Wizard
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April 20th, 2012 at 8:35:52 PM permalink
I went to the Orleans today because I heard about a new game called Top Play Poker. However, that was closed at the time I was there.

My trip was not for waste, because I noticed a new bet in the keno lounge. It is called the "keno exacta" and pays if two consecutive tickets get the same number of catches, above a certain point.

The Exacta bet on the pick-1 has exactly a 100% return. However, much like the odds bet in craps, you have to make a negative bet to be allowed to make the mathematically fair bet.

I wrote my my analysis on my Odds site. Please have a look. I welcome all questions, comments and corrections.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
Nareed
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April 20th, 2012 at 8:47:05 PM permalink
Am I reading it right? Is the chance of wining the million dollar jackpot nearly 2 trillions to one?
Donald Trump is a fucking criminal
Wizard
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April 20th, 2012 at 8:48:37 PM permalink
Quote: Nareed

Am I reading it right? Is the chance of wining the million dollar jackpot nearly 2 trillions to one?



Yup, on the pick 9.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
Nareed
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April 20th, 2012 at 8:50:47 PM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Yup, on the pick 9.



Wow.

Just a day or two ago I was asking facetiously whether anyone would bet on odds of a trillion to one. Now I know.
Donald Trump is a fucking criminal
Wizard
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April 20th, 2012 at 9:41:54 PM permalink
Quote: Nareed

Just a day or two ago I was asking facetiously whether anyone would bet on odds of a trillion to one. Now I know.



The actual money is in the consolation prizes. Compare to most keno games, it is a good bet.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
odiousgambit
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April 21st, 2012 at 12:18:29 AM permalink
I was ready to congratulate them until I saw that the weighted return budges only a bit.

I can only picture playing Keno if I was some kind of prisoner; hours to kill and it was the cheapest way to kill them. If I was playing, yep, why not the side bet. If they asked for feedback I would mention the improvement I guess.
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
Wizard
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April 21st, 2012 at 6:03:37 AM permalink
Is it just me, or does anyone else think that "exacta" is not the right term for this bet? An exacta is a bet on the first two horses to finish in a race in the exact order. A quinella is the same thing, but can be in either order. This sounds more like a Daily Double, which is the winning horse in two consecutive races.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
JB
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April 21st, 2012 at 6:19:11 AM permalink
Quote: Wizard

Is it just me, or does anyone else think that "exacta" is not the right term for this bet? An exacta is a bet on the first two horses to finish in a race in the exact order. A quinella is the same thing, but can be in either order. This sounds more like a Daily Double, which is the winning horse in two consecutive races.


When I read the thread title before coming in here, the first thing that came to mind was that you would need to match the numbers on your ticket in a certain order. Like if you picked 34 and 57, then you not only must match both to win, but 34 must have been drawn first.
Wizard
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April 21st, 2012 at 6:22:55 AM permalink
Quote: JB

When I read the thread title before coming in here, the first thing that came to mind was that you would need to match the numbers on your ticket in a certain order. Like if you picked 34 and 57, then you not only must match both to win, but 34 must have been drawn first.



When I saw a sign for this at the casino, that is what I was expecting too.
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Johnzimbo
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April 21st, 2012 at 6:45:09 AM permalink
This bet has been at the Orleans for at least ten years, it isn't new. I hit my 3 spot once and got very excited for the next game, but alas didn't come close to hitting it again.
Wizard
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April 21st, 2012 at 8:13:53 AM permalink
Quote: Johnzimbo

This bet has been at the Orleans for at least ten years, it isn't new.



Better late than never.
"My life is spent in one long effort to escape from the commonplace of existence. These little problems help me to do so." -- Sherlock Holmes
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