tigers 100
New York Yankees -116
Atlanta Braves -104
Colorado Rockies -100
Toronto Blue Jays 100
Minnesota Twins -100
Milwaukee Brewers 100
Houston Astros 121
Kansas City Royals -100
Oakland Athletics -100
Arizona DiamondBacks 411
Yesterday's results: -88
+130dogs 111
Other dogs -279
Favorites 80
Focus Picks 411
YTD Total -311
+130dogs +3,093 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -1,060
Favorites -2,344
Focus Picks -214
M/L
Toronto Blue Jays 112
Detroit Tigers -103
Atlanta Braves 142 3X's
Washington Nationals 112
Colorado Rockies 140 3X's
Chicago White Sox 155 3X's
Kansas City Royals EV
Arizona DiamondBacks 135 3X's
Baltimore Orioles -102
Oakland Athletics 120
Toronto Blue Jays 112
Detroit Tigers -103
Atlanta Braves 426
Washington Nationals 112
Colorado Rockies -300
Chicago White Sox -300
Kansas City Royals -100
Arizona DiamondBacks 405
Baltimore Orioles 100
Oakland Athletics -100
Yesterday's results: 252
+130dogs 231
Other dogs 24
Favorites -3
Focus Picks 405
YTD Total -59
+130dogs 3,324 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -1,036
Favorites -2,347
Focus Picks 191
Detroit Tigers 120
Atlanta Braves 120
Philadelphia Phillies 140 3X's
New York Yankees 105
Toronto Blue Jays 105
Milwaukee Brewers 142 3X's
Seattle Mariners 128
Kansas City Royals 119
Minnesota Twins 103
Arizona DiamondBacks 135 3X's
Cincinnati Reds 150 3X's
how many actual bets does this cover?Quote: steeldco+130dogs 3,324 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
ands
how large of a loss B4 show a gain?
ands
this is of course, just your opinion (They ROCK!)
my opinion
is still
the over/under for this year.
They ROCK!
and you also started with 1X bets, then 2X bets and now 3X bets on the +130 dogs
why not 5X or 10X bets and higher?
i also say
all bets should be the same for a compare to start with
then
so i thinks that bet more (2X and 3X) should be just another statistic
so in other words
betting $100 on all the dogs, what is your YTD?
betting 1X on all +130 dogs, what would be the YTD on just those?
betting 2X on all +130 dogs, what would be the YTD on just those?
betting 3X on all +130 dogs, what would be the YTD?
ands
what year has been your best year for any picks?
Sally
Quote: mustangsallyhow many actual bets does this cover?
ands
how large of a loss B4 show a gain?
Hi Sally! This YTD there gave been 157 picks of +130dogs. I went into the negative twice this year, on April 12th. and April 19th. The largest negative? 12!!
Bankroll required to get the YTD gain of 3,324? 248!!
Quote: mustangsallyands
this is of course, just your opinion (They ROCK!)
my opinion
is still
the over/under for this year. ?
Sally, really? Review the stats on the +130dogs. Out of the total of 157 picks, there were 70 wins, 44.59%. However, each winner returned an average of 146.60 (based upon a 100 unit wager). I believe that would put it at (on a comparative basis to a point spread pick) a 65.36% win rate. Still think you're right?
They ROCK!
Quote: mustangsallyand you also started with 1X bets, then 2X bets and now 3X bets on the +130 dogs
why not 5X or 10X bets and higher? ?
I had stated very early on that I would increase wager size as the net YTD gain grew. I will continue to increase as the bankroll grows.
Quote: mustangsallyi also say
all bets should be the same for a compare to start with
then
so i thinks that bet more (2X and 3X) should be just another statistic
so in other words
betting $100 on all the dogs, what is your YTD?
betting 1X on all +130 dogs, what would be the YTD on just those?
betting 2X on all +130 dogs, what would be the YTD on just those?
betting 3X on all +130 dogs, what would be the YTD??
