Santa Anita Survivor
January 2nd, 2013 at 11:58:04 AM
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http://www.santaanita.com/content/showvivor
Santa Anita is running their Showvivor starting Jan 4. if anyone wants in. I'll be playing. Just drop a line if you plan to too, it'll be interesting to keep up with our WoV guys progress.
Finsrule? Buzzard? I look for you teo for sure!
Santa Anita is running their Showvivor starting Jan 4. if anyone wants in. I'll be playing. Just drop a line if you plan to too, it'll be interesting to keep up with our WoV guys progress.
Finsrule? Buzzard? I look for you teo for sure!
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:00:30 PM
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Im in.
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:01:34 PM
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Buzzard? FinsRule? You there?
I already started looking over the entries for Jan 4 and am leaning toward Miner's Daughter in the 1st. It's a maiden race, which scares me, but in 3 career starts she has a place and a show. She's also a Baffert trained horse and has had some solid workouts as of late.
Thoughts?
I already started looking over the entries for Jan 4 and am leaning toward Miner's Daughter in the 1st. It's a maiden race, which scares me, but in 3 career starts she has a place and a show. She's also a Baffert trained horse and has had some solid workouts as of late.
Thoughts?
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:06:11 PM
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I think you are nuts with that play. If you want a Baffert angle, take Unbridled Giant in the 3rd or Black Witch in the 4th.
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:08:28 PM
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I bet Miner's Daughter is morning line fav in the 1st when the lines come out. I'm not locked in on Baffert, but I like the small field and the fact that this horse has been good in 2 of 3 career starts in a field that has horses that have never ran!
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:13:51 PM
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I understand and kind of like your logic, but this is a 4 yo maiden in Bafferts barn, he is great with the "babies" 2-3 yo's but I doubt this horse gets much attention, that is the reason I would steer clear of it, as I said before I like Unbrideled Giant, but for purposes of this contest, I wont play that, field is to big of maidens, a total crap shoot. But damn I love those genes. I may put some real money on that horse come Friday afternoon.
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:19:39 PM
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The Santa Anita Card on Friday is full of maiden's. It's a tough day to make a pick. I'm gonna further evaluate it, but I'm leaving heavily on Miner's Daughter. I'd love to get Buzzard's opinion, LoL.
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:27:53 PM
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Plus, you wanna talk about bloodlines...look at Miner's daughter....Seattle Slew, Secretariat...WoW!
January 2nd, 2013 at 6:29:21 PM
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Lol he doesn't know he still owes me a beer and a cigar from the derby. We bet who would finish higher. I had creative cause he had gemologist who I think is still trying to finish lol.
January 2nd, 2013 at 7:22:57 PM
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Here Goes Miner's daughter is a 5 year old mare with physical troubles. Raced 1st time as a 4 year old in May. Pretty dead on the board at 7.80 to 1. Next start got action in terrible 6 horse field. Led at stretch, finished 3rd, beat 3 longest prices.
Did not race for 7 months. Last start finished 2nd. Did the race hurt her or sharpen her up. She does have problems.
2 Horse finished behind MD last race but was only a length behind MD at the half. Can improve !
3 horse has 8 works since Nov 12 all handily including a bullet 6f 1:12 1/5 handily from gate
4 horse 1st timer, mediocre works
5 horse Steadied start against MD, showed little
6 horse 1st timer, mediocre works
7 horse 2nd last time at 6f, 1 by 3 at the half, 10 horse field TRAINER = BAFFERT
8 horse 59 3/5 handily 5f gate, previous work 2/42 58 3/5 handily
Not my show pick of the day. NO WAY.
Good luck.
Did not race for 7 months. Last start finished 2nd. Did the race hurt her or sharpen her up. She does have problems.
2 Horse finished behind MD last race but was only a length behind MD at the half. Can improve !
3 horse has 8 works since Nov 12 all handily including a bullet 6f 1:12 1/5 handily from gate
4 horse 1st timer, mediocre works
5 horse Steadied start against MD, showed little
6 horse 1st timer, mediocre works
7 horse 2nd last time at 6f, 1 by 3 at the half, 10 horse field TRAINER = BAFFERT
8 horse 59 3/5 handily 5f gate, previous work 2/42 58 3/5 handily
Not my show pick of the day. NO WAY.
