TaxmanCPA
TaxmanCPA
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September 9th, 2012 at 8:34:38 AM permalink
That's right!

Super Bowl losers the last 12 years are 2-10 SU and 0-12 ATS.

On the road in Week 1 since the 1985 season, 1-13 SU/ATS


1985 01 Week 09/08/85 MIAMI DOLPHINS A TENNESSEE AFC AFC-C -7.5 23 26 L L
1989 01 Week 09/10/89 CINCINNATI BENGALS A CHICAGO NFC NFC-C 3.5 14 17 L W
1990 01 Week 09/09/90 DENVER BRONCOS A OAKLAND DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-W -1.5 9 14 L L
1995 01 Week 09/03/95 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS A OAKLAND DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-W 4 7 17 L L
1996 01 Week 09/01/96 PITTSBURGH STEELERS A JACKSONVILLE DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-C -4.5 9 24 L L
2000 01 Week 09/03/00 TENNESSEE TITANS A BUFFALO AFC AFC-E 1 13 16 L L
2001 01 Week 09/10/01 NEW YORK GIANTS A DENVER AFC AFC-W 7 20 31 L L
2002 01 Week 09/08/02 ST. LOUIS RAMS A DENVER AFC AFC-W -3 16 23 L L
2003 01 Week 09/07/03 OAKLAND RAIDERS A TENNESSEE AFC AFC-S 3.5 20 25 L L
2005 01 Week 09/12/05 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES A ATLANTA NFC NFC-S -2 10 14 L L
2006 01 Week 09/10/06 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS A DETROIT NFC NFC-N -6 9 6 W L
2007 01 Week 09/09/07 CHICAGO BEARS A SAN DIEGO AFC AFC-W 6 3 14 L L
2010 01 Week 09/12/10 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS A HOUSTON DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-S -1 24 34 L L
2011 01 Week 09/11/11 PITTSBURGH STEELERS A BALTIMORE DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-N 1 7 35 L L


As road favorites, it's even worse! 1-6 SU 0-7 ATS since the 1985 season.

TOO MUCH NEW ENGLAND LOVE!!

TENNESSEE +6
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2012 at 1:34:55 PM permalink
Quote: TaxmanCPA

That's right!

Super Bowl losers the last 12 years are 2-10 SU and 0-12 ATS.

On the road in Week 1 since the 1985 season, 1-13 SU/ATS


1985 01 Week 09/08/85 MIAMI DOLPHINS A TENNESSEE AFC AFC-C -7.5 23 26 L L
1989 01 Week 09/10/89 CINCINNATI BENGALS A CHICAGO NFC NFC-C 3.5 14 17 L W
1990 01 Week 09/09/90 DENVER BRONCOS A OAKLAND DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-W -1.5 9 14 L L
1995 01 Week 09/03/95 SAN DIEGO CHARGERS A OAKLAND DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-W 4 7 17 L L
1996 01 Week 09/01/96 PITTSBURGH STEELERS A JACKSONVILLE DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-C -4.5 9 24 L L
2000 01 Week 09/03/00 TENNESSEE TITANS A BUFFALO AFC AFC-E 1 13 16 L L
2001 01 Week 09/10/01 NEW YORK GIANTS A DENVER AFC AFC-W 7 20 31 L L
2002 01 Week 09/08/02 ST. LOUIS RAMS A DENVER AFC AFC-W -3 16 23 L L
2003 01 Week 09/07/03 OAKLAND RAIDERS A TENNESSEE AFC AFC-S 3.5 20 25 L L
2005 01 Week 09/12/05 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES A ATLANTA NFC NFC-S -2 10 14 L L
2006 01 Week 09/10/06 SEATTLE SEAHAWKS A DETROIT NFC NFC-N -6 9 6 W L
2007 01 Week 09/09/07 CHICAGO BEARS A SAN DIEGO AFC AFC-W 6 3 14 L L
2010 01 Week 09/12/10 INDIANAPOLIS COLTS A HOUSTON DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-S -1 24 34 L L
2011 01 Week 09/11/11 PITTSBURGH STEELERS A BALTIMORE DIVISIONAL AFC AFC-N 1 7 35 L L


As road favorites, it's even worse! 1-6 SU 0-7 ATS since the 1985 season.

