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AutomaticMonkey
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July 15th, 2025 at 10:42:17 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: BTLWI



There's no need for an underlying claim BECAUSE YOU CAN TRUST THE ISSUER.
In fiat you can't trust the issuer so you desire A BACKING.
Backing is only a requirement when there is no trust in issuance.
link to original post



Every Fiat currency has failed over time so my assumption is that trend will continue, including the U.S. dollar.
link to original post



Which non-Fiat currency has succeeded over time? As no nation's currency is a Fiat one, I'd argue that every fiat-based currency failed and evolved into the non-fiat system the world has used for at least the last fifty years.
We will all die, and the USofA will be subjected to history books someday, but it won't be because the dollar wasn't backed by silver.
It might be because of the population's addiction to plastic.
link to original post



What do you mean? Every contemporary currency is fiat, including Bitcoin, under the technical definition of the word fiat.

Bitcoin is unique in that it is non-inflationary and generally not legal tender, so a government can't dictate how much their is or how it can be used.
rxwine
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July 15th, 2025 at 11:17:13 AM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

[
Bitcoin is unique in that it is non-inflationary and generally not legal tender, so a government can't dictate how much their is or how it can be used.
link to original post



I kinda agree and disagree with this. Government in a personal sense can't control "free speech" directly either. But like in times of old, as soon as it's out of your mouth they can run a sword through your middle. There are all sorts of ways to control things even if not directly.

I think the dream of crypto was originally bigger, than the actual reality will be as far as monetary freedom.
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MichaelBluejay
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July 15th, 2025 at 12:52:03 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

Quote: vegas

Quote: lilredrooster

.
how is the price of bitcoin and how are any changes in the price determined__________?

and who if anybody makes that determination________?

.
link to original post



Just like stocks it is supply and demand. If you have more buyers than sellers it pushes the price up. People often sell to take some profit and then rebuy on dips.
link to original post


okay

but let's say today you have $900 million more in buys than sells

how is it determined how much the price will go up _____________?

what is the calculation_________? link to original post



"More buyers than sellers" is the common explanation, and it's wrong. The price has nothing to do with the *number* of buyers or sellers. And it's not even the total *amount* of shares or coins that all the buyers/sellers want to sell or buy, either. The price is entirely determined by the highest price a buyer is willing to pay, and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept. That's managed by something called on "Order Book".

Below is the current Order Book for Bitcoin on Kraken, a popular exchange. Buyers are listed on the bottom. The most any buyer is willing to pay is $116,537.50. All the buyers willing to pay that price have 3.28 BTC that they're willing to buy.

On the top side are the sellers. The lowest price any seller is willing to accept is $116,537.60. The total number of BTC that all sellers willing to sell at that price is 2.0 BTC.

Those are all orders placed by buyers and sellers who are waiting for the price to move before they buy or sell. But let's say you want to buy 3.0 BTC right away, at whatever the price is. That's a "Market Order". You place your order, which swallows up the first three cheapest lines on the top of the order book from the sellers (which totals 2.01 BTC), and then you buy 0.99 BTC of the fourth-cheapest line ($116,554.80). The last trade was $116,554.80, so that's the current price.

Or at least, that's the current price at Kraken. The price differs a little from exchange to exchange.

I run Easy Vegas ( https://easy.vegas )
lilredrooster
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July 15th, 2025 at 1:40:50 PM permalink
.

Quote: MichaelBluejay



The price is entirely determined by the highest price a buyer is willing to pay, and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept

That's managed by something called on "Order Book".



how could they possibly know for example the highest price a buyer is willing to pay______?

there are surely lots of uninformed buyers placing market orders who probably would be willing to pay more than what the Order Book says is the highest price a buyer is willing to pay

I admit to being uninformed when I bought Bitcoin years ago. I placed a market order. I had no idea of the price at the time. They could have charged me anything.

.
the foolish sayings of a rich man often pass for words of wisdom by the fools around him
AutomaticMonkey
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July 15th, 2025 at 1:49:13 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

[
Bitcoin is unique in that it is non-inflationary and generally not legal tender, so a government can't dictate how much their is or how it can be used.
link to original post



I kinda agree and disagree with this. Government in a personal sense can't control "free speech" directly either. But like in times of old, as soon as it's out of your mouth they can run a sword through your middle. There are all sorts of ways to control things even if not directly.

