VIDEO POKER & $500 FREE BET QUESTION!

Me and my wife recently went to vegas & using the / website we made special trips just to play the video poker machines! We stayed at the westgate where I played about 6,000 hands at $1.25 a piece. the loose deuces game I was playing pays out 100.15%. So in theory I wasn't expecting to really win big but I lost about $600 overall. Never got a royal or 4 deuces one time. So then using the website we found one of the highest returns was at the El Cortez with the downtown deuces. We had to find the 2 specified machines because not all the machines paid the same which I thought was weird. We played these machines for 3-4 hours at a pretty fast pace rate. (We use the video poker hand analyzer on our phones on hands if there is any question at all to ensure we'd receive the 100.92% payout long term) but my question is this are these machines guaranteed to have a true randomized function of cards dealt? We really never saw hardly any deuces during this entire time period. Once we went back to westgate I had no question that westgates machines were truly randomized, but I was very concerned about the machines at El Cortez. These were the super old school machines that take quarters & pay out in quarters. It wouldn't even take my new $100 bills.... Is it possible for them to reduce the amount of deuces dealt? Or was i just having a super unlucky time? I honestly want to go back for a weekend sometime just for fun & play this machine because of the edge but I don't want to waste my time if they're programmed to not deal deuces!

Also for my next question. My local casino is offering a $500 rebate promotion same as the other post I made. I've now taken 6 people up to do the $500 bet & they have all won. I was the only one losing the original $500. I did receive 8 $62 coupons that I took back to gamble where they would pay $124 for each win. This casino is literally right down the street from my work & it's not an issue to go multiple times, but in there system they entered me as my average bet being $500 & now since they've sent me my rebates they've sent me $1100 more in coupons. A total of 16 hotel rooms & $100 in food comps. So that's $1600 just so far for a one time $500 bet that I lost.

So what I think I should do is instead of having people bet $500 one time if they win we pick it up & leave. I think we should bet $500 until getting up to $2500 or losing the original $500 since the free play is so amazing. Potentionally if we would of won all the free play coupons so far that's $3200. I know this won't happen but I just think I should get this set up rather then doing what we've been doing this far. They have 2 deck blackjack & this would be the best bet in the casino that would be applicable for the promotion. It looks like their edge is .32% or so according to the calculator.

Please let me know what you think I should do to get this set up to profit the most amount of money per person I take up to do the bets.

You should not post so much info in public is my suggestion

As far as the video poker goes, yes, it's random. You're only going to see 4 deuces 1 in every ~4664 hands. That doesn't mean you WILL see 1 every 4664 hands, that's just the "average" cycle. Like anything else, there's variance. You could go 2, 3, or 4 cycles without seeing one... In the end you have to determine the range from the "EV" +/- the variance so you can say something like "With 99% confidence you'll hit 4 deuces 1 in every 4664 hands +/- 10k hands" thus you could go like 15k hands without hitting 4 deuces. In the end the math will right itself (no that doesn't mean you're "due" so to say)... but yes you just experienced variance.

Quote: roudy12345

Me and my wife recently went to vegas & using the / website we made special trips just to play the video poker machines! We stayed at the westgate where I played about 6,000 hands at $1.25 a piece. the loose deuces game I was playing pays out 100.15%. So in theory I wasn't expecting to really win big but I lost about $600 overall. Never got a royal or 4 deuces one time. So then using the website we found one of the highest returns was at the El Cortez with the downtown deuces. We had to find the 2 specified machines because not all the machines paid the same which I thought was weird. We played these machines for 3-4 hours at a pretty fast pace rate. (We use the video poker hand analyzer on our phones on hands if there is any question at all to ensure we'd receive the 100.92% payout long term) but my question is this are these machines guaranteed to have a true randomized function of cards dealt? We really never saw hardly any deuces during this entire time period. Once we went back to westgate I had no question that westgates machines were truly randomized, but I was very concerned about the machines at El Cortez. These were the super old school machines that take quarters & pay out in quarters. It wouldn't even take my new $100 bills.... Is it possible for them to reduce the amount of deuces dealt? Or was i just having a super unlucky time? I honestly want to go back for a weekend sometime just for fun & play this machine because of the edge but I don't want to waste my time if they're programmed to not deal deuces!

Also for my next question. My local casino is offering a $500 rebate promotion same as the other post I made. I've now taken 6 people up to do the $500 bet & they have all won. I was the only one losing the original $500. I did receive 8 $62 coupons that I took back to gamble where they would pay $124 for each win. This casino is literally right down the street from my work & it's not an issue to go multiple times, but in there system they entered me as my average bet being $500 & now since they've sent me my rebates they've sent me $1100 more in coupons. A total of 16 hotel rooms & $100 in food comps. So that's $1600 just so far for a one time $500 bet that I lost.

So what I think I should do is instead of having people bet $500 one time if they win we pick it up & leave. I think we should bet $500 until getting up to $2500 or losing the original $500 since the free play is so amazing. Potentionally if we would of won all the free play coupons so far that's $3200. I know this won't happen but I just think I should get this set up rather then doing what we've been doing this far. They have 2 deck blackjack & this would be the best bet in the casino that would be applicable for the promotion. It looks like their edge is .32% or so according to the calculator.

Please let me know what you think I should do to get this set up to profit the most amount of money per person I take up to do the bets.

https://wizardofodds.com/games/video-poker/royal-or-bust/

Scroll down to the "win 200 or bust" portion.