Good luck.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 3rd, 2013 at 8:10:48 AM
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Race 1 Morning Lines:
Miner's Daughter 2/1
Nina Nicole 15/1
Regime 7/2
So Pretty 10/1
Thisonesforricky 6/1
Hair On Fire 8/1
Elusive Jackpot 5/2
Unbridled Elle 8/1
Baffert has the 2 favorites in this race based on morning lines, with my pick being the overall fav.
I think this race goes 1/3/7.
Miner's Daughter 2/1
Nina Nicole 15/1
Regime 7/2
So Pretty 10/1
Thisonesforricky 6/1
Hair On Fire 8/1
Elusive Jackpot 5/2
Unbridled Elle 8/1
Baffert has the 2 favorites in this race based on morning lines, with my pick being the overall fav.
I think this race goes 1/3/7.
January 3rd, 2013 at 8:32:34 AM
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I fear the 7 sets a fast pace and MD might fade in stretch and Day 1, you go bye-bye. Hope I am wrong !
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 3rd, 2013 at 8:35:59 AM
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Who would you go with, Buzzard, on the entire card? Just curious.
January 3rd, 2013 at 8:37:16 AM
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In the race that MD finished 2nd in, wasn't it a furlong longer than tomorrow's race? She should hold up running 1/8 mile less, right?
January 3rd, 2013 at 8:47:30 AM
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Not if she hooks up in a speed duel. But my bigger worry is that she DEFINITELY has physical troubles. This is a 5 year old mare, making her 4th start. It is a weak race, I admit that. Have not look at other races yet, but hard to believe this is today's best show bet ?
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 3rd, 2013 at 9:00:17 AM
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There is only 2 8 horse fields. Some races have 13-14 entries. Those are a crap shoot. I'd rather stay away from those. I like to stick to a 8-9 horse event. The card is also FULL of maiden races. This first day is going to be a doozy.
January 3rd, 2013 at 11:31:58 AM
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I'm going to bite on the 7 in Race 1.
"My wife" is going with "A Toast to You" in Race 7.
If I had to guess, I'd say there'll be less than 1000 left by Saturday.
"My wife" is going with "A Toast to You" in Race 7.
If I had to guess, I'd say there'll be less than 1000 left by Saturday.
January 3rd, 2013 at 11:38:32 AM
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I will admit I prefer the 7 over the 1 in the first race. early speed among F&M is a big plus.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 3rd, 2013 at 12:46:26 PM
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So far I am liking a horse in the 2nd race. Will post more later.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 3rd, 2013 at 12:52:08 PM
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Good idea, Fins, Im gonna sign "my wife" up too! ;o)
Update: I'm in the the 1, Miner's Daughter, in Race 1. I'm sticking with my gut. "The wife" is locked in with the 7 in the same race. I have a strong feeling we both move on.
Update: I'm in the the 1, Miner's Daughter, in Race 1. I'm sticking with my gut. "The wife" is locked in with the 7 in the same race. I have a strong feeling we both move on.
January 4th, 2013 at 11:07:00 AM
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Tick Tock, I'm on the clock. I signed up Josie, now she wants to pick her own horses GRRR
Next time I will sign up the kids.
Josie 1st race #7 Elusive Jackpot
Buzz 2nd race #3 Kenichi
GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY
Next time I will sign up the kids.
Josie 1st race #7 Elusive Jackpot
Buzz 2nd race #3 Kenichi
GOOD LUCK EVERYBODY
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 11:28:04 AM
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There was a scratch in Race 7 making it an 8 horse field.
I switched "the wife" to A Toast to You, the 3, in Race 7.
I'm sticking with Miner's Daughter.
I switched "the wife" to A Toast to You, the 3, in Race 7.
I'm sticking with Miner's Daughter.