I think the dream of crypto was originally bigger, than the actual reality will be as far as monetary freedom.
link to original post



My reason for saying that is it not being legal tender. That term does not mean it must be accepted for trade, it means it must be accepted as payment for a debt within some jurisdiction. And courts are the arbitrators of debts.

So let's say you want to sell me your car, you don't have to accept dollars, you can insist on 1 bitcoin. That's fine, that price, and thus the value of the car relative to Bitcoin is between you and me, we have to come to an agreement. But let's say I damage your car, and we go to court, and the judge says I owe you either $10,000 or 1 bitcoin. That judge has just placed a limit on the value of Bitcoin.

The guys who want Bitcoin to be legal tender I don't think are considering this, and I would rather see the value of Bitcoin to be separated from any armed authority; just the buyers and sellers of good and services come to a collective consensus on what a bitcoin is worth. Sure government can still punish us if we don't do what they tell us to do, but they can't tell us how we value our bitcoins.

Also being based on digital communications it's a lot harder for them to see what we are doing with it, unlike the currency they issue and regulate.
AutomaticMonkey
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July 15th, 2025 at 1:52:15 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

.

Quote: MichaelBluejay



The price is entirely determined by the highest price a buyer is willing to pay, and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept

That's managed by something called on "Order Book".



how could they possibly know for example the highest price a buyer is willing to pay______?

there are surely lots of uninformed buyers placing market orders who probably would be willing to pay more than what the Order Book says is the highest price a buyer is willing to pay

I admit to being uninformed when I bought Bitcoin years ago. I placed a market order. I had no idea of the price at the time. They could have charged me anything.



.
link to original post



The kind of people who would be paying a random price for BTC aren't buying enough to affect the market. That happens all the time on some books, called "fat fingering" where someone makes a typo in entering their order and there are people positioned to exploit that. It doesn't have enough weight to move the market much.
MichaelBluejay
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July 15th, 2025 at 2:21:54 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

.how could they possibly know for example the highest price a buyer is willing to pay______? link to original post

Again, that's determined by the order book. For people waiting for the price to move, they've put in their orders stating the max they're willing to pay. For people *not* waiting for the price to move, they get the cheapest price listed in the order book when they place their Buy order.

Quote: lilredrooster

there are surely lots of uninformed buyers placing market orders who probably would be willing to pay more than what the Order Book says is the highest price a buyer is willing to pay

It doesn't matter. If the cheapest Sell price is the order book is $100, but a market buyer is willing to pay $200, lucky for them they won't get ripped off, when they place their order they'll get the $100 price.

Quote: lilredrooster

I admit to being uninformed when I bought Bitcoin years ago. I placed a market order. I had no idea of the price at the time. They could have charged me anything.

No, they couldn't have. You got the cheapest Sell price listed in the order book.
I run Easy Vegas ( https://easy.vegas )
billryan
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July 15th, 2025 at 2:46:06 PM permalink
Quote: lilredrooster

.

Quote: MichaelBluejay



The price is entirely determined by the highest price a buyer is willing to pay, and the lowest price a seller is willing to accept

That's managed by something called on "Order Book".



how could they possibly know for example the highest price a buyer is willing to pay______?

there are surely lots of uninformed buyers placing market orders who probably would be willing to pay more than what the Order Book says is the highest price a buyer is willing to pay

I admit to being uninformed when I bought Bitcoin years ago. I placed a market order. I had no idea of the price at the time. They could have charged me anything.

The issue is when you put a market order in and a dozen people frontrun your transaction.

.
link to original post

The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
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July 15th, 2025 at 2:49:02 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: billryan

Quote: DRich

Quote: BTLWI



There's no need for an underlying claim BECAUSE YOU CAN TRUST THE ISSUER.
In fiat you can't trust the issuer so you desire A BACKING.
Backing is only a requirement when there is no trust in issuance.
link to original post



Every Fiat currency has failed over time so my assumption is that trend will continue, including the U.S. dollar.
link to original post



Which non-Fiat currency has succeeded over time? As no nation's currency is a Fiat one, I'd argue that every fiat-based currency failed and evolved into the non-fiat system the world has used for at least the last fifty years.
We will all die, and the USofA will be subjected to history books someday, but it won't be because the dollar wasn't backed by silver.
It might be because of the population's addiction to plastic.
link to original post



What do you mean? Every contemporary currency is fiat, including Bitcoin, under the technical definition of the word fiat.

Bitcoin is unique in that it is non-inflationary and generally not legal tender, so a government can't dictate how much their is or how it can be used.
link to original post



Strike that. Reverse it. As every currency in the world is fiat, I think it is safe to say that non-fiat currencies have failed and their time has passed.
Edit- I corrected my original post as I reversed fiat and non-fiat.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
rxwine
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November 25th, 2025 at 7:56:41 AM permalink
an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
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billryan
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November 25th, 2025 at 9:28:43 AM permalink
Bitcoin is like Tinkerbell. It will die when people stop believing in it.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AutomaticMonkey
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November 25th, 2025 at 10:19:06 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post



People who like centralized authority hate Bitcoin.
AxelWolf
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November 25th, 2025 at 7:18:13 PM permalink
Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post

He is just upset he missed the boat since he has been anti BTC for years, since back when it was 14k.

It could be worth 2 million 20 years down the road, and he would still be saying the same thing.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
billryan
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November 26th, 2025 at 9:51:54 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post

He is just upset he missed the boat since he has been anti BTC for years, since back when it was 14k.

It could be worth 2 million 20 years down the road, and he would still be saying the same thing.
link to original post



Towards the end of 2022, I posted that I was a buyer at 15K. It dropped below 20K but never hit my buy level, and a few months later, it hit $60,000. It would have been nice to ride it all the way, but I would have sold at 25, so I only missed out on 10K, and other investments made that. I've stopped studying who is buying and selling bitcoin, but my gut feeling is that most current holders are underwater. I might be a buyer if it drops below 30K if it survives the death spiral. I don't think it will drop that low, but who is to say?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
EvenBob
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November 27th, 2025 at 7:28:17 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post



People who like centralized authority hate Bitcoin.
link to original post



People with common sense hate Bitcoin
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AutomaticMonkey
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November 27th, 2025 at 8:31:50 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post



People who like centralized authority hate Bitcoin.
link to original post



People with common sense hate Bitcoin
link to original post



Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).
AxelWolf
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November 27th, 2025 at 11:52:12 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post



People who like centralized authority hate Bitcoin.
link to original post



People with common sense hate Bitcoin
link to original post

People who hate bitcoin are not up a crapton. I think it's literally up over a billion percent since the start.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AxelWolf
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November 27th, 2025 at 11:56:28 PM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post

He is just upset he missed the boat since he has been anti BTC for years, since back when it was 14k.

It could be worth 2 million 20 years down the road, and he would still be saying the same thing.
link to original post



Towards the end of 2022, I posted that I was a buyer at 15K. It dropped below 20K but never hit my buy level, and a few months later, it hit $60,000. It would have been nice to ride it all the way, but I would have sold at 25, so I only missed out on 10K, and other investments made that. I've stopped studying who is buying and selling bitcoin, but my gut feeling is that most current holders are underwater. I might be a buyer if it drops below 30K if it survives the death spiral. I don't think it will drop that low, but who is to say?
link to original post

I'm not sure why you would buy something that you compare to Beanie Babies. You should be shorting Bitcoin because at any moment it Should Crash down to almost nothing if in fact it's like a Beanie Baby.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DRich
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November 28th, 2025 at 5:03:23 AM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey


Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).



Do you really believe that Bitcoin is out of reach of governments and crooks?
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
billryan
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November 28th, 2025 at 5:11:51 AM permalink
Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: billryan

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post

He is just upset he missed the boat since he has been anti BTC for years, since back when it was 14k.

It could be worth 2 million 20 years down the road, and he would still be saying the same thing.
link to original post



Towards the end of 2022, I posted that I was a buyer at 15K. It dropped below 20K but never hit my buy level, and a few months later, it hit $60,000. It would have been nice to ride it all the way, but I would have sold at 25, so I only missed out on 10K, and other investments made that. I've stopped studying who is buying and selling bitcoin, but my gut feeling is that most current holders are underwater. I might be a buyer if it drops below 30K if it survives the death spiral. I don't think it will drop that low, but who is to say?
link to original post

I'm not sure why you would buy something that you compare to Beanie Babies. You should be shorting Bitcoin because at any moment it Should Crash down to almost nothing if in fact it's like a Beanie Baby.
link to original post



I don't think I've ever compared Bitcoin to Beanie Babies. I think a better comparison would be tulips. I don't have to endorse a product to buy or sell it.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AxelWolf
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November 28th, 2025 at 6:06:14 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: billryan

Quote: AxelWolf

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post

He is just upset he missed the boat since he has been anti BTC for years, since back when it was 14k.

It could be worth 2 million 20 years down the road, and he would still be saying the same thing.
link to original post



Towards the end of 2022, I posted that I was a buyer at 15K. It dropped below 20K but never hit my buy level, and a few months later, it hit $60,000. It would have been nice to ride it all the way, but I would have sold at 25, so I only missed out on 10K, and other investments made that. I've stopped studying who is buying and selling bitcoin, but my gut feeling is that most current holders are underwater. I might be a buyer if it drops below 30K if it survives the death spiral. I don't think it will drop that low, but who is to say?
link to original post

I'm not sure why you would buy something that you compare to Beanie Babies. You should be shorting Bitcoin because at any moment it Should Crash down to almost nothing if in fact it's like a Beanie Baby.
link to original post



I don't think I've ever compared Bitcoin to Beanie Babies. I think a better comparison would be tulips. I don't have to endorse a product to buy or sell it.
link to original post

Tulips are basiccly the same thing. So if you're comparing it to tulips and it drops all the way down to 30,000, why would you buy at $30,000? Do you believe it's worth more than 30,000? If not, what's special about 30,000? With your comparison to tulips, why would you not think it's going to go down much further?

I thought you said you had some kind of investment that also included BTC?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
billryan
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November 28th, 2025 at 6:46:15 AM permalink
It isn't about what I believe; it is what others think it is worth.

They are a micro investment—one in bitcoin, one in Solerna, and one in the overall market. I bought more US postage this year than crypto.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AxelWolf
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November 28th, 2025 at 8:15:52 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

It isn't about what I believe; it is what others think it is worth.

They are a micro investment—one in bitcoin, one in Solerna, and one in the overall market. I bought more US postage this year than crypto.
link to original post



So what makes you believe others will believe it's worth more than $30,000? Again, I ask, what's special to you about the price of $30,000?
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
AutomaticMonkey
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November 28th, 2025 at 10:01:31 AM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: AutomaticMonkey


Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).



Do you really believe that Bitcoin is out of reach of governments and crooks?
link to original post



Yes. My bitcoins are protected by a 256-bit number. I will be perfectly happy for a government to spend its time and resources trying to guess it!
billryan
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November 28th, 2025 at 10:07:33 AM permalink
I'm not saying bitcoin is worth $30,000. I'm saying that is what bitcoin is worth to me. It is the price where reward and risk intersect.
Your number would be different.
Unlike stocks, there aren't real numbers to crunch, so risk and reward play a much bigger part than in a regular stock or ETF.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
billryan
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November 28th, 2025 at 10:19:50 AM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: DRich

Quote: AutomaticMonkey


Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).



Do you really believe that Bitcoin is out of reach of governments and crooks?
link to original post



Yes. My bitcoins are protected by a 256-bit number. I will be perfectly happy for a government to spend its time and resources trying to guess it!
link to original post



The government accessing your money isn't what you should be worried about. What about the government denying you access to it?
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AutomaticMonkey
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November 28th, 2025 at 11:10:31 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: DRich

Quote: AutomaticMonkey


Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).