TOO MUCH NEW ENGLAND LOVE!!

TENNESSEE +6



Don't give up your day job! Luckily i saw this thread and bet big on New England. Easy money. Thanks! (Ok, it was only $1)
buzzpaff
buzzpaff
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September 9th, 2012 at 2:37:04 PM permalink
That's the thing about betting trends. Easy to see them when they are over.
thecesspit
thecesspit
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September 9th, 2012 at 3:29:04 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

Don't give up your day job! Luckily i saw this thread and bet big on New England. Easy money. Thanks! (Ok, it was only $1)



Past posting your wins and mocking those who pre-posted and got it wrong... not very cool.
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2012 at 3:36:06 PM permalink
Quote: thecesspit

Past posting your wins and mocking those who pre-posted and got it wrong... not very cool.



The $1 shows it was tongue in cheek, a British phrase, I believe. You can ask Mission if I picked the Pats, by the way. But to discuss a real point, there are many anomalies that can be found if you look for them. Trying to figure out if there really is any predictive value in them is what counts. I would say that in the NFL, with tremendous roster changes from year to year, would make the "Super Bowl loser on the Road favorite" not a predictive event. But, you are right, cess, and I guess I was a bit unfair to the OP. I would never post my predictions, as I think a coin toss has a better chance than I do! Kudos for those that have the guts to lay it out for all to see....
Mission146
Mission146
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September 9th, 2012 at 4:18:52 PM permalink
SOOPOO had the Pats as of 03:28 EST on September 8th, 2012.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
thecesspit
thecesspit
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September 9th, 2012 at 4:29:36 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

The $1 shows it was tongue in cheek, a British phrase, I believe. You can ask Mission if I picked the Pats, by the way. But to discuss a real point, there are many anomalies that can be found if you look for them. Trying to figure out if there really is any predictive value in them is what counts. I would say that in the NFL, with tremendous roster changes from year to year, would make the "Super Bowl loser on the Road favorite" not a predictive event. But, you are right, cess, and I guess I was a bit unfair to the OP. I would never post my predictions, as I think a coin toss has a better chance than I do! Kudos for those that have the guts to lay it out for all to see....



No worries, I always find it a bit off to have a word about someone's losers. But if you are worse than a coin flip, you should post so we can fade -your- action ;)
"Then you can admire the real gambler, who has neither eaten, slept, thought nor lived, he has so smarted under the scourge of his martingale, so suffered on the rack of his desire for a coup at trente-et-quarante" - Honore de Balzac, 1829
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2012 at 4:58:49 PM permalink
Quote: thecesspit

No worries, I always find it a bit off to have a word about someone's losers. But if you are worse than a coin flip, you should post so we can fade -your- action ;)



I'm already 1 -3.... I will likely do better than 25% by season's end.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 9th, 2012 at 5:30:54 PM permalink
Quote: SOOPOO

I would never post my predictions, as I think a coin toss has a better chance than I do! Kudos for those that have the guts to lay it out for all to see....



You do realize that your picks will be retroactively posted every Tuesday, right?
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
SOOPOO
SOOPOO
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September 9th, 2012 at 7:08:33 PM permalink
Quote: Mission146

You do realize that your picks will be retroactively posted every Tuesday, right?



Sure- I meant I would never post my picks implying they were anything better than a coin toss. I do watch a lot of NFL football, but my guess is the linemakers do, too. I doubt that I will ever have any real information that will overcome a vig over the long haul.
Mission146
Mission146
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September 9th, 2012 at 7:16:23 PM permalink
I know exactly what you mean, the Line keeps moving but my bad picks always stay the same.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
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