January 4th, 2013 at 12:34:10 PM
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The wife is not happy with your choice.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 12:35:17 PM
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Quote: mwalz9I bet Miner's Daughter is morning line fav in the 1st when the lines come out. I'm not locked in on Baffert, but I like the small field and the fact that this horse has been good in 2 of 3 career starts in a field that has horses that have never ran!
But I expect #7 to go off the favorite !
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 12:40:03 PM
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At 20 MTP the 3 is the betting favorite. LoL
January 4th, 2013 at 12:41:23 PM
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Quote: mwalz9I think this race goes 1/3/7.
I still think it's 1,3,7. I threw $2 at this exact Trifecta on Xpressbet for the hell of it.
January 4th, 2013 at 1:06:37 PM
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Miner's Daughter wins!!!!!
Not only that, I hit the trifecta for $40.20 on a $2 bet.
Only thing I wish, is that I'd have left "the wife's" pick alone. LoL
1-3-7 for the win in Race 1.
Not only that, I hit the trifecta for $40.20 on a $2 bet.
Only thing I wish, is that I'd have left "the wife's" pick alone. LoL
1-3-7 for the win in Race 1.
January 4th, 2013 at 1:09:00 PM
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Nice hit on the tri!
I advanced, along with 1134 others. Now it's "the wife's" turn.
I advanced, along with 1134 others. Now it's "the wife's" turn.
January 4th, 2013 at 5:18:17 PM
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Minor's Daughter did indeed hook up in speed duel, but was sound today. My selection in second race won and paid $8.80.
Josie also qualified. On to tomorrow's pick.
Josie also qualified. On to tomorrow's pick.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 5:21:09 PM
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Quote: mwalz9There was a scratch in Race 7 making it an 8 horse field.
I switched "the wife" to A Toast to You, the 3, in Race 7.
I'm sticking with Miner's Daughter.
TSK TSK TSK !
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 5:46:49 PM
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PLAYERS STILL IN: 2483
PLAYERS OUT: 1905
Not a bad first day.
PLAYERS OUT: 1905
Not a bad first day.
January 4th, 2013 at 7:01:26 PM
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Had I known about this earlier would have enter 3 daughters and 2 son-in-laws LOL
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 7:29:21 PM
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Tomorrow is a no brainier, I hope. GOLDENCENTS. A bridge jumper's delight.
1st start MSW 5 & 1/2 F track record 1.02.70 He wins by seven, hand ridden a few strides only, walks in 1.02.79
2nd start Ducks in at start, runs game second to SHANGHAI BOBBY 400K Purse
3rd start Walk at 1 & 1/16 1,000,000 Purse.
In case you did not know it, SHANGHAI BOBBY is 5 for 5, Won Breeder's Cup, Eclipse winner, early favorite for Kentucky Derby.
6 horse field
Side note : This is a grade 3 100,000 Purse. The SHAM stakes. Sham ran second in Kentucky Derby and Preakness. He then changed tactics and ran with the winner of those 2 races stride for stride and it ruined him. He never raced again. The horse that defeated him in those three races....... SECRETARIAT !
1st start MSW 5 & 1/2 F track record 1.02.70 He wins by seven, hand ridden a few strides only, walks in 1.02.79
2nd start Ducks in at start, runs game second to SHANGHAI BOBBY 400K Purse
3rd start Walk at 1 & 1/16 1,000,000 Purse.
In case you did not know it, SHANGHAI BOBBY is 5 for 5, Won Breeder's Cup, Eclipse winner, early favorite for Kentucky Derby.
6 horse field
Side note : This is a grade 3 100,000 Purse. The SHAM stakes. Sham ran second in Kentucky Derby and Preakness. He then changed tactics and ran with the winner of those 2 races stride for stride and it ruined him. He never raced again. The horse that defeated him in those three races....... SECRETARIAT !
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 4th, 2013 at 8:54:26 PM
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Going with Diamond Flush in the 1st.
January 4th, 2013 at 9:17:44 PM
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Coil!
January 5th, 2013 at 7:44:03 AM
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How is any horse on this card a better show bet than Goldencents ? Really !
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 5th, 2013 at 8:12:56 AM
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I like Goldencents and Coil. I think both advance. I think Goldencents is the safest bet though.
