speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
  • Threads: 46
  • Posts: 1246
May 1st, 2015 at 7:08:20 AM permalink
I did some quick research about the Oaks today.
I plan to bet $200 show on Stellar Wind. $20 Ex Stellar Wind and Condo Commando. $5 Ex Stellar Wind and Lively Maria. $5 Ex Condo Commando and Stellar Wind. Any suggestions or opinions??
speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
  • Threads: 46
  • Posts: 1246
May 1st, 2015 at 7:52:52 AM permalink
Any opinion??
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
  • Threads: 21
  • Posts: 1422
May 1st, 2015 at 8:20:26 AM permalink
Quote: speedycrap

Any opinion??


I posted my selection earlier in the thread, and certainly would not talk you off of your selections. The Oaks is very competitive (similar to the Derby) with a Top heavy field of 5-7 fillies that have been very game.
----------

Something may be up with El Kabeir for the Derby. A foot issue maybe, but a decision apparently will be made Saturday morning.
ten2win
ten2win
Joined: Jul 27, 2010
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 329
May 1st, 2015 at 8:41:24 AM permalink
These are the rankings from Equibase, a statistical supplier to the DRF and others.

Mubtaahij
American Pharoah
Far Right
Carpe Diem
International Star
Frosted

By some guy, Ellis Starr, their National Racing Analyst.
I don't know everything but I know a lot.
Tomspur
Tomspur
Joined: Jul 12, 2013
  • Threads: 28
  • Posts: 2019
May 1st, 2015 at 9:09:26 AM permalink
Quote: Keeneone

I posted my selection earlier in the thread, and certainly would not talk you off of your selections. The Oaks is very competitive (similar to the Derby) with a Top heavy field of 5-7 fillies that have been very game.
----------

Something may be up with El Kabeir for the Derby. A foot issue maybe, but a decision apparently will be made Saturday morning.



A way to get AP off that 17 draw? I'm sure they wouldn't do that to the partners in the horse.

Well, we all know that these type of rumors almost always leads to a scratch so that is what we should assume is happening here.
“There is something about the outside of a horse that is good for the inside of a man.” - Winston Churchill
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
  • Threads: 21
  • Posts: 1422
May 1st, 2015 at 6:33:00 PM permalink
El Kabeir is officially out, favoring his front left foot today. Gate #1 will now be left open (no Tale Of Verve to worry about), and 19 horses will run for the roses. His defection may help a number of the inside runners gain a little space away from the rail.

From Bloodhorse:
http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-racing/articles/91722/el-kabeir-scratched-from-kentucky-derby
ontariodealer
ontariodealer
Joined: Aug 5, 2013
  • Threads: 7
  • Posts: 996
May 1st, 2015 at 6:43:11 PM permalink
we're here for the derby now and had a great day finding bombs for the supers and a horrible day cashing any supers...had one decent one at woodbine reversed. Probably will change my mine but my keys are

amer phar
Dortmund
international star
bolo
keen ice
carpe diem
tencendur
get second you pig
DrawingDead
DrawingDead
Joined: Jun 13, 2014
  • Threads: 9
  • Posts: 2233
May 1st, 2015 at 7:23:05 PM permalink
Quote: Keeneone

(no Tale Of Verve to worry about)

I was probably the only guy on the planet worried about the possible porcine presence of Tale of Verve.
"I'm against stuff like crack and math" --AxelWolf
Keeneone
Keeneone
Joined: Aug 16, 2014
  • Threads: 21
  • Posts: 1422
May 1st, 2015 at 9:08:09 PM permalink
Quote: DrawingDead

I was probably the only guy on the planet worried about the possible porcine presence of Tale of Verve.


You can sleep soundly tonight.
----------

Here is a link to the live Derby Odds (already 186k in the pool this evening):
http://www.kentuckyderby.com/racing-wagering/kentucky-derby-live-odds
speedycrap
speedycrap
Joined: Oct 13, 2013
  • Threads: 46
  • Posts: 1246
May 2nd, 2015 at 7:11:51 AM permalink
Final analysis and betting idea?

  • Jump to: