Poll

1 vote (4%)
No votes (0%)
1 vote (4%)
1 vote (4%)
3 votes (12%)
2 votes (8%)
1 vote (4%)
4 votes (16%)
2 votes (8%)
10 votes (40%)

25 members have voted

ThatDonGuy
ThatDonGuy
Joined: Jun 22, 2011
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October 13th, 2013 at 4:55:44 PM permalink
Quote: cclub79

This is pretty accurate through 1 half! Manning almost did get injured with that low tackle. The Jags are taking a lot of weird chances with fakes and 4th downs.


Did you watch the Fox pre-game show? This is pretty much exactly what Jimmy Johnson told the Jags to do...
LarryS
LarryS
Joined: Feb 26, 2011
  • Threads: 67
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October 13th, 2013 at 11:17:46 PM permalink
when making my bets today I couldnt resist a halftime bet in a 2 team parlay, Jags +19.5. Considering the full game spread, 19.5 seemed a good value.
asit turned out the jags covered the full game as well, so it wasnt such an advantage play in the end..But a win is a win.
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
Joined: Aug 8, 2010
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October 14th, 2013 at 3:01:09 AM permalink
Quote: LarryS

when making my bets today I couldnt resist a halftime bet in a 2 team parlay, Jags +19.5. Considering the full game spread, 19.5 seemed a good value.
asit turned out the jags covered the full game as well, so it wasnt such an advantage play in the end..But a win is a win.



Wasn't it just a two point game at halftime? Was the halftime spread really 19.5? More than two td's and a field goal for a half? Really, 19.5?!?!
Pokeraddict
Pokeraddict
Joined: Feb 21, 2012
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October 14th, 2013 at 3:18:14 AM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Wasn't it just a two point game at halftime? Was the halftime spread really 19.5? More than two td's and a field goal for a half? Really, 19.5?!?!



I'm not sure what you are asking here. Will Hill had the bet at halftime as Denver -14, which pushed. Maybe he meant the first half or a 2nd half line before the game started.
LarryS
LarryS
Joined: Feb 26, 2011
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October 14th, 2013 at 5:06:06 PM permalink
it was first half....19.5 at william hill
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
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October 27th, 2013 at 8:38:57 AM permalink
I have Jags money line today (10/27) at +1,000. As a 15.5-point underdog, I put it fair at +771. Wish me positive variance. I'll need 1.2 standard deviations of it.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.
beachbumbabs
Administrator
beachbumbabs
Joined: May 21, 2013
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October 27th, 2013 at 8:49:17 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I have Jags money line today (10/27) at +1,000. As a 15.5-point underdog, I put it fair at +771. Wish me positive variance. I'll need 1.2 standard deviations of it.



Good variance! Good bet, I think. Edit: *truncated.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Mission146
Mission146
Joined: May 15, 2012
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October 27th, 2013 at 9:07:44 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

I have Jags money line today (10/27) at +1,000. As a 15.5-point underdog, I put it fair at +771. Wish me positive variance. I'll need 1.2 standard deviations of it.



I do wish you Positive Variance! You've got guts, I know it's a good bet, but that still takes some guts.
Vultures can't be choosers.
thecesspit
thecesspit
Joined: Apr 19, 2010
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October 27th, 2013 at 9:08:08 AM permalink
Good luck. I'm avoiding any game in London... it's too hard to know how the travel will affect either team. But I think that gives you some extra variance that might help.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
Joined: Oct 14, 2009
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October 27th, 2013 at 9:28:46 AM permalink
Quote: beachbumbabs

... and they're due.



Never say anything is due when it comes to gambling, unless you're trying to make me angry.
It's not whether you win or lose; it's whether or not you had a good bet.

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