January 5th, 2013 at 8:17:33 AM
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Goldencents is a champion is a weak 6 horse field. This is all about surviving. You do not get bonus points for handicapping.
Goldencents will not pay even to win, he will pay 2:10 to show and possibly create a minus show pool. Not a hard choice for me. NO WAY !!!!
Goldencents will not pay even to win, he will pay 2:10 to show and possibly create a minus show pool. Not a hard choice for me. NO WAY !!!!
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 5th, 2013 at 1:41:43 PM
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Goldencents is a great horse. That was one strong close in the SHAM just now! WoW! Easy pick today, time to move on.
January 5th, 2013 at 2:29:45 PM
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Quote: BozGoing with Diamond Flush in the 1st.
Did you switch? Or get scratched out?
January 5th, 2013 at 3:24:13 PM
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101 people selected #04 Buds Pal in race 5
and 101 people were eliminated.
I also had to laugh because I read an article this morning where a professional handicapper had this as today's "best bet" at Santa Anita. LoL
and 101 people were eliminated.
I also had to laugh because I read an article this morning where a professional handicapper had this as today's "best bet" at Santa Anita. LoL
January 5th, 2013 at 4:55:53 PM
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I was not impressed with Goldencents. That's not how I want a Derby horse looking.
He was an easy showvivor pick.
I'm probably just going to go the safe route with Mizdirection tomorrow.
He was an easy showvivor pick.
I'm probably just going to go the safe route with Mizdirection tomorrow.
January 5th, 2013 at 4:56:04 PM
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Quote: mwalz9Did you switch? Or get scratched out?
According to rules I get the actual betting favorite for that race. I have to wait until they update results to see if that happened.
January 5th, 2013 at 5:14:38 PM
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That's right, Boz. Sorry.
Fins, how did Goldencents not look good? Stalked the leader from 2nd the entire race and then turned it on at the stretch to win by 1 1/2. I thought it was a pretty good early season run for a Derby horse.
Also: I think I'm going with Kindle tomorrow in the same race as Mizdirection.
Fins, how did Goldencents not look good? Stalked the leader from 2nd the entire race and then turned it on at the stretch to win by 1 1/2. I thought it was a pretty good early season run for a Derby horse.
Also: I think I'm going with Kindle tomorrow in the same race as Mizdirection.
January 5th, 2013 at 8:56:15 PM
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Sticking with the 1st race and going with "Dreamcatcher".
January 6th, 2013 at 7:45:35 AM
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Ugh, I wrote a long response, and it got erased. Basically, he lugged in, and it took him until like 30 yards from the finish to actually straighten out and draw away.
He has a lot of improving to do. Coil, who won the San Pasqual, would have beaten him by 4-5 lengths in this race.
He has a lot of improving to do. Coil, who won the San Pasqual, would have beaten him by 4-5 lengths in this race.
January 6th, 2013 at 8:36:11 AM
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He only has 4 races total. Great potential and who knows what he will do by Derby time.
How the hell could people get eliminated yesterday by not having him ?
Same with Mizdirection today. 12 starts 7 wins and 4 seconds. Oh, and that third she was fouled, finished 4th, moved up to 3rd.
It was a 7f race and if not fouled, she would have passed Groupie Doll.
Need I say more.
How the hell could people get eliminated yesterday by not having him ?
Same with Mizdirection today. 12 starts 7 wins and 4 seconds. Oh, and that third she was fouled, finished 4th, moved up to 3rd.
It was a 7f race and if not fouled, she would have passed Groupie Doll.
Need I say more.
Shed not for her
the bitter tear
Nor give the heart
to vain regret
Tis but the casket
that lies here,
The gem that filled it
Sparkles yet
January 6th, 2013 at 8:38:27 AM
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I'm going with Kindle. That's a 6 horse field, and 2 horses don't belong at all. Should be a fairly easy race to pick.
January 6th, 2013 at 1:24:18 PM
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Quote: BozSticking with the 1st race and going with "Dreamcatcher".
Another show, so I am still alive.
