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billionaireben
billionaireben
  • Threads: 20
  • Posts: 79
Joined: Jun 29, 2011
August 1st, 2016 at 9:06:07 PM permalink
https://www.predictit.org/Market/2336/How-many-Electoral-College-votes-will-be-cast-for-the-winner-of-the-2016-presidential-election

I don't see any value on this market, I think the prices for each slice are too high and the top 2 spots can be ruled out (though, it still isn't a good bet.)

Predictit takes 10% of your profits when you sell and 5% withdrawal fee (no upfront fees, no sign on bonuses either.) It's like baccarat and horse-racing combined.

Does anyone see value in this market, if so; please state your logic. Also, please vote in the poll.
MaxPen
MaxPen
  • Threads: 13
  • Posts: 3634
Joined: Feb 4, 2015
August 1st, 2016 at 11:37:56 PM permalink
There's value in the 400+. I would play it straight without hedging, on the yes. Trump is going to win Reagan, Eisenhower, and Roosevelt style.
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