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RogerKint
RogerKint
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Joined: Dec 5, 2011
January 31st, 2014 at 8:46:46 PM permalink
That machine is close to reset. I would wait for the five to be around $50. The six around 250. Hold tight cause variance is wild in the streets.
100% risk of ruin
Transcend
Transcend
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January 31st, 2014 at 9:05:57 PM permalink
Quote: camapl



$1.50 X .1195/0.004347826086956522= $41.23 (5QH @ $56.23)

$1.50 X .1195/0.0007524454477050414 = $238.22 (6QH @ $313.22)

$1.50 X .1195/0.00010721561059290232= $1,671.86 (7QH @ $1,821.86)

$1.50 X .1195/0.00001141331020235799 = $15,705.35 (8QH @ $16,680.35)

$1.50 X .1195/.0000004822530864197531 = $371,692.80 (9QH @ $374,692.80)

Generally, Optimal Play Point, OPN, for progressives that have NO must-hit-by amount (for reels, keno, or VP) is given by:
OPN = SEED + (BET x CYCLE x HOLD)
-OR-
OPN = SEED + ((BET x HOLD) / PROBABILITY),
where SEED = the reset value of the progressive;
BET = your total bet per hand, spin, round, etc.;
HOLD = the house advantage of the base game;
PROBABILITY = 1 / CYCLE = the chance of the progressive hitting on any one hand, spin, round, etc.
CYCLE = the expected number of hands, spins, rounds, etc. or the expected frequency of the progressive

(One important point is that this is the same calculation for the expected cost of playing until you hit the progressive. This is how much you expect this play to cost you, or how much you will be stuck, on average before you hit your desired jackpot.)




These were the values assuming all others were at reset


This is the way to calculate total ev including all current QuickHits, thanks to Mission

v= respective progressive jackpot value
((5QHv * 0.004347826086956522) + (6QHv * 0.0007524454477050414) + (7QHv * 0.00010721561059290232) + (8QHv * 0.00001141331020235799) + (9QHv * .0000004822530864197531)) / 1.50 = +EV
Part of it went on gambling, and part of it went on women. The rest I spent foolishly. -George Raft
Ibeatyouraces
Ibeatyouraces
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March 18th, 2014 at 11:21:56 AM permalink
deleted
DUHHIIIIIIIII HEARD THAT!
AxiomOfChoice
AxiomOfChoice
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March 18th, 2014 at 12:26:03 PM permalink
I still want to deconstruct this thing.

Has anyone here ever recorded their slot machine spins? I'd assume that the casino wouldn't like it very much. Then again, the Wizard did do it at least once (one of the deconstructions on WoO includes video that he shot) and from the quality of the video (ie, the camera is actually pointed in the right direction) it appears that he was doing it out in the open, holding his phone in his hand.

I looked around for hidden cameras on amazon. There are some fake pens with cameras in them that look like they would be effective...
Mission146
Mission146
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March 18th, 2014 at 5:15:54 PM permalink
I got tossed for 24 hours just for writing down the results of spins, on one occasion.
https://wizardofvegas.com/forum/off-topic/gripes/11182-pet-peeves/120/#post815219
djatc
djatc
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Joined: Jan 15, 2013
March 18th, 2014 at 10:33:43 PM permalink
Quote: AxiomOfChoice

I still want to deconstruct this thing.

Has anyone here ever recorded their slot machine spins? I'd assume that the casino wouldn't like it very much. Then again, the Wizard did do it at least once (one of the deconstructions on WoO includes video that he shot) and from the quality of the video (ie, the camera is actually pointed in the right direction) it appears that he was doing it out in the open, holding his phone in his hand.

I looked around for hidden cameras on amazon. There are some fake pens with cameras in them that look like they would be effective...



Any good way to film with a small camera in your shirt pocket? The pen idea sounds good if the lens is on the clip.

PS. OF course this is just for recreational purposes.

PSS. I might use it to take some professional "surveillance" shots of cleavage.
"Man Babes" #AxelFabulous
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