playstkid
playstkid
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September 12th, 2012 at 5:15:45 AM permalink
was looking at the stats the wizard had posted for teasers......any one team winning on a 6 pt teaser listed at 68%

it would stand to reason that a 9 pt dog doesnt cover as much as a 15 pt dog......so it would seem SIX POINTS is a rather vague generic group.

ALSO (and I KNOW the following example could not possiably be so Easy to do)
IF any one team is 68% consider 2 teams where BOTH games are something and 1/2 pts = no chance of landing on a tie.

example Giants - 4 1/2....Saints
............Bears ....-7 1/2...Eagles

teasers Saints PLUS 10 1/2 with Bears Minus 1 1/2.....Saints Plus 10 1/2 With Eagles Plus 13 1/3

if your Keys Saints Covered (68% chance? ) ....you then have a 68% in combo with the stats for ALL 1 1/2 FAVS to 13 1/2 Dogs stats ???
EdgeLooker
EdgeLooker
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September 12th, 2012 at 7:33:21 AM permalink
I'll pm you a good link ref profitable teasers that was posted at another forum back in 2008. (not sure if we are allowed to post links)
"You will frequently find value in the NFL playing teasers that cross the "3" and/or "7"."
Wizard
Administrator
Wizard
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September 12th, 2012 at 8:01:34 AM permalink
You can also check my page on NFL Teasers. Scroll down to the part about "Wong Teasers." Maybe I'll bring that up to date today.

p.s. Just updated the page to be current through the 2011 season.
"For with much wisdom comes much sorrow." -- Ecclesiastes 1:18 (NIV)
MakingBook
MakingBook
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September 12th, 2012 at 8:13:54 AM permalink
Quote: EdgeLooker

I'll pm you a good link ref profitable teasers that was posted at another forum back in 2008. (not sure if we are allowed to post links)
"You will frequently find value in the NFL playing teasers that cross the "3" and/or "7"."



Most players will tease a favorite of -7 to -9.5, down to -1 to -6.5 (Wong Teaser). Bookmakers counter by making the line -9(+100), +9(-120). Players can bet a 7-point teaser, but have to lay -130, -140. Few of my players will tease a small dog up through 3 and 7.
"I am a man devoured by the passion for gambling." --Dostoevsky, 1871
playstkid
playstkid
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September 13th, 2012 at 5:58:17 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

You can also check my page on NFL Teasers. Scroll down to the part about "Wong Teasers." Maybe I'll bring that up to date today.

p.s. Just updated the page to be current through the 2011 season.



while the web page did have some useful info it did not answer my orginal question (as a group) what % of times do teams from minus 1 1/2 up to dogs of 13 1/2 cover.

this would be VERY useful info for using a KEY team in a two team teaser and then playing (both sides of the other game)
if you are uncertain what i mean by that refer to the orginal post in this thread
DRich
DRich
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September 13th, 2012 at 11:05:09 AM permalink
Can anyone direct me to a link or site that shows the parlay and teaser odds available in Las Vegas by sportsbook?

I was just wondering now that Cantor and William Hill have entered the market if it has got more competitive?
At my age, a "Life In Prison" sentence is not much of a deterrent.
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