Do you really believe that Bitcoin is out of reach of governments and crooks?
link to original post



Yes. My bitcoins are protected by a 256-bit number. I will be perfectly happy for a government to spend its time and resources trying to guess it!
link to original post



The government accessing your money isn't what you should be worried about. What about the government denying you access to it?
link to original post



I suppose they could lock me in a cell and deny me access to digital communications. But they could also and even more easily deny me access to cash, bank accounts, gold bars, and everything else. I'll take my chances with the Bitcoin bros, rather than the banking industry, that has no choice but to ask "How high?" when the government authorities say "Jump."

Bitcoins don't exist anywhere but the blockchain and there are a million copies of that around the world, all in sync, all peers, and they all have the hash of the private key for every account and if I can show that private key, they all agree that they are my bitcoins to transfer.
rxwine
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November 28th, 2025 at 11:20:04 AM permalink
Good thread to ask this.

Can bitcoin be used to evade censorship? For instance, the size of the smallest trade unit would be “A” and so on through the alphabet for larger and larger trades.

I have yet to buy any or could answer for myself. Was wondering if two people trading back and forth in one country could be noted by someone on the other side of the world just by knowing to look at the size of those trades.
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AutomaticMonkey
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November 28th, 2025 at 11:34:36 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

Good thread to ask this.

Can bitcoin be used to evade censorship? For instance, the size of the smallest trade unit would be “A” and so on through the alphabet for larger and larger trades.

I have yet to buy any or could answer for myself. Was wondering if two people trading back and forth in one country could be noted by someone on the other side of the world just by knowing to look at the size of those trades.
link to original post



Absolutely yes. I believe this is what you are looking for:
https://cointelegraph.com/learn/articles/bitcoins-hidden-messages-legacy-of-cryptography-pioneers

For a while, there was a thing called Satoshi Dice where people used the randomness of the next block to be solved as a dice roll for betting, betting Bitcoins of course!
EvenBob
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November 28th, 2025 at 9:06:07 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rxwine

an economist is comparing crypto to Beanie Babies
Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President and CEO Neel Kashkari about the recent crash in cryptocurrency valuation and why he doesn’t have confidence in the asset
link to original post



People who like centralized authority hate Bitcoin.
link to original post



People with common sense hate Bitcoin
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Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).
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Out Of Reach of all governments, you just made my case. This is why it cannot last and will not.
"It's not called gambling if the math is on your side."
AutomaticMonkey
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November 28th, 2025 at 10:28:08 PM permalink
Quote: EvenBob

Quote: AutomaticMonkey



Why, what's wrong with Bitcoin? It is universal money, programmable, and forever out of reach of all governments and crooks (but I repeat myself).
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Out Of Reach of all governments, you just made my case. This is why it cannot last and will not.
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You seem to be of the belief that they have the power to do anything about it! But they never gave us permission to create Bitcoin, and we never asked for it. We just did it.

So I see it the opposite way- so great are the egos of politicians that they would never accept the humiliation of trying to ban Bitcoin and failing, so they will claim they are all for it, it's a great idea, and we have them to thank for it. Like an emperor who realizes he cannot conquer some province, so he orders his cartographers to remove all mentions of it from his maps, and crows that he is the ruler of all the known world.
AxelWolf
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November 29th, 2025 at 12:24:38 AM permalink
Quote: billryan

I'm not saying bitcoin is worth $30,000. I'm saying that is what bitcoin is worth to me. It is the price where reward and risk intersect.
Your number would be different.
Unlike stocks, there aren't real numbers to crunch, so risk and reward play a much bigger part than in a regular stock or ETF.
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Why is it worth 30k to you? Is that because that's what you think others will play for it? Why do you think that?

If, in fact, it's another tulip mania and drops to 30k, it's probably because most everyone else believes it's another tulip mania and it's going down to the low 1000s or even lower.
♪♪Now you swear and kick and beg us That you're not a gamblin' man Then you find you're back in Vegas With a handle in your hand♪♪ Your black cards can make you money So you hide them when you're able In the land of casinos and money You must put them on the table♪♪ You go back Jack do it again roulette wheels turinin' 'round and 'round♪♪ You go back Jack do it again♪♪
DRich
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November 29th, 2025 at 5:38:40 AM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey


You seem to be of the belief that they have the power to do anything about it! But they never gave us permission to create Bitcoin, and we never asked for it. We just did it.