See above stats. There is no reason, from a money management standpoint, to wager the same amount continually if you have something that continues to work. This is not contemplated to make beer money. The object is to make a very comfortable living.
Quote: mustangsallyands
what year has been your best year for any picks?
Sally
This algorithm has been pretty consistent over the past 2 years or so. The below is my summary at the end of last season.
That's a wrap on this season.
For the few of you who have been reading this thread, I'm sure that you know that I've been an advocate of playing the +130dogs. The stats show me to have been right in doing so. What has muddied the results this year is my piss poor money management. The below stats are taking out the noise produced by the increased wager size. I am going to improve on the money management part next year, and based upon the stats, I look forward to have an absolutely awesome 2015. The +130dogs algorithm is ABSOLUTELY the best money line play in baseball.
Here is the summary of the +130dogs:
Net Winnings based upon 100 wager size +3,938
# of Picks 472
Winning Picks 205
Losing Picks 267
Winning % 43.4%
Average Winning Payoff 149
Straight up bet equivalent 64.9%
Out of Pocket Investment 700
% Return 562.6%
Annualized Return 1290.0%
The post below, of mine, is the last one from the 2013 season, again summarizing it. The current algorithm for +130dogs has been in effect since 08/03/13.
The number of wagers since then is approaching 800. Maybe not of a significant enough sample size yet......but certainly not small.
Here we are at the end of the year with a loss. However, I'm very much encouraged and will be back next year to show it over a full year's time.
Here's why. Since August 3, 2013 I changed the algorithm to disregard favorites and also tweaked it a bit in other areas. From that time, my out of pocket investment would have required a bank roll of $1,024. My return on that investment was a positive $1,223. Over 88 days of playing and risking $40,653 there was an annualized return of 488%+. I believe that this algo will continue to produce net wins going forward and I will be back next year, with a full year, to show it.
Final Stats for the full year:
Yesterday's results: -100
+130dogs 0
Other dogs -100
Favorites 0
Mr. Random -100
YTD Total -2,966
+130dogs 968
Other dogs -1,317
Favorites -2,553
Mr. Random -1,358
Detroit Tigers 120
Atlanta Braves -100
Philadelphia Phillies -300
New York Yankees 105
Toronto Blue Jays 105
Milwaukee Brewers -300
Seattle Mariners -100
Kansas City Royals 0
Minnesota Twins 103
Arizona DiamondBacks 405
Cincinnati Reds -300
Yesterday's results: -262
+130dogs -495
Other dogs 233
Favorites 0
Focus Picks 0
YTD Total -321
+130dogs 2,829 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -803
Favorites -2,347
Focus Picks 191
Chicago White Sox 160
Cincinnati Reds 170 3X's
Philadelphia Phillies 155
Atlanta Braves 145 3X's
Miami Marlins 140
Colorado Rockies 180 3X's
Minnesota Twins 175
Cincinnati Reds -300
Atlanta Braves 435
Toronto Blue Jays -100
Texas Rangers 105
Colorado Rockies -300
Kansas City Royals 100
St. Louis Cardinals 100
Oakland Athletics 110
Yesterday's results: 150
+130dogs -165
Other dogs 115
Favorites 200
Focus Picks 100
YTD Total -171
+130dogs 2,664 <-----The ONLY picks worth playing. They ROCK!
Other dogs -688
Favorites -2,147
Focus Picks 291
Colorado Rockies 160
Atlanta Braves 150 3X's
Philadelphia Phillies 180
Cincinnati Reds 140 3X's
Chicago White Sox 150 3X's
Toronto Blue Jays 140
Texas Rangers 136
Arizona DiamondBacks 175 3X's
Seattle Mariners 107
Atlanta Braves 150 3X's
Cincinnati Reds 140 3X's
Chicago White Sox 150 3X's
Miami Marlins -105
New York Mets -150
Washington Nationals 118
Milwaukee Brewers 105
Arizona DiamondBacks 175 3X's