New England -3 at the Wynn LV
I wonder what is going on there...
Quote: DRichI guarantee you that is a mistake. No way is it -3 -110.
Check out the MoneyLine, there's only one book where you can LAY less if you want NE on the ML.
Quote: PerditionHi
Seems legit.
Quote: AcesAndEightsQuote: PerditionHi
Seems legit.
So what does this all mean? Does Wynn know something we don't? Are they hedging their book trying to attract more NE bettors because they have too many Indianapolis bets?
Is the Wynn just off on their stats and will they eventually move the line towards everyone else?
If you like the Colts, you'll take the -7 for NE and if you like the NE you'll take the -3 at the Wynn.
Mirror mirror on the wall, whose the fairest of them all?
Quote: Asswhoopermcdaddy
If you like the Colts, you'll take the -7 for NE and if you like the NE you'll take the -3 at the Wynn.
Mirror mirror on the wall, whose the fairest of them all?
You left out the best option of all. Take both and hope for the middle. :)
Quote: kewljYou left out the best option of all. Take both and hope for the middle. :)
If you could get 7 and 3, would be such a great middle. Good chance it lands on 7 or 3 exactly and you win one and push one.
Quote: sodawaterIf you could get 7 and 3, would be such a great middle. Good chance it lands on 7 or 3 exactly and you win one and push one.
I actually have people planning on doing exactly that, assuming the Wynn doesn't move their line by the morning. Not convinced myself, but I suppose if you're going to hedge, it's one of the better options.
Quote: VenthusI actually have people planning on doing exactly that, assuming the Wynn doesn't move their line by the morning. Not convinced myself, but I suppose if you're going to hedge, it's one of the better options.
Maybe we should all meet for breakfast @ Wynn tomorrow. I have a feeling many of us are heading that way, if the site shows no correction by then. lol
Quote: kewljMaybe we should all meet for breakfast @ Wynn tomorrow. I have a feeling many of us are heading that way, if the site shows no correction by then. lol
Another meet up for January at the Wynn sports book, check! =D
Quote: HowManyNo chance Wynn is at -3. If they wanted to take a position on a side they could offer 1/2 point difference from the market price. No need to go more than 1/2 point.
Yeah, even with big action, their line wouldn't move 4 points. At least I mean...I'm not a sportsbook expert, but that's insane, right?
It has to be a mistake, but it's still showing on VegasInsider.com. Anyone been to the physical book this morning?
Quote: AcesAndEightsYeah, even with big action, their line wouldn't move 4 points. At least I mean...I'm not a sportsbook expert, but that's insane, right?
It has to be a mistake, but it's still showing on VegasInsider.com. Anyone been to the physical book this morning?
Agree with you.
I ask myself this question. What's more likely- Wynn is offering NE -3 (-110) OR the number on VegasInsider is an error?
The answer is obvious. BUT, if I was in Vegas right now, I'd stop at Wynn just in case.
Quote: HowManyI ask myself this question. What's more likely- Wynn is offering NE -3 (-110) OR the number on VegasInsider is an error?
I'd lay very long odds it is a VI error. I've seen it happen before.
If it is an error do they (or any book in this situation) have the right to refuse to pay? I know an off shore book would.
Quote: MoosetonNew England-6.5. Just checked.
Thanks Mooseton
Quote: NostronI will be there in the morning - if its still -3 will hammer it.
If it is an error do they (or any book in this situation) have the right to refuse to pay? I know an off shore book would.
Any reputable physical book in Vegas will pay you if you get money down on a line that was a "mistake."
Quote: AcesAndEightsAny reputable physical book in Vegas will pay you if you get money down on a line that was a "mistake."
I'm not sure that is always true. I believe the casinos reserve the right to void bets that are mistakes if they catch them before the game. I seem to remember one in the last few years where there was a big line on a game and they had it the wrong way. (ie. Patriots +21 vs Jaguars -21). The error was caught and I believe all the tickets were voided before the game.
Quote: DRichI'm not sure that is always true. I believe the casinos reserve the right to void bets that are mistakes if they catch them before the game. I seem to remember one in the last few years where there was a big line on a game and they had it the wrong way. (ie. Patriots +21 vs Jaguars -21). The error was caught and I believe all the tickets were voided before the game.
Hmmm, you definitely have more experience than me, so I won't doubt that. But I have not heard many stories like this.
Quote: NostronIf it is an error do they (or any book in this situation) have the right to refuse to pay?
Yes. It is a rarely invoked right, but if a line is obviously in error, the casino can cancel the bet. I'm not sure how "obviously" is defined, but would be interested to know.
Quote: AyecarumbaI wonder if the brick and motar casino sportbooks "feed" the online services these juicy errors just to drive traffic to their desk. Once you've gone through the hassle of driving there to check it out, you may place a bet on their -6.5 point line anyway. They can always blame the error on the line service, or point to their, "we reserve the right to void any wager" sign.
If I were in charge I would do it. It costs nothing for what's basically free advertising, and the only type of patron that you would piss off enough to not come again with this type of tactic is the type of business you probably don't want anyway.
Quote: WizardYes. It is a rarely invoked right, but if a line is obviously in error, the casino can cancel the bet. I'm not sure how "obviously" is defined, but would be interested to know.
I doubt it would happen on an NFL game because those odds are watched closely by everybody.
Probabbly some obvious mistake on hockey or unranked teams in NCAA basketball game that nobody is really paying close attention and missed by everybody but a "sharp"
I can't imagine it'd be legal to cancel a bet after the result's determined.
Quote: WizardYes. It is a rarely invoked right, but if a line is obviously in error, the casino can cancel the bet. I'm not sure how "obviously" is defined, but would be interested to know.
No.
They have a right not to print you the ticket and sell it to you.
But once they've sold it, they have to honor it.
I'm surprised the line hasn't moved to 7 with all the money in New England and New York vs. little Indy.
In the other game, it seems all the money is coming in on Seattle,the fans choice. But what about the "smart" money? Waiting for what movement?
I think Packers win outright in a shocker special. A-Rod's calf is A-OK, Eddie Lacy will not have an asthma attack, and Davante Adams goes for 9 rec, 120 yards, and two tds.
New England 31
Indianapolis 27
Green Bay 38
Seattle 24
Quote: sodawaterI think New England wins but doesn't cover.
I think Packers win outright in a shocker special. A-Rod's calf is A-OK, Eddie Lacy will not have an asthma attack, and Davante Adams goes for 9 rec, 120 yards, and two tds.
New England 31
Indianapolis 27
Green Bay 38
Seattle 24
I agree with these selections. No matter how much NE scores, IND will just keep passing the ball all over the place. SEA has played below average STL and CAR last 2 games, GB has played above average DET and DAL with less than 100% QB. If I even make a bet, I am thinking IND/IND over GB/GB over....