I agree with your premise, but what if it was the government that created Bitcoin? Maybe Satoshi is Uncle Sam.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
billryan
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November 29th, 2025 at 6:38:42 AM permalink
People are saying Satoshi was a pseudonym John George Trump used to make reservations when he and his favorite student, the Unabomber, used to take long weekends on the Cape.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
rxwine
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December 5th, 2025 at 10:17:56 AM permalink
a down lifting story.

Quote:

Crypto fraudster and wife forced to watch each other being tortured to death.

Russian authorities report that Roman and Anna's remains were largely preserved when discovered last month, having been sealed in polyethylene wrapping and encased in concrete.

The pair are thought to have been deceived into visiting a leased property in the Emirati town of Hatta under the guise of encountering prospective backers, but were instead subjected to torture to obtain their cryptocurrency wallet credentials before being murdered.






https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/crypto-fraudster-and-wife-forced-to-watch-each-other-being-tortured-to-death/ar-AA1RLVRk?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=69331b8d96554bf595537886aad29128&ei=28
Sanitized for Your Protection
AutomaticMonkey
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December 5th, 2025 at 11:06:08 AM permalink
Quote: rxwine

a down lifting story.

Quote:

Crypto fraudster and wife forced to watch each other being tortured to death.

Russian authorities report that Roman and Anna's remains were largely preserved when discovered last month, having been sealed in polyethylene wrapping and encased in concrete.

The pair are thought to have been deceived into visiting a leased property in the Emirati town of Hatta under the guise of encountering prospective backers, but were instead subjected to torture to obtain their cryptocurrency wallet credentials before being murdered.




https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/crypto-fraudster-and-wife-forced-to-watch-each-other-being-tortured-to-death/ar-AA1RLVRk?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=69331b8d96554bf595537886aad29128&ei=28
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That is not the first time someone has been tortured for Bitcoin and it won't be the last.

This is why in the US there is a high correlation between being a Bitcoin enthusiast and being a Second Amendment enthusiast. Be dangerous prey, not worth the risk.
DougGander
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December 5th, 2025 at 5:00:45 PM permalink
Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rxwine

a down lifting story.

Quote:

Crypto fraudster and wife forced to watch each other being tortured to death.

Russian authorities report that Roman and Anna's remains were largely preserved when discovered last month, having been sealed in polyethylene wrapping and encased in concrete.

The pair are thought to have been deceived into visiting a leased property in the Emirati town of Hatta under the guise of encountering prospective backers, but were instead subjected to torture to obtain their cryptocurrency wallet credentials before being murdered.




https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/crypto-fraudster-and-wife-forced-to-watch-each-other-being-tortured-to-death/ar-AA1RLVRk?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=69331b8d96554bf595537886aad29128&ei=28
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That is not the first time someone has been tortured for Bitcoin and it won't be the last.

This is why in the US there is a high correlation between being a Bitcoin enthusiast and being a Second Amendment enthusiast. Be dangerous prey, not worth the risk.
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Looking at this specific scenario objectively, firearms would likely be ineffective for several practical reasons:
Tactical disadvantages:

Deception eliminates readiness: The victims were lured under false pretenses ("prospective backers"). They entered the situation in a business mindset, not defensive posture. You can't effectively use a firearm if you don't realize you're in danger.
Controlled environment: Once inside the leased property with multiple assailants, the tactical situation is already lost. Professional criminals conducting this type of operation control entry points, numbers, and positioning before revealing intent.
Planning asymmetry: Groups willing to torture people to death for crypto wallets invest significant planning. They would:

Observe targets beforehand
Choose location/timing advantageously
Likely disarm or neutralize armed victims during the initial surprise phase


Location constraint: This occurred in the UAE where civilian firearm ownership is extremely restricted, making the "Second Amendment solution" geographically irrelevant.

