steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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September 18th, 2014 at 6:40:08 AM permalink
So I thought that I'd give this a shot. Have no idea how this will come out since it's an initial run of a new algorithm.

Week 3 Picks:
Tampa Bay 236
Cleveland 103
Oakland 800
San Diego 116
St. Louis -105
Washington 237
N.Y. Giants 109
Arizona 131
Denver 195
Pittsburgh 158
Chicago 127
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
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September 18th, 2014 at 9:27:48 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

So I thought that I'd give this a shot. Have no idea how this will come out since it's an initial run of a new algorithm.

Week 3 Picks:
Tampa Bay 236
Cleveland 103
Oakland 800
San Diego 116
St. Louis -105
Washington 237
N.Y. Giants 109
Arizona 131
Denver 195
Pittsburgh 158
Chicago 127



Biggest position on the Raiders? I have performed terribly on the moneyline this season, so I can't criticize your algorithm, except to say that it is probably a good bet, because I wouldn't have taken it. Good luck!
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
steeldco
steeldco
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September 18th, 2014 at 1:20:02 PM permalink
Hey Ayecarumba, Thanks. I certainly understand the probabilities of Oakland hitting. This is the first crack at trying to find an algorithm that will work. I didn't have time to back test so I am sure that there will be plenty of tweaks.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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September 18th, 2014 at 1:21:04 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Biggest position on the Raiders? I have performed terribly on the moneyline this season, so I can't criticize your algorithm, except to say that it is probably a good bet, because I wouldn't have taken it. Good luck!



BTW, Oakland isn't the biggest position, it is the highest payoff however. I'm wagering 100 on Oakland in hopes of winning 800.
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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September 23rd, 2014 at 3:58:42 AM permalink
Week 3 Results:
Tampa Bay -100
Cleveland -100
Oakland -100
San Diego +116
St. Louis -105
Washington -100
N.Y. Giants +109
Arizona +131
Denver -100
Pittsburgh +158
Chicago +127
Net +36
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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September 24th, 2014 at 4:40:04 AM permalink
Week 4 Picks:
N.Y. Giants 166
Tampa Bay 287
Oakland 163
Chicago 106
Philadelphia 210
Kansas City 165
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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September 30th, 2014 at 4:25:55 AM permalink
Well, that was a pretty good week.
Week 4 Results are:
N.Y. Giants +166
Tampa Bay +287
Oakland -100
Chicago -100
Philadelphia -100
Kansas City +165
Net +318

YTD Total: +354
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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October 1st, 2014 at 4:29:43 AM permalink
Week 5 Money Line Picks:

Minnesota 375
Buffalo 280
Baltimore 170
Houston 225
Tampa Bay 450
Atlanta 190
N.Y. Jets 260
Kansas City 235
New England 115
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.
Ayecarumba
Ayecarumba
Joined: Nov 17, 2009
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October 2nd, 2014 at 9:08:05 AM permalink
Quote: steeldco

Week 5 Money Line Picks:

Minnesota 375
Buffalo 280
Baltimore 170
Houston 225
Tampa Bay 450
Atlanta 190
N.Y. Jets 260
Kansas City 235
New England 115



Did your algorithm stop picking favorites for the moneyline, or is the vig too steep to justify the lay?

Instead of an algorithm, I talked it over with my German Shepherd. He let me know that Indy over Baltimore, and San Diego over the Jets should be double digit locks this week. Note that he picked Atlanta last week, so take his advice with a grain of kibble.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
steeldco
steeldco
Joined: Nov 30, 2011
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October 2nd, 2014 at 1:05:59 PM permalink
Quote: Ayecarumba

Did your algorithm stop picking favorites for the moneyline, or is the vig too steep to justify the lay?

Instead of an algorithm, I talked it over with my German Shepherd. He let me know that Indy over Baltimore, and San Diego over the Jets should be double digit locks this week. Note that he picked Atlanta last week, so take his advice with a grain of kibble.



I just decided to try to replicate something along the lines of how I pick MLB dogs. No favorites allowed.
BTW, so you've set it up so that you can blame the dog, eh? Kinda like it ate your homework. :-)
DO NOT blindly accept what has been spoken. DO NOT blindly accept what has been written. Think. Assess. Lead. DO NOT blindly follow.

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