The "dangerous prey" theory:
The comment suggests deterrence value - that being armed makes you not "worth the risk." However:

If criminals already know you hold significant cryptocurrency, the incentive may outweigh the risk
Armed victims might simply be met with more overwhelming force
Professional operations of this sophistication typically don't abort due to individual defensive capabilities

More effective protections for high-value crypto holders:

Operational security (not publicizing holdings)
Multi-signature wallets requiring multiple parties
Geographic diversification of assets
Vetting business contacts through established channels
Meeting in genuinely public, secured locations

The scenario described represents successful social engineering followed by ambush - precisely where individual firearms provide minimal protection.
odiousgambit
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December 6th, 2025 at 5:20:17 AM permalink
Quote: DougGander

Quote: AutomaticMonkey

Quote: rxwine

a down lifting story.

Quote:

Crypto fraudster and wife forced to watch each other being tortured to death.

Russian authorities report that Roman and Anna's remains were largely preserved when discovered last month, having been sealed in polyethylene wrapping and encased in concrete.

The pair are thought to have been deceived into visiting a leased property in the Emirati town of Hatta under the guise of encountering prospective backers, but were instead subjected to torture to obtain their cryptocurrency wallet credentials before being murdered.




https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/crypto-fraudster-and-wife-forced-to-watch-each-other-being-tortured-to-death/ar-AA1RLVRk?ocid=msedgntp&pc=HCTS&cvid=69331b8d96554bf595537886aad29128&ei=28
link to original post



That is not the first time someone has been tortured for Bitcoin and it won't be the last.

This is why in the US there is a high correlation between being a Bitcoin enthusiast and being a Second Amendment enthusiast. Be dangerous prey, not worth the risk.
link to original post





Looking at this specific scenario objectively, firearms would likely be ineffective for several practical reasons:
Tactical disadvantages:

Deception eliminates readiness: The victims were lured under false pretenses ("prospective backers"). They entered the situation in a business mindset, not defensive posture. You can't effectively use a firearm if you don't realize you're in danger.
Controlled environment: Once inside the leased property with multiple assailants, the tactical situation is already lost. Professional criminals conducting this type of operation control entry points, numbers, and positioning before revealing intent.
Planning asymmetry: Groups willing to torture people to death for crypto wallets invest significant planning. They would:

Observe targets beforehand
Choose location/timing advantageously
Likely disarm or neutralize armed victims during the initial surprise phase


Location constraint: This occurred in the UAE where civilian firearm ownership is extremely restricted, making the "Second Amendment solution" geographically irrelevant.

The "dangerous prey" theory:
The comment suggests deterrence value - that being armed makes you not "worth the risk." However:

If criminals already know you hold significant cryptocurrency, the incentive may outweigh the risk
Armed victims might simply be met with more overwhelming force
Professional operations of this sophistication typically don't abort due to individual defensive capabilities

More effective protections for high-value crypto holders:

Operational security (not publicizing holdings)
Multi-signature wallets requiring multiple parties
Geographic diversification of assets
Vetting business contacts through established channels
Meeting in genuinely public, secured locations

The scenario described represents successful social engineering followed by ambush - precisely where individual firearms provide minimal protection.
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a little over-analyzed maybe, but it all is correct

there is one that keeps showing up on crime tv shows, where a couple was murdered on a uninhabited Pacific island close to Hawaii The husband murdered became aware that the other couple that was already there was suspect, with the man acting in bizarre ways. The former started bragging about how they were safe because he was better armed with a .357 or somesuch vs the other man armed with something less intimidating. But what happens is if one party is ready to kill, the other just guarded, then the one has a tremendous advantage over the other.

I'm referring to the 1974 double murder on Palmyra Atoll
Last edited by: odiousgambit on Dec 6, 2025
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
billryan
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December 6th, 2025 at 7:05:04 AM permalink
Everyone knows the country would be so much better if only there were more good guys with guns
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
AutomaticMonkey
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December 6th, 2025 at 10:00:51 AM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit



there is one that keeps showing up on crime tv shows, where a couple was murdered on a uninhabited Pacific island close to Hawaii The husband murdered became aware that the other couple that was already there was suspect, with the man acting in bizarre ways. The former started bragging about how they were safe because he was better armed with a .357 or somesuch vs the other man armed with something less intimidating. But what happens is if one party is ready to kill, the other just guarded, then the one has a tremendous advantage over the other.

I'm referring to the 1974 double murder on Palmyra Atoll
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In the case of Bitcoin robberies, a gun works as a deterrent by ensuring the robbery will fail.

So let's say four guys want to grab me and torture me for my Bitcoin passphrase. As soon as I reach for my gun, they have about 1 second to make a decision. They can: just stand there and let me shoot them. They probably won't choose that. Or they can shoot me and kill me, but at that point their odds of getting away with this drop, because once guns are fired your chances of getting caught by the police go up by a large amount. Or they can turn and run, which would be the smartest move because that's the only one where they will probably be no worse off than they were before they started.

But in all three of these possibilities, what didn't they get? That's right, my Bitcoin! It's not like killing someone who has cash and then robbing his body, or shooting the store clerk and then emptying the cash register. I have to stay alive for them to get what they want, but I can force the issue any time I choose by drawing my gun. They get one second to react, and I get to decide which second. That makes it an incredibly stupid risk to try to rob someone who is armed of their Bitcoin, because success relies on that person forgetting they are armed and peacefully cooperating with the guys who came to torture and kill him.
billryan
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December 6th, 2025 at 10:24:30 AM permalink
If a robbery gang knew enough about you to know that you own bitcoin, they would know you are armed and plan appropriately. Carrying a concealed weapon doesn't do much if you don't get a chance to draw it.
In today's environment, if four people are targeting you for serious crime, odds are they'll be armed, and you'll be outgunned. Taking your prized possession to your death certainly will teach the robbers a lesson.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
odiousgambit
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December 6th, 2025 at 11:21:45 AM permalink
you'd have to have the guts to go for your gun while a gun was pointed at you, valuing the bitcoin more than your life too

at least at one time, criminals used the term 'getting the drop' on someone , meaning they drew and pointed their guns first
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
billryan
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December 6th, 2025 at 12:08:13 PM permalink
I'd also assume it isn't the first time the gang has attempted this. My life is worth more than any bitcoin, Beanie Baby, or comic book.
The older I get, the better I recall things that never happened
DRich
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December 6th, 2025 at 12:14:55 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

you'd have to have the guts to go for your gun while a gun was pointed at you, valuing the bitcoin more than your life too



The majority of people shot by a gun do not die.
You can't know everything, but you can know anything.
odiousgambit
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December 6th, 2025 at 12:22:00 PM permalink
Quote: DRich

Quote: odiousgambit

you'd have to have the guts to go for your gun while a gun was pointed at you, valuing the bitcoin more than your life too



The majority of people shot by a gun do not die.
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spoken like a gambler !
the next time Dame Fortune toys with your heart, your soul and your wallet, raise your glass and praise her thus: “Thanks for nothing, you cold-hearted, evil, damnable, nefarious, low-life, malicious monster from Hell!”   She is, after all, stone deaf. ... Arnold Snyder
AutomaticMonkey
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December 6th, 2025 at 1:36:28 PM permalink
Quote: odiousgambit

you'd have to have the guts to go for your gun while a gun was pointed at you, valuing the bitcoin more than your life too

at least at one time, criminals used the term 'getting the drop' on someone , meaning they drew and pointed their guns first
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Well now, it may be counterintuitive, but when that happens your only chance is to draw against the drop. Because in these cases once they get your passphrase, they don't pat you on the back and say "Thanks, bro" and go on their way and take the Bitcoin. They kill you. That's why torture is used for this, because the target is the Bitcoin and if they kill you first they will never get it.

Handguns aren't that effective and often don't work fast enough to prevent a return shot, and if I draw somebody else is probably getting shot too.

You can see that in the Irish Zombie video, Kevin Costlow, who walks into a bunch of bullets grinning. His intent was to commit suicide but if he had a gun and wanted to kill the cop, that cop would have eaten just as many bullets and been killed too. This is why the only way to rob someone who is armed, if you aren't that open minded about getting shot yourself, is to shoot him first.

rainman
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December 7th, 2025 at 2:54:28 AM permalink
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X6DR_bR_qIU
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